News linked to both this project and an event.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
that, according to Bubblemaps, the FIFA-related token WCUP, which launched yesterday, surged to a market cap of approximately $50 million. Over 30 new wallets snapped up 95% of its supply immediately at the opening. These wallets were funded by multiple centralized exchanges within the half-hour before the launch, had no prior on-chain history, and subsequently distributed the tokens to over 2,500 new addresses via Uniswap Router.Bubblemaps noted that the project's documentation only vaguely mentions a presale and partner allocations, with no on-chain evidence directly linking to the team. However, this level of concentration, combined with undisclosed paid promotion arrangements with KOLs, poses a significant risk.
It is reported that Bybit recently launched a new category of contracts: USDT Event Settlement Contracts, which are based on the outcomes of sports events. Users can trade these contracts in real time before and during matches, with automatic settlement after the event concludes. Product Features: - Contract prices are benchmarked at 10, reflecting the market’s real-time expectations for the home or away team’s victory: prices above 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the home team; prices below 10 indicate bullish sentiment toward the away team. - Settlement price formula: 10 + (home team goals − away team goals). Only goals scored during the official 90-minute match duration count; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. - Settlement occurs 130 minutes after the scheduled match kickoff. A “close-only” mode is activated during the final 20 minutes prior to settlement. - Maximum leverage supported is 5x; minimum initial margin is 10 USDT. According to comprehensive reports, the first batch of contracts will be rolled out progressively aligned with the 2026 FIFA World Cup schedule. Exact listing times for individual trading pairs will be announced officially by the platform.
WEEX Exchange has launched the large-scale themed trading reward campaign “World Cup × Monopoly: Participate and Win $1 Million in USDT,” which runs until 23:59:59 (UTC+8) on July 20, covering the entire World Cup season. The campaign features low participation thresholds and highly engaging interactive gameplay: users can earn dice by completing tasks such as registration, depositing funds, trading futures and spot assets, consuming dice, and inviting friends to join. After rolling the dice, users advance across the game board according to the number shown; landing on specific squares entitles them to rewards including BTC, ETH, and USDT. Rolling dice to advance on the board and completing weekly trading tasks both accumulate points. Reaching designated point thresholds unlocks milestone rewards such as USDT, WXT tokens, fee discounts, and trial funds. Additionally, users can spend points to interact with World Cup matches—cheering for their favorite teams—and leverage small investments to earn even more points.
Bitget has launched a new edition of CandyBomb with a total prize pool of 31,500 WLD. This event is exclusively for new futures contract users. By completing specified net deposit and futures trading tasks, individual users can earn up to 315 WLD.Detailed rules have been published on the official Bitget platform. Eligible users must complete registration before participating in the event. The event ends on June 19, 2024 at 18:00 (UTC+8).
Odaily News, June 9th — BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article "Reality Test" that if oil prices continue to rise due to the US-Iran conflict, it could trigger a collapse of the AI stock bubble and drag the entire crypto market down.Hayes said that if traffic restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz persist deep into the second quarter, spot prices for hydrocarbons and other key commodities could rise in the third quarter. If oil prices continue to climb and inflationary pressures impact the US midterm elections, Trump might pivot to a tough stance targeting data center construction, AI regulation, and taxation. Hayes believes the market could anticipate Trump limiting AI capital expenditure and taxing AI companies, thereby triggering the burst of the AI stock bubble.Hayes also noted that since November 2022, the scale of AI-related debt issuance has been approximately $1.5 trillion, and US M2 has increased by roughly the same amount during the same period. He believes the three factors that could pop the AI bubble include rising energy costs, the market's inability to absorb three major AI-related IPOs — namely SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI — and Trump's shift to opposing AI. In terms of portfolio, Hayes stated that Maelstrom's stock portfolio holds significant positions in US-listed energy producers; he has sold AI-related stocks and offloaded non-core crypto assets, having dumped HYPE, NEAR, and WLD last week, as well as selling ZEC due to the Orchard Pool vulnerability. He still holds Bitcoin and ETH and will execute tactical short trades via derivatives.
ZachXBT posted a message questioning BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes about how much exit liquidity he created by utilizing his fans over the past few days.Within two weeks, Arthur Hayes publicly promoted and then liquidated four tokens: NEAR, HYPE, ZEC, and WLD. In response, Arthur Hayes stated that he sold to willing buyers at specific prices and noted that this time he successfully achieved his trading goals. (cryptopolitan)
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, stated on X that the SPCXUSD chart pattern is “abnormal” and that he has sold all his WLD.
Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes), co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom Fund, stated in a post that he has liquidated his entire $ZEC position following a vulnerability exploit targeting ZEC’s Orchard Pool. Hayes noted that although malicious minting is highly unlikely, it cannot be cryptographically proven impossible; privacy narratives demand “perfection,” not merely “probable security.” He added that if the underlying assumptions are later falsified, he does not rule out repurchasing $ZEC at a lower price. His team continues to hold a $WLD position and maintains a bullish stance.
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, the WorldCoin team has transferred 30 million WLD to a BitGo custody wallet, worth approximately $8.17 million.Currently, this BitGo custody wallet holds a total of 153.65 million WLD, with a total value of approximately $41.35 million.
Bitget officially launches its new educational series, “Panoramic Trading Room UEX Roundtable.” Targeting advanced traders, this series centers on the core philosophy of “Beyond the Chart,” covering professional topics such as advanced technical analysis, cross-asset allocation strategies, order flow interpretation, and risk management system construction. Featuring seasoned industry analysts, the series dives deep into real-world trading cases to help traders bridge the critical gap between “reading charts” and “executing trades,” gradually building a more systematic trading framework.
According to the official announcement, Binance has now completed the integration of USDC on the Starknet network and World Liberty Financial USD (USD1) on the AB chain, and deposits and withdrawals are now available.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), two wallet addresses—0x97db...C75B and 0x6c94...d35—suspected to be linked to the WorldCoin team collectively deposited 21,177,000 WLD tokens into Bybit, valued at approximately $5.57 million.
According to a Reuters report, Nobitex—the largest cryptocurrency exchange in Iran—has processed at least approximately $2.3 billion in funds via the Tron and BNB Smart Chain networks since 2023. Some of these funds originated from the Central Bank of Iran (CBI), which is under U.S. sanctions, and are linked to other sanctioned entities, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hamas, and Hezbollah. Data from blockchain analytics firms Arkham and Elliptic, along with insights from multiple analysts, indicate that related transactions on Tron alone exceeded $2 billion, while those on BNB Smart Chain totaled approximately $317 million; tens of millions of dollars continued flowing even after hostilities erupted. The report notes that Tron was founded by Justin Sun, and BNB Smart Chain was launched by Binance; both blockchains intersect financially and governance-wise with World Liberty Financial—a crypto project led by Donald Trump. Since its founding in 2018, Nobitex’s sanctioned-related transactions have cumulatively amounted to at least approximately $366 million.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), a wallet associated with the WorldCoin team or its investors deposited 4.63 million WLD (approximately $1.25 million) into Binance. The wallet acquired these tokens one year ago for $9.78 million; selling them at the current price would result in an unrealized loss of approximately $8.53 million—representing an 87% unrealized loss.