News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi plans to launch exchange-traded futures contracts tracking the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and core CPI in December. It is pitching the products to major banks and hedge funds and has hired former Barclays trader Michael Ashton, known as "Mr. Inflation," to design the contracts and expand institutional clients. If launched, this would become a unique futures product directly tracking CPI, helping institutional investors hedge against inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate change risks, and further positioning Kalshi to enter the traditional derivatives market dominated by CME Group (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Kalshi has confirmed it is developing CPI futures but did not disclose specific launch details. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News: U.S. July nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, significantly missing market expectations. Although seasonal factors and the fading of the World Cup dividend disrupted the data, this still notably weakens the Federal Reserve's momentum for a September rate hike, shifting market focus to next week's CPI.Despite the "dismal" surface data, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. This seemingly contradictory phenomenon is actually attributed to a cumulative 0.7 percentage point decline in the labor force participation rate since the beginning of the year.Analysts are divided in their interpretation of this "terrible" report. Thomas Ryan, Senior Economist at Capital Economics, stated bluntly that although the current weakness has not yet shown up in broader indicators, it is sufficient to prompt Fed officials to reassess the health of the labor market and reduce their willingness to further tighten monetary policy in the near term.In the face of this report, which Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, called "extremely terrible," the capital markets demonstrated typical contrarian logic. As traders bet that the rate hike process would stop here, U.S. stock futures rose accordingly, and Treasury yields collectively declined. According to data from CME Group's tools, the market-implied probability of a September rate hike has rapidly fallen from 55% on Thursday to 44%.
Analysis shows that Hyperliquid achieves extremely high efficiency under the “protocol-level infrastructure” model: revenue is nearly equivalent to net profit, and operating costs are close to minimal, reflecting a structural characteristic where “revenue does not scale linearly with headcount.” However, this current advantage exists at a stage where regulatory and compliance costs have not yet been fully realized; should compliance pressures increase in the future, profitability may contract.