News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News: Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) stated at Bitcoin Asia that Bitcoin may surpass gold in the next bull market, with the current market cap gap between the two standing at approximately 10x. Ricardo Salinas Pliego estimates that if Bitcoin were to reach gold's total market cap, its price could reach approximately $1.86 million.He noted that if Bitcoin becomes a strategic reserve asset for nations, its importance could surpass that of gold; however, central banks and governments have already established systems for valuing, storing, and managing gold, and transitioning to Bitcoin will take time.Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin's 90-day correlation with gold has risen from 0.21 in March to approximately 0.57, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index has fallen from 0.57 to 0.22. Other estimates indicate that its correlation with gold stands at approximately 0.59, the highest level since 2020. (Bitcoin.com News)
Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report, maintaining a neutral outlook on the cryptocurrency market for the third quarter of 2026. In the second quarter, the total market capitalization of the crypto market (excluding stablecoins) declined by approximately 12%, while stablecoin supply reached an all-time high. On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be transitioning from a correction phase to an accumulation phase, characterized by compressed valuations, near-multi-year lows in recent active supply, and the proportion of supply in profit breaking below historical statistical lower bounds—historically corresponding to accumulation rather than distribution zones. However, the macro liquidity environment remains tight, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance under Kevin Warsh's leadership, a strong U.S. dollar, coupled with geopolitical risks, selling pressure from digital asset treasuries, and net outflows from spot BTC and ETH ETFs in the first half of the year (though the pace of outflows has begun to slow), thus overall caution is advised.
Odaily News, Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted on platform X to analyze the recent trend of Bitcoin prices. He pointed out that Bitcoin is currently trading in the $62,000 range, down nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a 24% decline in the past month. The price has now broken through the upper range of his pricing framework and entered a valuation cluster zone where bottoms have historically formed.Rafael further indicated that the market bottom cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be identified through probabilistic ranges and key price levels. Bitcoin has fallen below the breakeven line for median holders for the first time since December 2022, and is currently within a broader support zone: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average is around $61,700. At this stage, the high-probability bottom range could be between $46,000-$54,000, while the $35,000-$40,000 area below that represents a rare "sell-off tail." Notably, the magnitude of cycle corrections is gradually diminishing: previous cycles saw drops of roughly 85%, 84%, and 77% from the peak, while this cycle has only declined about 50%. This suggests the high-probability bottom is more likely within the upper range, though extreme sell-offs cannot be ruled out.