News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the Hyperliquid mainnet has now launched a prediction event for the "U.S. May CPI Year-over-Year Change," with a 43% probability of a year-over-year increase equal to 4.3%; a 40% probability of a year-over-year increase below 4.3%; and a 22% probability of a year-over-year increase above 4.3%.The judgment criteria for this prediction event will be based on the May 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics at 8:30 AM Eastern Time on June 10, 2026.Previously reported, Hyperliquid has supported an official prediction market based on off-chain events. Relevant markets will be published by an automated news feed software run by validators, as part of daily on-chain operations.Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of the event "Trump visiting China on May 13" on Polymarket has surged to 97%, up 36% in 24 hours, with trading volume exceeding $2.58 million.The event date is settled according to US Eastern Time. The primary basis for this market information is official US government information, official Trump information, or information published on his verified social media accounts (e.g., ), but other reliable reports will also be referenced.This morning, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced: At the invitation of President Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump will pay a state visit to China from May 13 to 15.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event titled "When will the Trump administration declassify the next batch of UFO files."According to information on the U.S. government's official website, the Trump administration has released UAP-related records through the war.gov/ufo page. U.S. media reports indicate that the Pentagon published the first batch of previously undisclosed UAP/UFO-related documents, images, videos, and reports on May 8, 2026.The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If the Trump administration declassifies any previously undisclosed documents related to extraterrestrial life and/or Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date, the corresponding market will be resolved as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be resolved as "No."In this market, "Trump administration" includes the Executive Office of the President during President Trump's term, as well as all executive departments, agencies, and their subordinate offices under the jurisdiction of presidential authority, including the Department of Defense and its constituent entities.Cases where declassification is merely announced but not actually completed within the timeframe specified by the market will not count toward the settlement conditions.The primary basis for determining whether declassification has occurred is official U.S. government information, but consensus from credible media reports may also be considered as a reference.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows a new prediction event on Polymarket: “Will US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump’s visit to China?”. Currently, the probability of reaching a permanent peace agreement is temporarily reported at 7%.Previously, in mid-April, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that China and the US are maintaining communication regarding Trump’s visit to China, but there has been no recent progress on the matter.The settlement rule for this event is: If the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump’s visit to China, the market will be resolved as “Yes”. Otherwise, the market will be resolved as “No”.If, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, neither a qualifying peace agreement has been reached nor has Trump’s visit to China occurred, the market will be resolved as “No”.A permanent peace agreement refers to any agreement that explicitly states that military hostilities between the US and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or an agreement using similar wording that explicitly indicates the permanent end of military hostilities between the US and Iran. Agreements explicitly designated as temporary or that do not include the permanent end of military hostilities between the US and Iran do not qualify.A qualifying agreement is considered to have been reached if any of the following conditions are met:1. The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g., a treaty or multi-article agreement) that meets the criteria above.2. Both the US and Iranian governments publicly and explicitly confirm that a qualifying agreement has been finalized. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other final statements that do not constitute a finalized qualifying agreement will not be recognized.In this market, “visit” is defined as Trump physically entering the land or territorial waters of the listed country. Whether Trump enters the country’s airspace during the market period is irrelevant to the final outcome.The primary basis for determining whether a peace agreement has been reached is official information from the US and Iranian governments, but consensus from credible reports may also be consulted. The primary source for Trump’s visit to China is official information from the US government, as well as official information posted by Trump himself or his verified social media accounts. However, consensus from other credible reports will also be considered.Odaily Seer continuously follows the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before December 31" has dropped to 66%, down 11% in 24 hours.The rules for this event contract are: If Federal Reserve Chair Powell is no longer a member of the Board of Governors at any point during the target date (by 11:59 PM Eastern Time), it will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No." If Powell steps down as Fed Chair but remains a member of the Board of Governors, this does not meet the "Yes" condition. The judgment is based on information released by the U.S. government, but a consensus of credible reports may also serve as the basis.At this morning's press conference, Powell stated that after stepping down as Chair, he would remain on the Fed Board of Governors for "some time" and pledged to "keep a low profile." U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent responded, saying, "If Powell remains on the Board of Governors as a Fed Governor, that would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision goes against tradition."The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing the changes before they are priced in.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Prophet Channel shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" has fallen to 63%, down over 30% in a day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in token issuance, trading, and staking across multiple blockchain environments. It is currently deployed on 8 blockchains including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, offering features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms.Data indicates that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with approximately 35 hours remaining until the fundraising concludes.The Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Channel shows that the probability of "MegaETH TGE Tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million.Additionally, last night MegaETH announced the launch of its Odyssey event, running from April 28 to June 23. After the event concludes, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity level, subject to meeting qualification requirements, sanctions screening, and successful completion of KYC verification.This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; a mere announcement does not constitute fulfilling the condition.This market primarily relies on official information from MegaETH as the basis for settlement, while also referencing consensus formed by credible media reports.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel, in the Polymarket prediction event regarding "What will Powell say at the April press conference," the probability of purchasing "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. As the transaction price is close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at $57,749.In related context, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. As his term is set to expire in mid-next month, this press conference is viewed as a final act of his career. Based on historical precedent, Powell habitually greets the media with "good afternoon" at the start of each press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high-interest-rate environment, bettors have shown extremely high consensus in predicting this customary phrasing.The Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has a new event "Elon Musk wins at least $10 billion settlement from Altman/OpenAI". Currently, the probability of "Yes" is 14%.The rules for this event contract are: As of 23:59 EST on December 31, 2026, if Elon Musk's lawsuit against Altman (Case No.: 4:24-cv-04722-YGR, U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California) results in a jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement of no less than $10 billion in cash or equivalent compensation at the initial trial stage, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". If the case is mistried, the initial trial compensation does not meet the threshold, or the compensation is solely non-monetary relief, the judgment will be "No". Results from retrials or appeals will not be considered in this market. The primary basis for judgment will be official information from the U.S. court system, supplemented by consensus reports from credible media outlets.The trial of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI commenced on April 27 local time with jury selection. The two sides escalated their public confrontation on the X platform before the trial. OpenAI called the lawsuit baseless, while Elon Musk repeatedly posted attacking Sam Altman as "Scam Altman." The core of the case revolves around the controversy over OpenAI's transition to a for-profit entity. Elon Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its original non-profit founding pledge, seeks up to $134 billion in damages, demands the reversal of the for-profit restructuring, and the removal of relevant executives. The liability determination phase is expected to last until mid-May.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets. See the changes before the pricing.
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets" prediction event, an account with a 63% win rate (address: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27) purchased $310,000 on Timberwolves beating Nuggets, with an average entry price of 48¢.NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets will tip off at 8:30 AM Beijing time today. The series currently stands at 2-1, with the Timberwolves leading. According to the Nuggets' official injury report, Aaron Gordon (calf injury) has been upgraded to questionable. In the previous game, Gordon was sidelined due to injury, and the Nuggets lost 96-113 to the Timberwolves.Odaily Seer keeps a close watch on prediction markets, seeing the change before the price is set.
The Odaily Seer Channel has monitored that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release date of DeepSeek V4 has become the subject of three rounds of UMA dispute arbitration.The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the core version evolution of the DeepSeek V series, and which are “explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3,” meet the criteria. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., “V4-Lite”, “V4-Mini”), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., “V4-Exp”, “V4-Preview”), do not qualify if they are not positioned as new flagship V-series models.Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that “DeepSeek V4 was released on April 24” should be settled as No, not Yes.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that today MegaETH announced its TGE for April 30, while the probability of "MegaETH issuing tokens before April 30" on Polymarket is currently 95%, which may be related to the settlement rules.The market settlement rule states that if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date specified in the title, the prediction market outcome will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No."Another key rule, "The token must be publicly available for normal transfer and trading; merely issuing related announcements does not satisfy the judgment condition," may be the reason the probability has not reached 100%.Odaily Seer Channel continues to follow the prediction market, spotting changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring indicates that Polymarket has launched a new market: "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor," with the current probability of "Yes" at 74%.The event contract rules are as follows: If, before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, it is officially announced that Cursor will be acquired by SpaceX or will merge with it, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (where applicable) with SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., are eligible. The outcome will be "Yes" as long as Cursor or SpaceX issues an announcement within the market's timeframe, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may also qualify as long as the acquiring company gains a controlling interest in the other company. "Controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically meaning over 50% equity, or equivalent control through voting rights and governance). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest are not eligible. The primary source for resolving this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reports may also be used.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before they are priced.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "Trump will continue blocking the Strait of Hormuz before April 30," an account with an 81% win rate (@Pajamapants) purchased $40,000 in "Trump will not stop blocking the Strait of Hormuz before April 30," with an average opening price of 68.5¢.The specific rules are: If President Trump, the U.S. government, or the military publicly and formally announces the end of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will ultimately resolve to "No." The qualifying statement must be clear and explicitly indicate that the U.S. has lifted, ended, will lift, or will end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, or use equivalent clear language explicitly stating that the blockade has stopped or will stop by the specified date (e.g., a statement explicitly indicating that U.S. Navy activities in the relevant area have ceased qualifies). Statements merely describing actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumes shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly stating the blockade is lifted are insufficient. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements by Donald Trump (e.g., posts on his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government and/or its official representatives; however, credible consensus reporting may also be used. Note: This market will be resolved solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or maritime traffic resumes, in the absence of a qualifying announcement, will not be considered.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for Polymarket's "Strait of Hormuz Returns to Normal by May 31" has risen to 68%, up 9% in 24 hours.The contract rules for this event are: If the International Monetary Fund's Portwatch publishes data showing that the 7-day moving average of daily vessel arrivals ("Vessel Arrivals") transiting the Strait of Hormuz is equal to or greater than 60 on any date between the market creation date and May 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Daily vessel arrivals include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers. Vessels not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.It is reported that US Vice President Vance will travel to Pakistan on Tuesday for talks with Iran. US President Trump stated in a recent phone interview that Iran "will negotiate" and expressed confidence in the potential talks to be held in Pakistan. Trump said they will negotiate, and if they don't, they will face unprecedented problems. He also expressed hope that both sides could reach a "fair deal" and emphasized that Iran will not possess nuclear weapons. He defended potential military action against Iran, saying there was no other choice, and stated that the final cleanup work would be completed.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
According to monitoring by the Odaily Seer Channel, a new market has been launched on Polymarket: "Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz to 'Trump Strait' by May 31st?" The current probability for "Yes" is temporarily reported at 6%, having dropped 31% in the past 24 hours. The total betting volume for this event currently exceeds $47,000.The contract rules for this event are as follows: The market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces that the United States will formally refer to the Strait of Hormuz as "Trump Strait" or "Trump Straits" or any equivalent name containing "Trump" by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on May 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official communications from Donald Trump, but consensus from credible reporting may also be used.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market: "Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31st?" The current probability is 32%, up 16% in 24 hours.The contract rules for this event are: If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on May 31, 2026, the market outcome will be "YES"; otherwise, it will be "NO". "Visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the land or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether Trump enters Pakistani airspace during the market timeframe does not affect the affirmative outcome. The primary sources of market information are official U.S. government information, Trump's official information, or verified social media account posts, but consensus from other credible reports will also be referenced.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.