News linked to both this project and an event.
Monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch" probability has risen to 74%, up 60% in 24 hours.If Predict.fun's governance token has a fully diluted valuation (FDV) above $800 million one day after its launch, this prediction event will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable to be considered officially launched.FDV will be calculated based on the total token supply multiplied by the token price."One day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the day following the token's launch.This prediction event will use the most liquid price source as the basis for resolution.If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) fails to launch a token before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, this prediction event will resolve to "No".
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Papertrade FDV above $100 million one day after launch" odds have dropped to 45%, down 40% in 24 hours.If Papertrade's token has a fully diluted valuation (FDV) above the specified amount one day after launch, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No."Only official tokens formally issued by Papertrade after the creation of this market are eligible. Stablecoins, meme coins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not count.A token must be publicly tradable to be considered officially launched.FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price."One day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the day following the token's launch.The market will use the most liquid available price source as the basis for settlement.If Papertrade fails to issue a token before 23:59 ET on December 31, 2027, the market will resolve to "No."Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the initiative.
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "Papertrade FDV above $100 million one day after launch" probability has risen to 80%, up 27% in 24 hours.If Papertrade's token has a fully diluted valuation (FDV) above the specified threshold one day after launch, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No."Only official tokens formally issued by Papertrade after the creation of this market are eligible. Stablecoins, meme coins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not qualify.The token must be publicly tradable to be considered officially launched.FDV is calculated as the token's total supply multiplied by the token price."One day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the day following the token's launch.The market will use the most liquid available price source as the basis for resolution.If Papertrade fails to issue a token before 23:59 ET on December 31, 2027, the market will resolve to "No."Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the advantage.
According to Bloomberg, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan recently hinted that the platform may release an announcement, sparking widespread market speculation over the potential launch of a cryptocurrency token. Previously, at the TOKEN2049 Singapore conference, Coplan noted that the company is exploring an on-chain asset linked to the platform’s economic system with practical programmable utility, though no specific token issuance plan was announced. At present, crypto startups face a choice between traditional equity financing and token offerings as they seek both capital and regulatory stability.
Odaily reports: DeFi researcher Ignas posted on X that there are currently too few quality tokens in the market that truly have strong revenue support—only about 20 projects have holders generating daily revenue of over $50,000. However, this may also further concentrate capital and market attention toward a small number of projects. For this reason, he looks forward to more projects that have already generated actual revenue launching token generation events (TGEs), and hopes Polymarket will also adopt a TGE model.Ignas added that after further considering valuation, token unlocks, and revenue sustainability, the pool of viable targets will shrink even further. Although some tokens may appear attractive, their market cap to fully diluted valuation (MC/FDV) ratios are not ideal. As a result, investors need to bet that demand growth will outpace the supply growth brought by token unlocks, making some tokens more suitable for trading than for long-term holding.Ignas believes that for most tokens, what investors are still trading is narrative and market sentiment, and they need to trust that project teams will deliver on their promises. With several DAOs having recently dissolved, the so-called "decentralized" accountability mechanisms are also not sufficient.
Odaily News: Blockworks analyst Shaunda Devens posted on X that Polymarket's current FDV valuation of approximately $1.5 billion for Variational is somewhat overly optimistic. This pricing directly applies Hyperliquid and Lighter-level valuation-to-revenue multiples to a platform that still relies on points subsidies. By comparison, the median first-day "FDV / annualized revenue" ratio for recently launched Perp DEX tokens is only 6.3x (Variational is currently around 57x), and within the first month after TGE, trading volume typically drops sharply by a median of 54%.Shaunda added that if conservative assumptions based on historical precedents are adopted (using the median first-day "FDV/annualized revenue" ratio of 6.3x), Variational's fair valuation would be only $167 million, corresponding to a points price of $4.8–$5.4. Even using the highest recent ratio precedent (Lighter's approximately 21.1x), its valuation would still only be about $558 million, corresponding to a points price of $16–$18.However, Shaunda also explained: "To be clear, given that current market risk appetite is clearly in a Risk-on state, we do not believe Variational's valuation at TGE will fall to the extremely conservative range mentioned above. These historical multiples are listed to illustrate that current pre-market OTC pricing may be overly optimistic."
据彭博社报道，特朗普长子小唐纳德·特朗普担任合伙人的投资公司 1789 Capital 正为第二支成长基金寻求募资 30 亿美元，目前已从现有投资者处获得约 20 亿美元资金，最终募资规模仍可能进一步扩大。 1789 Capital 目前管理资产已超过 40 亿美元，投资组合包括 Polymarket、Anduril，以及 X、xAI、SpaceX 等公司。公司计划进一步集中投资组合，减少投资项目数量，同时提高单笔投资规模并更多主导融资轮。其第一支成长基金于 2023 年推出，截至今年 6 月底回报率超过 200%。 此外，1789 Capital 此前还计划参与 Polymarket 新一轮约 10 亿美元融资，拟投入约 3 亿美元。
Odaily News: Investment firm 1789 Capital, linked to Donald Trump Jr., is seeking to raise $3 billion for its second growth fund and has already secured about $2 billion from existing investors. It is reported that 1789 Capital currently manages over $4 billion in assets, with a portfolio that includes Anduril Industries Inc., Polymarket, and several companies under Elon Musk, such as X, xAI, and SpaceX.However, 1789 Capital plans to reduce the number of investments, increase the size of individual investments, and lead more funding rounds. Earlier reports indicated that 1789 Capital is considering leading a new round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with a planned investment of about $300 million. (Bloomberg)
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's "OpenAI valuation will reach $975 billion by September 30" probability has risen to 63%, up 30% in 24 hours.If, as of September 30, 2026, OpenAI's private market valuation as published on the Nasdaq Private Market has reached or exceeded $975 billion, it will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No."If OpenAI completes an IPO or direct listing during this period, the listing pricing and post-listing public market capitalization will also be taken into account. Subsequent revisions to historical data by NPM are generally not counted, unless they are corrections of obvious data errors.Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the advantage.
Odaily reports: AI model developer Typesafe AI has announced the opening of its System One model Jev, removing the waitlist and giving each new user $5 in credits. The project has been developed in stealth for two years and has raised $40 million in cumulative funding.Jev does not support chat; it only accepts facts and closed-ended questions, returning probabilistic results within 70 to 500 milliseconds. Input pricing is $0.042 per million tokens, and output is free. It can answer questions such as buy or sell, yes or no.In a Bitcoin price prediction test, Jev estimated a 55% probability that Binance's one-minute K-line would reach $85,000 before 2027, with probabilities of 48% and 34% for reaching $90,000 and $100,000, respectively; the corresponding Polymarket market probability for $85,000 was 81%.On September 16, Monad Chief AI Engineer Jarrod Watts connected Jev to price data and built a trading bot that submits limit orders to the Kuru on-chain order book approximately every 300 milliseconds. The bot can decide whether to buy or sell based on Jev's judgments and has been open-sourced on GitHub as jarrodwatts/jev-trader. (Bitcoin.com News)
PPP prediction market monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "OpenAI's valuation will reach $1 trillion by the end of 2026" has risen to 82%, up 20% in 24 hoursIf from the event creation date through December 31, 2026, the OpenAI NPM Price published by Nasdaq Private Market corresponds to a private market valuation that at any point reaches or exceeds the target valuation set by the event, it resolves as "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves as "No."NPM publishes data only on trading days and updates it at 1:00 PM ET the following day. If by January 1, 2027, relevant data has still not been published, the event may remain open at the latest until January 4 at 11:59 PM.If OpenAI conducts an IPO or direct listing during this period, then in addition to the pre-listing NPM valuation, the valuation corresponding to the official offering price and the public market market cap from after listing through December 31, 2026, will also be referenced. Public market cap is calculated as "the highest/lowest official trading price on a trading day × the total number of outstanding common shares at that time."In simple terms: as long as before the end of 2026, OpenAI has at any point reached the valuation threshold set by the event according to NPM or official post-listing market data, it counts as "Yes."Join the PPP signal push community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise at least $750 million at a $40 billion valuation, doubling its $22 billion valuation from six months ago. The platform was approved as a designated contract market by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2021.As of September 4, Kalshi's trading volume over the past 30 days reached $14.1 billion, while Polymarket's stood at $3.1 billion, with Kalshi accounting for approximately 82% of their combined trading volume. More than 80% of Kalshi's trading volume comes from sports events. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News - Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated on the X platform that Tema is launching a prediction market ETF. However, this product is a thematic ETF, not an actual event contract ETF, which the SEC is still considering. The ETF will allocate 15% of its positions to private assets from Kalshi and Polymarket, with a management fee of 75 basis points.
According to Bloomberg, venture capital firm 1789 Capital is leading a new funding round for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the round reaching a size of $1 billion and a post-money valuation of $21 billion. 1789 Capital plans to contribute approximately $300 million.
EntropyIO announced the completion of a $14 million funding round, led by Ribbit Capital, along with $40 million in HYPE staking support. The first batch of markets has gone live on Hyperliquid.EntropyIO stated that it has launched the first liquid Anthropic trading market and plans to further expand into assets such as Pre-IPO startups, computing resources, public companies, and global indices to enable around-the-clock trading.Team members come from Citadel Securities, Optiver, Polymarket, and Millennium, and have developed a liquidity-weighted oracle that dynamically adjusts external oracle price weights based on executable market depth, aiming to improve price discovery and liquidity for new asset classes.
Odaily Planet Daily reported that Lorenzo Valente, Head of Digital Asset Research at investment firm ARK Invest, stated that Hyperliquid is in discussions with the CFTC and SEC to facilitate the offering of perpetual futures on its public chain by U.S.-regulated companies. He suggested that Hyperliquid acquire Gemini to position it as a U.S.-regulated HIP-3/4 deployer. He noted that Gemini's current market value is approximately $450 million, representing a decline of over 85% from its $3.3 billion valuation at the time of its 2025 IPO. Hyperliquid could obtain Gemini's entire U.S. regulatory infrastructure—including the NYDFS Trust Charter, DCM, DCO, FCM, MTLs, and Broker-dealer—for approximately $450 million.He further proposed that Hyperliquid could use approximately 7.9 million HYPE tokens from its community reserve, valued at around $550 million at $70 per token, to complete the acquisition at a premium of roughly 20% over Gemini's current market value. Following the transaction, Gemini would handle KYC, custody, fiat on/off ramps, brokerage, clearing, and compliance for the U.S. market, while Hyperliquid L1 would provide the underlying market infrastructure, liquidity, and on-chain settlement. He cited Polymarket's acquisition of QCEX as a similar precedent for re-entering the U.S. market, and stated that the core of this potential deal is not acquiring an exchange, but rather securing the regulatory bridge for HIP-3/4 to enter the U.S. market.
According to Bloomberg, Jeff Sprecher, CEO of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, stated that the company will monitor the new funding round for prediction market platform Polymarket and consider participating if it helps facilitate the round. Previously, ICE had invested over $1.6 billion in Polymarket.
Odaily News: According to the official announcement from MSX, the platform has officially opened redemption applications for Phase 2 Pre-IPO projects, Anthropic and Polymarket.Official data shows that as of the latest valuation, the Polymarket subscription price has risen from $152/share to $202.67/share, representing an unrealized gain of 33.3%. Anthropic's latest valuation also exceeds its subscription price.With this redemption window now open, users can choose based on their own needs to either apply for redemption at the latest market price and settle in USDT, or continue holding until the underlying projects complete their IPOs.Previously, MSX had already completed the full trading cycle for Phase 1 Pre-IPO projects, $CBRS.M and $SPCX.M, from subscription to listing. Users can log in to the MSX platform to view specific redemption rules and asset status.
Monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket odds of "Anthropic becoming the largest IPO of 2026" stand at 45%, up 37% over the week, just slightly below SpaceX's 55%.As recently as last week, SpaceX held a commanding lead in the "largest IPO of 2026" race. But this week, Anthropic has rapidly narrowed the gap. According to market reports, Anthropic is actively advancing its listing plans, with an IPO potentially coming as early as October. Some Anthropic investors expect the company to go public at a valuation of $2 trillion or higher — a staggering figure that would surpass SpaceX.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay one step ahead and seize the opportunity.
According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "Anthropic valuation hits target this year," the probability of reaching $1.5 trillion this year has risen to 76%, up 13% in 24 hours. The probability of reaching $1.25 trillion has risen to 92%, up 8% in 24 hours.According to the settlement rules, this market primarily relies on the private market valuation of Anthropic as published by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM). If Anthropic completes an IPO or direct listing during this period, the valuation corresponding to the official offering price and the public market capitalization after listing will also be included in the settlement basis. Currently, NPM data cited on the Polymarket page shows a valuation of approximately $1.13 trillion.Previously, according to The Wall Street Journal, Anthropic plans to go public in September or early October, though the specific offering price and timeline have not yet been announced. If successfully listed, it could become one of the largest IPOs in history.Join the PPP Signal Push Community to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities first.