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Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
Glassnode 发布比特币期权市场数据指出，比特币期权市场的防御性情绪正在降温。未平仓合约看跌/看涨比率已由 6 月下旬的约 0.76 快速降至约 0.52，显示看涨期权未平仓占比上升，随着比特币价格稳定在约 6.7 万美元附近，防御性仓位有所回撤。
on-chain data analytics firm Glassnode has released its latest weekly market summary, noting that Bitcoin has briefly stabilized around the $60,000 level. However, the market is characterized by strong defensive traits and a lack of bullish confidence.The spot market is range-bound, with trading activity slightly increasing. Yet, capital continues to flow out on a net basis, and market liquidity is primarily driven by distribution, with no large-scale accumulation observed. The derivatives market is persistently deleveraging, with traders prioritizing downside hedging protection and showing low willingness for directional long positions. Funding rates remain low, indicating a generally weak risk appetite. Institutional pressure is significant, as US spot Bitcoin ETFs are collectively in a state of unrealized losses, with continued net capital outflows and low willingness among institutions to increase positions.Glassnode states that the current market is undergoing a period of structural adjustment and capital contraction. The $60,000 level provides only temporary support, and there are no signs of recovery in spot orders, derivatives positions, or institutional capital. For a sustained upward trend to emerge, a significant restoration of confidence among buyers is required.
According to a report released by data analytics platform Glassnode (@glassnode), although BTC’s price remains significantly below its all-time high, traders on Hyperliquid are continuously increasing their long positions, buying the dip throughout the entire downward trend—building up growing potential for a short squeeze. Meanwhile, altcoin cycle signals have returned to “Altseason,” with selling pressure on altcoins tapering off; however, BTC remains under downward pressure, and the current market remains BTC-driven.
According to data released by Glassnode on platform X, the relative unrealized loss of Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) briefly reached approximately 15% in early April. Compared to levels exceeding 75% during historical deep bear market cycles, the impact of this market correction on long-term holders is notably lighter.The analysis points out that while recent price pullbacks have caused some paper losses, the overall pressure remains far below historical cycle lows, indicating that the current decline has not yet posed a substantive test to the conviction of long-term holders. Structurally, this adjustment is more characteristic of mid-term volatility rather than a full-scale cyclical capitulation event.
Glassnode’s Week 20 BTC Market Report states that BTC rose last week from above $77,000 to below $82,000, with strengthening spot demand and futures activity and sustained buying absorbing pullbacks. The report notes rising Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), spot trading volume, futures open interest, and perpetual swap CVD—indicating a rebound in market risk appetite. However, price momentum slowed, and long funding rates declined, signaling a marginal cooling of bullish sentiment. In the options market, demand for downside protection decreased and open interest increased, yet the volatility skew widened, reflecting persistently high market uncertainty. On-chain metrics show increases in daily active addresses, entity-adjusted transaction volume, and total fees; profitability indicators improved, and the overall market structure continues to recover.