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Project Overview
Basis is a stable cryptocurrency protocol with an algorithmic central bank designed to remove volatility. It is designed to keep prices stable by algorithmically adjusting the supply, similar to how central banks buy and sell fiscal debt to stabilize purchasing power. When demand is increasing, the blockchain will create more Basis, with the expanded supply designed to bring the Basis price back down. Conversely, when demand is decreasing, the blockchain will buy back Basis, with the contracted supply designed to restore the Basis price. Following intervention by the U.S. SEC, Basis was shut down in December 2018.
GMO Ransomware Attack Hits Japan's Credit Market, Bond Spread Widens 52 Basis Points in 5 Days
Odaily Report: After a publicly listed company under Japan's GMO Internet Group suffered a cyberattack, related risks are spreading to Japan's credit market. Data shows that the spread on a GMO Internet Group yen bond maturing in June 2031 widened to approximately 174 basis points on October 28, up from about 122 basis points on October 20—before the company disclosed the unauthorized access incident—reflecting investor concerns over damaged earnings and rising compensation costs.The GMO subsidiary that provides cloud services disclosed on October 21 that it had suffered unauthorized access and received a ransom demand of approximately 8 billion yen (about $50.7 million). The attackers subsequently published data they claimed contained customer information. GMO refused to pay the ransom and plans to compensate customers for their losses. Analysts noted that as AI-powered cyberattacks increase, such incidents could affect corporate financing and bond issuance arrangements.GMO Internet operates the cryptocurrency exchange "Z.com EX," which has obtained licenses from the Thailand Securities and Exchange Commission and the Thai Ministry of Finance. The exchange disclosed that it has been acquired, with the acquisition involving all shares of the target company held by shareholders including GMO Internet and its related subsidiaries. It remains unclear whether customer information data involves the related cryptocurrency exchange. (Bloomberg)
Bitget Partners with Reality and Keyring to Publish Research Report, Plans to Launch Onchain Stock Basis Trading Strategy
Odaily Report: Bitget, in collaboration with Reality and Keyring, has published a research report exploring the synergies between tokenized stocks, perpetual contracts, and decentralized lending, while assessing the potential returns and risks of related strategies through simulated calculations. The report notes that the application of tokenized stocks is expanding from traditional stock trading to collateralized lending, asset management, and systematic investment strategies.The research is based on Reality's rToken, combined with stock perpetual contract hedging and onchain lending mechanisms, to explore stock basis yield strategies. Historical simulation data shows that from December 15, 2025, to October 19, 2026, the strategy index achieved annualized net returns of approximately 7% and 4% in-sample and out-of-sample, respectively, with a gross funding rate premium of approximately 11%–14%. The report also notes that financing costs, trade execution fees, market liquidity, and risk management are key factors affecting the strategy's actual returns.It is understood that Bitget and Keyring plan to jointly develop a stock basis index and build an onchain lending market based on Reality's rToken. Reality will provide exposure to tokenized stock assets, while Keyring will be responsible for developing the index methodology and building the related lending market. The index aims to capture funding rate and basis yield opportunities by combining rToken holdings with hedged positions in corresponding stock perpetual contracts, providing a new strategic pathway for the application of tokenized stocks in onchain financial scenarios.
Logan: Fed Should Raise Rates by At Least 50 Basis Points
Dallas Fed President Logan stated that the Federal Reserve's policy stance has drifted off track, recommending rate hikes of at least 50 basis points to combat inflation. Logan noted that several more rate increases are necessary to offset last fall's rate cuts, emphasizing that the moderately restrictive interest rate level remains uncertain.
Goldman Sachs: FOMC Hikes Rates by 25 Basis Points to 3.75%-4.00%, Could Raise Rates Once More This Year
According to Chaowang Research, Goldman Sachs' research report dated September 16, 2026, indicates that the Federal Reserve will raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking its first rate hike since July 2023 and passing unanimously. The dot plot median indicates another rate hike in 2026, unchanged policy in 2027, and an increase in the long-run federal funds rate expectation from 3.06% to 3.25%. The SEP raises the 2026 core PCE inflation forecast to 3.4% and the overall PCE to 3.7%.
Fed September Interest Rate Decision Outlook: Market Bets on 25 Basis Point Hike
Markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points this month. Key highlights of the meeting include voting splits, adjustments to the dot plot, and guidance on the inflation trajectory and future policy from Chair Warsh's press conference.
QCP: Market Has Priced In a 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Hike, Focus Shifts to Policy Guidance
QCP released a report on September 14 stating that the market has largely priced in expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with attention shifting to the language of the rate hike announcement and signals regarding the future rate path. U.S. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, with the year-over-year growth rate of core CPI declining from 2.5% to 2.4%.Bitcoin briefly fell to $76,700 following the release of the CPI data, before recovering to around $77,600; Ethereum remained near $2,500. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $463 million last week, with net outflows slowing to $13.2 million on Friday; spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $197 million, with single-day net inflows of $216 million on Friday.
Study: US Taxpayer Virtual Currency Reporting Rate Only 32% to 56%, IRS New Rule 1099-DA Accelerates Compliance Tightening
According to US CNBC, the latest study published in the academic journal "Review of Accounting Studies" shows that among U.S. taxpayers holding virtual currency, the proportion actually reporting transactions to the federal government is only 32% to 56%. As the IRS mandates intermediaries to submit the virtual currency tax form "Form 1099-DA" starting from 2025, discrepancies between industry reports and taxpayer filings will be more easily identified by authorities. In the initial year, this form only requires reporting gross proceeds, while the reporting obligation for acquisition cost (Cost Basis) will be formally included starting from 2026.
Analysts Respond to Claims That a 20% US Stock Market Correction Would Cause BTC to Plunge to $10,000: Predictions Are Too Extreme and Lack Historical Basis
Regarding recent community speculation that a 20% correction in the US stock market would trigger a plunge in Bitcoin to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis noting that if Bitcoin were to fall to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from current prices and a drawdown of roughly 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum drawdown exceeding 92%, which occurred in 2011; its maximum drawdowns in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that while Bitcoin fell approximately 80% when the S&P 500 index corrected by about 19.53%, it only declined around 22% during the S&P 500's similar pullback of over 19% in April 2025. Therefore, directly linking a 20% US stock market correction to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 is not sufficiently supported by historical data.
Analyst: Bitcoin Breaks Above Key Cost Basis Line, Most Market Capital Now in Profit
Odaily report: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted on X with a chart, stating that compared to the end of August, the Bitcoin market trend has shown a clear shift, which can be observed from changes in the Capital Cost Basis. This metric calculates a weighted realized price based on transaction volume (USD), giving higher weight to BTC purchased at higher prices, thereby more accurately reflecting the actual cost of market capital.Data shows that at the end of August, BTC was still struggling near this key level, but Bitcoin has now closed above the capital cost basis of approximately $80,400 for several consecutive weeks. This means that most of the capital invested in the market is now in slight profit. As investor positions gradually turn profitable, market stability is strengthening by the day, which is a positive signal for the current BTC consolidation phase.
ETH OG Address With Cost Basis as Low as $11.61 Sells Off 13,330 ETH, ROI Set to Reach 23,402%
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), a 2016-era ETH OG address with a cost basis as low as $11.61 deposited 13,330 ETH to Coinbase two hours ago, valued at approximately $36.37 million at an average deposit price of $2,728.59. If sold in full, the address would realize a return of up to 23,402%, with an expected profit exceeding $36.21 million.
Analysts: Bitcoin Market Momentum Strengthens, Key Cost-Basis Indicator Signals Bull Market
Analyst Darkfost states that the cost basis for Bitcoin's short-term holders (STH) has confirmed crossing above that of active long-term holders (LTH), sending a bull market confirmation signal historically observed for the fifth time. Active long-term holders refer to coin supplies transferred at least once over the past seven years, a definition designed to exclude long-dormant balances. Currently, over 3.5 million bitcoins held for more than ten years remain dormant, with this supply segment growing by an average of approximately 8,000 to 30,000 coins per month. Darkfost believes current market momentum is shifting positively, partially driven by capital inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), although the possibility of this signal failing remains.
Analyst: Bitcoin Trapped in Cost-Basis Standoff, $71,300 Support, $79,800 Resistance
Odaily reports: Analyst Darkfost posted on X platform that Bitcoin has become trapped in a cost-basis standoff zone between $71,300 and $79,800. A similar situation occurred at the end of the 2023 bear market, when BTC was also rejected twice before breaking through the relevant cost-basis zone, suggesting the market may react in the near term. Darkfost noted that Bitcoin is still trading above the $71,300 "active supply cost basis," which represents the average cost of BTC in actual market circulation and could serve as important support. On the other hand, Bitcoin faces resistance at the $79,800 "invested capital cost basis," a level where BTC has been rejected multiple times before, likely because some loss-making positions chose to exit as they approached breakeven.
QCP: Market Has Priced In a 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Hike, Focus Shifts to Policy Guidance
QCP released a report on September 14 stating that the market has largely priced in expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week, with attention shifting to the language of the rate hike announcement and signals regarding the future rate path. U.S. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, with the year-over-year growth rate of core CPI declining from 2.5% to 2.4%.Bitcoin briefly fell to $76,700 following the release of the CPI data, before recovering to around $77,600; Ethereum remained near $2,500. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $463 million last week, with net outflows slowing to $13.2 million on Friday; spot Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $197 million, with single-day net inflows of $216 million on Friday.
Bitget Partners with Reality and Keyring to Publish Research Report, Plans to Launch Onchain Stock Basis Trading Strategy
Odaily Report: Bitget, in collaboration with Reality and Keyring, has published a research report exploring the synergies between tokenized stocks, perpetual contracts, and decentralized lending, while assessing the potential returns and risks of related strategies through simulated calculations. The report notes that the application of tokenized stocks is expanding from traditional stock trading to collateralized lending, asset management, and systematic investment strategies.The research is based on Reality's rToken, combined with stock perpetual contract hedging and onchain lending mechanisms, to explore stock basis yield strategies. Historical simulation data shows that from December 15, 2025, to October 19, 2026, the strategy index achieved annualized net returns of approximately 7% and 4% in-sample and out-of-sample, respectively, with a gross funding rate premium of approximately 11%–14%. The report also notes that financing costs, trade execution fees, market liquidity, and risk management are key factors affecting the strategy's actual returns.It is understood that Bitget and Keyring plan to jointly develop a stock basis index and build an onchain lending market based on Reality's rToken. Reality will provide exposure to tokenized stock assets, while Keyring will be responsible for developing the index methodology and building the related lending market. The index aims to capture funding rate and basis yield opportunities by combining rToken holdings with hedged positions in corresponding stock perpetual contracts, providing a new strategic pathway for the application of tokenized stocks in onchain financial scenarios.
JUST Releases JST 2026 Q3 and October Key Progress Report, Buyback Mechanism Shifts to Continuous Revenue Basis
JUST has published an open letter to JST holders and released the key progress report for JST 2026 Q3 and October. The letter highlights that cumulative buybacks and burns across five rounds have totaled 1,881,973,007 JST, representing 19.01% of the initial maximum supply, with approximately $118.15 million invested in buybacks and burns. In October, JUST DAO upgraded the JST buyback and burn mechanism, shifting to a model supported by sustained ecosystem revenue. Starting in Q4 2026, the project plans to allocate approximately $20.34 million in excess funds toward buybacks over four installments, while maintaining a treasury safety reserve of at least $50 million. The report also indicates that JustLend’s quarter-end TVL remained above $7 billion, and GasFree processed approximately 21.24 million transactions in Q3. As buyback funding transitions from historical revenue reserves to ongoing ecosystem income, JST’s deflationary trajectory and ecosystem growth are increasingly aligning.
Analysts Respond to Claims That a 20% US Stock Market Correction Would Cause BTC to Plunge to $10,000: Predictions Are Too Extreme and Lack Historical Basis
Regarding recent community speculation that a 20% correction in the US stock market would trigger a plunge in Bitcoin to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis noting that if Bitcoin were to fall to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from current prices and a drawdown of roughly 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum drawdown exceeding 92%, which occurred in 2011; its maximum drawdowns in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that while Bitcoin fell approximately 80% when the S&P 500 index corrected by about 19.53%, it only declined around 22% during the S&P 500's similar pullback of over 19% in April 2025. Therefore, directly linking a 20% US stock market correction to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 is not sufficiently supported by historical data.
Fed Minutes: Unanimous Support for 25-Basis-Point Rate Hike, Majority Plans Further Rate Increase This Year
The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that all participating members unanimously supported a 25-basis-point rate hike, and most members believed it was appropriate to raise interest rates again before the end of the year.
Fed Raises Rates by 25 Basis Points, Dot Plot Suggests Possible Additional Hike This Year
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate hike, moving the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. The latest dot plot shows that 16 out of 18 officials support raising rates again within the year.
Fed September Interest Rate Decision Outlook: Market Bets on 25 Basis Point Hike
Markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points this month. Key highlights of the meeting include voting splits, adjustments to the dot plot, and guidance on the inflation trajectory and future policy from Chair Warsh's press conference.
Related news
GMO Ransomware Attack Hits Japan's Credit Market, Bond Spread Widens 52 Basis Points in 5 Days
Odaily Report: After a publicly listed company under Japan's GMO Internet Group suffered a cyberattack, related risks are spreading to Japan's credit market. Data shows that the spread on a GMO Internet Group yen bond maturing in June 2031 widened to approximately 174 basis points on October 28, up from about 122 basis points on October 20—before the company disclosed the unauthorized access incident—reflecting investor concerns over damaged earnings and rising compensation costs.The GMO subsidiary that provides cloud services disclosed on October 21 that it had suffered unauthorized access and received a ransom demand of approximately 8 billion yen (about $50.7 million). The attackers subsequently published data they claimed contained customer information. GMO refused to pay the ransom and plans to compensate customers for their losses. Analysts noted that as AI-powered cyberattacks increase, such incidents could affect corporate financing and bond issuance arrangements.GMO Internet operates the cryptocurrency exchange "Z.com EX," which has obtained licenses from the Thailand Securities and Exchange Commission and the Thai Ministry of Finance. The exchange disclosed that it has been acquired, with the acquisition involving all shares of the target company held by shareholders including GMO Internet and its related subsidiaries. It remains unclear whether customer information data involves the related cryptocurrency exchange. (Bloomberg)
Bitget Partners with Reality and Keyring to Publish Research Report, Plans to Launch Onchain Stock Basis Trading Strategy
Odaily Report: Bitget, in collaboration with Reality and Keyring, has published a research report exploring the synergies between tokenized stocks, perpetual contracts, and decentralized lending, while assessing the potential returns and risks of related strategies through simulated calculations. The report notes that the application of tokenized stocks is expanding from traditional stock trading to collateralized lending, asset management, and systematic investment strategies.The research is based on Reality's rToken, combined with stock perpetual contract hedging and onchain lending mechanisms, to explore stock basis yield strategies. Historical simulation data shows that from December 15, 2025, to October 19, 2026, the strategy index achieved annualized net returns of approximately 7% and 4% in-sample and out-of-sample, respectively, with a gross funding rate premium of approximately 11%–14%. The report also notes that financing costs, trade execution fees, market liquidity, and risk management are key factors affecting the strategy's actual returns.It is understood that Bitget and Keyring plan to jointly develop a stock basis index and build an onchain lending market based on Reality's rToken. Reality will provide exposure to tokenized stock assets, while Keyring will be responsible for developing the index methodology and building the related lending market. The index aims to capture funding rate and basis yield opportunities by combining rToken holdings with hedged positions in corresponding stock perpetual contracts, providing a new strategic pathway for the application of tokenized stocks in onchain financial scenarios.
JUST Releases JST 2026 Q3 and October Key Progress Report, Buyback Mechanism Shifts to Continuous Revenue Basis
JUST has published an open letter to JST holders and released the key progress report for JST 2026 Q3 and October. The letter highlights that cumulative buybacks and burns across five rounds have totaled 1,881,973,007 JST, representing 19.01% of the initial maximum supply, with approximately $118.15 million invested in buybacks and burns. In October, JUST DAO upgraded the JST buyback and burn mechanism, shifting to a model supported by sustained ecosystem revenue. Starting in Q4 2026, the project plans to allocate approximately $20.34 million in excess funds toward buybacks over four installments, while maintaining a treasury safety reserve of at least $50 million. The report also indicates that JustLend’s quarter-end TVL remained above $7 billion, and GasFree processed approximately 21.24 million transactions in Q3. As buyback funding transitions from historical revenue reserves to ongoing ecosystem income, JST’s deflationary trajectory and ecosystem growth are increasingly aligning.
Analysts Respond to Claims That a 20% US Stock Market Correction Would Cause BTC to Plunge to $10,000: Predictions Are Too Extreme and Lack Historical Basis
Regarding recent community speculation that a 20% correction in the US stock market would trigger a plunge in Bitcoin to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis noting that if Bitcoin were to fall to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from current prices and a drawdown of roughly 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum drawdown exceeding 92%, which occurred in 2011; its maximum drawdowns in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that while Bitcoin fell approximately 80% when the S&P 500 index corrected by about 19.53%, it only declined around 22% during the S&P 500's similar pullback of over 19% in April 2025. Therefore, directly linking a 20% US stock market correction to Bitcoin falling to $10,000 is not sufficiently supported by historical data.
CryptoQuant Founder: Even If All 1.3 Million BTC Held by ETF Funds and Treasury Companies Exit, On-Chain Cost Basis Still Points to a Bottom Around $30,000
Odaily reports: According to monitoring by CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju, ETFs have brought in $58 billion, and Bitcoin treasury companies hold 1.3 million BTC. Even if all these funds and holdings were to exit, the on-chain cost basis still indicates a bottom around $30,000. Reaching $10,000 would imply an MVRV of 0.2, while Bitcoin's worst historical bottom was 0.6; this would require 2019 buyers to panic, but they have already endured two 75% drawdowns.
Glassnode: BTC Supported Twice by ETF Cost Basis, Key Support Below at $77,500
According to analysis by on-chain data platform Glassnode (@glassnode), Bitcoin's price has rebounded from the ETF cost basis, trading below this threshold for most of the year, while May's rally also stalled beneath it. Currently, BTC has found support near $81,500 twice, and the ETF cost basis is transitioning from a "resistance level" to a "support level." If this level breaks, the next major support lies at the Realized Price of $77,500.