Prediction markets based on BNB Chain
Oracles are bringing prediction markets on-chain, allowing users to trade beliefs, bet on outcomes, and settle in real time.
The Situational Awareness fund, managed by "AI Stock God" Leopold Aschenbrenner, accumulated a gain of 439% before June 2026. However, it suffered severe setbacks during the AI sector sell-off in July. The fund is currently communicating with existing investors and lenders to seek new capital and is offering some LPs the opportunity to purchase assets from its portfolio.Sources say this capital discussion appears more like an ad-hoc response than an organized new fundraising round. The fund had previously used leverage through prime brokers at several major investment banks to amplify its AI trading exposure, turning market drawdowns further into funding pressure.In a letter to investors on July 24, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund failed to avoid this market shock, noting that Asian markets were particularly affected. However, he believes this sell-off could present the best buying opportunity since early 2025. He plans to open a window for new capital on August 1st and views Anthropic's potential IPO as a catalyst for the second half of the year.According to disclosures, some holdings saw significant declines in July. Oracle and AMD fell approximately 20% for the month, while Nebius, Saronic AI, Bloom Energy, Sandisk, and others saw even larger drops. The Nasdaq 100 index fell about 10% in July, and South Korea's Kospi index dropped by roughly one-third.Currently, lacking specific data on the fund's exact drawdown magnitude, it is difficult to determine whether this fundraising is a passive capital injection driven by leverage pressure or an active move to increase positions for an opportunity. However, market trends suggest it is closer to the former. If forced selling occurs, the deleveraging process could also create discount opportunities in assets whose fundamentals haven't materially changed.
AI data center Crusoe Energy Systems is in talks for a new round of financing worth approximately $3 billion. Upon completion of this round, the company's valuation is expected to roughly triple from the previous round, reaching the $30 billion range.Founded in 2018, Crusoe initially started with crypto-related businesses before transitioning into an AI infrastructure and data center service provider. It is currently categorized as one of the "neocloud" firms, a new type of cloud computing company focused on providing computational power support for generative AI. The company has signed compute supply contracts with tech giants including Meta and Oracle. As demand for AI infrastructure construction surges, the scale of its compute business continues to expand.According to previously public information, Crusoe completed a funding round of approximately $1.38 billion last year, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. If this new round is successfully completed, it would become another large-scale capital move in the AI infrastructure sector.Market sources estimate that the final valuation for this round could be around the $30 billion level, but the deal is still in progress and has not yet been finalized. (Reuters)
The Situational Awareness fund, managed by "AI Stock God" Leopold Aschenbrenner, accumulated a gain of 439% before June 2026. However, it suffered severe setbacks during the AI sector sell-off in July. The fund is currently communicating with existing investors and lenders to seek new capital and is offering some LPs the opportunity to purchase assets from its portfolio.Sources say this capital discussion appears more like an ad-hoc response than an organized new fundraising round. The fund had previously used leverage through prime brokers at several major investment banks to amplify its AI trading exposure, turning market drawdowns further into funding pressure.In a letter to investors on July 24, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund failed to avoid this market shock, noting that Asian markets were particularly affected. However, he believes this sell-off could present the best buying opportunity since early 2025. He plans to open a window for new capital on August 1st and views Anthropic's potential IPO as a catalyst for the second half of the year.According to disclosures, some holdings saw significant declines in July. Oracle and AMD fell approximately 20% for the month, while Nebius, Saronic AI, Bloom Energy, Sandisk, and others saw even larger drops. The Nasdaq 100 index fell about 10% in July, and South Korea's Kospi index dropped by roughly one-third.Currently, lacking specific data on the fund's exact drawdown magnitude, it is difficult to determine whether this fundraising is a passive capital injection driven by leverage pressure or an active move to increase positions for an opportunity. However, market trends suggest it is closer to the former. If forced selling occurs, the deleveraging process could also create discount opportunities in assets whose fundamentals haven't materially changed.
据链上分析师 Ai 姨(@ai_9684xtpa)监测,7 月 28 日早间,Hyperliquid 上 $SKHX 出现闪崩,4 小时爆仓金额超越币安。起因为早上 7 点韩国海力士在 NXT 盘前交易出现一笔异常订单(以 1,272,000 韩元成交 1 股,约 867 美元),因流动性较差导致股价跌幅高达 30% 并触发停牌,Hyperliquid 价格随 Oracle 跟进暴跌,Binance 价格亦因套利搬砖同步下跌。
on the 14th local time that, according to Forbes, Oracle founder and chairman Larry Ellison's assets have decreased by $124.8 billion (approximately 186 trillion Korean won) in just over a month. On the 1st of last month, Oracle's stock price was $250 per share. Holding 40% of Oracle, Larry Ellison's total assets exceeded $300 billion, making him the world's second-richest person after Elon Musk. Recently, Oracle has faced continuous selling pressure. On the 13th, its stock price fell to $133 per share, its lowest level in 14 months. Larry Ellison's assets dropped to $175.2 billion, pushing his wealth ranking down to 8th place, below NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's $176.3 billion.Last year, Oracle signed a $300 billion contract with AI startup OpenAI and began building related infrastructure like data centers. Oracle has already invested $55.7 billion in AI data centers and announced an additional $70 billion investment. On the 9th, Standard & Poor's downgraded Oracle's credit rating from BBB to BBB-, a level just above junk bond status. (ETNews SW).
Odaily Odaily previously announced that it will shut down the Hyperliquid ecosystem project Ventuals posted on X, stating that Ventuals' commodities and indices markets are now frozen. The Mark Price and Oracle Price for each market have been set based on data from external exchanges to the closing prices of today's regular trading session, and the funding rate has been set to 0. All markets will suspend trading for the remainder of the day, and the PNL of all positions will be automatically settled at the final mark price. If users currently hold open positions, no action is required; the system will automatically settle for you.Additionally, Ventuals advises all vHYPE holders to initiate withdrawals as soon as possible (if not already done). 100% of vHYPE holders can expect to exchange their tokens back for HYPE at a 1:1 ratio, along with all native staking rewards accrued since deposit. All initiated withdrawals will begin batch processing at 10:00 AM Eastern Time on June 19, and batch processing will continue every 24 to 72 hours thereafter. Once the withdrawal request is processed, it will become claimable after 7.5 days (including Hyperliquid's native 7-day standard unstaking period and a 12-hour cooldown period).Previously, Ventuals announced the closure of its business and will be integrated into another team within the Hyperliquid ecosystem; specific details have not been disclosed yet.
据 QCP Capital 于 6 月 10 日发布的市场报告,当前跨资产抛售由多重因素共振驱动:一是地缘政治层面,美伊军事冲突升级、霍尔木兹海峡通行前景不明,市场同步定价军事风险与能源中断风险;二是宏观层面,上周强于预期的非农数据重燃通胀担忧,市场对美联储 2026 年加息概率的预期明显上升,当日发布的 CPI 数据(市场预期 headline 通胀高于 4.2%)成为最大宏观变量,若再度超预期将进一步强化鹰派路径;三是 AI 交易层面,Oracle 财报面临高预期与低容错的双重压力,Broadcom 上周的市场反应已发出警示,任何前瞻指引或利润率的失望均可能拖累股市。加密市场与上述风险情绪高度联动,在 CPI 与 Oracle 财报落地前,市场料将维持脆弱、对消息面高度敏感的状态。
On-chain data shows that the whale Evaded made over $1.77 million in profits after closing short positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum, then shifted the funds to long positions in tech stocks.
According to Ostium's official report, the core of this attack lies in the compromise of the off-chain price reporting system permissions, unrelated to smart contract vulnerabilities. After obtaining off-chain authorization, the attacker utilized the protocol's registered legitimate forwarding paths to submit forged prices ($5,000 and $60,000) to the BTC-USD market, atomically completing an open-close position arbitrage cycle within the same transaction. Starting with 100 USDC and rolling to amplify the scale across 8 transactions, they extracted 23.75 million USDC from the OLP vault within 5 minutes until the vault circuit breaker mechanism was triggered. The root cause lies in the off-chain infrastructure lacking a multi-party approval mechanism equivalent to on-chain multi-signature, creating a single-point permission vulnerability. The stolen funds have been converted to ETH and mixed via Tornado Cash; tracking efforts are still ongoing.
According to CoinDesk reports, algorithmic stablecoin Balance Coin suffered an oracle price manipulation attack on July 22. The coin price plummeted from near the $1 peg to about $0.0014, a drop of over 99%, and the nominal market cap of about $3.5 million nearly went to zero. According to analysis by security firm SlowMist, the attacker fed abnormally low false Bitcoin prices into the protocol, bypassing price rationality checks and liquidation delay mechanisms. They forcibly liquidated multiple ineligible collateral vaults in a single transaction, subsequently exchanged the acquired collateral for arbitrage, and ultimately profited about $912,000 from the protocol governance entity 42DAO.
SlowMist issued a security warning stating that 42DAO suffered an attack, with losses of approximately $912,000. The attack was caused by the attacker exploiting the abnormally low price of BTCB provided by Median Oracle, completing the exploitation through the poke mechanism of the Spotter contract and the bark mechanism of the Dog contract.
Decentralized trading protocol Ostium paused trading due to suspected exploitation of its oracle system, with security firms Blockaid and CertiK estimating losses between $18 million and $22 million.
The Situational Awareness fund, managed by "AI Stock God" Leopold Aschenbrenner, accumulated a gain of 439% before June 2026. However, it suffered severe setbacks during the AI sector sell-off in July. The fund is currently communicating with existing investors and lenders to seek new capital and is offering some LPs the opportunity to purchase assets from its portfolio.Sources say this capital discussion appears more like an ad-hoc response than an organized new fundraising round. The fund had previously used leverage through prime brokers at several major investment banks to amplify its AI trading exposure, turning market drawdowns further into funding pressure.In a letter to investors on July 24, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund failed to avoid this market shock, noting that Asian markets were particularly affected. However, he believes this sell-off could present the best buying opportunity since early 2025. He plans to open a window for new capital on August 1st and views Anthropic's potential IPO as a catalyst for the second half of the year.According to disclosures, some holdings saw significant declines in July. Oracle and AMD fell approximately 20% for the month, while Nebius, Saronic AI, Bloom Energy, Sandisk, and others saw even larger drops. The Nasdaq 100 index fell about 10% in July, and South Korea's Kospi index dropped by roughly one-third.Currently, lacking specific data on the fund's exact drawdown magnitude, it is difficult to determine whether this fundraising is a passive capital injection driven by leverage pressure or an active move to increase positions for an opportunity. However, market trends suggest it is closer to the former. If forced selling occurs, the deleveraging process could also create discount opportunities in assets whose fundamentals haven't materially changed.
Ethereum staking protocol Lido stated on X platform that today's stETH Rebase has been completed as expected, and has compensated for the ETH rewards missed yesterday due to calculation deficiencies. The corresponding annual percentage rate (APR) is approximately 2.29%. Additionally, the protocol's oracle has been updated and passed audit. The new version will improve report processing speed and help locate the cause more quickly when similar issues arise in the future.Regarding the yield calculation anomaly that occurred yesterday, Lido stated that contributors are still conducting a root cause analysis. Further investigation details will be published on the official forum and social platforms. Throughout the entire incident, user funds were never at risk. Preliminary analysis suggests the issue may have stemmed from a specific edge case: the yield report from yesterday omitted a validator that was in a pending deposit status, causing some staking rewards to be excluded from the calculation.Lido stated that a complete post-mortem report will be released in the coming days to further explain the cause of the issue, remediation measures, and subsequent improvement plans.
the U.S. Pentagon has announced the signing of an enterprise software agreement with Oracle valued at nearly $7 billion, with a maximum term of 10 years. This agreement consolidates the Department of Defense's existing on-premise software licenses under a unified contract to reduce costs associated with fragmented procurement. Negotiated by the Department of the Navy, the agreement has a five-year base period and includes a five-year renewal option, covering the U.S. Department of Defense, the Coast Guard, and intelligence agencies. Previously, in May of this year, the Pentagon signed a similar software consolidation agreement with Microsoft valued at $96.9 billion over five years. (Reuters)
According to the official announcement, Binance will add 10 bStocks tokens as eligible collateral assets to Cross Margin, Portfolio Margin, and Portfolio Margin Pro on July 22, 2026 at 13:30 (UTC), including SouthKoreaBull3XETF (KORUB), AXT (AXTIB), CoreWeave (CRWVB), DirexionMUBull2XETF (MUUB), GraniteShares2XLongMRVLETF (MVLLB), Tradr2XLongSNDKETF (SNXXB), GraniteShares2XLongINTCETF (INTWB), ProSharesUltraProQQQ (TQQQB), Quantinuum (QNTB), and Oracle (ORCLB). Margin trading for the corresponding bStocks trading pairs will be enabled simultaneously. This feature is available only to VIP3 and above users; borrowing is not currently supported.
According to the official announcement, Binance will open 10 bStocks trading pairs—AXT (AXTIB), CoreWeave (CRWVB), GraniteShares 2X Long INTC ETF (INTWB), South Korea Bull 3X ETF (KORUB), Direxion MU Bull 2X ETF (MUUB), GraniteShares 2X Long MRVL ETF (MVLLB), Oracle (ORCLB), Quantinuum (QNTB), Tradr 2X Long SNDK ETF (SNXXB), and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQB)—on July 22, 2026 at 21:30, simultaneously supporting spot algorithmic trading bots and Binance Convert zero-fee trading.
SlowMist issued a security warning stating that 42DAO suffered an attack, with losses of approximately $912,000. The attack was caused by the attacker exploiting the abnormally low price of BTCB provided by Median Oracle, completing the exploitation through the poke mechanism of the Spotter contract and the bark mechanism of the Dog contract.
The Situational Awareness fund, managed by "AI Stock God" Leopold Aschenbrenner, accumulated a gain of 439% before June 2026. However, it suffered severe setbacks during the AI sector sell-off in July. The fund is currently communicating with existing investors and lenders to seek new capital and is offering some LPs the opportunity to purchase assets from its portfolio.Sources say this capital discussion appears more like an ad-hoc response than an organized new fundraising round. The fund had previously used leverage through prime brokers at several major investment banks to amplify its AI trading exposure, turning market drawdowns further into funding pressure.In a letter to investors on July 24, Aschenbrenner acknowledged that the fund failed to avoid this market shock, noting that Asian markets were particularly affected. However, he believes this sell-off could present the best buying opportunity since early 2025. He plans to open a window for new capital on August 1st and views Anthropic's potential IPO as a catalyst for the second half of the year.According to disclosures, some holdings saw significant declines in July. Oracle and AMD fell approximately 20% for the month, while Nebius, Saronic AI, Bloom Energy, Sandisk, and others saw even larger drops. The Nasdaq 100 index fell about 10% in July, and South Korea's Kospi index dropped by roughly one-third.Currently, lacking specific data on the fund's exact drawdown magnitude, it is difficult to determine whether this fundraising is a passive capital injection driven by leverage pressure or an active move to increase positions for an opportunity. However, market trends suggest it is closer to the former. If forced selling occurs, the deleveraging process could also create discount opportunities in assets whose fundamentals haven't materially changed.
According to Ostium's official report, the core of this attack lies in the compromise of the off-chain price reporting system permissions, unrelated to smart contract vulnerabilities. After obtaining off-chain authorization, the attacker utilized the protocol's registered legitimate forwarding paths to submit forged prices ($5,000 and $60,000) to the BTC-USD market, atomically completing an open-close position arbitrage cycle within the same transaction. Starting with 100 USDC and rolling to amplify the scale across 8 transactions, they extracted 23.75 million USDC from the OLP vault within 5 minutes until the vault circuit breaker mechanism was triggered. The root cause lies in the off-chain infrastructure lacking a multi-party approval mechanism equivalent to on-chain multi-signature, creating a single-point permission vulnerability. The stolen funds have been converted to ETH and mixed via Tornado Cash; tracking efforts are still ongoing.
据链上分析师 Ai 姨(@ai_9684xtpa)监测,7 月 28 日早间,Hyperliquid 上 $SKHX 出现闪崩,4 小时爆仓金额超越币安。起因为早上 7 点韩国海力士在 NXT 盘前交易出现一笔异常订单(以 1,272,000 韩元成交 1 股,约 867 美元),因流动性较差导致股价跌幅高达 30% 并触发停牌,Hyperliquid 价格随 Oracle 跟进暴跌,Binance 价格亦因套利搬砖同步下跌。
Ethereum staking protocol Lido stated on X platform that today's stETH Rebase has been completed as expected, and has compensated for the ETH rewards missed yesterday due to calculation deficiencies. The corresponding annual percentage rate (APR) is approximately 2.29%. Additionally, the protocol's oracle has been updated and passed audit. The new version will improve report processing speed and help locate the cause more quickly when similar issues arise in the future.Regarding the yield calculation anomaly that occurred yesterday, Lido stated that contributors are still conducting a root cause analysis. Further investigation details will be published on the official forum and social platforms. Throughout the entire incident, user funds were never at risk. Preliminary analysis suggests the issue may have stemmed from a specific edge case: the yield report from yesterday omitted a validator that was in a pending deposit status, causing some staking rewards to be excluded from the calculation.Lido stated that a complete post-mortem report will be released in the coming days to further explain the cause of the issue, remediation measures, and subsequent improvement plans.
the U.S. Pentagon has announced the signing of an enterprise software agreement with Oracle valued at nearly $7 billion, with a maximum term of 10 years. This agreement consolidates the Department of Defense's existing on-premise software licenses under a unified contract to reduce costs associated with fragmented procurement. Negotiated by the Department of the Navy, the agreement has a five-year base period and includes a five-year renewal option, covering the U.S. Department of Defense, the Coast Guard, and intelligence agencies. Previously, in May of this year, the Pentagon signed a similar software consolidation agreement with Microsoft valued at $96.9 billion over five years. (Reuters)
According to the official announcement, Binance will add 10 bStocks tokens as eligible collateral assets to Cross Margin, Portfolio Margin, and Portfolio Margin Pro on July 22, 2026 at 13:30 (UTC), including SouthKoreaBull3XETF (KORUB), AXT (AXTIB), CoreWeave (CRWVB), DirexionMUBull2XETF (MUUB), GraniteShares2XLongMRVLETF (MVLLB), Tradr2XLongSNDKETF (SNXXB), GraniteShares2XLongINTCETF (INTWB), ProSharesUltraProQQQ (TQQQB), Quantinuum (QNTB), and Oracle (ORCLB). Margin trading for the corresponding bStocks trading pairs will be enabled simultaneously. This feature is available only to VIP3 and above users; borrowing is not currently supported.