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Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
City University Survey: Willingness of Hong Kong Residents to Use AI Rises to 77.5%, Over Half Still Fear Job Displacement
According to a PR Newswire report, the City University of Hong Kong has published results from a survey on the social impact of artificial intelligence, revealing that Hong Kong residents' willingness to adopt AI rose from 67.4% in early 2025 to 77.5% by mid-2026, an increase of 10.1 percentage points. However, 53.7% of respondents remain highly concerned about their jobs being replaced by AI, a figure consistent with the previous year. Led by Huang Yihui, Chair Professor at the Department of Media and Communication, CityU, the research team conducted three rounds of longitudinal online surveys between February and April 2025, December 2025 and February 2026, and May and July 2026. The latest round surveyed 1,362 Hong Kong citizens aged 20 and older, analyzing a longitudinal cohort of 398 participants who completed all three waves. Findings show that 61.3% of respondents aged 20 to 34 expressed concern over job security, 60.6% of bachelor's degree holders feared AI displacement, and 56.6% of middle-income earners making HK$30,000 to HK$60,000 monthly shared similar worries. Regarding healthcare applications, while most residents welcome AI support for personal health management, clinical diagnostic decisions continue to rely primarily on physicians.
US SEC Token Safe Harbor Proposal Warned of Lacking Regulatory Certainty, Exchanges Fear Future Liability
Odaily reports: Crypto wallet backup company Vault12 submitted a comment letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday, stating that the SEC's proposed token safe harbor framework fails to adequately address centralized exchanges' listing concerns, and trading platforms still worry they may face retroactive challenges from the SEC regarding the legal status of tokens in the future.Vault12 raised $17.45 million from 38 investors in 2018 through a future token agreement. Its issued Vault Guardian Token (VGT) has not yet been listed on any centralized exchange. The project has fulfilled or formally abandoned all commitments in its white paper, but exchanges it previously approached still require confirmation that the SEC will not determine in the future that VGT remains subject to the original investment contract.The SEC's "Regulation Crypto Assets" proposal introduced in August this year aims to provide exemptions for token fundraising and allow eligible projects to terminate the association between tokens and original investment contracts through a safe harbor mechanism. Vault12 recommends adding a 60-day objection period; if the SEC does not raise objections within the deadline, qualifying filings should have final effect on the agency, except in cases of fraud or material misrepresentation. (CoinDesk)
Analysis: Bitcoin Drops Below $77,000 as Geopolitical Conflicts and Inflation Concerns Trigger Sell-Off
Bitcoin has fallen below the $77,000 mark, hitting a low of approximately $76,720. Analysts attribute the market decline primarily to multiple macroeconomic pressures, including the renewed escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, rising inflation concerns, and increased risk aversion across risk assets. Former US President Donald Trump issued a strong warning to Iran on social media, intensifying geopolitical uncertainty.Meanwhile, rising oil prices have further elevated inflation expectations, with Brent crude climbing to around $111 and WTI rising above $107. This has sparked concerns that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a longer period.The current selling pressure is also compounded by factors such as rising US Treasury yields, a strengthening US dollar, and ETF outflows. Data shows that Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $1 billion in the week ending May 17, ending six consecutive weeks of net inflows.In terms of market sentiment, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has fallen back to 27, re-entering the "fear zone." Analysts believe that short-term trends will remain highly dependent on macroeconomic data and policy expectations. However, some institutions view the current correction as a "healthy digestion" period, suggesting the long-term structure remains unchanged. (The Block)
Analysis: This BTC rebound is driven by “liquidity” rather than a fundamental strengthening of the trend.
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose approximately 6% this week, briefly reaching $76,300—the highest level in nearly two months—yet the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at 21 (“Extreme Fear”). Multiple institutional analysts characterize this rally as “liquidity-driven” rather than a structural strengthening. Glassnode notes that while spot demand and ETF inflows have improved, the recovery lacks depth, institutional participation remains cautious, and options market positioning continues to favor downside protection. Bitfinex attributes this price increase primarily to concentrated buying by “Strategists” (who purchased 13,927 BTC last week), rather than an organic rebound in demand. Analysts broadly view $75,000 as a critical support level; if structural buying wanes and this level fails to hold, prices could retreat to the $70,000–$71,000 range. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory and the June FOMC meeting are seen as the next key risk catalysts.
Analyst: Binance Hack Shakes Market, Fear and Greed Index Drops to Lowest Since August
Odaily report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that market sentiment deteriorated noticeably within a single day, with the Fear and Greed Index falling from 51 (neutral) to 30 (fear), the lowest level since mid-August. Over the same period, Bitcoin dropped about 4% to 5% within 24 hours, briefly touching a six-week low near $76,500; Ethereum fell below $2,200, and total liquidations across the market exceeded $1.6 billion in the past 24 hours.Darkfost noted that historically, periods of market pessimism often correspond to accumulation opportunities, but the current index reading of 30 only represents fear and has not yet entered the extreme fear zone below 25, suggesting market sentiment may remain under pressure. In addition, this round of decline was partly triggered by Binance's $6.3 billion hack incident and did not stem entirely from a clear deterioration in market fundamentals.
Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
Trader Killa: BTC Short-Term Holder Supply Overheating May Signal Market Bottom Formation
Odaily News: Trader Killa stated on X platform that Bitcoin short-term holder (STH) supply recently reached "overheated" levels, a situation similar to the price action in 2023 after the market broke away from the macro bottom, potentially serving as another signal of market bottom formation.Killa pointed out that after Bitcoin short-term holder supply reached similar highs in 2023, BTC price continued to rise and maintained an uptrend in higher timeframe (HTF) trends. The current market structure is quite similar to previous cycles, and investors should not overly rely on the Fear and Greed Index to judge market direction. Killa stated that market sentiment may remain irrational for extended periods, and short-term sentiment indicators do not necessarily reflect long-term trends.
Analyst: Crypto Sentiment Rapidly Shifts to Greed, Declining Bitcoin Dominance May Signal Capital Diffusion Across the Market
CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain stated that crypto market sentiment has undergone a significant shift, with the Fear and Greed Index rapidly climbing from around 30 in August to the current 74. Meanwhile, BTC dominance has dropped to 53.8% and continues its downward trend. Historical data shows that when the sentiment index rises while Bitcoin's dominance remains flat or declines, market capital and momentum tend to flow into sectors outside of Bitcoin;
Exchange Stablecoin Reserves Shrink 20%, Binance Share Rises Against the Trend to 68.5%
According to BeInCrypto, CryptoQuant data shows that centralized exchange stablecoin reserves fell from a high of about $80 billion at the end of 2025 to about $64 billion, shrinking by about $16 billion (about 20%). Among them, Binance showed relative resilience, with its stablecoin share rising from just over 60% to 68.5%, while platforms such as Coinbase, Bybit, and OKX saw more significant reductions. Meanwhile, on-chain analysis platform Santiment detected that pessimistic sentiments such as "crypto is dead" on X and Reddit continued to intensify, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently at 46, still in the fear zone. The total stablecoin supply also fell from a high of nearly $316 billion in May to $300.89 billion, but the decline was far lower than on the exchange side, indicating that some liquidity may have shifted on-chain rather than exiting completely.
Wall Street's "Fear Index" Hits Year-to-Date Low, Raising Risks of an Autumn Selloff in U.S. Stocks
Odaily News: Despite the S&P 500's strong gains this year and continued capital inflows, historic seasonal selling periods, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and emerging consumer weakness are prompting Wall Street strategists to issue密集 risk warnings.The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) fell sharply to 14.2 last Friday, marking its lowest level since 2026. The index, which measures expected market volatility over the next 30 days by tracking S&P 500 option prices, typically signals that market sentiment has settled into absolute calm when it declines. Jonathan Krinsky, Managing Director and Chief Market Technical Analyst at BTIG, noted that the performance of U.S. stocks in 2026 could be described as "unusual." Since last October, the market has not experienced an extreme single-day selloff where declining stocks accounted for as much as 80% of total volume.Quantitative trading giant Susquehanna described the current volatility reset as a "substantial" decline. The firm pointed out that cross-asset and geopolitical risks remain active, with two-month implied volatility slightly rebounding to 13.5%, approaching levels seen before the outbreak of the Iran conflict.Wall Street institutions generally view mid-August to mid-October as a historically turbulent period for the market. According to BTIG's statistical model, in every midterm election year since 1990, the equal-weighted S&P 500 has experienced at least a 7% drawdown from its average high on August 18 through mid-October.
Analyst: Binance Hack Shakes Market, Fear and Greed Index Drops to Lowest Since August
Odaily report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that market sentiment deteriorated noticeably within a single day, with the Fear and Greed Index falling from 51 (neutral) to 30 (fear), the lowest level since mid-August. Over the same period, Bitcoin dropped about 4% to 5% within 24 hours, briefly touching a six-week low near $76,500; Ethereum fell below $2,200, and total liquidations across the market exceeded $1.6 billion in the past 24 hours.Darkfost noted that historically, periods of market pessimism often correspond to accumulation opportunities, but the current index reading of 30 only represents fear and has not yet entered the extreme fear zone below 25, suggesting market sentiment may remain under pressure. In addition, this round of decline was partly triggered by Binance's $6.3 billion hack incident and did not stem entirely from a clear deterioration in market fundamentals.
OpenAI CEO Accuses Anthropic of “Fear-Based Marketing” with Claude Mythos
According to Decrypt, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that Anthropic is promoting its AI model Claude Mythos through “fear-based marketing,” using narratives about security risks to justify its limited-open strategy. Claude Mythos has recently drawn attention for its ability to autonomously discover software vulnerabilities and perform complex cybersecurity operations. The report notes that Mozilla previously disclosed that the model identified 271 vulnerabilities in the Firefox browser during testing. Meanwhile, discussions surrounding the model’s potential offensive cybersecurity risks continue to intensify. Altman also emphasized that OpenAI will not scale back its infrastructure investments and will continue expanding its computational capabilities.
BIT: Bitcoin Bear Market Adjustment May Have Entered Final Stage; World Cup Window Could Mark the End of This Bear Cycle
BIT has released its latest weekly report, titled "Will the FIFA World Cup Be the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market?" The report suggests that the current bearish trend of Bitcoin is largely consistent with its early February 2026 outlook. The previously predicted A-B-C correction structure has entered its final phase: after Wave A declined to the $60,000 to $69,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded to the $80,000 to $90,000 range, peaking temporarily around $83,000, after which the rebound momentum gradually weakened.BIT points out that the current Fear and Greed Index has approached historically significant low levels, still showing some similarity to the bottom structure of the 2022 bear market. It maintains its previous view that the summer lull during the 2026 World Cup period could serve as the final stage of Bitcoin's current bear cycle.The report states that future focus will be on the key price range for the end of the bear market, macro catalysts for the next bull run, and trend reversal signals from cyclical indicators. If the relevant framework holds, this market bottom could become one of the low points in Bitcoin's history with a relatively concentrated time window and clearly defined triggering conditions.
Analysis: Bitcoin Drops Below $77,000 as Geopolitical Conflicts and Inflation Concerns Trigger Sell-Off
Bitcoin has fallen below the $77,000 mark, hitting a low of approximately $76,720. Analysts attribute the market decline primarily to multiple macroeconomic pressures, including the renewed escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, rising inflation concerns, and increased risk aversion across risk assets. Former US President Donald Trump issued a strong warning to Iran on social media, intensifying geopolitical uncertainty.Meanwhile, rising oil prices have further elevated inflation expectations, with Brent crude climbing to around $111 and WTI rising above $107. This has sparked concerns that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a longer period.The current selling pressure is also compounded by factors such as rising US Treasury yields, a strengthening US dollar, and ETF outflows. Data shows that Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $1 billion in the week ending May 17, ending six consecutive weeks of net inflows.In terms of market sentiment, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has fallen back to 27, re-entering the "fear zone." Analysts believe that short-term trends will remain highly dependent on macroeconomic data and policy expectations. However, some institutions view the current correction as a "healthy digestion" period, suggesting the long-term structure remains unchanged. (The Block)
Related news
Analyst: Binance Hack Shakes Market, Fear and Greed Index Drops to Lowest Since August
Odaily report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that market sentiment deteriorated noticeably within a single day, with the Fear and Greed Index falling from 51 (neutral) to 30 (fear), the lowest level since mid-August. Over the same period, Bitcoin dropped about 4% to 5% within 24 hours, briefly touching a six-week low near $76,500; Ethereum fell below $2,200, and total liquidations across the market exceeded $1.6 billion in the past 24 hours.Darkfost noted that historically, periods of market pessimism often correspond to accumulation opportunities, but the current index reading of 30 only represents fear and has not yet entered the extreme fear zone below 25, suggesting market sentiment may remain under pressure. In addition, this round of decline was partly triggered by Binance's $6.3 billion hack incident and did not stem entirely from a clear deterioration in market fundamentals.
Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
City University Survey: Willingness of Hong Kong Residents to Use AI Rises to 77.5%, Over Half Still Fear Job Displacement
According to a PR Newswire report, the City University of Hong Kong has published results from a survey on the social impact of artificial intelligence, revealing that Hong Kong residents' willingness to adopt AI rose from 67.4% in early 2025 to 77.5% by mid-2026, an increase of 10.1 percentage points. However, 53.7% of respondents remain highly concerned about their jobs being replaced by AI, a figure consistent with the previous year. Led by Huang Yihui, Chair Professor at the Department of Media and Communication, CityU, the research team conducted three rounds of longitudinal online surveys between February and April 2025, December 2025 and February 2026, and May and July 2026. The latest round surveyed 1,362 Hong Kong citizens aged 20 and older, analyzing a longitudinal cohort of 398 participants who completed all three waves. Findings show that 61.3% of respondents aged 20 to 34 expressed concern over job security, 60.6% of bachelor's degree holders feared AI displacement, and 56.6% of middle-income earners making HK$30,000 to HK$60,000 monthly shared similar worries. Regarding healthcare applications, while most residents welcome AI support for personal health management, clinical diagnostic decisions continue to rely primarily on physicians.
US SEC Token Safe Harbor Proposal Warned of Lacking Regulatory Certainty, Exchanges Fear Future Liability
Odaily reports: Crypto wallet backup company Vault12 submitted a comment letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday, stating that the SEC's proposed token safe harbor framework fails to adequately address centralized exchanges' listing concerns, and trading platforms still worry they may face retroactive challenges from the SEC regarding the legal status of tokens in the future.Vault12 raised $17.45 million from 38 investors in 2018 through a future token agreement. Its issued Vault Guardian Token (VGT) has not yet been listed on any centralized exchange. The project has fulfilled or formally abandoned all commitments in its white paper, but exchanges it previously approached still require confirmation that the SEC will not determine in the future that VGT remains subject to the original investment contract.The SEC's "Regulation Crypto Assets" proposal introduced in August this year aims to provide exemptions for token fundraising and allow eligible projects to terminate the association between tokens and original investment contracts through a safe harbor mechanism. Vault12 recommends adding a 60-day objection period; if the SEC does not raise objections within the deadline, qualifying filings should have final effect on the agency, except in cases of fraud or material misrepresentation. (CoinDesk)
Trader Killa: BTC Short-Term Holder Supply Overheating May Signal Market Bottom Formation
Odaily News: Trader Killa stated on X platform that Bitcoin short-term holder (STH) supply recently reached "overheated" levels, a situation similar to the price action in 2023 after the market broke away from the macro bottom, potentially serving as another signal of market bottom formation.Killa pointed out that after Bitcoin short-term holder supply reached similar highs in 2023, BTC price continued to rise and maintained an uptrend in higher timeframe (HTF) trends. The current market structure is quite similar to previous cycles, and investors should not overly rely on the Fear and Greed Index to judge market direction. Killa stated that market sentiment may remain irrational for extended periods, and short-term sentiment indicators do not necessarily reflect long-term trends.
Analyst: Crypto Sentiment Rapidly Shifts to Greed, Declining Bitcoin Dominance May Signal Capital Diffusion Across the Market
CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain stated that crypto market sentiment has undergone a significant shift, with the Fear and Greed Index rapidly climbing from around 30 in August to the current 74. Meanwhile, BTC dominance has dropped to 53.8% and continues its downward trend. Historical data shows that when the sentiment index rises while Bitcoin's dominance remains flat or declines, market capital and momentum tend to flow into sectors outside of Bitcoin;