Prediction markets based on BNB Chain
Oracles are bringing prediction markets on-chain, allowing users to trade beliefs, bet on outcomes, and settle in real time.
Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating and a $210 price target, noting that the funding and returns framework has become clearer. The key going forward will be timely capacity delivery and sustained profit margins.
White Hair Stock Oracle Serenity posted on X platform: "The divergence between fundamental demand and valuations has now reached an extreme level. On one hand, procurement from Super Micro Computer (SMCI) to SpaceX (SPCX) is accelerating; on the other hand, stock prices from Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) to data center hosting providers are collapsing. I believe that after the earnings season, October 2026 will be seen as another (buy-the-dip) opportunity similar to the 'DeepSeek shock' or the 'April tariff panic.'
Odaily reports: White Hair Stock Oracle Serenity stated that the memory chip industry is gaining unprecedented long-term demand visibility, with major cloud service providers such as Google even seeking to sign long-term supply agreements extending to 2035. However, the market remains affected by concerns over the sustainability of AI infrastructure investment and financing risks.Serenity also cited Dell CEO Michael Dell's view that the memory chip supply shortage may last about 4 years, as the construction cycle for new wafer fabs is lengthy, and the relevant capacity is expected to be released only between 2029 and 2030. Dell expects that the supply-demand imbalance in memory chips may further deteriorate in 2027.
Odaily reports: “White-Haired Stock Oracle” Serenity posted that Musk’s recent abrupt interactions with multiple finance-sector KOLs have amplified market concerns about CoreWeave (CRWV) financing risks and speculative behavior among AI investors. Although Musk is highly visionary, from the outside, continuously magnifying the problems facing competitors and accusing Samsung and SK Hynix of overpricing may further increase the financing difficulty of those parties. These remarks may benefit Tesla and SpaceX in the long run, but the market may also overlook the specific context of some of these issues as a result.Serenity added that it had previously raised concerns multiple times about CoreWeave’s debt interest burden and the risk of rising rates, and criticized the market for lacking detailed analysis of changes in high-end memory chip supply and Broadcom CEO’s remarks about OpenAI’s annualized recurring revenue (ARR). It also suggested that when Musk criticizes competitors, he should also consider the risks he himself faces.
White-Haired Stock Oracle Serenity posted on X stating that although AI-related stocks have recently been affected by the macroeconomic environment, rate hike expectations, and concerns over capex sustainability, the fundamentals of key supply chain segments such as memory chips and optical communications remain strong, and the market's pricing of different companies is clearly diverging.He noted that demand visibility for memory manufacturers such as Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix has extended to 2030-2031, and long-term procurement agreements and price floor mechanisms are expected to support future profitability. On the optical communications side, Lumentum's capacity is essentially sold out through 2029, and with the large-scale adoption of CPO/NPO technology, a supercycle in optical communications may arrive in 2027-2028, with capacity-expanding companies such as AAOI and SIVE worth watching.As for capital-intensive capex companies such as IREN, he stated that the market does not seem to favor companies that require continuous heavy investment while also constantly raising funds. In any case, the market currently appears to have entered a more risk-averse environment, with capital shifting toward large-cap companies in search of safety, such as CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Palantir (PLTR).In addition, the White-Haired Stock Oracle believes that even if AI capex slows, it does not mean that all supply chain companies will come under pressure simultaneously. The current market tends to trade AI-related stocks as a whole, which may lead to some key supply chain companies being undervalued. Rather than simply chasing the AI concept, companies with higher demand visibility, imminent profitability inflection points, and expected declines in forward valuations may deliver better performance over the medium term.
According to Chaoxiang Research, a Morgan Stanley research report dated October 7, 2026, indicates that Oracle's 10-year USD bond yield has reached 7.5%, while its 5-year credit default swap (CDS) has risen from 57 basis points to 260 basis points. The Wall Street Journal reported that Oracle may be purchasing chips through a third-party entity and leasing them back, though the scale remains undisclosed and the loan-to-cost ratio exceeds 50%. Morgan Stanley considers this structure highly consistent with its long-term hypothesized framework for a chip-leasing SPV, under which the credit exposure is booked as debt on the balance sheet and incorporated into the parent company's adjusted leverage assessment. Morgan Stanley judges that the bond market's reaction is primarily driven by investors' capacity to absorb the broader chip financing wave, with Oracle's individual transaction playing a secondary role. From a trading perspective, the firm recommends buying Oracle's 5-year CDS and selling the 2035 and 2055 maturing bonds, positioning for a deterioration in Oracle's credit profile.
Odaily reports: CF Benchmarks, the index provider under Kraken's parent company Payward, has launched CFB Oracle, bringing pricing benchmarks for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and CME Group cryptocurrency futures into blockchain applications. The service provides benchmark data across cryptocurrency, equities, bonds, commodities, and forex markets, enabling developers to build products such as on-chain index funds, tokenized portfolios, and derivatives.CF Benchmarks states that its indices currently serve products representing over $120 billion in assets. CFB Oracle now supports Ethereum, HyperEVM, and Robinhood Chain, with plans to expand to other compatible networks in the future. Payward also plans to use the service to provide pricing data for its upcoming U.S. perpetual contract product, which is still awaiting regulatory approval. The service will compete with oracle providers such as Chainlink and Pyth. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: Oracle (ORCL.N) is attempting to avoid the massive costs associated with a large data center project in New Mexico, which undoubtedly adds new uncertainties to a project already plagued by opposition and regulatory obstacles. According to people familiar with the matter, Oracle has sent a notice to a subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital, the project's developer, invoking the force majeure clause.The sources said Oracle is not seeking to exit the project as the primary tenant, but rather wants to defer payments in the event that the "Project Jupiter" data center project experiences delays and fails to come online as planned in 2028. (Bloomberg)
According to official reports, the NSTR oracle price was manipulated yesterday, causing a single account to use NSTR as collateral to borrow approximately $3.5 million in ETH, STRK, USDC, USDT, WBTC, and DAI v1 from the Nostra money market on Starknet. The market has currently suspended deposits, borrows, withdrawals, and liquidations. Nostra is currently assessing the impact on each asset and tracking the funds, with final losses and recoverable amounts yet to be determined.
Oracle protocol Switchboard issued a statement disclosing a report of a potential overnight attack. The Switchboard team has partnered with relevant projects and security agencies to take measures, suspending its network services on the Aptos, Sui, IOTA, and Movement chains. Currently, there are no similar reports indicating a comparable intrusion attack on the Solana chain. However, for security reasons, official channels recommend that users migrate to alternative oracle solutions as soon as possible, at least temporarily, during the investigation period. The team continues to investigate the incident and will release further details subsequently.
Oracle has announced the launch of the new Oracle Fusion Agentic Applications and AI agents designed for the human resources sector, aiming to help enterprises accelerate employee development, optimize talent decisions, and respond more quickly to evolving business and skills demands.Oracle stated that the new generation of Fusion Agentic Applications is powered by the coordinated operation of multiple specialized AI agents, featuring goal-oriented, autonomous reasoning, and enterprise-level execution capabilities. By securely accessing unified enterprise data, workflows, policies, permission systems, and business context, these applications assist enterprises in making and executing decisions within HR processes.The newly launched AI capabilities are built on Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and are deeply integrated into the Oracle Fusion Cloud HCM platform, covering areas such as job architecture, learning and development, manager coaching, employee growth, internal mobility, and workforce planning.
Ethereum staking protocol Lido stated on X platform that today's stETH Rebase has been completed as expected, and has compensated for the ETH rewards missed yesterday due to calculation deficiencies. The corresponding annual percentage rate (APR) is approximately 2.29%. Additionally, the protocol's oracle has been updated and passed audit. The new version will improve report processing speed and help locate the cause more quickly when similar issues arise in the future.Regarding the yield calculation anomaly that occurred yesterday, Lido stated that contributors are still conducting a root cause analysis. Further investigation details will be published on the official forum and social platforms. Throughout the entire incident, user funds were never at risk. Preliminary analysis suggests the issue may have stemmed from a specific edge case: the yield report from yesterday omitted a validator that was in a pending deposit status, causing some staking rewards to be excluded from the calculation.Lido stated that a complete post-mortem report will be released in the coming days to further explain the cause of the issue, remediation measures, and subsequent improvement plans.
Odaily Report: After being forced to liquidate in July of this year, "AI Stock Oracle" Leopold Aschenbrenner's fund Situational Awareness has re-entered AI-related stocks and purchased hundreds of millions of dollars in options in early September.However, since September 8, 6 of the 7 stocks it focused on have fallen sharply: CoreWeave dropped 37.4%, SK Hynix fell 25.8%, SanDisk declined 23.8%, DRAM fell 22.9%, Bloom Energy dropped 18.1%, and Intel fell 9.4%. Only AMD bucked the trend with a 9.1% gain, while the 7 stocks fell an average of 18.3%.The actual investment losses of Situational Awareness still depend on position size, option terms, and subsequent trades. However, even with a long-term bullish view on AI development, options investments may still suffer losses if market movements do not align with the expected timeline. (Coin Bureau)
The latest portfolio holdings of "AI Oracle" Leopold Aschenbrenner show that his core positions remain concentrated in semiconductor and AI infrastructure-related companies, with SanDisk (SNDK) and Micron (MU) accounting for approximately 28% and 27.5% of the portfolio respectively, ranking as the highest-priority holdings.
According to disclosures from the Michael Burry Stock Tracker, Michael Burry, the real-life inspiration behind "The Big Short," stated on his Substack platform that weekend research has led him to believe the artificial intelligence bubble may soon accelerate its collapse. He disclosed his latest position adjustments: closing short positions include short stakes in Micron ($MU), Nebius ($NBIS), Caterpillar ($CAT), the Semiconductor ETF ($SOXX), Nvidia ($NVDA), Oracle ($ORCL), and CoreWeave ($CRWV); opening new short positions involves initiating a short on MetLife ($MET); and adding to and adjusting long positions includes expanding his Palantir ($PLTR) position, rolling his QQQ stake into a larger Nasdaq ($NDX) position, and increasing holdings in Sprouts Farmers Market ($SFM) and QXO ($QXO).
Odaily News: Positron, an AI chip startup focused on designing hardware that helps AI models run faster, said it has raised $875 million at a $5 billion valuation, with the company's value surging significantly over the past six months. The round was co-led by venture capital firms NEA, Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, Andra Capital, analyst Dylan Patel's SemiAnalysis Capital, and Netscape co-founder Jim Clark.Positron raised $230 million in its most recent funding round in February of this year at a $1 billion valuation. Positron said it has delivered approximately 50 Atlas server racks of its previous generation to Oracle, with other customers including financial firm Jump Trading and AI company Parasail. Positron is trying to gain an edge in the crowded chip industry by bringing its chips to market as quickly as possible. (The Wall Street Journal)
Odaily News According to foreign media BusinessInsider, based on publicly disclosed holdings data, "Oracle of Omaha" Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway indirectly holds approximately 0.04% of SpaceX shares through a two-tier equity nesting "look-through shareholding" model, with a corresponding market value exceeding $700 million. This also creates a rare capital intersection between two top business tycoons, "the Oracle of Omaha" Buffett and "Iron Man" Musk.Musk has long regarded Buffett's investment endorsement as an important industry validation, and has repeatedly publicly extended olive branches to Buffett on social platforms, hoping he would become a shareholder in his companies. Musk joked in a 2023 post: "Too bad he didn't invest when Tesla's market cap was only 0.1% of its current value." In 2024, he publicly stated again: "He should build a position in Tesla; that's the obvious choice." Now, although Buffett has not invested in Tesla, he has become an "invisible shareholder" of SpaceX in another way.In terms of the shareholding structure, this stake is not a direct investment by Berkshire in SpaceX, but rather an incidental asset from its heavy position in tech giant Google's parent company Alphabet. (Interface News)
Michael Burry's latest position adjustments show he has further increased short positions on multiple technology-related assets, including adding to short positions on Nebius (NBIS) at around $247, Micron (MU) at around $924, and Oracle (ORCL) at around $152, as well as increasing short positions on the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX).
Oracle protocol Switchboard issued a statement disclosing a report of a potential overnight attack. The Switchboard team has partnered with relevant projects and security agencies to take measures, suspending its network services on the Aptos, Sui, IOTA, and Movement chains. Currently, there are no similar reports indicating a comparable intrusion attack on the Solana chain. However, for security reasons, official channels recommend that users migrate to alternative oracle solutions as soon as possible, at least temporarily, during the investigation period. The team continues to investigate the incident and will release further details subsequently.
Odaily News: OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman reposted the open letter, with over 100 institutions including Anthropic, AWS, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Oracle jointly calling for strengthened global cyber defense to address the rapidly evolving threat of AI-powered cyberattacks.The open letter states that AI-driven cyberattacks are expected to become more prevalent and sophisticated in the coming months, posing higher risks to critical systems such as hospitals, water treatment facilities, and internet infrastructure. All parties should seize the current window of opportunity in which AI can equally enhance defensive capabilities, accelerate the closure of long-standing security vulnerabilities, and prioritize AI tools with cybersecurity capabilities for critical infrastructure defense teams.The open letter also calls on companies, cybersecurity firms, governments, and frontier AI companies to jointly invest tools, funding, and technical support to strengthen threat intelligence sharing, vulnerability remediation, and continuous security monitoring.
According to Ostium's official report, the core of this attack lies in the compromise of the off-chain price reporting system permissions, unrelated to smart contract vulnerabilities. After obtaining off-chain authorization, the attacker utilized the protocol's registered legitimate forwarding paths to submit forged prices ($5,000 and $60,000) to the BTC-USD market, atomically completing an open-close position arbitrage cycle within the same transaction. Starting with 100 USDC and rolling to amplify the scale across 8 transactions, they extracted 23.75 million USDC from the OLP vault within 5 minutes until the vault circuit breaker mechanism was triggered. The root cause lies in the off-chain infrastructure lacking a multi-party approval mechanism equivalent to on-chain multi-signature, creating a single-point permission vulnerability. The stolen funds have been converted to ETH and mixed via Tornado Cash; tracking efforts are still ongoing.
According to CoinDesk reports, algorithmic stablecoin Balance Coin suffered an oracle price manipulation attack on July 22. The coin price plummeted from near the $1 peg to about $0.0014, a drop of over 99%, and the nominal market cap of about $3.5 million nearly went to zero. According to analysis by security firm SlowMist, the attacker fed abnormally low false Bitcoin prices into the protocol, bypassing price rationality checks and liquidation delay mechanisms. They forcibly liquidated multiple ineligible collateral vaults in a single transaction, subsequently exchanged the acquired collateral for arbitrage, and ultimately profited about $912,000 from the protocol governance entity 42DAO.
SlowMist issued a security warning stating that 42DAO suffered an attack, with losses of approximately $912,000. The attack was caused by the attacker exploiting the abnormally low price of BTCB provided by Median Oracle, completing the exploitation through the poke mechanism of the Spotter contract and the bark mechanism of the Dog contract.
Decentralized trading protocol Ostium paused trading due to suspected exploitation of its oracle system, with security firms Blockaid and CertiK estimating losses between $18 million and $22 million.
Odaily Report: NVIDIA and Oracle have announced an expanded partnership, scaling the deployment of the NVIDIA Vera Rubin architecture to the multi-gigawatt level and bringing the NVIDIA Vera CPU into Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI). Additionally, Oracle also announced in the statement a partnership with Cerebras, under which Oracle will use Cerebras' equipment in its AI data centers.
Odaily reports: CF Benchmarks, the index provider under Kraken's parent company Payward, has launched CFB Oracle, bringing pricing benchmarks for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and CME Group cryptocurrency futures into blockchain applications. The service provides benchmark data across cryptocurrency, equities, bonds, commodities, and forex markets, enabling developers to build products such as on-chain index funds, tokenized portfolios, and derivatives.CF Benchmarks states that its indices currently serve products representing over $120 billion in assets. CFB Oracle now supports Ethereum, HyperEVM, and Robinhood Chain, with plans to expand to other compatible networks in the future. Payward also plans to use the service to provide pricing data for its upcoming U.S. perpetual contract product, which is still awaiting regulatory approval. The service will compete with oracle providers such as Chainlink and Pyth. (CoinDesk)
Solana co-founder Toly has put forward an early concept for a validator stake-weighted oracle, in which Solana validators would vote weighted by their proportion of staked SOL to price tokenized collateral in support of network transactions, with taxes levied on related profits to increase network revenue. However, this concept comes immediately after the Alpenglow upgrade proposal on October 21, and is currently not a formal governance proposal, nor is there any voting arrangement or implementation timeline.
Oracle announced an upgrade to the Oracle Marketplace, further strengthening its role as a platform for enterprise procurement and partner sales. The new mechanism will enable independent software vendors and service providers to reach Oracle customers more directly, facilitating the sale of AI, industry-specific software, and other solutions through existing cloud budgets and procurement processes.
Oracle announced that it will invest $1 billion into its partner ecosystem over the next four years to help partners address enterprises' demand for AI solutions and services and drive customer business transformation. The investment will cover the Oracle PartnerNetwork, including training and certification, technical support, development and testing environments, cloud migration funding, joint marketing initiatives, and commercialization through Oracle Marketplace. Oracle stated that partners can develop industry applications, integration solutions, AI Agents, and managed services based on Oracle Fusion Applications, Oracle Database, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and related AI services.
According to an Oracle announcement, the company has launched the Industry Application AI Agent Studio, a no-code and low-code platform designed for industry applications that can be used to create, test, orchestrate, deploy, and manage AI Agents and multi-agent workflows. Built on Oracle AI Agent Studio for Fusion Applications, the platform can access existing application data, tools, and business processes, and supports features such as natural language and visual orchestration, cross-application workflows, Model Context Protocol (MCP), multiple generative AI models, testing and debugging, security controls, lifecycle management, and monitoring.
Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating and a $210 price target, noting that the funding and returns framework has become clearer. The key going forward will be timely capacity delivery and sustained profit margins.
On October 27, IBM, Oracle, Intel, and IonQ had already filed objections, bringing the total to 26 at the time. OKX and ICE initially named 62 companies, with over half now opposing them.
Odaily Report: NVIDIA and Oracle have announced an expanded partnership, scaling the deployment of the NVIDIA Vera Rubin architecture to the multi-gigawatt level and bringing the NVIDIA Vera CPU into Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI). Additionally, Oracle also announced in the statement a partnership with Cerebras, under which Oracle will use Cerebras' equipment in its AI data centers.
Odaily reports: CF Benchmarks, the index provider under Kraken's parent company Payward, has launched CFB Oracle, bringing pricing benchmarks for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and CME Group cryptocurrency futures into blockchain applications. The service provides benchmark data across cryptocurrency, equities, bonds, commodities, and forex markets, enabling developers to build products such as on-chain index funds, tokenized portfolios, and derivatives.CF Benchmarks states that its indices currently serve products representing over $120 billion in assets. CFB Oracle now supports Ethereum, HyperEVM, and Robinhood Chain, with plans to expand to other compatible networks in the future. Payward also plans to use the service to provide pricing data for its upcoming U.S. perpetual contract product, which is still awaiting regulatory approval. The service will compete with oracle providers such as Chainlink and Pyth. (CoinDesk)
Odaily reports: “White-Haired Stock Oracle” Serenity posted that historical data shows the S&P 500 has recorded positive returns in all 21 relevant cycles during the period from November of U.S. midterm election years through June of the following year, with an average gain of 16.6%. As the U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026 approach, this historical pattern is worth watching. Serenity raised the question: Will 2026 be the exception that breaks this pattern?
according to crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett, four companies—IBM, Oracle, Intel, and IonQ—have recently raised objections to the stock tokenization plan that OKX/ICE intends to advance under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) innovation exemption framework.As of now, the total number of stock issuers opposing the plan has risen to 26.