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: On-chain data analytics platform Glassnode posted on X that its “Accumulation Trend Score” indicator shows that after Bitcoin’s price dipped to the $60,000 range in early June, the overall behavior of on-chain addresses has notably shifted toward accumulation.This indicator measures the intensity of on-chain accumulation behavior by combining holding sizes with recent balance changes. A score close to 1 represents widespread accumulation, while a score near 0 indicates ongoing distribution.Glassnode notes that as the price enters lower ranges, the scores for holders of different sizes rise simultaneously, indicating a typical “buy-the-dip” market structure. That is, the price decline did not trigger sustained selling, but instead sparked stronger on-chain demand inflows.Analysts believe that this cross-cohort synchronized accumulation structure typically appears in the early stages of market sentiment recovery, reflecting that medium- to long-term capital is being repositioned.
According to Odaily, a key on-chain indicator for Bitcoin, the Market Value to Realized Value Z-Score (MVRV Z-Score), is approaching the typical threshold seen at historical bear market bottoms. This metric measures the deviation of Bitcoin's market price from its realized value (the average cost of each coin since its last on-chain transaction), helping investors determine whether the asset is overvalued or undervalued.Data shows that the current MVRV Z-Score stands at 0.24, approaching the upper boundary of the green zone historically considered the "accumulation range" (around 0 and below). Historically, the bottom of every major bear market has occurred when this indicator touched or briefly dipped into the green zone: during the first major crash in 2011-2012, in 2014, at the end of 2018, and in the second half of 2022, each time paving the way for a subsequent bull run.However, the absolute bottom has not yet been confirmed. On-chain data shows that the Short-Term Holder MVRV (STH-MVRV) is 0.84, while the Long-Term Holder MVRV (LTH-MVRV) remains as high as 1.29, indicating that long-term holders still possess substantial unrealized profits. Historically, when the MVRV of short-term and long-term holders converge, a cyclical bottom tends to form (as was the case in 2015, 2019, and 2022).Although it is difficult to precisely predict the market bottom, after the hundreds of billions of dollars in sell-offs last week, conditions that have historically signaled a rebound are gradually emerging. This suggests that the Bitcoin bear market may be approaching its end, and investors can monitor on-chain MVRV indicators and changes in holder behavior to identify potential buying opportunities. (CoinDesk)