News linked to both this project and an event.
Garrett Jin, agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” published an analysis pointing out that the current market is pricing in “peace expectations,” driving sustained gains in risk assets—but this is markedly diverging from the actual supply-demand dynamics in the energy market. Data shows the S&P 500 has hit a new all-time high, while Brent crude oil has rebounded to approximately $103 per barrel. Earlier in March, hedge funds aggressively shorted the market; Goldman Sachs data indicated a short-to-long ratio peaking at 7.6:1—the fastest net selling pace in 13 years. Yet the core assumptions underpinning the market rally—resumption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, falling oil prices, declining inflation, and Federal Reserve rate cuts—remain unfulfilled. The gap between forward earnings expectations and actual earnings has surged to levels last seen at the 2021 peak; historically, similar gaps have preceded bear markets, such as the 2022 downturn.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), two wallets linked to Garrett Jin (a veteran Bitcoin insider whale) withdrew 59 million Binance Tokens (BNB) from Binance one month ago—valued at approximately $4.38 million at the time of withdrawal, when the price was $0.074 per token. The current market value of these BNB tokens has reached $19.5 million, representing an unrealized profit exceeding $15 million.
Garrett Jin, agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” published an analysis stating that the U.S. government announced a full naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, effective 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on April 13, prohibiting all vessels from entering or departing Iranian ports. This measure aims to cut off Iran’s oil revenue derived from this energy hub and reverse its current economic advantage in the ongoing conflict. Over the past six weeks, Iran has levied steep fees on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz and restricted energy exports for certain countries, triggering significant volatility in both cryptocurrency markets and global oil prices. The U.S. action is expected to impact market risk pricing for major crypto assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. The analysis notes that although the U.S. holds the initiative, Iran may continue exporting oil by escalating the conflict, relying on Chinese support, and utilizing decentralized gray markets—meaning war risks and market volatility will persist.