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10x Research: Bitmine’s cumulative losses amount to approximately $10 billion, yet its current valuation may not fully reflect its embedded option value.
10x Research stated that Bitmine raised a total of $1.92 billion through 50 equity issuances between July 2025 and June 2026, allocating nearly all proceeds toward purchasing 5,543,872 ETH—approximately 4.6% of the circulating supply. At $1,650 per ETH, its current reserve value stands at roughly $9.1 billion, resulting in an unrealized loss of approximately $10.1 billion for investors, representing a 52% drawdown from invested capital.
10x Research: The NAV premiums of most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly contracted and may soon enter a negative-premium era.
10x Research posted an analysis on X, pointing out that as Bitcoin’s volatility continues to decline, the NAV premiums of most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly contracted—some even turning into substantial discounts—resulting in visible losses for related investors. Historically, Grayscale’s GBTC briefly traded at a 47% discount in December 2022; at that time, investors could effectively buy Bitcoin through the product at an implied price below $10,000. The market had mistakenly viewed traditional finance–packaged crypto asset products as “Bitcoin leveraged tools.” In reality, these structures resemble options more closely: their implied value expands when volatility rises and contracts when volatility falls.
10x Research: 6 High-Momentum Altcoins with Clear Catalysts Poised to Outperform Bitcoin
10x Research released a report stating that the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have continuously shifted over the past decade, indicating that holding altcoins long-term is not the optimal strategy—momentum trading is more critical. A bullish stance can be maintained if an altcoin trades above its 6-month or 12-month moving average; once it falls below, investors should decisively reduce positions. Using a dual-screening framework based on fundamental catalysts and risk management, the firm has currently identified six altcoins exhibiting strong bullish catalysts and meeting risk-management criteria. Historical data shows such a carefully selected portfolio is likely to significantly outperform Bitcoin.
10x Research: Bitcoin's Decline is Not Driven by Strategy, but by Inflation and ETF Outflows
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)
10x Research: Bitcoin is still in the bottom-formation phase, and a new bull market will inevitably arrive.
10x Research (@10xResearch) published a post stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s latest downturn is macroeconomic forces—not quantum computing threats or AI-driven sentiment fluctuations, both of which are mere noise. The market is digesting expectations that MicroStrategy is shifting from accumulation to selective selling; its most recent $2 million BTC sale was a probing move—part of a managed sell-down rather than a forced liquidation, a distinction critical in nature. MicroStrategy currently holds 843,706 BTC, corresponding to approximately $2.22 billion in debt and preferred stock obligations. Its equity value would hit zero at a BTC price of roughly $26,000—a threshold closely monitored by institutional risk managers. 10x Research notes that the market remains in the process of forming a bottom, though a new bull market will inevitably arrive. After each bull cycle ends, “evangelists” exit the stage in various ways; a new bull market requires fresh faces and new narratives to attract new buyers.
10x Research: Ethereum’s Price May Appear Cheap, But It Doesn’t Necessarily Present a Buying Opportunity
10x Research stated that while Ethereum’s current price appears cheap, “cheap” does not equate to a buying opportunity. It noted that the Ethereum options market has recently seen unusually large purchases of put options, with inflows into the $1,800 and $1,900 strike prices approximately five times higher than normal levels.
10x Research: Bitcoin Trend Model Turns Bearish
10x Research stated its Bitcoin trend model has turned bearish.It noted that the market narrative of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) "never selling Bitcoin" has begun to waver. 10x Research said that Michael Saylor recently hinted the company might sell some of its holdings of 843,000 BTC in the future, and this shift has led to cumulative outflows of approximately $2.7 billion from related Bitcoin ETFs.
10x Research: Bitcoin ETF Net Outflows Exceed $1 Billion Post-CPI, "Inflation Trade" Sentiment Reheats
crypto research firm 10x Research stated that since the release of US CPI data on May 13th, Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net outflows exceeding $1 billion, reigniting "inflation trade" sentiment in the market. Market sentiment indicators have dropped from 87% to 45%. Meanwhile, long-term US Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 30-year yield rising to 5.12%. As inflation returns to the forefront of market focus, the crypto market is facing significant headwinds.Furthermore, 10x Research noted that its models have triggered bearish signals for Ethereum, and Bitcoin is currently testing the key support level of its 30-day moving average. A confirmed breakdown below this level could signal further momentum deterioration. The firm is closely watching the short-term bull/bear line at $79,125 and the major support level at $76,922, suggesting that the bottom for this cycle may have already formed.
10x Research: 6 High-Momentum Altcoins with Clear Catalysts Poised to Outperform Bitcoin
10x Research released a report stating that the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have continuously shifted over the past decade, indicating that holding altcoins long-term is not the optimal strategy—momentum trading is more critical. A bullish stance can be maintained if an altcoin trades above its 6-month or 12-month moving average; once it falls below, investors should decisively reduce positions. Using a dual-screening framework based on fundamental catalysts and risk management, the firm has currently identified six altcoins exhibiting strong bullish catalysts and meeting risk-management criteria. Historical data shows such a carefully selected portfolio is likely to significantly outperform Bitcoin.
Analysis: Bitcoin mining companies' transition to AI infrastructure is accelerating, with multiple infrastructure-linked stocks surging
Odaily Planet Daily reported that 10x Research posted on X platform, stating that amid Bitcoin's downturn, the mining and AI infrastructure sectors have surged significantly. KEEL rose 30%, CIFR rose 29%, IREN rose 29%, WULF rose 24%, and HUT rose 22%, primarily driven by large-scale hyperscale data center deals, campus acquisitions, and new institutional support.This week's catalysts include IREN's $1.6 billion purchase of Dell Blackwell systems, TeraWulf's acquisition of a 1 GW Kentucky campus, and Hut 8's signing of a $9.8 billion Texas lease agreement. These events indicate that the transition of Bitcoin mining companies towards AI infrastructure is accelerating.
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10x Research: 6 High-Momentum Altcoins with Clear Catalysts Poised to Outperform Bitcoin
10x Research released a report stating that the top ten cryptocurrencies by market capitalization have continuously shifted over the past decade, indicating that holding altcoins long-term is not the optimal strategy—momentum trading is more critical. A bullish stance can be maintained if an altcoin trades above its 6-month or 12-month moving average; once it falls below, investors should decisively reduce positions. Using a dual-screening framework based on fundamental catalysts and risk management, the firm has currently identified six altcoins exhibiting strong bullish catalysts and meeting risk-management criteria. Historical data shows such a carefully selected portfolio is likely to significantly outperform Bitcoin.
Analysis: The options mechanism that breached Bitcoin’s $70,000 support level is reversing—market may rebound
10x Research stated that the options market mechanism that drove Bitcoin below the $70,000 support level is undergoing changes—and may even shift to fuel upward momentum. After BTC fell below $70,000, the negative gamma effect in the options market amplified the decline. Market makers who were short gamma were forced to sell during the downturn, turning a normal pullback into cascading liquidations; Bitcoin plunged as low as $65,705. This mechanism has not disappeared—it has simply shifted to a new critical price level. Currently, the largest concentration of negative gamma positions in the Bitcoin options market lies near the prevailing spot price, representing approximately $1.8 billion in notional value. Any price volatility could trigger hedging activity by market makers, again amplifying price moves. Driven by improving market sentiment indicators, potential Iran-related agreements that could lower inflation risk premiums, and expectations that the next Federal Reserve Chair will adopt a more dovish stance, the options structure previously responsible for Bitcoin’s decline may now be transforming into a catalyst for recovery.
10x Research: Bitmine’s cumulative losses amount to approximately $10 billion, yet its current valuation may not fully reflect its embedded option value.
10x Research stated that Bitmine raised a total of $1.92 billion through 50 equity issuances between July 2025 and June 2026, allocating nearly all proceeds toward purchasing 5,543,872 ETH—approximately 4.6% of the circulating supply. At $1,650 per ETH, its current reserve value stands at roughly $9.1 billion, resulting in an unrealized loss of approximately $10.1 billion for investors, representing a 52% drawdown from invested capital.
10x Research: Ethereum Faces a “Generational Buying Opportunity” and a Critical Juncture Between Value Creation and a “Value Trap”
10x Research stated in a post that it has been bearish on Ethereum since October 2025 and considers ETH one of the easiest assets to short in this bear market.
10x Research: Bitcoin's Decline is Not Driven by Strategy, but by Inflation and ETF Outflows
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)
10x Research: Bitcoin is still in the bottom-formation phase, and a new bull market will inevitably arrive.
10x Research (@10xResearch) published a post stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s latest downturn is macroeconomic forces—not quantum computing threats or AI-driven sentiment fluctuations, both of which are mere noise. The market is digesting expectations that MicroStrategy is shifting from accumulation to selective selling; its most recent $2 million BTC sale was a probing move—part of a managed sell-down rather than a forced liquidation, a distinction critical in nature. MicroStrategy currently holds 843,706 BTC, corresponding to approximately $2.22 billion in debt and preferred stock obligations. Its equity value would hit zero at a BTC price of roughly $26,000—a threshold closely monitored by institutional risk managers. 10x Research notes that the market remains in the process of forming a bottom, though a new bull market will inevitably arrive. After each bull cycle ends, “evangelists” exit the stage in various ways; a new bull market requires fresh faces and new narratives to attract new buyers.