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Odaily News “1011 Insider Whale” agent Garrett Jin pointed out in his latest market commentary that, against the backdrop of the Middle East conflict, the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively “blockaded” for three months. However, the market has already become “desensitized” to this geopolitical risk, and the AI narrative is reshaping traditional risk pricing logic. As a result, AI is significantly weakening the market's sensitivity to oil prices and geopolitical shocks. Since the emergence of ceasefire signals, U.S. stocks have “decoupled” from energy shocks, with gains in chip and tech stocks offsetting the impact from the energy sector, leading the market to gradually overlook the Strait of Hormuz risk. Nevertheless, he cautioned that the AI sector faces short-term risks of overvaluation and crowded trades, and a pullback could occur at any time.In the energy market, the earlier assessment that the Strait of Hormuz risk had not been fully priced in has proven correct. Oil prices had risen due to supply shock expectations, but peaked and then declined following the release of strategic reserves and the U.S. intervention as a “supplier of last resort.” A successful exit was achieved on April 29-30. He believes the current risk-reward ratio for oil prices is no longer attractive.On the macro and equity market front, U.S. households' holdings of stocks as a percentage of financial assets have reached approximately 47%, surpassing the level seen during the internet bubble era. This means a market downturn would, in turn, constrain policy. The VIX volatility index triggered different policy shift thresholds around 30 and 50, reflecting a “risk-off driven policy” characteristic.In the gold market, the recent pullback in gold is not due to the fading of a war premium but rather changes in long-term structural demand. Since 2022, central banks globally have been purchasing gold at an average annual rate of over a thousand tons, primarily for de-dollarization and hedging against sanctions risks. He defines gold as “an ultimate exit tool outside the dollar system” rather than a mere safe-haven asset.In the crypto market, the liquidity inflection point occurred last October, with funds flowing more toward AI assets, leading to a periodic drain from the crypto market. However, he believes the market is currently in a cyclical bear phase. Rebound rallies exist, but they do not equate to the start of a new bull run. The market must wait for liquidity to restart in a new cycle. The AI era is emerging as the dominant capital narrative. Even if a bubble exists, the structural opportunities it brings represent “a rare window of opportunity for ordinary investors.” Nevertheless, market cycle discipline should not be overlooked.
: A source close to DeepSeek revealed that Alibaba and DeepSeek could not reach an agreement on specific financing terms. On one hand, Alibaba's own ecosystem is not highly compatible with DeepSeek, and DeepSeek is not short of potential external investors, hoping to minimize restrictions on the terms.Additionally, DeepSeek and potential shareholders are currently in negotiations. Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that Tencent has proposed subscribing to up to 20% of DeepSeek's shares in this financing round, but DeepSeek is reluctant to cede a large proportion of control. According to previous reports, DeepSeek is valued at up to 300 billion and plans to raise 50 billion, of which 20 billion will be internal capital increase and 30 billion external fundraising. This valuation has been confirmed by DeepSeek internal employees. (White Whale Lab)
Odaily News “1011 Insider Whale” agent Garrett Jin pointed out in his latest market commentary that, against the backdrop of the Middle East conflict, the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively “blockaded” for three months. However, the market has already become “desensitized” to this geopolitical risk, and the AI narrative is reshaping traditional risk pricing logic. As a result, AI is significantly weakening the market's sensitivity to oil prices and geopolitical shocks. Since the emergence of ceasefire signals, U.S. stocks have “decoupled” from energy shocks, with gains in chip and tech stocks offsetting the impact from the energy sector, leading the market to gradually overlook the Strait of Hormuz risk. Nevertheless, he cautioned that the AI sector faces short-term risks of overvaluation and crowded trades, and a pullback could occur at any time.In the energy market, the earlier assessment that the Strait of Hormuz risk had not been fully priced in has proven correct. Oil prices had risen due to supply shock expectations, but peaked and then declined following the release of strategic reserves and the U.S. intervention as a “supplier of last resort.” A successful exit was achieved on April 29-30. He believes the current risk-reward ratio for oil prices is no longer attractive.On the macro and equity market front, U.S. households' holdings of stocks as a percentage of financial assets have reached approximately 47%, surpassing the level seen during the internet bubble era. This means a market downturn would, in turn, constrain policy. The VIX volatility index triggered different policy shift thresholds around 30 and 50, reflecting a “risk-off driven policy” characteristic.In the gold market, the recent pullback in gold is not due to the fading of a war premium but rather changes in long-term structural demand. Since 2022, central banks globally have been purchasing gold at an average annual rate of over a thousand tons, primarily for de-dollarization and hedging against sanctions risks. He defines gold as “an ultimate exit tool outside the dollar system” rather than a mere safe-haven asset.In the crypto market, the liquidity inflection point occurred last October, with funds flowing more toward AI assets, leading to a periodic drain from the crypto market. However, he believes the market is currently in a cyclical bear phase. Rebound rallies exist, but they do not equate to the start of a new bull run. The market must wait for liquidity to restart in a new cycle. The AI era is emerging as the dominant capital narrative. Even if a bubble exists, the structural opportunities it brings represent “a rare window of opportunity for ordinary investors.” Nevertheless, market cycle discipline should not be overlooked.
Odaily报道, “BTC OG insider whale” Garrett Jin has released his “Weekly Market Strategy Signal.” In his analysis, he points out that the current geopolitical situation and the trajectory of the US dollar are deadlocked: despite US strikes on Iranian-related targets, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. Although US Secretary of State Rubio signaled “positive news,” the peace agreement proposed by Iran has already been vetoed by the White House.Long-term US Treasury yields continue to hover in the 5.07% – 5.18% range, reaching their highest levels in 19 years. The S&P 500 index briefly hit a new high before quickly pulling back. Garrett Jin believes that a single positive or negative catalyst is insufficient to change the market landscape. Only when at least two of the three key factors—the credit environment, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical conditions—converge can the market experience a substantial shift.On another front, capital expenditure in the AI sector is accelerating its shift from the United States to Asia. ByteDance plans to increase its capital expenditure to as high as $70 billion this year, while Tencent and Alibaba are also ramping up their investments. Competition in the AI arena has now escalated to the level of national competition.
According to Blue Whale News, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced that it has initiated an investigation into Tiger Brokers (NZ) Limited, Futu Securities International (Hong Kong) Limited, and Longbridge Securities (Hong Kong) Limited—and their related domestic and overseas entities—for illegally conducting securities business within mainland China, and has issued a prior notice of administrative penalty. In response, Tiger Brokers stated: “The company has noted the relevant notice and will fully cooperate with the regulatory authorities in accordance with regulatory requirements. Currently, all of the company’s business operations are running normally. Tiger Brokers consistently prioritizes compliance and maintains close communication with regulatory authorities.”
According to Decrypt, an anonymous cryptocurrency whale filed a lawsuit against Coinbase this week in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, accusing the exchange of refusing to return over $55 million worth of DAI stablecoins stolen in a phishing attack in 2024. The plaintiff claims to have engaged multiple on-chain investigation firms to trace the funds, ultimately identifying that the stolen assets flowed into a Coinbase account. Coinbase confirmed in December 2024 that it had frozen the relevant assets but refused to return them, citing the need for a court order. As of today—more than a year and a half after the incident—the victim has still not recovered the assets and has therefore turned to litigation. The attack was carried out by hackers using the “Inferno Drainer” tool to spoof the DeFi Saver login page; after the victim inadvertently interacted with the fake page, their wallet was fully compromised by the attackers.
Garrett Jin, agent representing the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that Trump’s launch of the so-called “Project Freedom” is not a de-risking signal, but is more likely to act as a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Multiple factors are converging, including energy inventory pressures, enhanced regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic pathways. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals, but their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risks. Overall, investors are advised to maintain a cautious and hedging mindset, paying close attention to the potential disruption of market sentiment by macroeconomic and geopolitical variables.Although the market has interpreted this move as a sign of easing tensions, driving risk assets higher, the underlying structure is more akin to a strategic framework of “limited engagement plus potential response.” The action primarily maintains shipping security through coordinated shipping lanes, insurance support, and military standby, rather than direct escort operations. This approach could, in fact, amplify reactions to specific triggering events.
Garrett Jin, the agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” authored an analysis stating that Trump’s so-called “Project Freedom” is not a signal of risk mitigation but rather a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Although the market interprets it as a de-escalation and has driven risk assets higher, its underlying structure more closely resembles a “limited engagement + potential response” strategic framework. This initiative primarily maintains maritime security through coordination of shipping lanes, insurance support, and military readiness—rather than direct naval escort—potentially amplifying market reactions once triggered by specific events. Meanwhile, multiple factors—including energy inventory pressures, heightened regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic channels—are converging. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals; however, their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risk. Overall, investors are advised to maintain caution and adopt hedging strategies, closely monitoring how macroeconomic and geopolitical variables could potentially disrupt market sentiment.
Odaily Odaily News: According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, an OTC whale (0xFB7) deposited 29,000 ETH into FalconX, valued at $53.1 million, netting a profit of $6.41 million from the transaction. Currently, the whale holds 128,000 wsETH, equivalent to 158,248 ETH, valued at $283.42 million.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, as the market rebounds, a whale address has once again borrowed 19,000 ETH, worth approximately $33.48 million, from the decentralized lending protocol Aave and subsequently sold it on the same day. This whale has now borrowed a total of 44,389 ETH from Aave, valued at approximately $80.56 million, and there remains the possibility of further increasing borrowing and continuing to sell.
CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu stated that BTC whale selling has ended: total whale holdings turned upward on June 14 after declining for 12 consecutive days, and the price rebounded to $65,704.89. Data shows that the Coin Days Destroyed inflow dropped from 2.16 million to just 33,000—nearly zero—indicating a significant reduction in selling pressure from long-term holders.
according to Ember monitoring, an Ethereum 1CO whale still actively trading has borrowed 10 million USDe from Aave 2 hours ago and purchased 5,817 ETH at an average price of approximately $1,719.Currently, this whale has collateralized approximately 147,000 ETH (worth about $253 million) on Aave and Spark, and has borrowed approximately $276 million in stablecoins. The current liquidation price for this position is around $1,432.
Odaily informs that 1011 Insider Whale Garrett posted on X platform: "As it turns out, the only protracted winter is cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, crude oil has delivered returns. The strategy of shifting from cryptocurrency to stocks has worked out well."
According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Yu Jin, a whale shorted 17,000 ETH (worth $29.36 million) at a price of $1,717.8 two hours ago following an ETH price increase, and is currently facing an unrealized loss of $140,000. This whale has made 10 ETH investments since the 10th, with a record of 9 wins and 1 loss (90% win rate), accumulating a total profit of $4.91 million (+164%).
According to Decrypt, an anonymous cryptocurrency whale filed a lawsuit against Coinbase this week in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, accusing the exchange of refusing to return over $55 million worth of DAI stablecoins stolen in a phishing attack in 2024. The plaintiff claims to have engaged multiple on-chain investigation firms to trace the funds, ultimately identifying that the stolen assets flowed into a Coinbase account. Coinbase confirmed in December 2024 that it had frozen the relevant assets but refused to return them, citing the need for a court order. As of today—more than a year and a half after the incident—the victim has still not recovered the assets and has therefore turned to litigation. The attack was carried out by hackers using the “Inferno Drainer” tool to spoof the DeFi Saver login page; after the victim inadvertently interacted with the fake page, their wallet was fully compromised by the attackers.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), an OTC whale previously purchased 163,405 ETH (approximately $440 million) and 4,000 cbBTC (approximately $296 million). Due to the KelpDAO rsETH cross-chain bridge vulnerability, this whale was unable to withdraw ETH normally from Aave and was forced to discount-swap 7,438 aEthWETH (approximately $16.83 million) for 1,930 stETH and 5,272 ETH, incurring a loss of approximately 237 ETH (about $540,000). The whale has since withdrawn 98,032 wstETH (approximately $272 million) and 3,000 cbBTC (approximately $221.6 million) from Aave, leaving 10,000 ETH (approximately $22.8 million) still deposited in Aave.
According to on-chain analyst Onchain Lens (@OnchainLens), Kelp DAO lost approximately $294 million in the cross-chain bridge exploit. As a result, $ZRO dropped from $2 to $1.40. A whale holding a long $ZRO position on HyperLiquid was partially liquidated, incurring a loss of $2.88 million. The whale still holds the position, with an unrealized loss exceeding $750,000 and a total loss of approximately $28.98 million.
Odaily报道, “BTC OG insider whale” Garrett Jin has released his “Weekly Market Strategy Signal.” In his analysis, he points out that the current geopolitical situation and the trajectory of the US dollar are deadlocked: despite US strikes on Iranian-related targets, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. Although US Secretary of State Rubio signaled “positive news,” the peace agreement proposed by Iran has already been vetoed by the White House.Long-term US Treasury yields continue to hover in the 5.07% – 5.18% range, reaching their highest levels in 19 years. The S&P 500 index briefly hit a new high before quickly pulling back. Garrett Jin believes that a single positive or negative catalyst is insufficient to change the market landscape. Only when at least two of the three key factors—the credit environment, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical conditions—converge can the market experience a substantial shift.On another front, capital expenditure in the AI sector is accelerating its shift from the United States to Asia. ByteDance plans to increase its capital expenditure to as high as $70 billion this year, while Tencent and Alibaba are also ramping up their investments. Competition in the AI arena has now escalated to the level of national competition.
Odaily News: Garrett Jin, representative of the "BTC OG Insider Whale," published an analytical article titled "A Painted Ceasefire," warning crypto traders not to be lulled by the surface-level market trends. While the market appears stable, underlying risks are continuously building. He pointed out that following Trump’s visit to China, the window for a US-Iran military conflict could reopen at any time. This current ceasefire is merely a delay in confrontation, not the beginning of favorable developments. Market sentiment is currently highly optimistic, with Saudi Arabia and Iran reaching a cooperation memorandum, impressive earnings reports from tech companies, rising South Korean stocks, and Bitcoin approaching the $82,000-$83,000 range. However, macro-level hidden dangers are gradually emerging: a liquidity drought in large corporate transactions, airline bankruptcies, banks provisioning for potential war losses in advance, and Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves hitting a new all-time high. Garrett Jin predicts that late May could be a key turning point. If tech giants continue to exceed performance expectations, the risk window may be delayed until the July earnings season. (Garrettsignal)
Garrett Jin, agent representing the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that Trump’s launch of the so-called “Project Freedom” is not a de-risking signal, but is more likely to act as a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Multiple factors are converging, including energy inventory pressures, enhanced regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic pathways. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals, but their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risks. Overall, investors are advised to maintain a cautious and hedging mindset, paying close attention to the potential disruption of market sentiment by macroeconomic and geopolitical variables.Although the market has interpreted this move as a sign of easing tensions, driving risk assets higher, the underlying structure is more akin to a strategic framework of “limited engagement plus potential response.” The action primarily maintains shipping security through coordinated shipping lanes, insurance support, and military standby, rather than direct escort operations. This approach could, in fact, amplify reactions to specific triggering events.
Garrett Jin, the agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” authored an analysis stating that Trump’s so-called “Project Freedom” is not a signal of risk mitigation but rather a “fuse” for a new wave of uncertainty. Although the market interprets it as a de-escalation and has driven risk assets higher, its underlying structure more closely resembles a “limited engagement + potential response” strategic framework. This initiative primarily maintains maritime security through coordination of shipping lanes, insurance support, and military readiness—rather than direct naval escort—potentially amplifying market reactions once triggered by specific events. Meanwhile, multiple factors—including energy inventory pressures, heightened regional military deployments, shifts in policy and legal environments, and tightening diplomatic channels—are converging. Individually, these variables do not constitute definitive signals; however, their concentration within the current time window may elevate market volatility risk. Overall, investors are advised to maintain caution and adopt hedging strategies, closely monitoring how macroeconomic and geopolitical variables could potentially disrupt market sentiment.
according to CoinW's "On-Chain Smart Money" monitoring, the on-chain whale "Short Altcoin King" (address: 0xa312114b5795dff9b8db50474dd57701aa78ad1e) has been earning substantial profits by continuously shorting LIT and other altcoins and meme coins. Platform data shows that this whale has realized profits of $3.19 million and $2.11 million on LIT and ASTER respectively, with total cumulative earnings reaching $10.44 million over the past 90 days.It is reported that CoinW's "On-Chain Smart Money" now supports copy trading for this address, allowing users to copy trades with "zero profit sharing."Risk Warning: The above information is compiled based on historical on-chain data and does not constitute any investment advice or profit promise. Digital asset trading carries high risks; past performance does not guarantee future returns. Users should make cautious decisions based on their own risk tolerance.
Garrett Jin, agent of “1011 Insider Whale,” published an analysis stating that the U.S. government announced a full naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, effective 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on April 13, prohibiting all vessels from entering or departing Iranian ports. This measure aims to cut off Iran’s oil revenue derived from this energy hub and reverse its current economic advantage in the ongoing conflict. Over the past six weeks, Iran has levied steep fees on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz and restricted energy exports for certain countries, triggering significant volatility in both cryptocurrency markets and global oil prices. The U.S. action is expected to impact market risk pricing for major crypto assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. The analysis notes that although the U.S. holds the initiative, Iran may continue exporting oil by escalating the conflict, relying on Chinese support, and utilizing decentralized gray markets—meaning war risks and market volatility will persist.
Hikvision has recently issued a price adjustment letter to its distributors, announcing that from July 1 this year, the company's hard drive product prices will be raised accordingly. Additionally, prior to July 1, other Hikvision products will also undergo an initial round of price increases. This hard drive price hike is primarily targeted at the distributor channel. In response to the current volatile supply and pricing situation, Hikvision has recommended that distributors lock in orders and prices as soon as possible.In fact, this is neither Hikvision's first price adjustment nor an isolated case. Regarding the reason for this price increase, insiders have indicated that the core driver is the persistent crowding-out effect caused by the "explosive" growth in AI demand. Hard drive procurement costs have continued to climb. Compared to Q2 of this year, the hard drive cost quotes from OEMs for Q3 have risen by more than 50%. Based on current market conditions, product prices may continue to increase in the coming period. (Blue Whale Finance)
Odaily Odaily News: According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, an OTC whale (0xFB7) deposited 29,000 ETH into FalconX, valued at $53.1 million, netting a profit of $6.41 million from the transaction. Currently, the whale holds 128,000 wsETH, equivalent to 158,248 ETH, valued at $283.42 million.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, as the market rebounds, a whale address has once again borrowed 19,000 ETH, worth approximately $33.48 million, from the decentralized lending protocol Aave and subsequently sold it on the same day. This whale has now borrowed a total of 44,389 ETH from Aave, valued at approximately $80.56 million, and there remains the possibility of further increasing borrowing and continuing to sell.
CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu stated that BTC whale selling has ended: total whale holdings turned upward on June 14 after declining for 12 consecutive days, and the price rebounded to $65,704.89. Data shows that the Coin Days Destroyed inflow dropped from 2.16 million to just 33,000—nearly zero—indicating a significant reduction in selling pressure from long-term holders.
according to Ember monitoring, an Ethereum 1CO whale still actively trading has borrowed 10 million USDe from Aave 2 hours ago and purchased 5,817 ETH at an average price of approximately $1,719.Currently, this whale has collateralized approximately 147,000 ETH (worth about $253 million) on Aave and Spark, and has borrowed approximately $276 million in stablecoins. The current liquidation price for this position is around $1,432.
Odaily informs that 1011 Insider Whale Garrett posted on X platform: "As it turns out, the only protracted winter is cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, crude oil has delivered returns. The strategy of shifting from cryptocurrency to stocks has worked out well."