Analysts: Fed rate hike probability reaches 92.7%, US stocks and Bitcoin face correction risk

CryptoQuant certified analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted in a post that CME FedWatch data indicates a 92.7% probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, potentially moving the target rate range to 3.75%-4.00%. In the seven rounds of initial rate hikes since 1988, the S&P 500 index declined five times six weeks later, with an average drop of 2.83%. The market has largely priced in this hike, with attention shifting to the future policy path; should the Fed signal a higher frequency of rate hikes or a longer duration of elevated rates, it could further pressure U.S. stocks and Bitcoin.