News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily reports: U.S. Attorney Daniel N. Rosen for the District of Minnesota announced that Raymond Christian Garcia and Isiah Angelo Garcia, from Waller, Texas, have each been sentenced to 180 months and 186 months in prison respectively for their involvement in a September 2025 armed kidnapping of a family in Grant, Minnesota, and cryptocurrency extortion scheme.Court documents show that on September 19, 2025, the two traveled from Texas to Minnesota, broke into the victims' home armed with firearms, bound the family with zip ties and held them at gunpoint for over 9 hours, forcing the victims to hand over access to their cryptocurrency accounts. After failing to obtain the expected amount, the two forced the victims to drive to the family's vacation home in northern Minnesota to retrieve additional cryptocurrency storage devices and transfer funds, ultimately forcing the victims to transfer over $8 million in cryptocurrency. After the victims' son called the police, the two fled the scene and were later identified and arrested by law enforcement near Houston, Texas. Both pleaded guilty in June 2026 and were sentenced on October 29.
According to BeInCrypto, Chainalysis data shows that over the year ending June 2026, the South African crypto economy expanded by 52% to $39.3 billion, with increases across all tracked activity categories. Commercial payments, including those from South African merchants and P2P traders, reached $8.34 billion, outpacing institutional activity ($1.29 billion in inflows); stablecoin inflows through Sub-Saharan African P2P channels totaled $14.6 billion, on par with Bitcoin. A draft regulatory framework for crypto asset management released by the South African Treasury and Reserve Bank (SARB) on August 3 would stipulate that individuals may only transfer crypto assets abroad through authorized local service providers within existing foreign exchange limits, while businesses are prohibited from cross-border transfers of crypto assets. As of March 31, the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) had issued licenses to 310 crypto asset service providers, though these entities must still secure separate authorization from the SARB. On October 21, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana stated that after receiving thousands of public submissions, the Treasury will aim to release a revised second draft, with no timeline currently announced.
Odaily reports: According to Bitfinex analysis, Strategy shareholders voted on October 28 to approve a proposal for daily dividend payments on STRC preferred stock, with preliminary results showing 99.3% of votes in favor. STRC is expected to shift from semi-monthly dividend payments to daily dividend payments starting November 1, with the first cash dividend payment arriving on November 2; Strategy's other three preferred stocks, STRF, STRK, and STRD, are expected to follow suit in January 2027.Strategy's move aims to reduce price volatility around ex-dividend dates. Company CEO Phong Le stated that previously, when STRC paid dividends monthly, prices fell by an average of about 49 basis points around the ex-dividend date, which dropped to about 36 basis points after switching to semi-monthly payments. The company expects that daily dividend payments will further disperse selling pressure and improve price stability.This model was not pioneered by Strategy. Bitcoin treasury company Strive converted its SATA preferred stock to daily dividend payments in June of this year and launched a subordinated preferred stock, SATS, with a fixed annual dividend rate of 15%. In October, Strive issued 7 million shares of SATS at $90 per share, raising approximately $630 million, and used about $511 million of that to purchase 6,182 BTC.
Odaily reports: The sports prediction account pseudonymously known as swisstony has profited approximately $12.25 million since April 2026, becoming the most profitable account on Polymarket. The statistics cover 170 million predictions across roughly 1.2 million retail accounts. swisstony has opened positions approximately 184,000 times, covering more than 113,000 markets, with cumulative investments of about $657 million; since June, the account has made at least one prediction nearly every hour for 26 consecutive days.
Morgan Stanley analyst Mike Wilson believes the U.S. stock market pullback that began in June is entering its final stage, but the S&P 500 index may still need to drop to the 7,100 to 7,200 range before a more sustained rally can begin.
According to Wintermute's weekly market report, Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive weekly decline, breaking below $82,500 and retesting $80,000 before closing at approximately $80,500. ETH dropped 3.40%, closing at around $2,330. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $636 million on Thursday, the largest single-day outflow since June, coinciding with a 2.6% drop in the Nasdaq on the same day. On the macro front, following Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure, Brent crude surged 5.66% to $116.72, with oil prices displacing AI financing as the primary market concern. Wintermute noted that as of October 18, markets price in roughly an 86% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this Wednesday, alongside expectations for a December rate hike. The Fed's forward guidance regarding December represents the key risk. Technically, BTC must reclaim the $82,000–$82,500 zone. Should the $80,000 level fail, the next support sits at $76,000, with a breakdown likely pushing prices to just over $70,000. The firm stated it is temporarily not taking a bearish view but will remain cautious until the FOMC meeting concludes and BTC reclaims $82,500. Key upcoming events include the October 28 FOMC meeting, October 29 reports for Q3 GDP and September PCE data, and the October 30 monthly options expiration.
According to QCP Capital market analysis reports, BTC fell below $80,000 over the weekend and is currently trading at the lower boundary of its recent range. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and ETF fund outflows later last week triggered leveraged long liquidations. QCP noted that the key variables this week are the FOMC meeting on Oct. 27-28 and earnings reports from major tech companies: Microsoft and Alphabet will report on Oct. 28, while Amazon will report on Oct. 29. Last week, Meta dropped 7% after raising its capital expenditure guidance, and the Nasdaq posted its worst single-day performance since June. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in October and an approximately 84% probability in December. There will be no dot plot released with this meeting, and the market will focus on Fed Chair Walsh's press conference. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.96%. On the technical side, BTC support sits at $78,000, with resistance at $86,000 and further levels between $88,000 and $90,000. Glassnode data indicates that the cost basis for ETF holders and corporate treasuries ranges from $80,000 to $81,500. ETH support is at $2,150, with resistance at $2,500. The ETH/BTC ratio has fallen to approximately 0.029, and ETH ETFs recorded net outflows for the fourth consecutive week, totaling $220.7 million. Q
Bitcoin News posted on X platform that Zack Wainwright, a research analyst at Fidelity Digital Assets, stated that as of October 12, Bitcoin had risen nearly 50% from its bear market low of around $58,000 in June, with a trajectory similar to its 2022 recovery path. He cautioned that Bitcoin's returns have been narrowing each cycle, and past performance does not guarantee future results, but significant upside in dollar terms remains possible; Bitcoin took nearly 16 years to break through $100,000 for the first time, and the move from $100,000 to $200,000 could happen much faster.
Bitcoin News posted on X that after Bitcoin closed below its 50-day moving average, the price is around $80,600, marking the first time since August that it has fallen below this moving average and ending a streak of 66 consecutive days above it; the price is still about 10% above its 200-day moving average. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $137.9 million on Friday, marking two consecutive trading days of net outflows; the previous day, Thursday, saw net outflows of $635.6 million, the largest single-day outflow since June. The two trading days combined saw net outflows of approximately $773.5 million.
Odaily reports: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $635.6 million on Thursday, the largest single-day net outflow since June. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT saw a net outflow of $254.1 million, Fidelity's FBTC saw a net outflow of $217.5 million, and Ark Invest and 21Shares' ARKB saw a net outflow of $109.4 million. Morgan Stanley's MSBT bucked the trend with a net inflow of $2.3 million; since its launch in April this year, the fund has recorded only one single-day net outflow.Despite the large outflow on Thursday, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs still recorded cumulative net inflows of $442.7 million this week. Since their launch in January 2024, such ETFs have accumulated more than $57 billion in net inflows, with assets under management exceeding $100 billion. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $110.6 million on Thursday, Solana and Hyperliquid ETFs also saw outflows, while XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of $3.6 million.In the market, Bitcoin fell to about $81,500 at one point on Friday, down 3.4% over the past 24 hours. The selloff in U.S. tech stocks spread to Asian markets, compounded by concerns over AI spending and geopolitical tensions, weighing on crypto market performance. Over the past 24 hours, liquidations of leveraged positions in the crypto market totaled at least $440 million, of which about $397 million were long liquidations. Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital's U.S. division, said the market has recently remained in a trading range of $80,000 to $86,000, and attention should be paid to the direction of a breakout from the range. (The Block)
In a research report released on Thursday, DWF Labs pointed out that daily fund flows of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are poor predictors of Bitcoin's subsequent price movements, as investors tend to buy after prices rise and withdraw funds when prices fall. The study covered 694 trading days since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024: in the 8 instances where Bitcoin's price dropped by 15%, net ETF outflows occurred 7 times; while in all 9 instances where prices rose by 15%, net inflows occurred. DWF Labs concluded that ETF fund flows are more of a confirmation of market trends rather than a leading indicator.Data shows that the correlation coefficient between same-day ETF fund flows and Bitcoin price changes over the previous 5 trading days was 0.54, but the correlation coefficient with price changes over the subsequent 5 trading days was only 0.03. Between October 2025 and February 2026, Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $6.9 billion, and during the market downturn from May to June 2026, net outflows reached approximately $8.2 billion. DWF Labs also noted that some ETF trading may involve hedging strategies that combine buying fund shares with shorting Bitcoin via CME futures, meaning fund flows do not directly reflect investors' true bullish or bearish positions. (Cointelegraph)
California Attorney General Rob Bonta announced on October 16 that his office has reached a $500,000 settlement with Fidelity Digital Assets, National Association (the successor entity to Fidelity Digital Asset Services), regarding the company's prior practice of restricting California retail customers from transferring cryptocurrency to external wallets. Regulators determined that this practice may have violated the California Commodity Law of 1990, which restricts certain speculative commodity contracts unless the buyer receives physical delivery within a specified timeframe. The California government views the ability to withdraw cryptocurrency as a functional equivalent of delivery.From November 2022 to April 2025, California customers could buy and sell cryptocurrency on the Fidelity platform but were unable to send assets directly to external wallets. Fidelity stated that the restriction stemmed from the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) not having approved the relevant functionality at the time; approval was granted in April 2025, and the transfer feature was extended to all California retail customers in June 2025.
Coinbase Institutional posted that chip stocks have fallen by double digits over the past two weeks, marking the second significant decline since June, but Bitcoin has shown stronger resilience both times. According to the institution, the market no longer views Bitcoin as a high-leverage proxy for tech stocks, and the correlation between Bitcoin and tech stocks may be changing.
Odaily reports: SpaceX released its third-quarter financial results after the U.S. stock market closed early this morning. During the investor call following the earnings release, analyst Adam Jonas asked Elon Musk about "whether SpaceX has already purchased lithography equipment and the progress of its in-house chip manufacturing."Elon Musk responded: "We are still figuring out chip manufacturing technology. I can share our internal expectations, though these expectations obviously carry great uncertainty, because we don't yet know whether we can actually achieve the goal. But our internal target right now is to try to produce the first fully functional test chip around May or June of next year. It will only be something like an SRAM chip, mainly used to test the entire production line. It will be completed at our research fab in Austin. Our goal is to achieve large-scale mass production at the Terafab main site at Gibbons Creek by the third quarter of 2028. Of course, these timelines are very aggressive. To achieve this goal, we are very grateful to ASML and all other suppliers for their support in accelerating equipment delivery."
According to on-chain analyst @EmberCN, a whale that used leverage to buy the dip at $1,647 for $30 million worth of ETH in early June sold 12,468 ETH yesterday at $2,368, converting them into $29.52 million USDC and realizing a profit of approximately $8.99 million. The address subsequently transferred $20 million USDC to Hyperliquid to go long on crude oil, and currently holds open long positions in crude oil contracts worth approximately $22.4 million (including CL and BRENTOIL) while continuing to add to the position.
Odaily reports: According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ai Yi, 22 hours ago, Justin Sun's address (0x176…0a132) received 7.2 trillion PEPE from a Poloniex multisig address, worth $28.44 million. This is the first PEPE on-chain operation by this address since June 2024, when the PEPE price was still $0.00001256.
Crypto analyst Darkfost stated on the X platform that Uniswap (UNI) gained approximately 370% from its June low this year. Its total value locked (TVL) surpassed $4 billion in September, marking an intra-year high, while DEX trading volume also peaked at $93.6 billion. However, since peaking at $10.9, the token has pulled back over 30%. Driven by rising exchange inflows, UNI is currently experiencing a distribution phase. In late September, the Z-score for UNI inflows exceeded 4 on multiple occasions, with daily inflow amounts surpassing $40 million. Although current inflows remain relatively active, momentum appears to be weakening. Should inflows continue to decline, UNI could gradually form a bottom. (Note: The Z-score, also known as the standard score, is a statistical measure indicating how many standard deviations a data point deviates from the mean.)
Odaily News: CoinShares noted in its latest biweekly market report that U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of $679 million last week, including a single-day net outflow of $485 million on Wednesday, the largest single-day outflow since June; ETH ETFs saw net outflows of $542 million last week, with cumulative outflows of nearly $700 million over nine consecutive trading days. BTC briefly approached $87,000 on October 5, then fell back to around $80,300, before rebounding to around $83,500.The report shows that BTC's correlation with the Nasdaq index has rebounded to about 40%, its long-term average level, while its correlation with inflation-linked bonds continues to strengthen. CoinShares believes that U.S. CPI data to be released this week will be an important variable: if core CPI rises 0.3% month-over-month, it could reinforce market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, putting BTC at risk of testing $80,000 again. (CoinShares)
According to Wintermute's weekly market update, Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed most officials expected another rate hike by year-end, with rate cuts unmentioned, while the US 10-year Treasury yield reached multi-decade highs. Consequently, BTC fell 3.2% this week to around the $83,000 level, ETH dropped 7.0%, and the S&P 500 index rose 1.2% to an all-time high. US spot BTC ETFs recorded weekly net outflows of approximately $679 million, marking the largest single-week outflow since June; ETH ETFs saw outflows of $542 million. CoinGlass data indicates roughly $1.19 billion in liquidations within 24 hours near Thursday's low, with long positions accounting for $1.06 billion. ETH faced additional pressure from news that researchers associated with the Ethereum Foundation advised users to migrate to new addresses. BTC's market share rose to approximately 59.5%, representing the most prominent internal signal of the week. Wintermute noted that amid the Fed's inclination toward rate hikes, yields are unlikely to retreat in the short term. Renewed optimism for crypto markets requires simultaneously meeting two conditions: "stabilization of long-end rates" and "spot ETFs resuming net inflows." It advised closely monitoring Wednesday's September CPI data and earnings reports from financial institutions and AI-related companies this week.
Odaily News: According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ember, rollover trader @AguilaTrades (0x1f25...f925) frequently used large positions to roll over long positions on Hyperliquid from June to August last year, losing $37.6 million within 2 months, and had not opened any positions on Hyperliquid for 14 consecutive months since then. 20 minutes ago, they withdrew 500,000 USDC from Bybit to Hyperliquid, then went long on 100 BTC worth $8.29 million, with an entry price of $82,962 and a liquidation price of $78,997.