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Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Show Unrealized Loss of $7.979 Billion, Bitmine Ethereum Holdings Show Unrealized Loss of $9.327 Billion

Odaily News According to on-chain analyst Ember monitoring, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,587 BTC ($100 million) last week at approximately $63,024. They now hold a total of 846,842 BTC ($56.09 billion) with an average cost of $75,656, reflecting an unrealized loss of $7.979 billion (-12.4%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 76,881 ETH ($129 million) last week at approximately $1,681. They now hold a total of 5,620,754 ETH ($9.909 billion) with an average cost of $3,422, reflecting an unrealized loss of $9.327 billion (-48.5%). Bitmine is only 400,000 ETH away from its target of holding 5% of the ETH supply, and at the current pace, this goal should be achievable next month.

Polymarket's "Post-Hoc Clarification" Sparks Controversy: A Student's $35,000 Prediction Voided, $3.8 Million in Positions Wiped Out

Odaily News The prediction market platform Polymarket issued a "resolution clarification" that overturned a market result that had already appeared to be settled. This led to a 20-year-old student's $35,000 bet being declared invalid, while a total of approximately $3.8 million in positions across 1,838 accounts on the platform were liquidated.This clarification clause was written into the platform's rulebook, allowing for retroactive interpretative corrections to market settlement results, thereby altering the final payout. The incident has sparked strong dissatisfaction among traders, who argue that this "post-hoc ruling" mechanism undermines the certainty of market rules, and has ignited widespread controversy within the Polymarket and Kalshi communities.According to user disclosures, the incident originates from a case made public on June 13, where a market result that had ostensibly been settled was later reversed due to a change in rule interpretation.Industry analysts believe that this type of mechanism introduces "settlement clarification risk" into prediction markets, which is a type of tail risk event that cannot be hedged. If such operations occur frequently, they could drive high-risk liquidity away from the current platform towards trading venues regulated by the CFTC or those with formal arbitration mechanisms.Furthermore, this event is seen as one in a recent series of controversies, including settlement disputes surrounding the UMA oracle and Strategy's Bitcoin-related markets, which continue to test market participants' trust in the "finality" of prediction markets. (Cryptobriefing)

U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Nearly $86 Million in Net Inflows in a Single Day

According to SoSo Value data, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of nearly $86 million last Friday, equivalent to approximately 1,350 BTC, with BlackRock's IBIT alone seeing net inflows of nearly $58 million. Standard Chartered's Head of Global Digital Assets Research, Geoffrey Kendrick, suggested that the recent ETF sell-off may be partly driven by some holders liquidating positions to free up cash for participation in SpaceX's IPO. Since October last year, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net outflows of $7.6 billion, including $3 billion in the first six months of 2026. Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with over 800,000 BTC in its treasury. Michael Saylor resumed Bitcoin purchases in early June, following sales by Strategy at the end of May.

Bybit Releases Latest Options Weekly Report (June 2–8): Head-and-Shoulders Target Fully Exceeded; BTC Records Largest Weekly Drop Since FTX Collapse

Bybit’s latest options weekly report states that all four directional predictions for this week were fulfilled: BTC hit a low of $59,130—surpassing the prior target range of $65,000–$67,000. Opening last week at $73,760 and plunging to $59,130, BTC recorded its largest single-week decline since the FTX collapse (roughly −20%). It has since rebounded to $63,000. Three bearish catalysts recently converged: stronger-than-expected NFP data reigniting rate-hike expectations; SpaceX’s IPO siphoning liquidity; and Strategy selling BTC for the first time in four years. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a record net outflow of $1.7 billion for the week. ETH’s daily RSI plunged to a historic low of 12.78, while BTC’s daily RSI dropped to 15.45—raising the probability of a technical rebound, though trend reversal remains unconfirmed. DVOL surged from its historical low of 35 to 55 before retreating to 48; put options have already been profitably closed. Currently, chasing long positions is discouraged. BTC faces significant resistance between $63,000 and $65,000. Entry should await either the June 10 CPI release or DVOL falling back to 40—or until BTC convincingly closes above $65,000.

TD Cowen analyst reaffirms Buy rating on Strategy with $400 price target

: BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X that Lance Vitanza, an analyst at $150 billion investment bank TD Cowen, reaffirmed a Buy rating on Strategy (MSTR), a bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.

Bernstein: The sharp slowdown in Bitcoin fund inflows stems from retail investors shifting to AI—not quantum computing risks

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price weakness in 2026 will be slowing capital flows—not the quantum computing threat feared by the market. The report notes that Bitcoin treasury companies and ETFs combined attracted approximately $12 billion in inflows this year, a sharp decline from $60 billion in 2025; meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs—holding $75 billion in assets—recorded roughly $2.6 billion in net outflows, with new demand coming mainly from corporate buyers such as MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bernstein analysts attribute the slowdown in capital flows to retail investors’ massive shift into AI-related assets. This year, the strongest-performing segments of the crypto market have been tokenized equities and commodities. Nevertheless, analysts view the ETF outflows as relatively moderate. Bitcoin’s investor base has evolved from one dominated by retail participants to a more diversified group—including ETFs, corporate treasuries, wealth management platforms, pension funds, and sovereign investors—resulting in a healthier market structure. The long-term value-storage thesis for Bitcoin remains intact.

Wintermute: BTC’s Drop Below $62K Not Due to Strategy’s Token Sale; Real Selling Pressure Comes from U.S. Institutions

market maker Wintermute released a weekly market analysis report stating that Bitcoin fell below $62,000 last week, with a weekly decline of approximately 14%, hitting a new low since September 2024. Wintermute believes that although Strategy founder Michael Saylor disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, drawing market attention, the scale of this transaction is negligible. The real reason for the market's weakness is the continuous reduction of positions by U.S. institutional investors and the outflow of funds from spot Bitcoin ETFs.Wintermute pointed out that the U.S. added 172,000 non-farm jobs in May, far exceeding the market expectation of approximately 80,000. Meanwhile, job openings rose to a near two-year high, and the service price index hit a new high since August 2022. Strong economic data has weakened market expectations for a Fed rate cut, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.55%, creating a "good news is bad news" macro environment that pressures risk assets.Meanwhile, the rally in AI concept stocks has shown signs of weakening, with the Nasdaq index falling 4.7% for the week and the S&P 500 recording its first weekly decline since March. Wintermute believes that the pullback in the AI sector, rising yields, and the upcoming SpaceX IPO have collectively dampened market risk appetite.In the crypto market, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days as of May 30, with total outflows of approximately $2.97 billion. The net outflow in May reached $2.43 billion, marking the worst monthly performance since 2026. Wintermute OTC data shows that retail funds continue to flow into U.S. stocks, while U.S. institutional investors have recently turned bearish and are leading the selling.However, Wintermute believes there are also positive signals in the market, including long-term capital gradually building positions at current price levels. From a perspective of more than one year, Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio is becoming more attractive. The report stated that the SpaceX IPO on June 12 will serve as an important barometer for observing market risk appetite. If the issuance is smoothly absorbed, it could help boost market sentiment; conversely, it may exacerbate the pressure on risk assets.

10x Research: Bitcoin's Decline is Not Driven by Strategy, but by Inflation and ETF Outflows

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows triggered by rising US inflation. Data shows that since US inflation data exceeded expectations in April, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated net redemptions of approximately $5.4 billion. Over the same period, MicroStrategy actually increased its BTC holdings by around $2 billion, becoming one of the few net buyers.Markus Thielen noted: "The market has misjudged this decline. Strategy is not the issue; the real driver is institutional ETF selling." The market's current focus should shift to the CPI data to be released this Wednesday. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could reinforce the "higher for longer" interest rate expectation, continuing to pressure risk assets. His model predicts US inflation could rise to 4.3%, higher than the market consensus.10x Research emphasized that market liquidity remains weak: stablecoins saw a net outflow of approximately $5.5 billion last month, and futures open interest has declined, indicating that capital is withdrawing from the crypto market. ETF flows remain the core variable for Bitcoin's price. "Follow the flows, not the narrative." (CoinDesk)

Analyst: This rally is a technical correction; a lower low may emerge within the year.

Analyst Aylo stated that Bitcoin’s current price rebound is not driven by the recent buying news but rather a technical correction following severe overselling. The current price level has cleared the February lows, creating conditions for a rebound, and this purchase has alleviated market concerns about “Saylor turning into a seller.” Aylo also cautioned that if U.S. equities experience greater volatility, there remains a possibility—particularly in June—of forming a slightly lower new low before rebounding, and predicted that the year’s final bottom will emerge later this year. Additionally, Aylo believes external concerns over Strategy’s large-scale BTC sell-offs are an overinterpretation: while the company may sell a small amount of BTC to repay debt, the likelihood of a substantial sell-off is extremely low.

Strategy's Bitcoin holdings now show an unrealized loss of $10.718 billion, while Bitmine's Ethereum holdings show an unrealized loss of $9.818 billion

: According to on-chain analyst Yujin's monitoring, last week, Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (MSTR) purchased 1,550 BTC ($101 million) at a price of approximately $65,332. They currently hold a total of 845,256 BTC ($53.251 billion), with an average cost price of $75,680, resulting in an unrealized loss of $10.718 billion (-16.7%).Ethereum treasury company Bitmine (BMNR) purchased 126,971 ETH ($227 million) last week at a price of approximately $1,788. They currently hold a total of 5,543,872 ETH ($9.286 billion), with an average cost price of $3,446, resulting in an unrealized loss of $9.818 billion (-51.4%).

Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio

BIT: Stablecoin Funds Continue to Flow Out, Bitcoin Faces Liquidity Pressure

BIT tweeted that Strategy’s buying momentum may weaken. However, despite the market’s current widespread focus on Strategy in the crypto space, two principles remain paramount: “trade with the trend” and “follow the money.” When liquidity reverses, it typically signals a shift in the market environment—making premature bottom-fishing highly risky.

Bitcoin falls below 2024 US Election Day closing price

Odaily Bitcoin continued its decline this week, recently trading at $60,619, approximately 12.6% lower than its closing price of around $69,355 on November 5, 2024, the day of the US election. It briefly dipped below $60,000 for the first time since 2024, falling nearly 52% from its all-time high. After Trump's re-election in 2024, Bitcoin surged above $75,000 and reached approximately $109,000 in January 2025. In October 2025, Bitcoin hit a high of $126,080 before dropping from above $121,000 to $106,000 amid a $19 billion liquidation event in the crypto market. In January 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows exceeding $1.5 billion. Michael Saylor's Strategy sold 32 Bitcoins worth approximately $2.5 million at the end of May. Trump recently stated that he would not let the crypto industry down. The GENIUS Act was signed into law last year, while the Clarity Act, which passed a committee vote in May, has yet to complete the legislative process. (Decrypt)

The unrealized losses for both exceed $10 billion—Strategy and Bitmine currently face unrealized losses of $12.456 billion and $10.362 billion respectively.

On-chain analyst Yujin posted on Platform X, stating that Michael Saylor's Strategy currently has an unrealized loss of $12.456 billion, representing a 19.5% decline; Tom Lee's Bitmine currently has an unrealized loss of $10.362 billion, representing a 54.9% decline. Bitmine's ETH holdings have seen unrealized losses exceeding half, while Strategy's unrealized loss rate is about 20%, but the absolute amount has already surpassed that of Bitmine.

Analysis: Due to profit-taking in AI concept assets and other factors, BTC may drop to $60,000

due to profit-taking in AI concept assets and a decline in market risk appetite, Bitcoin has fallen to around $62,000, down nearly 16% from its high of over $74,000 last week. Market analysts believe that if Bitcoin loses the $60,000 mark, its next key technical support level could be around $55,000. Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 15 consecutive trading days, totaling over $4.7 billion. Meanwhile, Strategy disclosed this week that it has sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, which has also dampened market expectations for institutional buying.

Grayscale: Strategy’s Bitcoin Sales Amplify Market Volatility, Future Accumulation Capacity May Be Limited

Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Research, stated that the market experienced a new wave of volatility following Strategy's disclosure on June 1st of selling 32 Bitcoin. Although the sale is negligible compared to its holdings of approximately 840,000 Bitcoin (worth about $55 billion), this rare reduction move still impacted market sentiment.Pandl pointed out that the more noteworthy development is the performance of Strategy’s Variable Rate Preferred Stock STRC (Stretch). The product has a design target price of around $100 and currently offers a dividend yield of 11.5%. When the stock price falls below $100, it indicates that investors are demanding a higher rate of return, which may force the company to increase dividend levels. This would increase future cash flow pressure and potentially compel it to sell more Bitcoin for fundraising, further weighing on BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged Bitcoin reserve model is facing challenges. At current STRC and MSTR share price levels, the company's ability to continue large-scale Bitcoin accumulation may be constrained.However, Pandl noted that in the long term, the migration of Bitcoin holdings from highly leveraged digital asset reserve companies to more diversified corporate balance sheets will help enhance market resilience and improve Bitcoin's long-term value support. He expects Bitcoin to resume its upward trend in the coming months, but its near-term performance may lag behind crypto asset sectors that benefit more directly from regulatory clarity.

TD Cowen Reaffirms Buy Rating for Strategy with $400 Price Target

Lance Vitanza, an analyst at TD Cowen, an investment bank with $15 billion in assets under management, reaffirmed a Buy rating for Strategy (MSTR), a Bitcoin treasury company, with a price target of $400.

PeckShield: Strategy’s sale of 32 BTC triggered a brief depeg of sUSDat

According to on-chain analyst PeckShield (@PeckShieldAlert), Strategy sold 32 BTC (average price: $77,135, totaling approximately $2.5 million—0.0038% of its 843,000-BTC holdings) for capital allocation, and concurrently sold 801,994 common shares, raising roughly $128.3 million. This move symbolically broke its “never sell” principle, triggering market volatility: sUSDat—a staked stablecoin fully backed by digital credit (STRC)—briefly dropped nearly 7% to below $0.93 before rebounding to $0.98.

Tom Lee: Strategy's Bitcoin Sale and ETF Outflows Are Typical Bottoming Behavior, Not Risk Signals

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Tom Lee stated the recent market anxiety, including Strategy's small-scale Bitcoin sale, is typical bottoming behavior rather than a sign of deeper systemic issues. Michael Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins at an average price of $77,135, raising approximately $2.5 million to pay preferred stock dividends. This sale accounts for only 0.004% of the company's total Bitcoin holdings of over 843,700 BTC.Furthermore, regarding the 11 consecutive days of outflows totaling $3.4 billion from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, Tom Lee believes capital outflows are a classic lagging indicator of market cycle resets. Bitmine's macro strategy remains unchanged; its plan to purchase 111,942 Ethereum for approximately $237 million is still in progress, bringing its total Ethereum holdings to nearly 5.4 million ETH. (coindesk)

Analysis: Bitcoin drops below $70,000 while AI tokens rally; DeFi total value locked falls to approximately $78 billion

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Tuesday, hitting its lowest level since April 7. The report states that market sentiment was pressured after Strategy sold $2.5 million worth of Bitcoin; additionally, the firm transferred $30 million worth of Bitcoin to a Coinbase Prime wallet last week, raising market concerns about potential future selling pressure.