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According to Chaoxiang Research, JPMorgan’s September 6, 2026 research report highlights four reasons supporting a bullish stance on US equities despite heightened volatility in interest rates, exchange rates, and oil prices: strong growth (GDP and EPS forecasts continue to be raised), interest rates are not too high (rising yields reflect economic expansion rather than monetary tightening), the US favors a weak dollar policy, and hedge fund positioning remains neutral to light. August nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs, far exceeding expectations; however, whether to hike rates in September hinges on the September 11 CPI data, with JPMorgan projecting core CPI to rise 0.21% month-over-month. The MSCI World Index has gained 12% year-to-date, while the 10-year US Treasury yield has climbed by only 60 basis points, and earnings growth is currently absorbing valuations.
According to Bitcoin News, which cited an opinion piece from The Wall Street Journal, legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller criticized U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's proposal to increase the size of a single long-term Treasury bond repurchase transaction from $2 billion to at least $4 billion, arguing that the measure could overstep its bounds in liquidity management and cross into intervention aimed at suppressing long-term yields. Druckenmiller pointed out that with inflation still running above target, the U.S. fiscal deficit accounting for roughly 6% of GDP, and federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, rising yields may accurately reflect the bond market's rational pricing of deteriorating U.S. fiscal conditions. He warned that if markets believe the Treasury is defending a specific yield level, traders could repeatedly test the limits of government intervention, forcing the repurchase volume to keep expanding. He also maintained that the Treasury's strategy of buying back long-term Treasuries while simultaneously issuing short-term T-bills effectively strips duration risk from the market, closely resembling a small-scale quantitative easing program executed directly by the Treasury. His advice is to allow the bond market to determine the government's financing costs, and to resolve fundamental fiscal imbalances through deficit reduction, entitlement reform, and enhanced debt management.
Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio warned on Friday that the U.S. annual budget deficit is as high as $2 trillion, with approximately $10 trillion in debt urgently requiring refinancing. Without a change in course, a debt crisis could arrive "in three years, plus or minus two years." In terms of asset allocation, Dalio recommends that investors: • Reduce bond holdings to mitigate debt risks • Increase gold positions, raising the allocation to 10%–15% of the portfolio • Hold a small amount of Bitcoin to hedge against government credit risk Dalio also urged the United States to cut its budget deficit from the current level of approximately 6% of GDP down to 3%, through measures including spending reductions, tax hikes, and lower interest rates. Following these comments, gold prices rose on Friday to their highest level since May, while Bitcoin surpassed $77,000, marking its largest weekly gain since 2023.