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CME Group(NASDAQ:CME) is the world's largest financial derivatives exchange, trading asset classes including agricultural products, currencies, energy, interest rates, metals, stock indexes and cryptocurrency futures.
CME CEO: US Perpetual Futures Approval Could Bring Tax Uncertainty
: CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy stated that the approval of perpetual futures contracts in the United States could expose traders to tax and regulatory uncertainties, as the products may ultimately be classified as swaps rather than futures. Duffy explained that buyers and sellers in perpetual contracts periodically exchange funding rates, a mechanism that aligns with the legal definition of a swap under U.S. law. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) currently categorizes them as futures, and CME is challenging this classification in court. Duffy noted that if perpetual contracts are treated as futures, some institutional traders may qualify for the mixed tax treatment under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code. If classified as swaps, they may be taxed under ordinary tax rules. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not yet issued specific guidance on the tax treatment of perpetual futures. Legal experts said that perpetual futures are structurally similar to swaps but serve an economic function akin to futures, making the court’s interpretation of the relevant definitions crucial. Even if the litigation clarifies product classification, the IRS may still need to issue separate tax treatment guidance.
CME Sues CFTC Over On-Chain Perpetual Contracts; Non-US Perpetual Contracts Volume Reached $60 Trillion Last Year
CME Group, the operator of the largest U.S. derivatives exchange, sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its Chairman Mike Selig last month, opposing the regulator's approval for prediction market platform Kalshi and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase to launch crypto perpetual contracts. Non-US perpetual contracts achieved a trading volume of $60 trillion last year. CME argues that the CFTC misclassified the relevant products and improperly applied the law, claiming that futures should have an expiration date, whereas perpetual contracts allow traders to establish leveraged positions on the future price of an asset without an expiration limit. CME also contends that the products harm its longer-dated futures business and that the CFTC failed to adequately consider the impact. The dispute between the parties intensified during the early stages of the Iran conflict, when demand rose for 24-hour crude oil perpetual contracts on offshore DeFi exchanges like Hyperliquid, as well as for on-chain prediction market trading related to the crude oil market. CME subsequently applied to accelerate the launch of 24-hour West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures trading but was blocked by the CFTC. Kalshi, after launching its first related product last month, stated that its trading volume exceeded $1 billion in less than a week. The CFTC is currently advancing the U.S. perpetual contracts market through policy statements and case-by-case reviews, rather than through new rulemaking procedures.
Bernstein: Crypto-style derivatives have already entered the AI compute market, while CME and ICE futures still await approval.
According to The Block, Bernstein stated that before the compliant computing power futures planned by CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange are approved, AI computing power derivatives adopting crypto market mechanisms have already launched. Currently, Architect's offshore trading platform AX has launched GPU perpetual futures, while Kalshi has listed GPU rental price event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Analyst: Hyperliquid’s average revenue per user is approximately $56.42 million, far exceeding that of traditional trading platforms such as the CME Group.
Analysis shows that Hyperliquid achieves extremely high efficiency under the “protocol-level infrastructure” model: revenue is nearly equivalent to net profit, and operating costs are close to minimal, reflecting a structural characteristic where “revenue does not scale linearly with headcount.” However, this current advantage exists at a stage where regulatory and compliance costs have not yet been fully realized; should compliance pressures increase in the future, profitability may contract.
CME Group Sues CFTC Over Crypto Perpetual Futures Approval
Odaily Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group has filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its Chairman Michael Selig in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, concerning the agency's routine approval of cryptocurrency perpetual futures. The lawsuit stems from the CFTC’s May 29 approval of a perpetual futures contract linked to the spot price of Bitcoin by prediction market platform Kalshi, and the issuance of a no-action position for a similar product on the Coinbase exchange. In the filing, CME argues that the CFTC's treatment of "futures" with expiration dates as "swaps" violates directives from the U.S. Congress and the Commodity Exchange Act, and requests the court to invalidate the relevant perpetual futures actions. CME also claims that Selig acted unilaterally without a full panel of five commissioners. A CFTC spokesperson stated that CME is waging a "legal battle" against the agency and the government’s crypto policy, calling the lawsuit "frivolous." Kraken has also announced the launch of perpetual futures trading for U.S. users via the CFTC-regulated platform Bitnomial.
CME Group plans to launch WTI crude oil and gold contracts supporting round-the-clock trading
the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME Group) announced plans to launch gold and WTI crude oil futures products available for trading 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, to meet global investors' demand for around-the-clock markets. It is reported that CME Group will launch the Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures contract on August 30, which will be one-tenth the size of the standard WTI crude oil futures contract. Meanwhile, the 1-ounce gold futures contract is planned to support 24/7 trading starting July 26. However, these products are still subject to regulatory approval. They will be listed for trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the New York Mercantile Exchange's precious metals market (COMEX), respectively, and will be cash-settled. (Bloomberg)
CME CEO: US Perpetual Futures Approval Could Bring Tax Uncertainty
: CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy stated that the approval of perpetual futures contracts in the United States could expose traders to tax and regulatory uncertainties, as the products may ultimately be classified as swaps rather than futures. Duffy explained that buyers and sellers in perpetual contracts periodically exchange funding rates, a mechanism that aligns with the legal definition of a swap under U.S. law. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) currently categorizes them as futures, and CME is challenging this classification in court. Duffy noted that if perpetual contracts are treated as futures, some institutional traders may qualify for the mixed tax treatment under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code. If classified as swaps, they may be taxed under ordinary tax rules. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not yet issued specific guidance on the tax treatment of perpetual futures. Legal experts said that perpetual futures are structurally similar to swaps but serve an economic function akin to futures, making the court’s interpretation of the relevant definitions crucial. Even if the litigation clarifies product classification, the IRS may still need to issue separate tax treatment guidance.
CME Sues CFTC Over On-Chain Perpetual Contracts; Non-US Perpetual Contracts Volume Reached $60 Trillion Last Year
CME Group, the operator of the largest U.S. derivatives exchange, sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its Chairman Mike Selig last month, opposing the regulator's approval for prediction market platform Kalshi and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase to launch crypto perpetual contracts. Non-US perpetual contracts achieved a trading volume of $60 trillion last year. CME argues that the CFTC misclassified the relevant products and improperly applied the law, claiming that futures should have an expiration date, whereas perpetual contracts allow traders to establish leveraged positions on the future price of an asset without an expiration limit. CME also contends that the products harm its longer-dated futures business and that the CFTC failed to adequately consider the impact. The dispute between the parties intensified during the early stages of the Iran conflict, when demand rose for 24-hour crude oil perpetual contracts on offshore DeFi exchanges like Hyperliquid, as well as for on-chain prediction market trading related to the crude oil market. CME subsequently applied to accelerate the launch of 24-hour West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures trading but was blocked by the CFTC. Kalshi, after launching its first related product last month, stated that its trading volume exceeded $1 billion in less than a week. The CFTC is currently advancing the U.S. perpetual contracts market through policy statements and case-by-case reviews, rather than through new rulemaking procedures.
Bernstein: Crypto-style derivatives have already entered the AI compute market, while CME and ICE futures still await approval.
According to The Block, Bernstein stated that before the compliant computing power futures planned by CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange are approved, AI computing power derivatives adopting crypto market mechanisms have already launched. Currently, Architect's offshore trading platform AX has launched GPU perpetual futures, while Kalshi has listed GPU rental price event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
June CPI data supports market overestimation of Fed rate hike likelihood
Tony Welch of SignatureFD stated that the market has overestimated the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. After the weak June CPI inflation data, futures markets reflected a lower probability of a rate hike this month, but data from the CME Group indicated that at least one rate hike this year remains possible. Welch said that regardless of fluctuations in fuel prices, inflation is trending downward. He noted that currently, there is no wage growth that could sustain broad-based inflation across the entire economy. Welch expects Fed Chair Powell to attempt to keep inflation expectations near the Fed's 2% target and use rhetoric to help set and stabilize those expectations.
CME Group Sues CFTC Over Crypto Perpetual Futures Approval
Odaily Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group has filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its Chairman Michael Selig in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, concerning the agency's routine approval of cryptocurrency perpetual futures. The lawsuit stems from the CFTC’s May 29 approval of a perpetual futures contract linked to the spot price of Bitcoin by prediction market platform Kalshi, and the issuance of a no-action position for a similar product on the Coinbase exchange. In the filing, CME argues that the CFTC's treatment of "futures" with expiration dates as "swaps" violates directives from the U.S. Congress and the Commodity Exchange Act, and requests the court to invalidate the relevant perpetual futures actions. CME also claims that Selig acted unilaterally without a full panel of five commissioners. A CFTC spokesperson stated that CME is waging a "legal battle" against the agency and the government’s crypto policy, calling the lawsuit "frivolous." Kraken has also announced the launch of perpetual futures trading for U.S. users via the CFTC-regulated platform Bitnomial.
CFTC Considers Blocking CME’s 24/7 Crude Oil Contract Launch Plan
According to Bloomberg, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is considering blocking the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group)’s plan to launch around-the-clock crude oil and gold futures contracts. CME previously announced it would launch 24-hour, seven-days-a-week crude oil and gold futures contracts—a move that reportedly caught the CFTC off guard, escalating tensions between the two parties.
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CME CEO: US Perpetual Futures Approval Could Bring Tax Uncertainty
: CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy stated that the approval of perpetual futures contracts in the United States could expose traders to tax and regulatory uncertainties, as the products may ultimately be classified as swaps rather than futures. Duffy explained that buyers and sellers in perpetual contracts periodically exchange funding rates, a mechanism that aligns with the legal definition of a swap under U.S. law. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) currently categorizes them as futures, and CME is challenging this classification in court. Duffy noted that if perpetual contracts are treated as futures, some institutional traders may qualify for the mixed tax treatment under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code. If classified as swaps, they may be taxed under ordinary tax rules. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not yet issued specific guidance on the tax treatment of perpetual futures. Legal experts said that perpetual futures are structurally similar to swaps but serve an economic function akin to futures, making the court’s interpretation of the relevant definitions crucial. Even if the litigation clarifies product classification, the IRS may still need to issue separate tax treatment guidance.
CME Sues CFTC Over On-Chain Perpetual Contracts; Non-US Perpetual Contracts Volume Reached $60 Trillion Last Year
CME Group, the operator of the largest U.S. derivatives exchange, sued the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and its Chairman Mike Selig last month, opposing the regulator's approval for prediction market platform Kalshi and cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase to launch crypto perpetual contracts. Non-US perpetual contracts achieved a trading volume of $60 trillion last year. CME argues that the CFTC misclassified the relevant products and improperly applied the law, claiming that futures should have an expiration date, whereas perpetual contracts allow traders to establish leveraged positions on the future price of an asset without an expiration limit. CME also contends that the products harm its longer-dated futures business and that the CFTC failed to adequately consider the impact. The dispute between the parties intensified during the early stages of the Iran conflict, when demand rose for 24-hour crude oil perpetual contracts on offshore DeFi exchanges like Hyperliquid, as well as for on-chain prediction market trading related to the crude oil market. CME subsequently applied to accelerate the launch of 24-hour West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures trading but was blocked by the CFTC. Kalshi, after launching its first related product last month, stated that its trading volume exceeded $1 billion in less than a week. The CFTC is currently advancing the U.S. perpetual contracts market through policy statements and case-by-case reviews, rather than through new rulemaking procedures.
Bernstein: Crypto-style derivatives have already entered the AI compute market, while CME and ICE futures still await approval.
According to The Block, Bernstein stated that before the compliant computing power futures planned by CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange are approved, AI computing power derivatives adopting crypto market mechanisms have already launched. Currently, Architect's offshore trading platform AX has launched GPU perpetual futures, while Kalshi has listed GPU rental price event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
June CPI data supports market overestimation of Fed rate hike likelihood
Tony Welch of SignatureFD stated that the market has overestimated the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. After the weak June CPI inflation data, futures markets reflected a lower probability of a rate hike this month, but data from the CME Group indicated that at least one rate hike this year remains possible. Welch said that regardless of fluctuations in fuel prices, inflation is trending downward. He noted that currently, there is no wage growth that could sustain broad-based inflation across the entire economy. Welch expects Fed Chair Powell to attempt to keep inflation expectations near the Fed's 2% target and use rhetoric to help set and stabilize those expectations.
CME June Crypto Contracts Average Daily Trading Volume Increased 76% Year-Over-Year, Notional Value Exceeded $10 Billion
Data released by CME Group shows that its June Average Daily Volume (ADV) set a new record of 30.6 million contracts, up 19% year-over-year; second quarter volume reached 29.8 million contracts, marking the second highest in history. In terms of cryptocurrency, CME's June cryptocurrency futures contracts ADV increased 76% year-over-year to 334,000 contracts, with a notional value of approximately $10.7 billion, of which Micro Bitcoin futures contracts ADV grew 46% to 77,000 contracts; second quarter cryptocurrency futures contracts ADV reached 250,000 contracts, up 32% year-over-year, with a notional value of approximately $13.7 billion, of which Ethereum futures contracts ADV grew 10% to 18,000 contracts.
Analyst: Hyperliquid’s average revenue per user is approximately $56.42 million, far exceeding that of traditional trading platforms such as the CME Group.
Analysis shows that Hyperliquid achieves extremely high efficiency under the “protocol-level infrastructure” model: revenue is nearly equivalent to net profit, and operating costs are close to minimal, reflecting a structural characteristic where “revenue does not scale linearly with headcount.” However, this current advantage exists at a stage where regulatory and compliance costs have not yet been fully realized; should compliance pressures increase in the future, profitability may contract.