News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Bitcoin remained consolidating above $77,000 on Wednesday, with markets cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. According to market data, Bitcoin fluctuated within the range of approximately $75,689 to $77,837 during the session, and is currently trading around $77,100.This FOMC meeting is seen as a pivotal event. Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may be his last as Fed Chair, with markets simultaneously pricing in uncertainty regarding policy direction and potential power transitions.On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a reversal after nine consecutive days of net inflows. SoSoValue data shows that on April 28, ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $89.68 million. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day outflow of about $112 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs also logged net outflows of $21.8 million.On-chain data also signals caution. CryptoQuant noted that on April 27, exchange net inflows reached 9,905 BTC, the largest single-day inflow in nearly 30 days. Exchange reserves have also rebounded recently. If these inflows are not quickly absorbed, prices could retest the support range of $74,000–$75,000.On the macroeconomic front, fluctuations in crude oil prices and shifts in the Middle East energy landscape continue to influence inflation expectations. Some analysts believe this could limit the Fed's room for future easing. Meanwhile, market liquidity continues to weaken, with institutional trading volumes and perpetual contract activity both at low levels. This means any policy surprise could amplify price volatility.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure and may continue to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Fed's policy path. (The Block)
according to data monitoring from SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows for the 9th consecutive trading day on April 24, with a single-day inflow of $14.45 million. The total cumulative inflows during this continuous period amounted to approximately $2.1 billion, marking the longest net inflow streak since September 2025. Last week, ETFs saw total inflows of $823.7 million, with BlackRock's IBIT recording weekly inflows of $983 million, hitting a new high in nearly six months.CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju stated that the current Bitcoin market is driven by futures, with open interest continuing to rise. However, aside from ETF inflows and MicroStrategy purchases, on-chain apparent demand remains negative. The chief analyst at CEX.IO pointed out that the recent price increase has been notably driven by short squeezes. Since April 13, the total amount of short liquidations has reached approximately $2.8 billion, far exceeding the $1.8 billion in long liquidations. Part of the ETF demand may stem from basis trading strategies, specifically buying IBIT while shorting CME futures to capture the spread. This strategy is market-neutral and not purely bullish. Currently, the options market's 25-delta skew is in negative territory, indicating that investors are paying a premium to seek downside protection.
Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that Bitcoin’s current price movement is primarily driven by the futures market. Although open interest continues to rise—and ETF inflows and Michael Saylor’s ongoing purchases persist—on-chain apparent demand remains net negative. Ki Young Ju also noted that, historically, bear markets typically end when spot demand and futures demand recover simultaneously.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that, following the market pressure release in spring, selling pressure from short-term holders (STH) has significantly eased. The Bitcoin market’s recovery remains ongoing, with the current price approaching the STH cost basis. The key catalyst for the next leg of price movement lies in whether Bitcoin can sustainably hold above the ~$83,000 STH cost level. Only a confirmed breakout and stabilization above this level will allow the market to further validate the actual selling pressure from short-term holders—and determine whether such pressure will re-emerge to suppress prices again.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu, Bitcoin’s Composite Market Index (BCMI) is currently testing a significant historical pivot zone, having declined into the 0.2–0.3 range—indicating that BTC is in one of its historically deepest undervaluation zones. The BCMI comprises MVRV (30% weight), NUPL (25% weight), SOPR, and the Fear & Greed Index. This correction has reset both realized value and investor sentiment to levels not seen since early 2023. He also notes that the 90-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) remains in a downtrend; confirmation of selling pressure exhaustion and price stabilization will require the SMA’s slope to flatten.
According to Cointelegraph, publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies collectively sold over 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026—exceeding their total sales for all of 2025 and setting a new quarterly record. Data from TheMinerMag indicates that the relevant companies include MARA, CleanSpark, Riot, Cango, Core Scientific, and Bitdeer. The report also notes that the current miner hash price stands at approximately $33 per PH/s per day—below the breakeven level of roughly $35 per PH/s per day for some mining firms. Additionally, according to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin miners’ reserves have declined from over 1.86 million BTC in 2023 to approximately 1.8 million BTC.
Odaily News According to a CryptoQuant report, Bitcoin is facing "short-term selling pressure" after rebounding above $76,000. Data shows that during Tuesday's price increase, the amount of Bitcoin flowing into exchanges surged significantly, with hourly inflows once rising to 11,000 BTC, the highest level since December last year.CryptoQuant pointed out that the increase in the scale and speed of exchange inflows has historically been seen as a key early warning signal for short-term selling pressure, indicating that some holders are transferring assets to exchanges in preparation for selling. Meanwhile, the average single deposit size rose to 2.25 BTC, hitting a new high since July 2024 and approaching levels seen before the market peaked in January this year.In terms of price action, TradingView data shows that Bitcoin on Coinbase once touched $76,052, reaching a new high since early February. However, the report suggests that as the price approaches the realized price of $76,800, this level could become a ceiling for the rebound, as investors near their break-even point may be inclined to sell, thereby limiting further upside.Furthermore, the current profit-taking is still in its early stages, with daily realized profits around $500 million, which is below the $1 billion threshold typically associated with interim tops. If the price rises further into the $76,000 to $76,800 range, the scale of profits could expand, thereby intensifying selling pressure and increasing the probability of a pullback or consolidation. (Cointelegraph)
CryptoQuant stated that as Bitcoin surged above $76,000, a large volume of BTC is flowing into cryptocurrency exchanges, indicating “short-term selling pressure” in the market. Data shows the hourly inflow to exchanges spiked to 11,000 BTC—the highest level since December last year—while the average deposit size rose to 2.25 BTC, the largest since July 2024. CryptoQuant noted that the realized price near $76,800 could act as a resistance level for this rally, as traders nearing their break-even points may have stronger incentives to sell.
Odaily News CryptoQuant indicates that Bitcoin's recent rally is facing increasing risks of selling pressure, with on-chain data showing a significant rise in funds flowing into exchanges.Bitcoin previously broke through $76,000 but faced downward pressure and retreated when approaching the key resistance zone around $76,800. This level corresponds to the "on-chain realized price" range, which has historically often acted as a top for rallies, as many investors whose holdings are nearing breakeven tend to sell.Data shows that the hourly inflow of Bitcoin into exchanges has risen to approximately 11,000 BTC, the highest level since late 2025, which is typically viewed as a potential signal of selling pressure. Simultaneously, the scale of transfers into exchanges by large holders (whales) is also expanding.Analysis suggests that if this resistance level remains effective, Bitcoin may face short-term correction pressure, with a key support level around $67,600.
According to Cointelegraph, JP Richardson, CEO of Exodus, stated that financial institutions have accelerated their participation in the cryptocurrency market this year—including stablecoin market capitalization reaching an all-time high, Morgan Stanley launching a Bitcoin ETF, Schwab opening a waitlist for spot Bitcoin trading, Franklin Templeton establishing a cryptocurrency division, and Fannie Mae accepting Bitcoin as collateral for loans. Unlike previous cycles, institutional investors have stood out during this bull run, while retail participation has declined sharply. Data from CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shows that inflows into small accounts holding less than 1 BTC on Binance have hit a record low, with retail activity dropping to its lowest level in nine years. Some retail investors have shifted toward equities and commodities markets. Analysts attribute the absence of retail investors primarily to the cost-of-living crisis and inflationary pressures.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X, stating that the current U.S. inflation structure has gradually become clearer. Although the March CPI recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, core CPI remained largely unchanged, indicating that inflationary pressures have not yet broadly diffused. This trend warrants continued monitoring in upcoming PCE data and over the coming months. So long as this structure persists, it suggests inflation has not yet become systematically embedded in the U.S. economy—instead remaining a temporary phenomenon, potentially linked to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the U.S.-Iran conflict drags on, inflation could gradually evolve into a systemic risk and begin impacting economic growth, at which point the Federal Reserve may be forced to continue raising interest rates.