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Wintermute: BTC ETF Records First Net Outflow Since June as Market Awaits Fed Rate Decision

In a write-up by Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, BTC ETFs recorded a net outflow of $463 million for the week ending September 14, marking the first negative reading since June's lows. ARK and Grayscale alone accounted for combined outflows of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% for the week to close at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dipped 1.5% and altcoins collectively gained 1.0%. On the macro front, the US August CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month (core 0.3%), exceeding the expected 0.2%, while the PPI annual rate hit 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to upgrade its September rate outlook from "hold steady" to "increase." The market has now priced in an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday. Meanwhile, ongoing escalation in Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude past $105/barrel, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached a 20-year high. Wintermute stated that following the shift to negative ETF flows, it favors a neutral over a bullish market stance. Two key catalysts this week: ① On Tuesday, the US Senate will hold a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Act), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. While the rate hike itself is already fully priced in, subsequent hawkish commentary (particularly any signals pointing to continued tightening into Q1 2027) could exert downward pressure on the crypto market.

A trader profited nearly $200,000 by buying ANSEM early, achieving a return of approximately 25x.

According to Arkham's tracking, trader @2007sng purchased ANSEM in 12 equal tranches in late June, at approximately $723 per transaction, when the token's market cap was around $1.5 million. ANSEM's market cap has since risen to approximately $147.8 million. The trader has realized $88,500 in gains while still holding positions worth roughly $119,800, bringing cumulative profits to around $199,900 and yielding a return of approximately 25x.

Analysts: Bitcoin profitable supply ratio rebounds to 69%, with a 90-day increase of +41%

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted that on-chain data shows the percentage of Bitcoin's supply in profit has rebounded from 47% at the end of June to 69%, moving out of historically typical market stress zones. Meanwhile, the 90-day change of this metric quickly reversed from -19% in early August to +41%, marking one of the fastest recoveries in Bitcoin's history.

Empowa Suffers Unauthorized Transfer Incident, Approximately 4.24 Million EMP and 143,700 ADA Stolen

Empowa, a Cardano ecosystem project, disclosed two interrelated unauthorized asset transfer incidents across its three project wallets. Between November 2025 and June 2026, approximately 143,710 ADA were transferred out of one project treasury wallet in 18 transactions. The corresponding Midnight airdrop for this wallet was also registered and claimed by an unknown party using the private key, with approximately 36,000 NIGHT already transferred away. From June 2026 to August 2026, a cumulative total of approximately 4.24 million EMP tokens were transferred out of the other two project wallets, with portions sold via platforms such as Minswap and VyFi. Empowa stated that the funds from both incidents ultimately flowed into the same intermediate wallet, indicating they are controlled by the same party, although the identity of the individuals operating these private keys cannot currently be confirmed. The team has hired a professional blockchain investigation firm and plans to seek KYC information from the centralized exchange where the related funds ultimately entered.

Analysis: Capital inflows into the crypto market improve, accumulating $6.7 billion over the past 30 days.

According to BIT analysis, the composite institutional capital inflow metric shows that approximately $6.7 billion flowed into the crypto market over the past 30 days. This metric encompasses MicroStrategy purchases, Bitcoin ETF capital flows, and stablecoin issuance. In comparison, June recorded a net outflow of approximately $13 billion, marking a clear reversal in capital flows. BIT stated that the improving trend of capital inflows is currently supporting market momentum, but further acceleration is still required to drive larger gains for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin faces resistance at the $83,000 sell-pressure zone as whale accounts shift to net selling.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has faced persistent pressure near the $83,000 key resistance level, failing to surpass its earlier May high before retracing below $80,000. Data from Glassnode reveals that wallet cohorts have collectively entered a net distribution phase for the first time since early June, with whale wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC displaying the clearest selling trend. Previously, Bitcoin rallied from around $64,000 to $79,000 in mid-August. Currently, Bitcoin is also encountering resistance near the 50-week moving average, but if the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average to form a "golden cross," it may provide some support to bulls.

Bankless founder sells all ETH, reallocates to ZEC and LIT, both significantly outperforming ETH

Odaily News DeFi researcher Ignas posted on X: "After David Hoffman (Bankless founder) sold his ETH, he reallocated his portfolio into some of the best-performing tokens, such as LIT and ZEC. NEAR also performed well, and only VVV underperformed the broader market. Although the market was full of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) at the time, and it was also very close to the ETH bottom, the goal of aggressive crypto investors has always been to outperform BTC and ETH. Well done, David."Previously reported, Bankless co-founder David Hoffman announced in June this year that he had sold all his ETH and bought VVV, NEAR, ZEC, HYPE, and LIT.

Goldman Sachs: Pro-cyclical Rotation Slowing, Maintains Overweight on Equities for 12 Months but Tactically Shifts to Defensive

According to Chaoxiang Research, Goldman Sachs released its Global Opportunity Asset Locator report on September 2, maintaining its core stance of being overweight equities and underweight credit over a 12-month horizon, while taking a tactically neutral view on equities. Global equity markets have been range-bound since June, with AI capex beneficiaries facing selling pressure. The equal-weight S&P 500 outperformed the Nasdaq by 16% in June and July, reflecting a significant improvement in market breadth. Goldman Sachs believes that sustained earnings growth should support equities outperforming bonds and credit over the medium term, although returns may decelerate as earnings growth peaks. Furthermore, interest rate volatility, US midterm elections, and geopolitical risks could drive up short-term volatility.

Bitcoin's "kimchi premium" has reappeared in the South Korean market, marking its longest positive streak since early May at one week

Odaily News: Bitcoin has once again shown a "kimchi premium" in the South Korean market. On September 1, the price of Bitcoin on Upbit, South Korea's largest cryptocurrency exchange, was approximately 1% higher in Korean won compared to Binance's dollar price. This premium has persisted for one week, marking the longest duration since early May.Bitcoin was priced at around $79,000 in early September, briefly surpassing $80,000 in August. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $1.92 billion in the week of August 17, the highest single-week total in ten months; an additional $923 million flowed in during the week ending at the end of August.According to Upbit data, Bitcoin traded at a discount to international prices in the South Korean market for most of the summer, reaching a discount of 3.1% in early June and averaging a 0.25% discount in August. 10x Research noted that the premium in South Korea has turned positive, but spot trading volumes have not increased correspondingly. (Bloomberg)

A whale deposited 88,000 HYPE onto Coinbase, expecting a profit of approximately $1.538 million.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), address 0x008…E295f accumulated 280,000 HYPE between June 11 and August 13 at an average price of approximately $64.5, with a total cost of around $18.06 million. Four hours ago, the address made its first deposit of 88,216 HYPE (approximately $7.23 million) to Coinbase. Selling at this point would yield a return of roughly 27%, resulting in an estimated profit of $1.538 million. The address currently retains approximately 190,000 HYPE that have not yet been moved.

JaredfromSubway.eth sandwich attack bot has extracted $295 million in total, with $7.5 million stolen in June

Odaily News: The sandwich attack bot operated by JaredfromSubway.eth has extracted a cumulative total of 117,007 ETH since March 2023, worth approximately $295 million at current prices. In June 2026, an anonymous attacker deployed 66 counterfeit token contracts, exploiting the bot's automated trading logic to steal at least $7.5 million in ETH and stablecoins, and funneled the funds into Tornado Cash. The stolen assets have not yet been recovered.Sandwich attacks are a form of Maximal Extractable Value (MEV): the bot monitors large transactions in Ethereum's public mempool, buys ahead of the target transaction, and sells after the transaction pushes the price up, capturing profits from the spread. The bot's primary contract had received a cumulative total of 117,007 ETH as of August 28.MEV-Boost block construction is centralized among a small group of participants, with relay.ultrasound.money, Titan Relay, and bloXroute regulated relays collectively forwarding approximately 85% to 88% of related blocks within a 24-hour window; Titan's builder independently assembled 50.3% of the blocks. Monthly sandwich attack extraction amounts have declined from approximately $10 million in late 2024 to roughly $2.5 million in October 2025. (Bitcoin.com News)

Analysts: Bitcoin on-chain loss pressure eases, but trend reversal still awaits confirmation.

According to the morning report published by on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr., following Bitcoin's rebound to approximately $78,000, the financial pressure on coin holders has significantly eased: Bitcoin's net unrealized loss (NUL) dropped from 18.57% to 7.35% over the past ten days, a decline of roughly 60%. This represents a near 71% decrease from the local peak of 25.21% on June 30, reaching its lowest level since May 11. Meanwhile, the 90-day realized profit/loss ratio rose to 1.003 on August 26, marking the first time it has returned above 1 since late July. This indicates that, calculated on a 90-day smoothed basis, realized profits have slightly exceeded realized losses. Prior to this, the metric stayed below 1 for 26 consecutive days beginning July 31, touching 0.747 on August 16 when BTC traded around $62,800. The report notes that on-chain loss pressure has shifted from dominating to improving, but the profit/loss ratio sits only slightly above the critical threshold, insufficient to confirm a trend reversal. Subsequent monitoring should focus on whether this indicator can sustainably hold its ground and advance, as well as whether unrealized losses remain subdued. If the ratio falls back below 1 and unrealized losses rebound, it may signal renewed selling pressure.

Worth $381 million with a profit of $74.4 million; an entity suspected to be associated with a16z holds and stakes 4.679 million HYPE

Odaily News: According to on-chain analyst Ember's monitoring, after purchasing $24 million worth of HYPE at $68.7 in June, the largest HYPE holder suspected to be associated with a16z has once again bought and staked HYPE. Within the past day, the entity deposited 36 million USDC into Hyperliquid through 12 addresses to purchase HYPE. So far, it has used 24 million USDC to buy 282,090 HYPE at an average price of $81.5. The entity currently holds and stakes a total of 4.679 million HYPE, valued at $381 million, with an average price of approximately $65.6, resulting in a profit of $74.4 million.

Analyst: Long-term holders transferred over 297,000 BTC to exchanges, potential selling pressure rises

Odaily News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X, stating that as BTC price approaches $80,000, selling activity among long-term holders (LTH) has increased significantly. Data shows that long-term holders had been in a continuous net accumulation state, with their monthly average net supply growth reaching 286,000 BTC in early June. However, this has now shifted to a net decrease of approximately 21,000 BTC — the first time this year that the amount of BTC sold or transferred by long-term holders has exceeded the amount newly entering long-term holding status.Meanwhile, the amount of BTC transferred by long-term holders to exchanges has risen to its highest level since 2026, with holders of 6 to 18 months being the most active, transferring over 297,000 BTC to exchanges. This signal warrants close attention. Although market demand has improved, increased selling pressure from long-term holders could once again tilt the market's supply-demand balance in favor of sellers.

Iranian Rial Hits Record Low, US Sanctions Target Digital Assets for First Time

According to Odaily, the Iranian rial hit a record low this week, with the open market exchange rate falling to approximately 2.02 million rials per US dollar on August 24, compared to around 1.53 million rials in the first quarter. During the same period, the US government launched "Operation Economic Exodus," adding more than 60 entities to the Treasury Department's blacklist and, for the first time, designating digital assets as a sanctionable category.State-controlled farms linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) control approximately 65% of Iran's Bitcoin mining capacity. Iranian miners have accounted for roughly 3% to 7% of global Bitcoin hashrate since 2019, with the mined Bitcoin valued at an estimated $1.35 billion to $3.15 billion at various stages.Iran legalized Bitcoin mining in 2019, allowing licensed operators to use industrial electricity at approximately $0.004 per kilowatt-hour and sell the mined tokens to the Central Bank of Iran. Chainalysis estimates that IRGC-affiliated wallets received over $3 billion in Q4 2025; Elliptic states that the Central Bank of Iran holds at least $507 million in USDT.The US Treasury sanctioned Nobitex, Wallex, Bitpin, and Ramzinex in June. Nobitex had processed more than half of Iran's digital asset inflows; in April, the US Treasury seized nearly $500 million in Iran-linked crypto assets. (Bitcoin.com News)

Kalshi Launches CFTC-Approved Spot Bitcoin Perpetual Futures, Trading Volume Reaches $5.5 Billion in First Two Weeks

Odaily News: Recent Bitcoin volatility has triggered a wave of leveraged long position liquidations. On August 22, hourly liquidations reached $529 million, with long positions accounting for $478 million; on August 23, an additional $84 million in crypto long positions were liquidated within one hour.Prediction market Kalshi launched the first spot Bitcoin perpetual futures contract approved by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on June 3, with liquidations reaching $5.5 billion in the first two weeks. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated that the product offers U.S. institutions regulated onshore perpetual contract trading.Benjamin Schiffrin, Director of Securities Policy at Better Markets, pointed out that perpetual futures are high-risk crypto products for retail investors, and the CFTC did not impose additional investor protections when approving them. Analysis account Qmo noted that there are significant Bitcoin long liquidation pools in the $62,000 to $67,000 range; trader Money Bunny disclosed that short liquidations reached $2.7 billion to $3.5 billion within 24 hours. (Forbes Digital Assets)

Analysis: ETH/BTC Forms "Golden Cross," Up 25% From June Low

According to Odaily, the ETH/BTC ratio has recently formed a "golden cross," where the 50-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average. Since early June, ETH has consistently outperformed BTC, with the ETH/BTC ratio rising approximately 25% from its June 6 low.Historical data shows that the performance of ETH/BTC following a golden cross has been inconsistent. After the golden cross on July 25, 2025, the ratio rose about 36% over the following four weeks, but subsequently turned downward; following the February 2021 golden cross, it once surged approximately 93%. However, the two golden crosses in May and August 2022 both failed to sustain upward momentum. CoinDesk noted that the golden cross is a lagging indicator based on historical prices and does not necessarily imply that ETH will continue to outperform BTC going forward. (CoinDesk)

Standard Chartered: ETF inflows combined with short liquidations could push Bitcoin toward $126,000

Odaily News - Standard Chartered's global head of digital asset research, Geoffrey Kendrick, stated that the bank's year-end Bitcoin price target of $100,000 may be too conservative. Bitcoin rose to $79,500 on August 21, its highest level since May; he predicts the price could climb from this level to $126,000, a gain of 58%.Kendrick noted that during the rally from August 19 to 21, Bitcoin short liquidations totaled nearly $1.44 billion, the largest on record in Coinglass data since June 2021. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $1.92 billion over five consecutive trading days.The U.S. Treasury announced on August 19 that it would expand its long-term Treasury buyback program, raising the maximum size of a single operation from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Standard Chartered lowered its Bitcoin year-end target from $150,000 to $100,000 in February this year, while outlining a long-term trajectory of $500,000 for Bitcoin and $40,000 for Ethereum by 2030. (Bitcoin.com News)

Analysis: Gold May Shake Off Q2 Slump, Structural Support and Core Catalysts Align

Odaily News – After surging to a record high of nearly $5,600 earlier this year, gold prices faced a sharp sell-off. In the three months through June, gold posted its worst quarterly performance since 2013, but the current sustained rebound is quickly repairing this technical breakdown. Driven by a combination of factors, gold is poised to emerge from the shadows of its worst quarterly showing in a decade. Amid the two-way tug-of-war between long-term structural deficits and short-term pullbacks, Wall Street is anchoring its 12-month gold price target at $5,400.Despite the optimistic long-term structural outlook, several analysts warn that gold still faces significant macroeconomic headwinds and potential correction pressure in the near term. (CNBC)

"7 Siblings" address sold 18,500 ETH today at an average price of $2,356

According to disclosures by Ember, the whale or institutional entity dubbed "7 Siblings" employs an ETH trading strategy of buying after short-term sharp declines and selling after short-term surges. Following ETH dips of over 10% in February and June this year, the address made purchases on both occasions, with the June entry price at $1,789. Today, 7 Siblings sold 18,500 ETH at an average price of $2,356.