News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Claude Mythos model release date being June 10" is currently at 74%, up 24% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability for "Release before June 12" stands at 83%; "Release before June 15" at 89%; "Release before June 22" at 95%; "Release before June 30" at 94%; and "Release before July 31" at 99%.Previously reported, tech journalist Alex Heath revealed that Anthropic will release a "public version of Mythos" tomorrow. The company plans to rename and slightly adjust Mythos, releasing it under the name "Fable 5."Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing occurs.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 30" has risen to 64%, a 24H increase of 52%; additionally, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 15" has risen to 59%, a 24H increase of 52%.Closing airspace refers to the closure of all of Israel's civilian airspace, or a closure covering most of Israel's civilian airspace, resulting in flight cancellations or a complete suspension of commercial aviation, including commercial flights transiting, arriving at, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply to flights nationwide in Israel, or to a qualifying major portion of Israel's airspace. Limited-scope flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops, or individual regional closures do not meet the conditions for a "Yes" settlement.If there are a few exceptions within the context of a large-scale closure, such as permitting some pre-approved flights to pass, this does not affect the closure being deemed valid. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or countries other than Israel cannot serve as sufficient basis for a "Yes" settlement.After the US-Israel-Iran ceasefire on April 8, Iran today launched missiles at Israel again after a two-month interval. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is, since the missiles have been launched, they should now return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also said he will call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to tell him not to retaliate.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event titled "Was Zcash's Orchard privacy pool confirmed to have been exploited?"On June 4, Zcash's core development team revealed that they had deployed an emergency network upgrade to fix a critical cryptographic vulnerability in the Orchard privacy pool. This flaw could have potentially allowed a malicious attacker to arbitrarily forge unlimited amounts of ZEC. Due to the vulnerability's characteristic that "it is impossible to cryptographically prove whether it was exploited in the past," independent support organization Shielded Labs subsequently proposed on June 5 to deploy a new privacy pool during the NU7 upgrade at the end of July. They also suggested implementing strict "Turnstile-accounting" audits for tokens exiting Orchard to investigate whether any forged tokens exist. According to the settlement rules for this prediction event, if before December 31, 2026, official sources or mainstream credible media confirm that the vulnerability was effectively exploited on the mainnet before being patched, the event will settle as YES.Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Zcash will hit $100 in 2026" on Polymarket has risen to 53%, a 24-hour increase of 36%.Market rules: If between 17:35 on November 24, 2025, and 23:59 on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time), the lowest price (Low) of any 1-minute candlestick of the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair reaches or falls below the price stated in the title, this market will immediately settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No." Settlement is based solely on the 1-minute candlestick data of the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.In previous news, the privacy coin Zcash disclosed and fixed a critical security vulnerability that could have been exploited by malicious miners to transfer over 25,000 ZEC (approximately $6.5 million) from the deprecated Sprout privacy pool. Officials stated that the vulnerability had existed since July 2020 but was not actually exploited, and user funds remained safe at all times. The development team has released version v6.12.0 to complete the fix, and major mining pools have already upgraded their deployments.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” has dropped to 21%, a 24H decline of 45%. In addition, the probability of “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 30” has dropped to 80%, a 24H decline of 13%. It is reported that OpenAI plans to release the next-generation AI model GPT 5.6 in June 2026, which is currently in the internal testing phase.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that Polymarket's "o1.exchange will TGE before June 30" event probability has risen to 90%, a 29% increase in 24 hours.This morning, o1.exchange founder Jerry Pan posted on X platform, stating that the o1.exchange whitepaper has been released. According to the whitepaper content, the TGE date is June 17.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring indicates a new prediction event on Polymarket: "Will the U.S. House and Senate pass the same resolution by June 30, 2026, aimed at limiting U.S. military action against Iran in recent conflicts?"Since the escalation of U.S. military operations against Iran at the end of February this year, the power struggle between the two parties in Congress over the 1973 War Powers Resolution has experienced multiple failures. Although the Senate advanced a related procedural vote in mid-May, and the House also briefly formed a cross-party majority, the House Republican leadership, on the eve of the recess on May 21, cited "absentee members and insufficient votes" to urgently withdraw and postpone the full floor vote. With lawmakers returning to Washington after the Memorial Day recess in early June, the time window for the two chambers to unify the amendment text and complete final passage is extremely compressed. Coupled with the White House's tough stance, potentially using a veto, the market leans toward the view that the two chambers will not reach a substantial binding resolution before the June 30 deadline.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
According to monitoring by Odaily Seer’s Oracle Channel, the Polymarket probability of "Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by June 30" has dropped to 25%, a 25% decrease in a single week. The total trading volume for this event has now approached $12 million.The contract rules for this event are as follows: If the IMF Portwatch reports that the 7-day average number of vessel arrivals at the Strait of Hormuz on any date between the market creation and June 30, 2026, is equal to or greater than 60, the market will be resolved as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be resolved as "No." Daily vessel arrivals include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers. Vessels not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.Previously, US and Iranian forces clashed again near the Strait of Hormuz. However, Trump stated earlier today that negotiations with Iran regarding a temporary peace agreement would "yield good results," and he faces a balancing act between potential criticism if Washington agrees to unfreeze billions of dollars in Iranian funds at Tehran's request. Trump had indicated last Friday that he would make a "final decision," but he postponed it as both sides continue to negotiate details, including Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium and how to reopen the Strait of Hormuz waterway (which may require demining first).The Odaily Seer’s Oracle Channel continues to monitor the prediction market. See changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the Hyperliquid mainnet has now launched a prediction event for the "U.S. May CPI Year-over-Year Change," with a 43% probability of a year-over-year increase equal to 4.3%; a 40% probability of a year-over-year increase below 4.3%; and a 22% probability of a year-over-year increase above 4.3%.The judgment criteria for this prediction event will be based on the May 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics at 8:30 AM Eastern Time on June 10, 2026.Previously reported, Hyperliquid has supported an official prediction market based on off-chain events. Relevant markets will be published by an automated news feed software run by validators, as part of daily on-chain operations.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of the event "Trump visiting China on May 13" on Polymarket has surged to 97%, up 36% in 24 hours, with trading volume exceeding $2.58 million.The event date is settled according to US Eastern Time. The primary basis for this market information is official US government information, official Trump information, or information published on his verified social media accounts (e.g., ), but other reliable reports will also be referenced.This morning, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced: At the invitation of President Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump will pay a state visit to China from May 13 to 15.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event titled "When will the Trump administration declassify the next batch of UFO files."According to information on the U.S. government's official website, the Trump administration has released UAP-related records through the war.gov/ufo page. U.S. media reports indicate that the Pentagon published the first batch of previously undisclosed UAP/UFO-related documents, images, videos, and reports on May 8, 2026.The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If the Trump administration declassifies any previously undisclosed documents related to extraterrestrial life and/or Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date, the corresponding market will be resolved as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be resolved as "No."In this market, "Trump administration" includes the Executive Office of the President during President Trump's term, as well as all executive departments, agencies, and their subordinate offices under the jurisdiction of presidential authority, including the Department of Defense and its constituent entities.Cases where declassification is merely announced but not actually completed within the timeframe specified by the market will not count toward the settlement conditions.The primary basis for determining whether declassification has occurred is official U.S. government information, but consensus from credible media reports may also be considered as a reference.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows a new prediction event on Polymarket: “Will US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump’s visit to China?”. Currently, the probability of reaching a permanent peace agreement is temporarily reported at 7%.Previously, in mid-April, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that China and the US are maintaining communication regarding Trump’s visit to China, but there has been no recent progress on the matter.The settlement rule for this event is: If the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump’s visit to China, the market will be resolved as “Yes”. Otherwise, the market will be resolved as “No”.If, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, neither a qualifying peace agreement has been reached nor has Trump’s visit to China occurred, the market will be resolved as “No”.A permanent peace agreement refers to any agreement that explicitly states that military hostilities between the US and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or an agreement using similar wording that explicitly indicates the permanent end of military hostilities between the US and Iran. Agreements explicitly designated as temporary or that do not include the permanent end of military hostilities between the US and Iran do not qualify.A qualifying agreement is considered to have been reached if any of the following conditions are met:1. The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g., a treaty or multi-article agreement) that meets the criteria above.2. Both the US and Iranian governments publicly and explicitly confirm that a qualifying agreement has been finalized. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other final statements that do not constitute a finalized qualifying agreement will not be recognized.In this market, “visit” is defined as Trump physically entering the land or territorial waters of the listed country. Whether Trump enters the country’s airspace during the market period is irrelevant to the final outcome.The primary basis for determining whether a peace agreement has been reached is official information from the US and Iranian governments, but consensus from credible reports may also be consulted. The primary source for Trump’s visit to China is official information from the US government, as well as official information posted by Trump himself or his verified social media accounts. However, consensus from other credible reports will also be considered.Odaily Seer continuously follows the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before December 31" has dropped to 66%, down 11% in 24 hours.The rules for this event contract are: If Federal Reserve Chair Powell is no longer a member of the Board of Governors at any point during the target date (by 11:59 PM Eastern Time), it will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No." If Powell steps down as Fed Chair but remains a member of the Board of Governors, this does not meet the "Yes" condition. The judgment is based on information released by the U.S. government, but a consensus of credible reports may also serve as the basis.At this morning's press conference, Powell stated that after stepping down as Chair, he would remain on the Fed Board of Governors for "some time" and pledged to "keep a low profile." U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent responded, saying, "If Powell remains on the Board of Governors as a Fed Governor, that would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision goes against tradition."The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing the changes before they are priced in.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Channel shows that the probability of "MegaETH TGE Tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million.Additionally, last night MegaETH announced the launch of its Odyssey event, running from April 28 to June 23. After the event concludes, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity level, subject to meeting qualification requirements, sanctions screening, and successful completion of KYC verification.This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; a mere announcement does not constitute fulfilling the condition.This market primarily relies on official information from MegaETH as the basis for settlement, while also referencing consensus formed by credible media reports.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has a new event "Elon Musk wins at least $10 billion settlement from Altman/OpenAI". Currently, the probability of "Yes" is 14%.The rules for this event contract are: As of 23:59 EST on December 31, 2026, if Elon Musk's lawsuit against Altman (Case No.: 4:24-cv-04722-YGR, U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California) results in a jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement of no less than $10 billion in cash or equivalent compensation at the initial trial stage, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". If the case is mistried, the initial trial compensation does not meet the threshold, or the compensation is solely non-monetary relief, the judgment will be "No". Results from retrials or appeals will not be considered in this market. The primary basis for judgment will be official information from the U.S. court system, supplemented by consensus reports from credible media outlets.The trial of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI commenced on April 27 local time with jury selection. The two sides escalated their public confrontation on the X platform before the trial. OpenAI called the lawsuit baseless, while Elon Musk repeatedly posted attacking Sam Altman as "Scam Altman." The core of the case revolves around the controversy over OpenAI's transition to a for-profit entity. Elon Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its original non-profit founding pledge, seeks up to $134 billion in damages, demands the reversal of the for-profit restructuring, and the removal of relevant executives. The liability determination phase is expected to last until mid-May.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets. See the changes before the pricing.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets" prediction event, an account with a 63% win rate (address: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27) purchased $310,000 on Timberwolves beating Nuggets, with an average entry price of 48¢.NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets will tip off at 8:30 AM Beijing time today. The series currently stands at 2-1, with the Timberwolves leading. According to the Nuggets' official injury report, Aaron Gordon (calf injury) has been upgraded to questionable. In the previous game, Gordon was sidelined due to injury, and the Nuggets lost 96-113 to the Timberwolves.Odaily Seer keeps a close watch on prediction markets, seeing the change before the price is set.
The Odaily Seer Channel has monitored that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release date of DeepSeek V4 has become the subject of three rounds of UMA dispute arbitration.The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the core version evolution of the DeepSeek V series, and which are “explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3,” meet the criteria. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., “V4-Lite”, “V4-Mini”), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., “V4-Exp”, “V4-Preview”), do not qualify if they are not positioned as new flagship V-series models.Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that “DeepSeek V4 was released on April 24” should be settled as No, not Yes.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that today MegaETH announced its TGE for April 30, while the probability of "MegaETH issuing tokens before April 30" on Polymarket is currently 95%, which may be related to the settlement rules.The market settlement rule states that if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date specified in the title, the prediction market outcome will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No."Another key rule, "The token must be publicly available for normal transfer and trading; merely issuing related announcements does not satisfy the judgment condition," may be the reason the probability has not reached 100%.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow the prediction market, spotting changes before they are priced in.