News linked to both this project and an event.
According to market sources: Bitcoin treasury company Strategy has announced a new capital framework, including a $1 billion digital credit security repurchase plan to optimize its capital structure. Meanwhile, the company's board of directors has approved a Bitcoin monetization plan, aiming to raise up to $1.25 billion through related operations to bolster its dollar reserves. As of June 28, Strategy's dollar reserves stood at approximately $2.55 billion. It is reported that the new capital arrangements are designed to enhance liquidity management capabilities and improve the overall flexibility and risk resilience of the balance sheet.
Odaily Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated in a recent CNBC interview that he remains long-term bullish on Bitcoin, while strongly criticizing Michael Saylor and his strategy of continuously purchasing Bitcoin by financing through preferred stock, arguing that this "financial engineering" approach is negatively impacting the crypto market.Garlinghouse pointed out that Strategy's reliance on issuing preferred stock (such as STRC) to raise funds for Bitcoin purchases essentially acts as a distraction in the market rather than creating long-term value. He emphasized: "Financial engineering does not create long-term value; the long-term value of digital assets comes from real utility." He specifically noted that STRC's stock price has fallen to a discount of approximately 25% from its par value, which he described as a "strong vote of no confidence" in that financing structure. Against the backdrop of market pressure this week, Strategy's common stock hit its lowest level since February 2024, and Bitcoin briefly fell below $59,000.On the market front, a CryptoQuant report indicated that if the dividend structure continues, Strategy's cash buffer has decreased from over seven years to approximately 14 months, suggesting a pause in Bitcoin purchases and a rebuilding of reserve funds. Currently, STRC trading below $100 has also rendered its "issue tokens—buy Bitcoin" funding flywheel temporarily ineffective. However, Benchmark-StoneX analyst Mark Palmer believes this model reflects more of a "decline in efficiency" rather than a systemic breakdown. Meanwhile, Ripple continues to adopt an industry-contrarian perspective, reiterating the distinct value path of its ecosystem asset XRP compared to Bitcoin. (CoinDesk)
As of the close on June 26, Strategy’s official mNAV declined to 0.99, indicating that the market’s overall valuation of the company has fallen below the market value of its held Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the perpetual preferred stock STRC trades at approximately a 25% discount to its $100 liquidation value.
According to CoinDesk, Goldman Sachs stated that U.S. IPO activity in 2026 doubled year-on-year, with approximately 50 companies having gone public and issuance volume reaching about $120 billion in dollar terms—matching the full-year record set in 2021. Ben Snider, Goldman Sachs’ Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, noted that this recovery is primarily driven by a wave of large-cap listings and financing demand tied to AI development—a “normal recovery” that remains fundamentally distinct from the speculative frenzy seen during the dot-com bubble. Currently, the average annual number of IPOs stands at roughly 100, far below the 250 IPOs in 2021 and the nearly 400 IPOs recorded at the peak of the 1999 bubble. Notably, crypto firms—including Payward (Kraken’s parent company), Consensys, Ledger, and Grayscale—have postponed or suspended their IPO plans amid market volatility and underwhelming post-listing performance. Meanwhile, high-profile AI- and tech-related IPOs such as SpaceX have successfully listed, drawing institutional capital away from the crypto market and into other sectors—exerting downward pressure on tokens and crypto-related stocks.
JAN3 CEO posted on X, stating that Strategy should immediately execute an OTC transaction with BSTR. BSTR could pay Strategy $1.5 billion, helping the latter increase its cash reserves to $2.9 billion. Meanwhile, BSTR could add 25,000 BTC to its existing holdings of 30,021 BTC, boosting its total holdings to 55,021 BTC and jumping to second place in the ranking of Bitcoin treasury companies.Odaily note: BSTR, short for Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, is a Bitcoin treasury company founded by renowned cryptographer and Blockstream co-founder Adam Back. The company is actively raising funds to continue accumulating BTC.
According to Crypto in America, the National District Attorneys Association, the National Association of Assistant U.S. Attorneys, the International Association of Chiefs of Police, and the National Sheriffs’ Association jointly sent a letter to Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the White House Crypto Council, expressing strong opposition to Section 604 of the “Clarity Act”—the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA). Law enforcement groups argue that this provision could create regulatory loopholes exploitable by criminals for illicit activities including drug trafficking, fraud, child exploitation, sanctions evasion, and terrorist financing. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency-backed candidates achieved sweeping victories in primary elections across Maryland, New York, and Utah. Fairshake—a pro-crypto super PAC—has collectively spent over $7.6 million supporting these candidates, including $5.5 million backing Adrian Boafo, the candidate for Maryland’s 5th congressional district. Miller Whitehouse-Levine, founder of the Solana Policy Institute, warned that August 7, 2026, may be the final window for Congress to pass cryptocurrency market structure legislation. He stated that the industry is willing to make limited revisions to the BRCA provisions to address law enforcement concerns—but firmly opposes any fundamental changes that would weaken the core protections enshrined in the provision. Additionally, the House Financial Services Committee held a hearing on “The Future of Payments” the same day.
CryptoQuant suggests Michael Saylor's Strategy should currently pause further Bitcoin purchases and instead prioritize rebuilding its cash reserves, as its dividend obligations have significantly increased, cash reserves have sharply declined, and unrealized losses on Bitcoin are widening.Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, pointed out that Strategy's preferred stock, STRC, fell to $82.50 last week, a 17.5% discount from its $100 par value, marking its largest historical discount. This pressure stems from the bearish Bitcoin market environment and the company's diminished cash buffer capacity.The report states that Strategy recently repurchased $1.5 billion of its 0% convertible senior notes due 2029, further reducing the cash buffer available to support STRC dividend payments. Meanwhile, the company's cash reserves have declined by 38% since the beginning of 2026.On the other hand, as Strategy issues more STRC to finance Bitcoin purchases, its annualized dividend obligation has risen from approximately $300 million at the start of the year to roughly $1.2 billion currently—a nearly fourfold increase in less than six months. CryptoQuant believes the company should become more selective in its Bitcoin purchases rather than continuing indiscriminate accumulation amid intensifying cash pressures.
According to Yonhap News Agency, Lee Chan-jin, Governor of Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), stated at a press briefing on June 22 that the launch of single-stock leveraged ETFs tracking Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix had yielded poor results and generated excessive side effects—causing him deep personal regret—and acknowledged that the policy had effectively failed. He pointed out that the extremely high trading turnover rates of these products enabled securities firms to collect massive commissions while delivering no substantive returns to investors; the highest turnover rate approached 200%, allowing securities firms to earn up to 10 trillion Korean won in transaction fees. Meanwhile, he expressed serious concern over the ongoing expansion of leveraged investment in the market and the extreme concentration of trading in semiconductor stocks, emphasizing that the FSS would consult with relevant policy authorities to introduce, in phases, safeguards targeting margin financing. Additionally, regarding Future Asset Securities’ zero-allocation policy for the SpaceX public stock offering, he remarked it was “difficult to understand.” The FSS has launched an on-site inspection of Korea Investment Trust Management Co., Ltd., and will conduct a compliance review of Samsung Asset Management Co., Ltd.
“New Stock God” Serenity posted on platform X, expressing curiosity about how investors will feel if they miss the AI super cycle.Serenity believes that photonics, memory storage, and Neocloud providers represented by Nebius (NBIS) are all poised to benefit from the development opportunities of the AI super cycle. Meanwhile, Serenity quipped that some investors are still holding IREN, which has “endless $6 billion ATM financing capabilities,” while overlooking potential opportunities within the AI industry chain.
Bitcoin has dropped approximately 40% since Strategy launched its Bitcoin financing instrument, STRC, which has now fallen below its $100 issuance par value. This has sparked market debate over the sustainability of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin “flywheel” model. Strategy currently holds over 846,000 BTC, but its purchase pace has notably slowed recently. Data shows that during the week ending June 8, the company added 1,550 BTC, worth approximately $101 million. The following week, ending June 15, it added another 1,587 BTC, valued at about $100 million. In contrast, during a single week in April 2026, the firm bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion, indicating a significant decline in its recent capital deployment.Meanwhile, Strategy previously sold 32 BTC to meet dividend obligations. While minimal relative to its total holdings, the market views this as a sign that cash flow pressures could intensify if STRC’s funding efficiency declines. STRC was originally designed as a preferred stock instrument trading near its $100 par value, using dividend adjustments to attract investors and help Strategy raise capital for Bitcoin purchases. STRC has now fallen to historic lows, once dropping to $82.53 before closing at $88.59—roughly 13% below par value.Critics argue that STRC’s dip below par indicates mounting pressure on Strategy’s funding channels. Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, labeled STRC “a typical centralized Ponzi scheme,” claiming the model relies on continuous financing or Bitcoin sales to sustain itself. Crypto trader DonAlt also questioned STRC’s recent performance, describing its trading behavior as resembling a “Ponzi scheme.”However, some analysts believe STRC’s decline is more due to leverage liquidations than a fundamental deterioration of Strategy. STRC had long traded around $99 to $100, attracting leveraged traders. When the price broke below a key level, forced liquidations were triggered, exacerbating the drop.Analyst Scott Melker noted that STRC’s current yield has actually improved due to the discount. Since dividends are calculated based on the $100 liquidation preference, at an STRC price of $90, the 11.5% annualized dividend translates to an actual yield of about 12.8%. If the price falls to $85, the yield could exceed 13%.Strategy is expected to announce its next STRC dividend adjustment by June 30. The market is now focused on whether the STRC discount will persist and whether Strategy’s model of using capital market financing to continuously accumulate BTC can remain stable. (Cointelegraph)
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin may have entered a new accumulation zone, but the potential structural bottom for this cycle remains around $48,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s post-adjustment seller risk ratio indicator shows that unprofitable supply is beginning to surpass profitable supply, and unrealized pressure on holders is rising significantly. Meanwhile, the Cumulative Value Destroyed Days (CVDD) valuation model indicates that Bitcoin’s structural bottom for this cycle is approximately $48,000.
According to Odaily, the crypto derivatives contract SPCX, linked to a potential SpaceX IPO, has seen a rebound on the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid, reigniting market expectations for the space company founded by Elon Musk's first day of trading.Data shows that the SPCX contract traded back up to approximately $176 to $183 on Friday, recovering from a dip to around $153 earlier this week. This marks a significant bounce from the roughly $157 level observed when market attention peaked on Wednesday. The contract currently has an open interest of about $216 million, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $150 million.SPCX does not represent ownership of SpaceX stock, allocation rights, or equity in the company; it is a cash-settled derivative. However, with the SpaceX IPO price set at $135 per share, the market views this contract as a key benchmark for gauging investor expectations of the opening price on the first day of listing.At the current price of around $183, SPCX implies a first-day premium of about 36% for SpaceX. Earlier, in May, the contract surged to $216, corresponding to a roughly 60% premium over the IPO price. When the contract fell to $157 earlier this week, the implied market premium narrowed to about 16%.Meanwhile, other informal market signals also indicate a rebound in investor sentiment. Bloomberg reports that derivatives data from IG International implies a market valuation for SpaceX of approximately $2.4 trillion, which is over 35% higher than the roughly $1.77 trillion valuation implied by the IPO price. Additionally, Polymarket users are currently assigning a 70% probability to SpaceX's market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at the close of its first trading day.SPCX had previously fallen by about 30% over several weeks, reflecting traders' cautious stance on SpaceX's listing performance. The recent rebound suggests the market is re-pricing the potential for a higher valuation premium from the SpaceX IPO. (CoinDesk)
digital asset platform Gate has released its May 2026 transparency report. The report indicates that multi-asset trading and prediction markets are becoming key growth engines for the platform. As of the end of May, Gate had listed 605 CFD trading assets, covering multiple categories including stocks, indices, forex, metals, and commodities, ranking among the top globally among crypto trading platforms in terms of asset count. Additionally, Gate Stocks allows users to trade over 10,000 US stocks and ETFs from major U.S. markets using USDT, covering the main U.S. securities trading markets and liquidity networks. The platform's direct IPO first-phase project, SpaceX, saw意向 subscription amounts exceed $100 million.Meanwhile, the platform continues to deepen its presence in the prediction market sector. Gate has deeply integrated Polymarket, launching features such as smart money tracking, wallet monitoring, top holdings, profit/loss statistics, and AI analysis. As the first CEX platform to integrate Polymarket, Gate continues to strengthen its advantage as a prediction market gateway, maintaining a leading position in user participation scale, market activity, and ecosystem influence.Furthermore, Gate's flagship event, WCTC S8, successfully concluded in May, attracting over 80,000 participants and 9,500 registered teams. The cumulative total weighted trading volume for the event exceeded $50 billion, with the CFD segment alone accounting for a cumulative trading volume of over $140 billion, reflecting the strong growth momentum of traditional financial assets within crypto trading scenarios. As stablecoins, RWA, asset tokenization, and prediction markets emerge as new growth engines for the industry, Gate will continue to expand its business layout in stocks, forex, and IPOs, aiming to build a comprehensive one-stop global digital financial services platform.
a16z Crypto has published an article explaining the rationale behind leading the investment in Morpho. It points out that credit is a core mechanism for modern economic growth and capital allocation, and that blockchain-driven open credit networks have the potential to lower the cost of financial infrastructure, enhance market competition efficiency, and provide global users with broader financing and yield opportunities. a16z Crypto disclosed that it first engaged with the Morpho team in 2022. Since the global financial crisis, the private credit market has grown rapidly, reflecting the market’s demand for more direct and efficient financing models. Meanwhile, institutions can issue their own lending markets that share the network’s liquidity and network effects. The infrastructure in this area is expected to dismantle traditional financial intermediary systems and build a global open credit network.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "On the second trading day of SpaceX (ticker: SPCX) on the Nasdaq, will its opening price be greater than or equal to its first-day closing price (i.e., open higher on the second day)?"SpaceX officially submitted its S-1 prospectus on May 20 and is scheduled to list on the Nasdaq on June 12. This IPO breaks tradition by adopting a fixed price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.75 trillion. Market traders are divided: positions betting on a higher opening on the second day are mainly supported by Starlink's strong revenue performance and the potential of space-based orbital data centers and computing power from the merger with xAI (restructured as SpaceXAI) in February 2026. Meanwhile, cautious short positions are primarily concerned about its high trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 90x, the significant losses from its AI business, and the amplifying effect of Musk's dual-class share structure on stock price volatility in the early stages of listing.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.
Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last week, recording its worst single-week performance since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022. In the seven days through Sunday, Bitcoin accumulated a decline of 16%, retreating over 50% from its all-time high of over $126,000 in 2025.Multiple market analysts have warned that the current rebound may be difficult to sustain, and Bitcoin may not have reached the bottom of this cycle yet. Griffin Ardern, co-founder of Primal Fund, stated that the market is still "a considerable distance" from a "true bottom."Data shows that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total outflows reaching approximately $5.5 billion. Meanwhile, Bitcoin last week fell below the 200-week moving average, widely regarded as a key support level, further weakening market confidence. Paul Howard, a senior executive at crypto trading firm Wincent, described the current market conditions as a "silent bear market," arguing that breaking below the 200-week moving average is a significant confirmation signal that the market has entered a bear phase.Analysts point out that the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, the reversal of expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and strong U.S. employment data are driving the market to reassess the rate path. A high-interest-rate environment is unfavorable for the performance of risk assets, including crypto assets. Additionally, some capital is flowing out of the crypto market into artificial intelligence and technology stock sectors.Despite this, the magnitude of the current correction is still smaller than historical bear market cycles. In past bear markets, Bitcoin typically retraced about 80% from its peak, whereas this cycle's decline is approximately 50%. Some traders believe that if the macroeconomic environment continues to deteriorate and companies holding large amounts of Bitcoin face financing pressures, the market still faces further downside risks in the future. (Bloomberg)
According to an independent analyst report by Markus Thielen on June 9, just days remain before SpaceX’s IPO, and market expectations continue to intensify. There is currently little indication that SpaceX will raise its expected offering price of $135, suggesting the targeted fundraising amount of $7.5 billion has already been substantially subscribed. Meanwhile, pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts tied to SpaceX are trading at $157 on Hyperliquid and $169 on Binance—both significantly above the expected offering price—with implied valuations on both platforms approaching $2 trillion. Although prices have retreated from earlier highs near $200, prediction markets still assign a 68% probability that SpaceX’s valuation will exceed $2 trillion by year-end, reflecting traders’ broad expectation of a strong IPO performance.
BIT Group posted on X platform, stating that with only days remaining until the SpaceX IPO, market expectations are heating up, with a general consensus that the stock is likely to perform well post-listing. Unlike many recent IPOs, there are currently few signs that SpaceX will raise its offering price, indicating that the target fundraising amount of $75 billion has already received fairly sufficient subscription coverage.Meanwhile, SpaceX-related pre-IPO synthetic perpetual contracts are trading at around $157 on Hyperliquid (calculated based on the old 11.9 billion share count) and quoting $169 on Binance, both significantly higher than the expected IPO price of $135. Although prices have fallen from around $200 a few days ago and undergone a repricing, the current implied valuations on both platforms still approach nearly $2 trillion, indicating that traders still anticipate a strong market debut for SpaceX. Prediction markets are also leaning towards optimism, with the current probability of SpaceX's valuation exceeding $2 trillion by the end of the year standing at 68%.
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's price has retraced approximately 20% over the past month, with two key on-chain indicators showing sustained market sentiment pressure. Among them, Bitcoin's MVRV Z-score has dropped from 0.95 a month ago to 0.32, far below the historical average of 1.71, indicating that the previous valuation premium has largely been digested and the market has entered a range more conducive to long-term accumulation.Meanwhile, Bitcoin's 7-day simple moving average of Net Realized Profit/Loss has been in negative territory for 22 consecutive days, meaning the market has been completing transactions at a loss since May 18. The indicator hit a low of approximately -$1.2 billion on June 6 and has since slightly recovered to around -$1.1 billion. Although market pressure is evident, it remains below the extreme levels of approximately -$2.2 billion seen during the 2022 bear market capitulation phase.Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that currently, a large number of holders are selling Bitcoin below their cost basis, reflecting significant market fear and capitulation sentiment. However, the MVRV Z-score remains above 0, suggesting that the market has not yet entered a deeply undervalued zone, nor has it presented a historically significant value trough.He believes that combining these two indicators, while market sentiment is relatively weak, valuations have clearly cooled down. Going forward, key focus points will be whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss can return above the zero line and whether the MVRV Z-score can maintain a positive value. If the MVRV Z-score falls below 0, or realized losses move closer to the extreme levels of 2022 once again, it could signal the onset of a deeper phase of market capitulation.
: AI startup Moonshot AI is seeking to raise up to $2 billion in a new funding round, which would value the company at $30 billion. Moonshot AI has already entered early-stage talks with potential investors and plans to raise over $1 billion. Meanwhile, the company is nearing the completion of a funding round led by Meituan, which values it at $2 billion.As of April, Moonshot AI's annualized recurring revenue had exceeded $200 million, driven by increased demand for its Kimi chatbot and large language model. Additionally, the company is dismantling its offshore structure to pave the way for an initial public offering in Hong Kong, and plans to establish a joint venture structure to allow foreign capital to participate. The company recently launched Kimi Work, a general-purpose AI agent based on its K2.6 series model. (Bloomberg)