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Analysis: BTC Unlikely to Hold Above $80,000 in the Short Term, Weak Spot Demand Curbs Breakout Expectations
Odaily Bitcoin fell below $78,000 on Thursday, with growing concerns over the sustainability of any rebound. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for four consecutive trading days, while approximately $584 million in long liquidations earlier this week continues to suppress market risk appetite. Analysts suggest that until on-chain spot demand recovers, BTC will still struggle to firmly hold above $80,000 in the short term.The pressure on the Ethereum market is even more pronounced. The ETH spot ETF saw net outflows of $28.1 million on the day, marking eight consecutive trading days of withdrawals. Since May 7, ETH ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $504 million over nine trading days, the most severe sustained capital exodus since February this year.In the derivatives market, total crypto futures liquidation volume reached approximately $657 million this Monday, with long liquidations accounting for $584 million, the largest single-day long squeeze event since early February. The current Bitcoin open interest has fallen about 14% from its May 6 peak, but the overall leverage structure has not yet been fully reset.On-chain data also leans bearish. Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin's previous rebound to $82,000 briefly reclaimed the key level of $78,300, the "realized market average," but has since fallen back below it. Historical cycles suggest that BTC typically needs to consolidate in this range for weeks to months to confirm a structural shift between bull and bear markets.Additionally, Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin's spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has been negative for nine consecutive trading days, marking the longest net selling cycle since 2026. Meanwhile, BTC's hourly spot trading volume has declined about 40% compared to the same period in 2025. Analysis indicates that U.S. investors have been consistently distributing their holdings since Q4 2025, while Asian capital has shifted to accumulation.The options market is also signaling caution. The BTC short-term 25-delta skew has risen from 2.7% to 6.2%, indicating a significant increase in market demand for downside protection. A large gamma short position of approximately $2.5 billion is concentrated around the $75,000 strike price. Should BTC fall back to this area, hedging by market makers could further amplify volatility.In the altcoin market, the sector is largely following BTC, with Bitcoin's dominance remaining around 60%. However, Hyperliquid and Zcash have bucked the trend with double-digit gains, suggesting selective rotation by some capital. (The Block)
Bitget Launches Delta-Neutral Mode, Offering ADL Protection for Hedging and Arbitrage Strategies
Bitget has announced the launch of Delta-Neutral Mode in its Unified Account. When an account meets predefined delta-neutral conditions, this feature applies a differentiated Auto-Deleveraging (ADL) ranking mechanism to eligible hedged positions, thereby reducing the likelihood of forced liquidation for properly hedged strategies during extreme market conditions. Delta-Neutral Mode enables users to combine spot, cross-margin leveraged trading, and cross-margin perpetual contracts within the Unified Account framework. The system simultaneously assesses directional exposure at both the account and asset levels. This feature supports funding rate arbitrage, basis trading, multi-market hedging strategies, and quantitative neutral strategies.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 9 Consecutive Days, Total Inflows Reaching Approximately $2.1 Billion
according to data monitoring from SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows for the 9th consecutive trading day on April 24, with a single-day inflow of $14.45 million. The total cumulative inflows during this continuous period amounted to approximately $2.1 billion, marking the longest net inflow streak since September 2025. Last week, ETFs saw total inflows of $823.7 million, with BlackRock's IBIT recording weekly inflows of $983 million, hitting a new high in nearly six months.CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju stated that the current Bitcoin market is driven by futures, with open interest continuing to rise. However, aside from ETF inflows and MicroStrategy purchases, on-chain apparent demand remains negative. The chief analyst at CEX.IO pointed out that the recent price increase has been notably driven by short squeezes. Since April 13, the total amount of short liquidations has reached approximately $2.8 billion, far exceeding the $1.8 billion in long liquidations. Part of the ETF demand may stem from basis trading strategies, specifically buying IBIT while shorting CME futures to capture the spread. This strategy is market-neutral and not purely bullish. Currently, the options market's 25-delta skew is in negative territory, indicating that investors are paying a premium to seek downside protection.
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Analysis: BTC Unlikely to Hold Above $80,000 in the Short Term, Weak Spot Demand Curbs Breakout Expectations
Odaily Bitcoin fell below $78,000 on Thursday, with growing concerns over the sustainability of any rebound. Data shows that Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net outflows for four consecutive trading days, while approximately $584 million in long liquidations earlier this week continues to suppress market risk appetite. Analysts suggest that until on-chain spot demand recovers, BTC will still struggle to firmly hold above $80,000 in the short term.The pressure on the Ethereum market is even more pronounced. The ETH spot ETF saw net outflows of $28.1 million on the day, marking eight consecutive trading days of withdrawals. Since May 7, ETH ETFs have seen cumulative outflows of approximately $504 million over nine trading days, the most severe sustained capital exodus since February this year.In the derivatives market, total crypto futures liquidation volume reached approximately $657 million this Monday, with long liquidations accounting for $584 million, the largest single-day long squeeze event since early February. The current Bitcoin open interest has fallen about 14% from its May 6 peak, but the overall leverage structure has not yet been fully reset.On-chain data also leans bearish. Glassnode indicates that Bitcoin's previous rebound to $82,000 briefly reclaimed the key level of $78,300, the "realized market average," but has since fallen back below it. Historical cycles suggest that BTC typically needs to consolidate in this range for weeks to months to confirm a structural shift between bull and bear markets.Additionally, Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin's spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has been negative for nine consecutive trading days, marking the longest net selling cycle since 2026. Meanwhile, BTC's hourly spot trading volume has declined about 40% compared to the same period in 2025. Analysis indicates that U.S. investors have been consistently distributing their holdings since Q4 2025, while Asian capital has shifted to accumulation.The options market is also signaling caution. The BTC short-term 25-delta skew has risen from 2.7% to 6.2%, indicating a significant increase in market demand for downside protection. A large gamma short position of approximately $2.5 billion is concentrated around the $75,000 strike price. Should BTC fall back to this area, hedging by market makers could further amplify volatility.In the altcoin market, the sector is largely following BTC, with Bitcoin's dominance remaining around 60%. However, Hyperliquid and Zcash have bucked the trend with double-digit gains, suggesting selective rotation by some capital. (The Block)
Bitget Launches Delta-Neutral Mode, Offering ADL Protection for Hedging and Arbitrage Strategies
Bitget has announced the launch of Delta-Neutral Mode in its Unified Account. When an account meets predefined delta-neutral conditions, this feature applies a differentiated Auto-Deleveraging (ADL) ranking mechanism to eligible hedged positions, thereby reducing the likelihood of forced liquidation for properly hedged strategies during extreme market conditions. Delta-Neutral Mode enables users to combine spot, cross-margin leveraged trading, and cross-margin perpetual contracts within the Unified Account framework. The system simultaneously assesses directional exposure at both the account and asset levels. This feature supports funding rate arbitrage, basis trading, multi-market hedging strategies, and quantitative neutral strategies.
Glassnode: Bitcoin Market Volatility Returns, Options Volatility and Market Sentiment Recover in Tandem
Glassnode analysis indicates Bitcoin has broken through key resistance and rallied to the $82,000-$83,000 range, ending several weeks of narrow consolidation, with market volatility making a return. Options data shows a rebound of approximately 6 points in short-term 1-week implied volatility, while long-term volatility remains moderate, signaling a rapid recovery in short-term trading demand.In terms of sentiment and positioning, the 25-delta skew has converged toward neutral, indicating diminished demand for downside hedging. Short-term sentiment is leaning bearish, while long-term outlook has turned bullish, reflecting a repricing of upward expectations. On the structural side, implied volatility has surpassed realized volatility, with the VRP turning positive. A "short gamma" concentration zone of approximately $2 billion exists near the $82,000 level, which could amplify price swings. Over the past 24 hours, call option sell orders accounted for 81% of activity, suggesting the market is leaning toward consolidation.
Analysis: Bitcoin’s Push to $80,000 Stalls, Derivatives Data Suggests Declining Market Risk Appetite
Bitcoin is facing significant resistance near the $80,000 level, while the derivatives market continues to emit risk-aversion signals. Analysts point out that the cost basis for short-term holders is concentrated around $80,000. A price break above this level could trigger profit-taking selling pressure, thereby limiting further upside potential.Meanwhile, the upcoming release of the US March PCE inflation data, coupled with rising international oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, continues to weigh on risk assets. WTI crude oil briefly surged to $110, and restricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz has left the energy market fragile. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, but the meeting saw four dissenting officials, the most since 1992, further exacerbating market uncertainty.Bitwise researcher Luke Deans stated that the 180-day correlation and Beta quantiles for altcoins versus Bitcoin are near 97% and 99% respectively, implying that most tokens will behave as "highly leveraged versions of Bitcoin."Derivatives data shows that the total futures open interest (OI) across the market dropped by over 2% to $119 billion within 24 hours, while trading volume increased by 26% to $208 billion. This indicates a large number of positions being closed and capital exiting the market, signaling heightened risk aversion. During the same period, exchanges have liquidated over $500 million in leveraged positions, the majority of which were longs, reflecting a concentrated hit on bulls amid market weakness.Additionally, BTC and ETH futures OI fell by 2% and 1.7% respectively, and the cumulative volume delta (CVD) for most major tokens in the last 24 hours turned negative. This suggests stronger selling aggression from the seller side and an elevated risk of further decline. Deribit data shows that protective put options for BTC and ETH are consistently priced higher than calls. Meanwhile, the large open interest in Bitcoin call options at the $80,000 strike forms a positive gamma structure, meaning market makers may continue to sell hedges around this price level, further capping upside potential. (CoinDesk)
Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 9 Consecutive Days, Total Inflows Reaching Approximately $2.1 Billion
according to data monitoring from SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded net inflows for the 9th consecutive trading day on April 24, with a single-day inflow of $14.45 million. The total cumulative inflows during this continuous period amounted to approximately $2.1 billion, marking the longest net inflow streak since September 2025. Last week, ETFs saw total inflows of $823.7 million, with BlackRock's IBIT recording weekly inflows of $983 million, hitting a new high in nearly six months.CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju stated that the current Bitcoin market is driven by futures, with open interest continuing to rise. However, aside from ETF inflows and MicroStrategy purchases, on-chain apparent demand remains negative. The chief analyst at CEX.IO pointed out that the recent price increase has been notably driven by short squeezes. Since April 13, the total amount of short liquidations has reached approximately $2.8 billion, far exceeding the $1.8 billion in long liquidations. Part of the ETF demand may stem from basis trading strategies, specifically buying IBIT while shorting CME futures to capture the spread. This strategy is market-neutral and not purely bullish. Currently, the options market's 25-delta skew is in negative territory, indicating that investors are paying a premium to seek downside protection.