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According to BIT Official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN) analysis, the current crypto market faces dual pressure from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the slowed progress of the CLARITY Act. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh maintains a hawkish stance; the 2-year US Treasury yield has risen cumulatively by approximately 35 basis points since late January, and the Committee has seen a pattern of 9 votes to maintain interest rates and 3 votes supporting rate hikes. Regarding the CLARITY Act, prediction markets indicate a mere 32% probability of it being signed by the end of 2026, with the legislative window continuing to narrow. Meanwhile, crypto market trading volume has retreated 80% from highs, total market cap has fallen approximately 50%, and USDT and USDC have shown no significant expansion since November 2025, reflecting an overall lack of new USD liquidity in the market. Despite this, Bitcoin remains within the $62,000 to $66,000 range, correcting only about 3% over the past week. It demonstrates stronger resilience compared to most altcoins, reflecting that active position adjustment pressure has been largely released. BIT points out that if Bitcoin subsequently regains $70,000 and drives multiple indicators to turn bullish, it will further confirm that the low point of this cycle has been established.
Odaily News, BIT Official released a weekly report stating that trading volume in the crypto market has fallen 80% from its peak, contracting approximately 60% from the Q4 2025 high, while the total crypto market cap has also dropped 50%. The report noted that without a meaningful recovery in volume, the market will struggle to form a sustained rebound.Despite the market still digesting the double headwinds of the Fed's hawkish policy stance and stalled progress on the CLARITY Act, Bitcoin has held within the $62,000 to $66,000 range. BIT Official expects Bitcoin to eventually break upward.The report stated that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has recently adopted a "say less, do less" communication strategy, and the uncertainty surrounding his policy stance is unsettling the market. Warsh has been known for his hawkish position over the past two decades, but the market had previously anticipated that, with Trump's support, he might push monetary policy in a more dovish direction. If that shift materializes, it could be a positive catalyst for Bitcoin.Additionally, prediction market data shows that the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law by the end of 2026 currently stands at just 32%. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has indicated that the Senate will prioritize other issues, and with the August recess approaching, the remaining legislative window for the bill is further narrowing.
According to charts released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on July 27, 2026, the Bitcoin price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) trends show a clear divergence signal. The RSI recently fell to the 30% oversold zone, then rebounded to around the 50% level, while the BTC price also recovered from near the lows to approximately $64,645. Notably, the purple downward trend line in the chart shows that since the June 2025 high (approximately $125,000), BTC has been overall in a downward channel; the current price is still suppressed by this resistance line, and whether it can effectively break through will be key to judging subsequent trends.
According to the market analysis released by BIT's official Chinese channel, as demand for call options continues to heat up, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum is rebounding simultaneously, indicating that the period of light summer trading may be nearing an end, and market expectations for Bitcoin's upside have strengthened.
BIT US stock options trading will officially launch on July 24. Following its margin trading (securities lending and borrowing) service, BIT is further expanding its derivatives matrix to provide users with lower-cost, risk-controllable tools for US stock trading and hedging.In terms of fees, BIT US stock options charge $0 commission for both buying and selling, with platform usage fees as low as $0.30 per contract—only half the fee charged by similar platforms. The minimum fee per transaction is $0.99, consistent with US stock trading, and options trading incurs no additional markup, helping users enter the market with a lower threshold.The initial launch will cover approximately 2,000 highly liquid US stock underlying assets, and will prioritize opening options buyer trading (Long Call / Long Put), while not yet supporting seller (Short) opening positions. The maximum loss for buyers is locked in as the premium paid at the time of order placement, effectively avoiding liquidation risks in extreme market conditions. The product's coverage scope and trading methods will be gradually expanded based on risk control system validation and market demand.Early bird exclusive offers and experience benefits are now available. By completing your first option trade or inviting a friend to participate, you can receive multiple early bird rewards, including 30 days of free real-time options quotes and popular stocks. For event details, please refer to the BIT US Stock Channel.Risk Warning: Options trading involves risk, which may result in the total loss of the premium paid. Please use investment and financing tools reasonably based on your own investment objectives and risk tolerance.
According to BIT Official analysis, Ethereum's market dominance has climbed back above the 10% psychological key level, with historical data showing that this signal usually accompanies bullish market trends. In the long term, Ethereum's "Lean Ethereum" roadmap plans to complete seven consecutive upgrades before 2029, aiming to build a high-speed settlement layer featuring faster finality, post-quantum cryptography technology, and network-wide native privacy features.
following the recent launch of margin trading functionality, BIT (formerly Matrixport) today officially announced the上线 of its US stock short selling (short) function, marking a key闭环 in BIT's brokerage business achieving a long/short two-way trading ecosystem for US stocks. This provides investors with tools to hedge risks and profit flexibly in a volatile market, and lays sufficient foundational infrastructure for the upcoming options trading.Regarding this business upgrade, Elio Cui, Head of BIT Brokerage, stated: "With the launch of short selling, BIT Brokerage has become one of the very few trading platforms in the industry that simultaneously supports margin trading, short selling, and options布局 under a real US stock framework. Our product planning has been built from the start to benchmark against the complete investment experience of traditional brokerages. Within a single account, users can seamlessly execute long/short two-way allocation and risk hedging, navigating different market cycles with higher capital efficiency."After this feature goes live, users of BIT's integrated account (margin account) who meet the initial margin requirements can short sell designated US stocks. The platform will dynamically update key risk control indicators such as margin rates, stock borrowing costs, and short pool availability in real-time to ensure transparency and efficiency in trading.As a crucial part of enhancing its US stock brokerage services, BIT also reminds investors that short selling involves market risks and is affected by factors such as market volatility, stock borrowing costs, and interest rate fluctuations. The platform will dynamically adjust the list of stocks available for short selling based on market liquidity and risk control policies, offering investors qualified US stock short selling opportunities within a stable and secure framework.To coincide with the launch of the new service, BIT Brokerage is offering a limited-time "0 fee" promotion.
BIT released a daily report stating that Bitcoin performed steadily in early July, continuing its historically relatively strong seasonal performance. US President Trump's statements, such as "the US is taking over cryptocurrency," boosted market sentiment, and investors' attention also turned to the CLARITY Act, which needs to make progress before the Senate enters summer recess on August 7.
According to the daily chart analysis released by BIT Official (@BITofficial_EN), July has historically been a month of relatively strong performance for Bitcoin, but the market typically enters a consolidation phase of about two months thereafter. Unlike last year, which was boosted by sentiment surrounding the "GENIUS Act", this summer lacks similar catalysts. Coupled with low trading volume and persistent downside risks, upside potential may be limited. BIT recommends clients consider selling call options to generate additional yield. Additionally, BIT research reports indicate that the low point of this Bitcoin cycle may not have been reached before September, and the current strategic focus should shift from directional bets to yield generation.
According to the weekly market report released by BIT Official, heavy selling in semiconductor and AI stocks on June 23-24 triggered defensive adjustments by institutional capital. BTC fell below $60K on June 24, hitting a low of ~$59,000 (intraday decline of approximately 5%). Approximately $994 million in liquidations occurred during the same period (of which approximately $780 million were long positions). Approximately $1.2 billion in nominal Put positions at the $60K level forced market makers to short, exacerbating the downward trend. As of the weekend, BTC was quoted at ~$59,992, down 6.9% for the week; ETH was quoted at ~$1,578, down 9.3% for the week. In terms of volatility, DVOL only rose slightly (BTC 44.1→45.7, ETH 57.3→59.5), front-end skew tended to stabilize, and convexity returned to normal. The institutional defensive hedging ratio decreased from 29.6% to 19.7%, shifting towards two-way balance, overall showing characteristics of an "orderly decline" rather than panic selling. In terms of ETFs, for the week ending June 26, US spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of approximately $1.79 billion, marking the second-highest weekly outflow record in history, and have seen net outflows for 7 consecutive weeks; IBIT net assets decreased to approximately $44.4 billion, with average holders having an unrealized loss of approximately 40%. Strategy purchased only 520 BTC this week (approximately $34.9 million), significantly slowing down compared to the previous two weeks. MSTR stock price has fallen below its BTC book value, and the flywheel effect has been affected
Odaily Odaily News BIT (formerly Matrixport) has officially launched its Margin Trading feature and will open public beta on June 26. BIT is the first platform in the crypto industry to offer a margin function. Users can now submit margin applications through the official website or APP. BIT will review applications based on account status and risk management requirements and gradually open margin limits.In addition, features such as securities lending are also in preparation and will be gradually rolled out in accordance with regulatory requirements and product progress.During the public beta, BIT is simultaneously launching the "First Margin Borrow · Limited-Time Zero Interest" and "Interest Cashback Rewards" campaigns. Users who utilize margin for the first time during the event period will enjoy 0% interest on their first loan for 30 days, allowing users to experience the capital efficiency of leverage with zero interest.Elio Cui, Head of the Brokerage Business, stated: “BIT is the first to offer margin functionality, completing the client journey from account opening and trading to capital leverage. This allows BIT clients to enhance investment efficiency and gain early access to the world’s most wealth-generating assets without relying on bank cards or leaving the digital asset ecosystem.”BIT also reminds users that while margin trading improves capital efficiency, it also carries corresponding risks. Users should fully understand the margin rules and risk control mechanisms and participate prudently based on their own risk tolerance.
BIT's analysis today notes that over the past 30 days, the combined capital flows from stablecoins, Strategy, and Bitcoin ETFs have turned net negative, reaching a record high of $8 billion. This indicates that institutional investors are reducing risk exposure ahead of the summer season.Unlike the Q4 2025 period when inflows only slowed slightly, capital flows have now clearly shifted to net outflows. Without a significant positive catalyst (such as the Fed turning dovish), buy-side recovery could prove challenging.This suggests that Bitcoin's decline from $82,000 to $62,000 may have a greater impact than its previous correction from $102,000 to $82,000. Against a backdrop of limited upside potential, short volatility strategies may still present opportunities.
BIT has released its latest weekly report, titled "Will the FIFA World Cup Be the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market?" The report suggests that the current bearish trend of Bitcoin is largely consistent with its early February 2026 outlook. The previously predicted A-B-C correction structure has entered its final phase: after Wave A declined to the $60,000 to $69,000 range, Bitcoin rebounded to the $80,000 to $90,000 range, peaking temporarily around $83,000, after which the rebound momentum gradually weakened.BIT points out that the current Fear and Greed Index has approached historically significant low levels, still showing some similarity to the bottom structure of the 2022 bear market. It maintains its previous view that the summer lull during the 2026 World Cup period could serve as the final stage of Bitcoin's current bear cycle.The report states that future focus will be on the key price range for the end of the bear market, macro catalysts for the next bull run, and trend reversal signals from cyclical indicators. If the relevant framework holds, this market bottom could become one of the low points in Bitcoin's history with a relatively concentrated time window and clearly defined triggering conditions.
BIT Official released a chart analysis stating that the crypto market has already begun pricing in the SpaceX IPO ahead of time.The chart shows that SpaceX plans to IPO on June 12 with a valuation of approximately $1.74 trillion, nearly 40% higher than its latest internal valuation of $1.25 trillion. Currently, Hyperliquid and Binance have successively launched SpaceX-related perpetual contracts, with the implied valuation corresponding to the relevant market price standing at approximately $2.41 trillion.Markus Thielen believes this indicates the market is betting that SpaceX will complete its IPO at a higher valuation or deliver a strong performance after listing. Meanwhile, he pointed out that the launch of such contract products also reflects the deepening integration of the crypto market with traditional finance, as crypto trading platforms gradually expand their trading exposure to stocks and popular primary market themes.
Odaily Planet Daily reports that BIT's chart of the day indicates that the key to market analysis often lies in identifying the core factors driving asset price movements and observing when these factors begin to change.For Bitcoin, the sustained upward trend over the past period has largely depended on the shifting dynamic between institutional demand and market supply. Over the past year, spot Bitcoin ETFs and Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) have been important sources of this demand.When ETF inflows accelerate and Strategy continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, Bitcoin prices typically rise. Currently, the combined net purchases of ETFs and Strategy have fallen to just $870 million, primarily due to significant capital outflows from ETFs, which have shifted from net buying to net selling.Until ETF inflows stabilize and recover, Bitcoin may continue to oscillate and consolidate in the short term.
According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, HYPE has become one of the strongest-performing tokens in the crypto market since the outbreak of the Iran conflict, surging over 100% from its 2026 lows—with particularly pronounced outperformance relative to Bitcoin. The core driver behind this strength lies in Hyperliquid’s ongoing expansion beyond crypto into other asset classes, having successively launched TradFi-linked products such as oil and SpaceX perpetual contracts, thereby attracting substantial capital inflows. Thielen notes that this trend reflects a broader acceleration by crypto exchanges into high-volatility, topical traditional financial derivatives—and signals that the intrinsic value of crypto infrastructure itself is gradually surpassing the crypto narrative. Although HYPE is already a highly crowded long position with strong conviction among market participants, its current momentum remains robust.
According to chart analysis released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on May 19, the current market capitalization of USDT has reached $189.8 billion, while that of USDC stands at $76.9 billion—both exhibiting long-term upward trends. However, since Bitcoin entered a correction phase in October last year, the total market capitalization of stablecoins has remained largely flat, indicating relatively limited inflows of new capital into the crypto market. Thielen noted that although there is a widespread belief that stablecoins will fully replace traditional payment networks, their primary use cases remain concentrated on crypto trading and portfolio management—still far from achieving mainstream payment adoption. While U.S. policy broadly supports stablecoin development—partly because their reserve assets are often reallocated into U.S. Treasury securities—the gap between current usage and true mainstream payment application remains substantial.
Odaily released the latest analysis chart indicating that Ethereum's recent price movements are increasingly dominated by ETF fund flows. Over the past year, the 30-day moving average of daily net inflows for ETH ETFs has been highly synchronized with ETH's price performance, showing a marked increase in Ethereum's sensitivity to institutional fund flows.BIT points out that one of Ethereum's current core narratives is its net staking yield of approximately 2.5%. However, against the backdrop of accelerating inflation again and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rising above 4.6%, Ethereum's staking yield advantage is weakening compared to risk-free assets like U.S. Treasuries.Furthermore, ETF outflows from Ethereum have resumed since May. BIT believes that if this trend continues, Ethereum is likely to maintain a consolidation and range-bound trajectory.
According to chart analysis released by independent analyst Markus Thielen on May 18, the 30-day moving average of daily net inflows into ETH ETFs over the past year has been highly synchronized with Ethereum’s price movement, making institutional fund flows a core driver of ETH’s price. However, as U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rise above 4.6% and inflation accelerates again, Ethereum’s ~2.5% net staking yield is losing appeal relative to risk-free assets. Since May, ETH ETFs have seen renewed net outflows; if this trend persists, Ethereum’s price is highly likely to remain in a range-bound consolidation pattern.
BIT's latest weekly report indicates if Bitcoin had kept pace with the Nasdaq's rally, its price would theoretically be near $140,000. However, since October 2025, the divergence between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq has become increasingly pronounced.BIT highlights that the latest U.S. CPI data has risen to 3.0%, 100 basis points above the Federal Reserve's target, prompting the market to pull back some of its pricing for rate cuts in 2026. The report suggests that Bitcoin's previous upward momentum was heavily reliant on expectations of Fed easing, and as rate cut expectations have diminished, Bitcoin's performance has come under short-term pressure.The report also notes that the stock market has benefited from nominal income growth driven by inflation and a decline in real debt burdens, resulting in a different trajectory compared to Bitcoin. BIT believes the market's current focus is on whether the repricing of inflation expectations will undermine Bitcoin's fundamentals and how investors will adjust their positions going forward.