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: On-chain data analytics platform Glassnode posted on X that its “Accumulation Trend Score” indicator shows that after Bitcoin’s price dipped to the $60,000 range in early June, the overall behavior of on-chain addresses has notably shifted toward accumulation.This indicator measures the intensity of on-chain accumulation behavior by combining holding sizes with recent balance changes. A score close to 1 represents widespread accumulation, while a score near 0 indicates ongoing distribution.Glassnode notes that as the price enters lower ranges, the scores for holders of different sizes rise simultaneously, indicating a typical “buy-the-dip” market structure. That is, the price decline did not trigger sustained selling, but instead sparked stronger on-chain demand inflows.Analysts believe that this cross-cohort synchronized accumulation structure typically appears in the early stages of market sentiment recovery, reflecting that medium- to long-term capital is being repositioned.
Odaily News, Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted on platform X to analyze the recent trend of Bitcoin prices. He pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading in the $62,000 range, down nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a 24% decline in the past month. The price has now broken through the upper range of his pricing framework and entered a valuation cluster zone where bottoms have historically formed.Rafael further indicated that the market bottom cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be identified through probabilistic ranges and key price levels. Bitcoin has fallen below the breakeven line for median holders for the first time since December 2022, and is currently within a broader support zone: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average is around $61,700. At this stage, the high-probability bottom range could be between $46,000-$54,000, while the $35,000-$40,000 area below that represents a rare "sell-off tail." Notably, the magnitude of cycle corrections is gradually diminishing: previous cycles saw drops of roughly 85%, 84%, and 77% from the peak, while this cycle has only declined about 50%. This suggests the high-probability bottom is more likely within the upper range, though extreme sell-offs cannot be ruled out.
According to Cointelegraph, Ethereum has broken below the $2,000 mark—the first time since March. Despite the ongoing price weakness, on-chain data indicates retail investors’ “buy-the-dip” sentiment continues to intensify. Santiment notes that historically, excessively optimistic retail sentiment often signals the market has not yet bottomed; genuine buying opportunities typically emerge during phases of market panic. On-chain data platform Glassnode shows that since 2026, whale addresses holding more than 10,000 ETH have reduced their holdings by over 5%. However, BitMine—founded by Tom Lee—still holds approximately 5.21 million ETH, representing roughly 4.31% of the total supply. Technically, ETH has broken below its ascending wedge pattern; analysts believe it may next test the $1,750 level, implying roughly an 18% further downside from current prices.
Odaily Bitcoin fell below $78,000 on Thursday, with growing concerns over the sustainability of any rebound. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for four consecutive trading days, while approximately $584 million in long liquidations earlier this week continues to suppress market risk appetite. Analysts suggest that until on-chain spot demand recovers, BTC will still struggle to firmly hold above $80,000 in the short term.The pressure on the Ethereum market is even more pronounced. The ETH spot ETF saw net outflows of $28.1 million on the day, marking eight consecutive trading days of withdrawals. Since May 7, ETH ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $504 million over nine trading days, the most severe sustained capital exodus since February this year.In the derivatives market, total crypto futures liquidation volume reached approximately $657 million this Monday, with long liquidations accounting for $584 million, the largest single-day long squeeze event since early February. The current Bitcoin open interest has fallen about 14% from its May 6 peak, but the overall leverage structure has not yet been fully reset.On-chain data also leans bearish. Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin's previous rebound to $82,000 briefly reclaimed the key level of $78,300, the "realized market average," but has since fallen back below it. Historical cycles suggest that BTC typically needs to consolidate in this range for weeks to months to confirm a structural shift between bull and bear markets.Additionally, Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin's spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has been negative for nine consecutive trading days, marking the longest net selling cycle since 2026. Meanwhile, BTC's hourly spot trading volume has declined about 40% compared to the same period in 2025. Analysis indicates that U.S. investors have been consistently distributing their holdings since Q4 2025, while Asian capital has shifted to accumulation.The options market is also signaling caution. The BTC short-term 25-delta skew has risen from 2.7% to 6.2%, indicating a significant increase in market demand for downside protection. A large gamma short position of approximately $2.5 billion is concentrated around the $75,000 strike price. Should BTC fall back to this area, hedging by market makers could further amplify volatility.In the altcoin market, the sector is largely following BTC, with Bitcoin's dominance remaining around 60%. However, Hyperliquid and Zcash have bucked the trend with double-digit gains, suggesting selective rotation by some capital. (The Block)
although Bitcoin has retraced approximately 2.5% from its local high of $82,800 on May 6, market analysts widely believe its overall uptrend structure remains intact, and it has re-entered the "full bull market momentum" zone. Swiss wealth management firm Swissblock points out that Bitcoin has re-entered a price expansion zone, with the Bull Market Support Band turning into support. The 21-week EMA has crossed back above the 20-week SMA, shifting the trend structure back to bullish.Bitcoin is currently consolidating around the $80,000 level, where the "Realized Market Mean" and the short-term holder cost basis form key support, while the realized price near $85,000 represents overhead resistance. Spot buying pressure driven by whales and institutions is strengthening, while the proportion of speculative derivatives activity is declining. Historically, similar structural setups have often corresponded to sustainable uptrends. If this indicator remains persistently positive, it could further propel Bitcoin's upward cycle.On the liquidity front, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has rebounded from historical lows into a critical range, indicating stablecoin capital is flowing back into the market. This signal previously corresponded to阶段性底部反弹 (significant bottom bounces) in mid-2021, 2022, and mid-2023.Meanwhile, Binance's Stablecoin Supply Ratio Oscillator (SSR Oscillator) has risen to 2.8, hitting a 12-month high, demonstrating a notable increase in stablecoin purchasing power. On-chain activity is also strengthening. Bitcoin's daily transaction volume increased by 116% in May to 831,400 transactions, a 20-month high; the number of active addresses grew 7.1% week-over-week to 707,700; and total fees rose 37% to $279,300, indicating significantly heightened network usage activity. Regarding capital structure, the 90-day spot Taker CVD has turned consistently positive, suggesting spot buying is dominating the market. Glassnode data shows this indicator has further increased to $62 million compared to a week earlier, reflecting a strengthening of active buying sentiment in the market.In summary, price structure, liquidity indicators, and on-chain demand all indicate that Bitcoin remains in a "strong trend expansion phase," with the bull market momentum not yet exhausted. (Cointelegraph)
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen from approximately $63,000 to over $80,000 in the past three months, with multiple key indicators now converging on an $85,000 target. On-chain, BTC has broken above two critical support levels—the “Realized Market Value” ($78,200) and the “Short-Term Holder Cost Basis” ($79,100). Research firm Glassnode notes that the next resistance level lies near the Active Realized Price of $85,200. In the futures market, funding rates have shifted from negative to neutral, signaling a clear retreat of prior large-scale short pressure and rising risk of a short squeeze. In the options market, market makers hold roughly $2 billion in “short gamma” exposure near $82,000; rising prices will compel them to continuously hedge by buying BTC, generating positive feedback. However, analysts caution that Bitcoin remains highly correlated with U.S. tech equities—should equity markets shift toward risk-aversion, upward momentum could be dampened.
on-chain data platform Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin whales' net long positions on Hyperliquid have reached a new high for 2026.Data shows that whales have been continuously increasing their long positions recently, continuing the bullish trend that followed last month's Bitcoin price breakout. The total whale positions on the platform currently stand at approximately $3.5 billion, with long positions slightly exceeding shorts.Analysts believe that the movement of Hyperliquid whales is often viewed as a market sentiment indicator. The current overall liquidation scale is relatively low and is mainly concentrated in short positions, reflecting a bullish market atmosphere.
Bitcoin remained near $76,000 on Thursday. After the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, market attention quickly shifted to internal policy divergence and macroeconomic uncertainty. Analysts noted that Bitcoin remains suppressed below the key resistance range of $78,000 to $79,000, lacking short-term breakout momentum.Thomas Perfumo, Chief Economist at Kraken, stated that the market is currently more focused on policy uncertainty stemming from internal "divisions" within the Federal Reserve rather than the inaction itself. This is particularly true against the backdrop of Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tenure and the potential expectation of Kevin Warsh succeeding him, creating a lack of clear policy transition.Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin remains "trapped" below the True Market Mean, with resistance concentrated in the $78,000 to $79,000 range and support lying between $65,000 and $70,000. While selling pressure has eased, demand remains insufficient to support a sustained upward breakout.On the macro front, the Fed has shown rare, severe internal disagreements, interpreted by the market as rising uncertainty over the inflation path. Analysts from institutions like Bitget Wallet and 21Shares point out that the expectation of "higher rates for longer" is suppressing risk asset performance, pushing the crypto market into a wait-and-see phase.Regarding capital flows, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for three consecutive days, with a single-day outflow of approximately $138 million on April 29. Ethereum ETFs saw outflows of about $87.7 million over the same period. Although individual products still saw inflows, the overall trend indicates cooling institutional demand.Meanwhile, CME open interest and ETF assets under management have stabilized but have yet to show strong signals of capital return. In the derivatives market, short positions in perpetual contracts have reached an all-time high, suggesting a potential squeeze if sentiment improves. However, the current market remains dominated by a low-volatility, low-confidence consolidation structure.Overall, Bitcoin is caught in a tug-of-war between an improving support structure and weak demand. Sustained ETF outflows, policy uncertainty, and macroeconomic risks collectively suppress its ability to break through the key resistance range. (The Block)
data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points out that since the peak of over $25 billion in early February this year, trading volume has continued to decline. A low-volume environment typically implies reduced market depth, making it more sensitive to capital flow changes.Market depth is usually measured by the cumulative bids and asks within a 2% range of the current price. When depth contracts, a few large orders can significantly drive price movements, meaning market volatility may be amplified. However, the options market does not currently fully reflect this risk. The Volmex BVIV index shows that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen below 42% annualized, hitting a three-month low, indicating that traders are generally betting on continued market stability.Analysis suggests that with market sentiment cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,800, lacking a clear direction. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance, particularly expressing concerns over rising energy prices and inflation risks, it could prolong the pause in rate cuts or even strengthen expectations of a rate hike, thereby suppressing risk asset performance. (CoinDesk)
Glassnode tweeted that whales on Hyperliquid have been anticipating a price breakout from this range. Over the past two months, their confidence—and long positions—have continued to increase, indicating strong bullish sentiment among large perpetual contract traders.
Bitcoin is once again approaching the $80,000 mark. Market analysis suggests that this level has become a key resistance point to test the strength of the current rebound. On the capital front, continued institutional inflows are providing support. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows for six consecutive days, while Ethereum spot ETFs have also seen inflows for nine straight days, indicating a recovery in risk appetite. Meanwhile, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC have cumulatively added approximately 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days, marking the largest monthly increase since 2013, and exchange reserves have fallen to their lowest point in seven years.In terms of on-chain data, Glassnode points out that Bitcoin has reclaimed the "Realized Price" (approximately $78,100). However, the cost basis for short-term holders sits around $80,100, forming a direct pressure zone. Should the price reach this range, over 54% of short-term investors would be in profit, a scenario historically associated with the peak of a rebound phase. At the same time, the perpetual contract funding rate remains negative, indicating a significant short position. Given the ongoing improvement in spot demand, this could provide short-squeeze momentum for a subsequent upward move.In summary, while the capital structure and market resilience have improved, the $80,000 level remains a key watershed. The market has yet to confirm whether it can transition from a resistance level to a support level. (The Block)
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose approximately 6% this week, briefly reaching $76,300—the highest level in nearly two months—yet the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at 21 (“Extreme Fear”). Multiple institutional analysts characterize this rally as “liquidity-driven” rather than a structural strengthening. Glassnode notes that while spot demand and ETF inflows have improved, the recovery lacks depth, institutional participation remains cautious, and options market positioning continues to favor downside protection. Bitfinex attributes this price increase primarily to concentrated buying by “Strategists” (who purchased 13,927 BTC last week), rather than an organic rebound in demand. Analysts broadly view $75,000 as a critical support level; if structural buying wanes and this level fails to hold, prices could retreat to the $70,000–$71,000 range. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory and the June FOMC meeting are seen as the next key risk catalysts.