News linked to both this project and an event.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that data shows Bitcoin is shifting from short-term speculators to long-term holders. The share of Short-Term Holders (STH) has dropped to 23%, the lowest level since the bottoming phase from 2022 to 2023; meanwhile, the share of Long-Term Holders (LTH) is approaching historical highs.
According to monitoring by on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), whale address 0xC8b5 opened a 37,229 SKHX long position with 3x leverage yesterday, with a position value of approximately $37.28 million, and has currently lost $2.26 million. Notably, this whale previously lost over $1 million on each of three consecutive trades.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, the long-short battle in Changxin Memory continues. A whale is shorting 2.8 million Changxin Memory tokens, worth $20 million, currently facing a loss of $1.9 million and having paid $1.04 million in funding fees; another whale is holding a long position of 1.63 million Changxin Memory tokens, worth $11.66 million, currently making a profit of $853,000 and earning $606,000 in funding fees.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, storage stocks continue to correct, and the SKHX long position held by "Trader Loracle" is under increasing pressure. This position was opened on June 24 with 2x leverage, with a size of approximately $2.548 million and an average price of $1,229.4. As SKHX dropped to $992.3, the cost basis has been breached by 19.3%. This position shows an unrealized loss of approximately $609,000, with a return rate of -192.9%, and the loss is close to 1.93 times the margin.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted that data shows the volume of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) inflows to exchanges recently reached a phased high. Based on the 90-day average, current long-term holder inflows account for 5.1% of total exchange inflows, approaching historical highs, surpassed only by the level of approximately 5.5% in 2020.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the whale starting with 0x9a8 continued to add to its CXMT position this morning, buying 112,000 units through 222 transactions within about one and a half hours, with a transaction value of approximately $721,000 and a weighted buy price of $6.44.
according to Lookonchain monitoring, an abnormal order briefly pushed the SKHX price below $930, triggering the liquidation of over $80 million worth of SKHX positions.Among them, trader 0xc985's long position of 2,026 SKHX, worth approximately $2.08 million, was fully liquidated, resulting in a loss of about $260,000.
According to Odaily, a 26-year-old male trader at Hong Kong's Chee Fu Management Services Limited allegedly misappropriated HK$50 million of company funds as margin to purchase the CSOP Direxion 2x Long SK Hynix ETF using leveraged financing.Due to the double leverage of margin financing combined with the 2x leveraged ETF, the position incurred paper losses of approximately HK$150 million. The ETF had risen to an all-time high of HK$193.65 in late June, but subsequently corrected along with the semiconductor sector, falling over 72% to HK$52.58 as of July 20.The trader has been arrested by police on suspicion of theft. As the position has not yet been closed, the final loss will continue to fluctuate with price movements. (Tencent News)
According to Tencent News "YiXian", a 26-year-old male trader at Hong Kong Zhi Fu Management Services Limited misappropriated 50 million HKD of company funds as margin without authorization between January 9 and July 20 this year, using financing leverage to heavily buy the HKEX-listed CSOP 2x Long SK Hynix ETF (07709.HK), ultimately resulting in paper losses of up to 150 million HKD. Driven by the memory chip theme, the ETF surged to a historical high of HKD 193.65 at the end of June this year, but subsequently the semiconductor sector corrected sharply. As of July 20, it had plummeted to HKD 52.58, a decline of over 72%. Hong Kong financial professionals analyzed that the combination of double leverage from margin financing and the 2x Long ETF was the main reason why the 50 million principal turned into a 150 million huge loss. The incident was uncovered during the company's recent audit. The man involved was arrested by the police on July 20 on suspicion of "theft". Currently, the relevant stock positions have not yet been forcibly liquidated, and the final loss remains uncertain. After the incident, some clients of Zhi Fu Securities made risk-avoidance withdrawals.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on platform X that the holdings of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH, those holding coins for over 6 months) have reached a new all-time high, currently exceeding 16.3 million BTC. Their average cost basis is approximately $49,400, yielding only about 30% in unrealized profit at the current price, which is relatively low. In comparison, the net unrealized profit for long-term holders reached as high as approximately 340% in January 2025.Darkfost also noted that towards the end of the last bear market, long-term holders were collectively in a state of approximately 20% unrealized loss, and the market ultimately experienced a deeper correction. This suggests that the market could still see further corrections in the future, potentially pushing long-term holders back into loss territory. However, this is not necessarily a guaranteed repetition of historical patterns. He advises investors to prepare for both market rallies and corrections.
Currently, the supply of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (LTH) at a loss has exceeded the level during the FTX collapse and is approaching the 2018 bear market phase. The current Bitcoin Realized Price is approximately $50,000. Historically, every cycle has retested the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, so there remains a possibility of retesting this level in the future.
the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market is improving, but on-chain data suggests it is still insufficient to confirm the start of a new bull market, with the risk of another downturn remaining.Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's Supply in Profit has risen to 57.5%. This metric represents the proportion of BTC supply whose current market price is higher than its acquisition cost. It has rebounded significantly from the 2026 low of 46.2% on June 30, now approaching 60%. However, the recovery of the supply in profit still needs sustained validation. Historical cycles indicate that the true end of a bear market typically requires two conditions to be met simultaneously:First, the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) must consistently remain above 1 and not drop below it for several weeks.Second, Bitcoin's Supply in Profit needs to stabilize above 64%.Analysts point out that this cycle has already seen one "false breakout." Between April 28 and June 1 this year, the average LTH-SOPR stayed above 1 for 35 consecutive days, while the Supply in Profit briefly rose to 67%. However, the market subsequently declined again. Currently, the 30-day SMA of the LTH-SOPR has been below 1 for over 50 consecutive days, remaining a key risk signal for assessing the strength of the market recovery.While the proportion of BTC in profit is improving, the market needs further confirmation regarding long-term holder behavior and changes in the profit structure before determining whether the current rebound will genuinely transition into a new upward cycle. (Cointelegraph)
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted a significant increase in on-chain activity among the oldest cohort of Bitcoin holders recently. Data shows that BTC holder groups with holding periods of 5 to 7 years and 7 to 10 years have seen their daily UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) movements exceed 5,000 BTC on multiple occasions.Darkfost pointed out that spending UTXOs does not necessarily mean selling. Long-term holders typically move Bitcoin for two main reasons: first, for security purposes, such as transferring UTXOs from an original address when changing wallet addresses; second, to sell assets. However, based on current on-chain data, no significant flow of funds to exchanges has been observed, so there is currently no indication that these long-term holders are engaging in large-scale selling of BTC.It is worth noting that this behavior is occurring as Bitcoin again tests the $60,000 level, a situation similar to market movements observed between February and March this year. The market will continue to monitor whether the activity of long-term holders will further impact the BTC supply and demand dynamics.
Odaily reports, according to monitoring by Ai Yi, the whale "Set Ten Big Goals First" has temporarily increased its long position to 2,933.63 BTC, with an entry price of $64,940.14. This brings the total position value to $190 million, with an unrealized profit of $209,000.Previously, the whale "Set Ten Big Goals First" posted on X explaining the reason for immediately opening a long position after closing a short position: their medium-to-long-term bullish view on BTC remains unchanged. They mentioned that $60,000 is an important demarcation zone from the last bull run and also serves as the key cost support zone they are focusing on in this cycle.
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the GOOGL long position (0xC8b) disclosed last night continued to add to its position after the report. From 22:00 on July 22 to 4:00 early this morning, it cumulatively opened 38,800 GOOGL long contracts, with a value of approximately $13.5578 million and an average price of $349.28, adding approximately $2.8978 million compared to the time of disclosure.
Tushar Jain, Managing Partner of Multicoin Capital, posted on platform X, stating that a large amount of HYPE was unstaked yesterday, but not for the purpose of selling assets. He noted that because institutional capital flows are constantly tracked on-chain, it forces them to periodically rotate wallets, highlighting the importance of privacy infrastructure. This is why Multicoin Capital is long-term bullish on Zama and Zcash.Previously, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a suspected Multicoin Capital-related address (0xaB3...297) is selling 607,000 HYPE, worth $37 million.
Mizuho analysts stated that if the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the "Clarity Act," is passed, while it may generally benefit the digital asset industry, the long-term impact on Circle could be negative. The reason is that regulatory clarity will attract more large institutions into the stablecoin market, further accelerating stablecoin commodification and eroding the revenue potential of Circle's USDC.Mizuho believes that the primary pressure Circle faces in the near term comes from Open USD. This stablecoin project is backed by a coalition of over 140 financial, technology, and crypto companies, with members including Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock, and Coinbase. Unlike Circle's model, which retains approximately 38% of USDC reserve yields, Open USD employs a "pass-through" model, distributing nearly all reserve yields to distribution partners while retaining only a small management fee.Analysts also noted that Coinbase, as the largest distributor of USDC, also supports Open USD. This could give Coinbase stronger bargaining power when renegotiating its revenue-sharing agreement with Circle in the future. The distribution agreement between the two parties could be up for renegotiation as early as next month.
Odaily News: On-chain analyst EmberCN posted on X, stating that Micron's stock opened up 8%. A whale opened a $35 million long position on Micron today and is currently sitting on an unrealized profit of $750,000.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), address 0xc8b…48891 deposited $14.64 million in margin about 1 hour ago and subsequently opened a 3x $MU long position worth $21.39 million at an entry price of $917.29; currently, a small amount of orders remain unfilled.
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi, as BTC breaks through $66,000, the unrealized profit on the BTC long position of the "Set 10 Big Goals First" whale @Jason60704294 may expand to $5.15 million. The average entry price is $63,827.06, with an estimated position of approximately 2,358.05 BTC (approximately $150 million).