News linked to both this project and an event.
Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Officer of 21Shares, stated that spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract capital inflows, reinforcing Bitcoin's core position in institutional asset allocation, even as the price remains volatile below the $80,000 mark. Adrian Fritz pointed out that since the beginning of this year, Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed nearly $2 billion in funds, sourced from retail investors, institutions, and hedge funds engaging in arbitrage and options strategies. He believes that as traditional asset management institutions like Morgan Stanley accelerate their deployment, crypto assets are being more broadly incorporated into multi-asset portfolio allocations. Bitcoin's current daily trading volume has exceeded $50 billion, with liquidity levels approaching those of large-cap tech stocks like Nvidia. The ETF mechanism simultaneously provides primary and secondary market liquidity, gradually granting it "institutional-grade asset" attributes.Although the market remains under pressure from macroeconomic conditions and interest rate environments, Adrian Fritz believes that ETF inflows have shifted from being speculation-driven to structural demand. He predicts that driven by factors such as improving geopolitical conditions, sustained capital inflows, and short covering, Bitcoin could challenge the $100,000 threshold this year. Meanwhile, differentiation among altcoins is intensifying, with the market shifting towards an asset selection logic that places greater emphasis on fundamentals and cash flow. (CoinDesk)
data shows the daily spot trading volume of Bitcoin has fallen to below $8 billion, the lowest level since October 2023, when the BTC price was still below $40,000. Glassnode points out that since the peak of over $25 billion in early February this year, trading volume has continued to decline. A low-volume environment typically implies reduced market depth, making it more sensitive to capital flow changes.Market depth is usually measured by the cumulative bids and asks within a 2% range of the current price. When depth contracts, a few large orders can significantly drive price movements, meaning market volatility may be amplified. However, the options market does not currently fully reflect this risk. The Volmex BVIV index shows that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen below 42% annualized, hitting a three-month low, indicating that traders are generally betting on continued market stability.Analysis suggests that with market sentiment cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $77,800, lacking a clear direction. If the Fed signals a hawkish stance, particularly expressing concerns over rising energy prices and inflation risks, it could prolong the pause in rate cuts or even strengthen expectations of a rate hike, thereby suppressing risk asset performance. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill—the Clarity Act—has seen no significant public progress over the past month and is not expected to achieve a breakthrough in April. The report notes that if the bill is to pass before the election, May 25—Memorial Day—is viewed as a critical milestone for advancement; after that date, members of Congress will gradually shift into campaign mode, leaving less time for legislative work. At present, it remains unclear whether the Senate Banking Committee will move forward with related hearings. Issues such as stablecoin yields and other outstanding matters have also yet to be publicly resolved. Even if these disagreements are addressed, the House of Representatives would still need to vote on the bill again.
Odaily Odaily: U.S. President Trump stated at a private event for TRUMP Meme coin holders held at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida that the White House will not allow banking lobbying groups to hinder the progress of the crypto market structure bill, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. He said the crypto industry has entered the mainstream, declaring "America is the leader in crypto," and that banks should not obstruct the establishment of stablecoin and crypto regulatory frameworks.Dubbed the "most exclusive meeting in the world," the event invited hundreds of large TRUMP coin holders. Guests included Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood, Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley, and boxing champion Mike Tyson. Previously, the U.S. banking industry had expressed concerns that stablecoin reward mechanisms could impact traditional deposit businesses, which had slowed the legislative process. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, stated that the Bitcoin winter has ended, as Bitcoin’s price has held above $78,000. Market analyst Mati Greenspan believes the recent market downturn should not be labeled a “crypto winter,” but rather a sharp correction within a broader bull market—and added that Bitcoin has likely already bottomed out, with its next leg up potentially driven by both institutional and sovereign adoption. The report notes that Strategy recently acquired 13,927 additional bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to 780,897 BTC. Greenspan also indicated that sovereign adoption—specifically central banks adding Bitcoin to their reserve assets—could be a key driver in the next phase.
discussions regarding the potential threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin's security have been reignited. Analyst James Check points out that while quantum computing could theoretically crack elliptic curve signatures, its market impact may be overestimated.Data shows that approximately 1.7 million BTC (about $145 billion) are stored in early "Satoshi-era" addresses. If private keys were compromised, this could create potential selling pressure. However, from a market liquidity perspective, this scale is not insurmountable: in a bull market, long-term holders typically sell between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC daily. This means the aforementioned volume is equivalent to 2 to 3 months of routine profit-taking.Additionally, the average monthly exchange inflow is about 850,000 BTC, and the notional trading volume in the derivatives market can cover this amount within just a few days. Historical data shows that during the most recent bear market, over 2.3 million BTC changed hands in a single quarter, far exceeding the scale of the potential "quantum risk," yet it did not trigger a systemic collapse.Analysis suggests that even with a concentrated release, it is more likely to cause periodic volatility rather than a structural shock. Furthermore, entities capable of acquiring such assets are more inclined to adopt strategies like phased selling and hedging to mitigate market impact.Overall, the core issue of the "quantum threat" may not be the selling pressure itself, but rather the governance-level response—such as whether to restrict the movement of assets from affected addresses through a protocol upgrade. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News Wall Street investment bank Jefferies' analysis indicates that the approximately $293 million attack on Kelp DAO on April 18 exposed critical infrastructure risks, which may prompt traditional financial institutions to reassess the pace of blockchain and tokenization advancement.Jefferies believes the attacker triggered market sell-offs and liquidity stress by minting unbacked tokens and borrowing across platforms. The incident is suspected to be potentially linked to the Lazarus Group and also highlights the single point of failure in the validation mechanisms of cross-chain bridges. As institutions accelerate the tokenization of assets (such as funds, bonds, and deposits), related risks may cause some banks and asset management firms to temporarily pause deployments, prioritizing a review of system security. Especially in scenarios reliant on cross-chain infrastructure, security vulnerabilities could lead to market fragmentation, undermining the practical utility of tokenized assets.Despite short-term confidence being shaken, Jefferies still emphasizes that the long-term trend remains unchanged. Against the backdrop of regulatory progress and continuous infrastructure improvement, use cases like stablecoins still hold growth potential. However, the industry as a whole is still in its early development stage and requires time to enhance system robustness. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News According to analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, investors are shifting their focus to new businesses such as prediction markets, which are also key drivers for the next phase of growth for Coinbase and Robinhood. The analysts currently maintain an "Overweight" rating for both exchanges and have raised their price targets to $250 and $110, respectively. They believe that as product expansion (including prediction markets, tokenization, and access to private markets) progresses, the medium-to-long-term growth prospects for both companies will improve. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: The U.S. Department of Justice disclosed that Carmine Agnello, the grandson of gangster John Gotti, was sentenced to 15 months in prison for fraudulently obtaining approximately $1.1 million in COVID-19 relief funds and investing part of the money into cryptocurrency businesses.Prosecutors stated that between April 2020 and November 2021, Agnello obtained multiple relief loans from the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) through false applications, claiming they were for the operation of his auto parts and recycling business. In reality, he diverted the funds for personal use, with about $420,000 invested in cryptocurrency-related investments.The U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of New York said this conduct occurred during the peak of the pandemic and constituted a serious misuse of government aid funds. Agnello is expected to begin serving his prison sentence on July 1.Furthermore, official data shows that fraud related to U.S. pandemic relief funds is severe. The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) estimates that approximately $135 billion (about 15% of the total) flowed into fraudulent activities. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-based cross-chain bridge was attacked, with the attacker withdrawing 116,500 rsETH—worth approximately $292 million at current prices, or roughly 18% of its circulating supply. This incident has become the largest DeFi attack of 2026 to date. In response, Aave, SparkLend, and Fluid have frozen rsETH-related markets, and Lido Finance has suspended new deposits into its earnETH product. Kelp DAO stated it is jointly investigating the incident with LayerZero, auditing firms, and external security experts.
Odaily News Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during Asian trading hours, gaining 0.7% in the past 24 hours and 5.4% for the week. However, the derivatives market is sending mixed signals. Institutional firm QCP Capital noted that this rally is primarily driven by spot buying, not a broad-based recovery in risk appetite. Currently, Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rates remain negative, and open interest is declining, indicating that shorts are still adding hedges rather than being forced to liquidate.The options market also leans cautious: short-term implied volatility is subdued, with the one-month tenor lower than the three-month, and risk reversal indicators show market demand for downside protection exceeds that for upside bets, suggesting traders are more willing to pay for potential declines than to chase gains. QCP believes this looks more like a "rebound" than a trend reversal.On the macro front, long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices have not confirmed a recovery in risk appetite. Gold remains near its highs, indicating persistent safe-haven demand. Institutions point out that the current market action is more of a "sentiment repair" driven by ceasefire expectations, rather than a resolution of core risks.Furthermore, Ethereum has shown relative strength, with the ETH/BTC ratio recovering to around 0.0315. Coupled with on-chain transaction volume and stablecoin supply reaching all-time highs, this suggests signs of capital rotation into higher-beta assets. However, the market still needs to observe the evolution of subsequent risk events to confirm the sustainability of this rally. (CoinDesk)
According to CoinDesk, on-chain data shows that Tether recently transferred 951 BTC to its Bitcoin reserve address—worth approximately $70 million at the time—bringing its total holdings to 97,141 BTC, valued at roughly $7.16 billion. The relevant address is labeled “Tether: BTC Reserve” and matches the address previously confirmed by Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino. This latest acquisition continues Tether’s allocation strategy, initiated in 2023, of allocating up to 15% of its realized operating profits into Bitcoin.
According to CoinDesk, in Q1 2026, the Ethereum-to-Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313—the highest level in three months—indicating an overall recovery in the crypto market. The Ethereum network added 284,000 new users, an 82% year-on-year increase; transaction volume rose to 200.4 million; and stablecoin supply surpassed $180 billion, accounting for approximately 60% of the global market. Analysts noted that if the ETH/BTC ratio closes weekly above 0.035, it would signal sustained capital inflows into Ethereum and other high-risk assets. Currently, ETH’s price remains down more than 50% from its 52-week high. Bitcoin’s price has held above $74,000, and total inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have exceeded $56 billion, providing long-term market support.
According to CoinDesk, against the backdrop of the ongoing U.S.-Iran geopolitical conflict—now lasting approximately six weeks—the Bitcoin market is clearly bifurcating into two camps: “passive buyers,” represented by Strategy and spot ETFs, continue accumulating BTC, while whales, mining companies, and certain sovereign holders are shifting toward selling. The selling pressure is evident: whale addresses holding 1,000–10,000 BTC have shifted from net buying to substantial net selling, with their year-to-date holdings changing from roughly +200,000 BTC to –188,000 BTC; publicly listed mining firms, under mounting cost pressures, have also concentrated their selling—offloading over 19,000 BTC in a single week. Additionally, sovereign holders such as Bhutan have sold approximately 70% of their Bitcoin reserves since October 2024. Analysis suggests that although market sentiment briefly plunged into the “extreme fear” zone, Bitcoin’s price has remained range-bound between $65,000 and $73,000, indicating that this “floor” is primarily propped up by a narrow base of institutional buying. Currently, the buyer base continues to contract, and the market’s next directional move will hinge on whether institutional inflows can sustain momentum and break through key resistance levels.
According to CoinDesk, as market sentiment improves, the Bitcoin options market is undergoing a notable shift: the $80,000 call option on Deribit has become the most actively traded, with open interest exceeding $1.6 billion—surpassing the previously dominant $60,000 put option (which held approximately $1.41 billion in open interest). Analysts suggest that the recent temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran has driven oil prices lower, easing inflation expectations and potentially strengthening market anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts—thereby benefiting risk assets including Bitcoin. Additionally, asset management firm 21Shares stated that, against the backdrop of sustained ETF inflows and rising institutional holdings, Bitcoin could potentially reach $100,000 by the end of Q2—if geopolitical tensions ease further and the regulatory environment improves. However, risks remain: the current ceasefire is fragile, and any escalation in Middle Eastern conflict could trigger a rebound in oil prices, dampening market risk appetite and thereby capping Bitcoin’s upside potential.
According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $71,200, while Ethereum trades at $2,185; the broader market remains range-bound. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin fails to reclaim $75,000, it risks falling as low as $10,000; conversely, Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes the market bottom has already been established. In derivatives markets, Bitcoin futures open interest rose to 726,000 BTC, with the 24-hour Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) remaining positive for two consecutive days and funding rates slightly above zero—indicating an overall bullish bias. In contrast, CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are marginally negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market anticipating price swings of only about 2.5% around Friday’s inflation data release. Among altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose roughly 6%; however, MANA’s gain coincided with a 25% surge in open interest, suggesting leveraged trading drove much of the move. Market participants are closely watching whether Bitcoin can decisively break above and hold $75,000—if achieved, it could trigger capital rotation into oversold altcoin sectors.
According to CoinDesk, the U.S. March CPI data will be released on Friday. Markets expect the annual growth rate to jump from 2.4% in February to 3.4%, yet Bitcoin markets have reacted calmly. The options market currently prices in only about a 2.5% volatility range, and the BVIV Index (30-day implied volatility) has fallen to 46.5%, its lowest level since January 31. Traders broadly view this release as non-eventful. This CPI report is drawing heightened attention primarily due to energy shocks triggered by the Iran conflict—U.S. gasoline prices surged above $4 per gallon in March, the first time since August 2022. Multiple analysts note that softer-than-expected data could revive rate-cut expectations, while hotter data would reinforce the “higher-for-longer” interest-rate narrative—exerting an asymmetric impact on crypto markets.
According to CoinDesk, Morgan Stanley’s spot Bitcoin ETF, the “Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust,” saw active trading on its first day, with over 1.6 million shares traded and approximately $34 million in net inflows. Coinbase serves as the cold-storage custodian for the fund, while BNY Mellon handles cash management, administrative, and transfer functions. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.14%.