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Project Overview
Bitfinex is a cryptocurrency exchange founded in 2012. It provides advanced trading features, charting tools, access to peer-to-peer (P2P) financing, an OTC market, and margin trading for a wide selection of digital assets and derivatives trading. Bitfinex's strategy focuses on delivering the best crypto trading experience for professional traders and liquidity providers worldwide through cutting-edge technology.
Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
Bitfinex Receives Digital Asset Service Provider License from El Salvador
According to Cointelegraph, Bitfinex has obtained a digital asset service provider license in El Salvador, expanding its regulated business footprint in Latin America.
Bitfinex Receives Digital Asset Service License in El Salvador
Bitfinex has announced it has obtained a Digital Asset Service Provider (DASP) license in El Salvador, further expanding its compliant business footprint in Latin America and completing full regulatory coverage for its business lines in the country.Following this approval, Bitfinex's core spot trading platform has been brought under El Salvador's regulatory framework, forming a complete compliance structure alongside the previously licensed Bitfinex Securities and Bitfinex Derivatives, covering spot trading, derivatives, and tokenized securities businesses.
Analysis: This BTC rebound is driven by “liquidity” rather than a fundamental strengthening of the trend.
According to The Block, Bitcoin rose approximately 6% this week, briefly reaching $76,300—the highest level in nearly two months—yet the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at 21 (“Extreme Fear”). Multiple institutional analysts characterize this rally as “liquidity-driven” rather than a structural strengthening. Glassnode notes that while spot demand and ETF inflows have improved, the recovery lacks depth, institutional participation remains cautious, and options market positioning continues to favor downside protection. Bitfinex attributes this price increase primarily to concentrated buying by “Strategists” (who purchased 13,927 BTC last week), rather than an organic rebound in demand. Analysts broadly view $75,000 as a critical support level; if structural buying wanes and this level fails to hold, prices could retreat to the $70,000–$71,000 range. On the macro front, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory and the June FOMC meeting are seen as the next key risk catalysts.
Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Exhibits a Market Structure of “Selling Pressure Paused, but Buying Not Yet Confirmed”
The Bitfinex Alpha report notes that Bitcoin held its $59,200 low after multiple tests and rebounded 3.54% this week to close at $65,655. This rally stems more from exhaustion of selling pressure than from new demand: open interest in futures has declined significantly from its May highs; short-term holders have been selling at a loss; and exchange balances have dropped to a seven-year low—indicating the market has entered a phase of deleveraging and release of selling pressure. Short-term holders remain broadly underwater by approximately 17%–19%, suggesting substantial potential overhead supply remains.
Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
Tether transferred 204.3 BTC to Bitfinex, and the address holds approximately 96,900 BTC
according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Tether's BTC reserve address transferred 204.3 BTC to Bitfinex 3 hours ago. Since 2023, the address has been purchasing BTC using 15% of the company's profits, and currently holds 96,936 BTC, valued at approximately $6.72 billion at current prices, making it the fifth-largest BTC wallet. The average purchase price of BTC withdrawn from Bitfinex to this address is around $51,312, with an unrealized profit of approximately $1.75 billion.
A whale deposited 9,000 ETH into Bitfinex after 5 years, making a profit of $14.37 million
according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited 9,000 ETH worth $17.86 million into Bitfinex after holding for 5 years, realizing a profit of $14.37 million. The whale originally withdrew 10,000 ETH at a cost of $4.63 million. Among these, 1,000 ETH (worth $1.147 million) were transferred via TornadoCash before being sold and deposited into Kraken.
Analysis: Bitcoin long-term holders are accumulating heavily, institutional buying drives price back above $80,000
the latest Bitfinex Alpha report indicates that as May began, BTC successfully navigated through the dense sell-off zone between $78,000 and $79,000, briefly approaching $83,000. This rally is primarily driven by spot demand, rather than leveraged funds. Since May 8, the spot CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) has risen significantly, showing that buyers are continuously taking the initiative to absorb market supply. ETF inflows and public market accumulation are the main drivers, while long-term holders have now accumulated close to 4 million BTC, the largest increase since the pandemic crash in 2020, suggesting that circulating market supply is being further locked up. The market currently estimates the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June at approximately 94%. Against the backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional capital continues to deploy into the crypto market.
A whale that had been dormant for 2 years deposited 300 BTC into Binance, set to make a profit of $17.6 million upon selling
According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale that had been dormant for 2 years deposited 300 BTC, worth $23.4 million, into Binance.These 300 BTC were withdrawn from Bitfinex 3 years ago when the BTC price was $19,329. The whale is now looking at a profit of $17.6 million.
The U.S. government transferred Bitcoin worth $606,470 to Coinbase Prime.
Arkham monitoring shows that a U.S. government address has just transferred $606,470 worth of Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime. This Bitcoin was previously seized by the U.S. government from Ilya Lichtenstein, the Bitfinex hacker. It remains unclear whether this batch of stolen Bitcoin will be sold on Coinbase.
The U.S. government deposited 8.2 BTC into Coinbase Prime, valued at approximately $606,000.
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), the U.S. government deposited 8.2 BTC (approximately $606,000) into Coinbase Prime; these funds originated from assets previously seized in connection with the Bitfinex hack.
Related news
Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Exhibits a Market Structure of “Selling Pressure Paused, but Buying Not Yet Confirmed”
The Bitfinex Alpha report notes that Bitcoin held its $59,200 low after multiple tests and rebounded 3.54% this week to close at $65,655. This rally stems more from exhaustion of selling pressure than from new demand: open interest in futures has declined significantly from its May highs; short-term holders have been selling at a loss; and exchange balances have dropped to a seven-year low—indicating the market has entered a phase of deleveraging and release of selling pressure. Short-term holders remain broadly underwater by approximately 17%–19%, suggesting substantial potential overhead supply remains.
“New Stock God” Serenity: Sivers Secures $8.2 Million Space Communications Order, Poised for More Defense Sector Contracts
"New Stock God" Serenity stated that Sivers has secured a bulk order worth $8.2 million from allspace for beamforming IC products used in LEO and multi-orbit satellite communication systems.Serenity believes the significance of this order extends beyond the contract value itself, as Sivers—through its acquisition of allspace—has entered a larger defense supply chain system, increasing its potential for subsequent orders and bulk procurement contracts. Additionally, Serenity noted that Sivers holds a critical position in the space and defense communications supply chain, and is optimistic about the company's photonics business benefiting from future growth in demand from AI data centers and the optical module industry.
“New Stock God” Serenity: Sivers Secures $8.2M Order and Enters Aerospace & Defense Supply Chain
Serenity stated that Sivers announced an order totaling $8.2 million for the delivery of products related to space applications, including beamforming ICs supporting LEO and multi-orbit satellite communications.
Analysis: On-chain data sends bearish signals, Bitcoin rebound faces sustained selling pressure
Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that Bitcoin has entered a deeper correction phase, dropping to a low of $59,200 on June 5, a cumulative 53% decline from its all-time high in October 2025. This decline is primarily driven by record outflows from spot ETFs, derivative deleveraging, and sustained pressure from a high-interest-rate macroeconomic environment. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note currently remains above 4.45%, further dampening market expectations for a Fed rate cut.On-chain and fund flow data suggest the current market is closer to a "distribution phase" than "panic selling." The spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has turned significantly negative after strong accumulation from April to May, indicating that recent buyers are steadily exiting. Meanwhile, the cost basis for short-term holders has fallen below the True Market Mean of $77,800, meaning a large number of new investors are in unrealized loss positions, creating significant selling pressure for any potential rebound. As the price approaches the overall realized cost basis of around $53,900, the characteristic of reducing positions on bounces is becoming more pronounced.At the macro level, the US economy continues to grow, but inflation is eroding real household income. The job market remains robust, with job openings hitting a nearly two-year high and continued job creation exceeding replacement levels. Sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, construction, and leisure and hospitality are all expanding. However, inflation is expected to continue outpacing wage growth, leading to a decline in real purchasing power and presenting the Fed with a more complex balance between maintaining employment and controlling inflation.The key driver of current market trends has shifted to real yields. Driven by rising energy prices and geopolitical risks, inflation expectations are heating up, pushing both nominal and real yields on US Treasuries higher. Higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess their allocation to risk assets. Bitcoin has been the first to feel the impact, with US spot ETFs experiencing their largest outflows since launch. The market has also shifted from betting on rate cuts to pricing in the risk of "higher for longer" interest rates. Bitfinex Alpha believes that, in the current phase, the trajectory of real yields has become the most important variable influencing performance in both traditional financial and digital asset markets.Despite short-term pressure, the institutionalization process continues. The report notes that Securitize's approval to list on the New York Stock Exchange signals that tokenization infrastructure is further integrating into the traditional financial system. Concurrently, the US GENIUS Act is advancing a regulatory framework for stablecoins, bringing issuers under compliance requirements similar to those for traditional financial institutions. The institutio
Tether transferred 204.3 BTC to Bitfinex, and the address holds approximately 96,900 BTC
according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, Tether's BTC reserve address transferred 204.3 BTC to Bitfinex 3 hours ago. Since 2023, the address has been purchasing BTC using 15% of the company's profits, and currently holds 96,936 BTC, valued at approximately $6.72 billion at current prices, making it the fifth-largest BTC wallet. The average purchase price of BTC withdrawn from Bitfinex to this address is around $51,312, with an unrealized profit of approximately $1.75 billion.
After more than 5 years of dormancy, an address deposited 86,481 ETH (worth $171.57 million) into Bitfinex
According to Lookonchain monitoring, an address deposited 86,481 ETH (worth $171.57 million) into Bitfinex after being dormant for over 5 years. This operation may simply be a transfer between Bitfinex's internal wallets.