BIT: Bitcoin Shows Resilience at Cycle Bottom Under Dual Negative Pressure, $70,000 Becomes Key Confirmation Level
According to BIT Official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN) analysis, the current crypto market faces dual pressure from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the slowed progress of the CLARITY Act. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh maintains a hawkish stance; the 2-year US Treasury yield has risen cumulatively by approximately 35 basis points since late January, and the Committee has seen a pattern of 9 votes to maintain interest rates and 3 votes supporting rate hikes. Regarding the CLARITY Act, prediction markets indicate a mere 32% probability of it being signed by the end of 2026, with the legislative window continuing to narrow.
Meanwhile, crypto market trading volume has retreated 80% from highs, total market cap has fallen approximately 50%, and USDT and USDC have shown no significant expansion since November 2025, reflecting an overall lack of new USD liquidity in the market. Despite this, Bitcoin remains within the $62,000 to $66,000 range, correcting only about 3% over the past week. It demonstrates stronger resilience compared to most altcoins, reflecting that active position adjustment pressure has been largely released. BIT points out that if Bitcoin subsequently regains $70,000 and drives multiple indicators to turn bullish, it will further confirm that the low point of this cycle has been established.
