News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event for the opening price range of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on its first day of trading on the Nasdaq.SpaceX is scheduled to officially list on Nasdaq on June 12 (U.S. time). According to its compliance filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in early June, the official IPO price has been set at $135 per share, corresponding to a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. Although the offering price has been determined, institutional oversubscription orders are reportedly exceeding $10 billion, fueling market expectations for a premium from the "first-day pop." However, given the high valuation multiple of 90 times price-to-sales and intense competition in the rocket launch market, the first-day opening premium may be relatively moderate. Under the event's settlement rules, the market will strictly settle based on the official opening price of SpaceX on its first trading day on the primary exchange. If the final opening price falls exactly at the boundary between two ranges, the higher range will be used for settlement.Odaily Seer remains focused on prediction markets. See the change before the price is set.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "On the second trading day of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on the Nasdaq, will its opening price be greater than or equal to its first-day closing price (i.e., open higher on the second day)?"SpaceX officially submitted its S-1 prospectus on May 20 and is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on June 12. This IPO breaks tradition by adopting a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. Market traders are divided: positions betting on a higher opening on the second day are mainly supported by Starlink's strong revenue performance and the potential of space-based orbital data centers and computing power from the merger with xAI (restructured as SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, cautious short positions are primarily concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 90x, the significant losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on stock price volatility in the early stages of listing.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of "SpaceX raising $70B-$80B in its IPO" on Polymarket is now at 88%, up 20% intraday.The market settles based on the total funds raised at the time of SpaceX's IPO pricing, according to data disclosed in the SEC's final prospectus. Over-allotment option shares are not counted, nor are private secondary transactions. If the amount raised falls exactly at a boundary point, it settles at the higher bracket; if the IPO is not completed by December 31, 2026, it settles at the lowest bracket.Previous news: Elon Musk's SpaceX disclosed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday that it plans to fix the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price disclosed by sources) before officially launching IPO roadshow activities. SpaceX stated it plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion.Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before the price is set.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the prediction market Predict.fun has launched a new prediction event: "What will be the market cap ranking of CXMT at close on its IPO day," with total trading volume currently at $93,000.On May 27, ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), a leading domestic memory chip company, successfully passed its IPO review on the STAR Market (SSE STAR) and plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan, which would mark the second-largest IPO in the history of the STAR Market. Benefiting from the memory industry upcycle, CXMT reported a Q1 2026 revenue of 50.8 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to parent company of 24.762 billion yuan for the single quarter, achieving a dramatic turnaround from losses to profits year-over-year. This strong earnings potential has sparked extremely high market expectations for its post-listing valuation, with some suggesting it could challenge the top tier of A-share market capitalizations. According to the settlement rules, this event will ultimately be settled based on the descending order of total market capitalization from the "Shanghai-Shenzhen-Beijing A-shares" section of East Money (东方财富网) at market close.Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before prices are set.
Monitoring by Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on predict.fun, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $500 million one day after opening" has risen to 57%, up 12% in 24H. Additionally, the probability of "Variational's FDV market cap exceeding $800 million one day after opening" has risen to 36%.Last night, Variational announced the completion of a $50 million Series A funding round, led by Dragonfly Capital, with participation from Bain Capital Crypto and Coinbase Ventures.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market — seeing changes before they are priced in.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market: "Anthropic, developer of Claude, next funding round deadline." The current probability of completion before the end of June is temporarily quoted at 22%; the probability before the end of December is temporarily quoted at 81%.The contract rules for this event are: If the specified company publicly and formally announces the completion of its next funding round before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will be settled as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be settled as "No." Eligible announcements must clearly confirm the completion of the new funding round, which can be through official announcements from the specified company (e.g., press release) or its investors, regulatory filings, or consensus from credible media reports. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks are not eligible. If the specified company is unable to complete a new funding round due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by another entity, the market will be settled as "No." The primary settlement sources for this market will be official announcements from the specified company and official company documents, such as SEC filings; however, credible consensus reporting may also be used.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.