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Bernstein: Crypto CLARITY Act Passage Odds Rise Above 30%, Shorts Under Pressure
According to Chaoxiang research, Bernstein's September 14, 2026 report indicates that the Kalshi prediction market has rebounded to a greater than 30% probability for the passage of the CLARITY Act. The CLARITY Act, officially the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, centers on establishing a federal regulatory framework for the U.S. cryptocurrency market, delineating regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC, and clarifying exchange compliance requirements and stablecoin yield rules. The latest Senate Republican draft has made substantive concessions on Trump-related ethics provisions and incorporates a "new circuit breaker" clause to address concerns over deposit outflows from community banks. A procedural vote is scheduled for Tuesday, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday.
CFTC: Prediction Markets Must Not Use American Gambling Odds to Market Event Contracts
The CFTC has required regulated event contract exchanges to comply with derivatives laws and not use American betting odds for product marketing. Prices for relevant derivatives should be presented as notional amounts or percentages to avoid misleading market participants.
Related news
Bybit officially launches new fixed-yield trading product Bybit Odds
Bybit today announced the official launch of Bybit Odds. This is a brand-new trading product that allows users to express directional views on the price movements of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), and complete trades with fixed potential returns and zero liquidation risk.Bybit Odds is designed to eliminate the complexity and uncertainty commonly found in crypto derivatives trading. Users allocate USDT to a specific price outcome. If the prediction is correct, they receive a pre-displayed fixed payout at settlement; if the prediction is incorrect, they only lose the allocated amount, with no additional losses. The maximum return and maximum loss of each trade are clearly visible before confirmation.Bybit Odds offers three contract structures to suit different timeframes and risk preferences:Up/Down — Predict whether the price will rise or fall relative to the entry price, with settlement in 5 minutes or 15 minutes.Price Target — Predict whether the price will be above or below a specified level at expiry, with contract terms of up to 7 days.Price Range — Predict whether the price will remain within or break out of a specified range at expiry, with contract terms of up to 7 days.The minimum participation amount per trade is 5 USDT. Bybit Odds is deeply integrated with the Unified Trading Account (UTA), allowing users to directly use existing funds without additional transfers. Product pricing is supported by institutional market makers, ensuring competitive quotes and ample liquidity across all contract types.
Bernstein: Crypto CLARITY Act Passage Odds Rise Above 30%, Shorts Under Pressure
According to Chaoxiang research, Bernstein's September 14, 2026 report indicates that the Kalshi prediction market has rebounded to a greater than 30% probability for the passage of the CLARITY Act. The CLARITY Act, officially the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, centers on establishing a federal regulatory framework for the U.S. cryptocurrency market, delineating regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC, and clarifying exchange compliance requirements and stablecoin yield rules. The latest Senate Republican draft has made substantive concessions on Trump-related ethics provisions and incorporates a "new circuit breaker" clause to address concerns over deposit outflows from community banks. A procedural vote is scheduled for Tuesday, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday.
CFTC: Prediction Markets Must Not Use American Gambling Odds to Market Event Contracts
The CFTC has required regulated event contract exchanges to comply with derivatives laws and not use American betting odds for product marketing. Prices for relevant derivatives should be presented as notional amounts or percentages to avoid misleading market participants.
Sports prediction app Onyx Odds has completed a $20 million funding round, led by Payward, the parent company of Kraken.
the sports prediction app Onyx Odds has announced the completion of a $20 million funding round, led by Payward, the parent company of Kraken. The project primarily focuses on sports event predictions and is currently expanding into other trading products.
Strategy Deposits 411.48 BTC to Coinbase Prime; Polymarket Odds of Selling BTC by End of 2026 Reach 84%
Lookonchain posted on X, stating that Michael Saylor's Strategy has just deposited 411.48 BTC, valued at $30.3 million, into Coinbase Prime. On Polymarket, the probability of MicroStrategy selling BTC before December 31, 2026, has now reached 84%.