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Analysis: Changxin Technology's "winning one lot" profit potential may be between 3,000 yuan and 26,000 yuan.

According to Cailian Press, if one wins an allocation in Changxin Memory Technologies' current issuance, one lot consists of 500 shares, requiring a payment of 4,330 yuan. Under four valuation scenarios—conservative, neutral, optimistic, and super-optimistic—the corresponding valuations for Changxin Memory Technologies are 1 trillion yuan, 1.5 trillion yuan, 2.3 trillion yuan, and 4.25 trillion yuan. Based on the estimated market cap range of 1 trillion yuan to 4 trillion yuan mentioned above, the corresponding first-day gain after listing falls within the 70%-600% range. Compared to the issue price of 8.66 yuan, the profit potential per winning lot is approximately between 3,000 yuan and 26,000 yuan. In addition, Changxin Memory Technologies announced that the funds raised this time will be fully invested in three major domestic substitution projects for storage, namely the upgrade and transformation of the 12-inch DRAM wafer production line, the technology upgrade of HBM and automotive-grade storage, and the forward-looking technology R&D of next-generation storage.

South Korea to Push for Blockchain-Based Treasury Tokenization Pilot and Launch Three National Projects in Semiconductors, AI, etc.

the South Korean government has announced the "2026 H2 Economic Growth Strategy," declaring it will accelerate three major "super projects" in semiconductors, AI data centers, and embodied AI. It also plans to enhance industrial competitiveness through blockchain and digital asset ecosystem development. According to the plan, South Korea aims to double its memory chip production capacity over the next five years and launch an AI chatbot for all citizens and a unified AI education platform in the second half of this year.Notably, the South Korean government proposed advancing large-scale demonstration projects for the blockchain and digital asset ecosystem in the second half of this year. It also intends to launch a blockchain-based pilot for tokenizing government bonds, exploring linkages with the Bank of Korea's institutional CBDC to drive financial infrastructure upgrades. Additionally, South Korea plans to establish strategic investment accounts and a national growth fund to expand long-term capital support for strategic industries such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, security, and blockchain. (Etoday)

Korean Brokerages Diverge on SK Hynix Outlook: Core Disagreement Centers on Whether AI Storage Demand Can Drive Long-Term Growth

According to Korean media Etoday, Korean securities firms have shown significant divergence in their assessments of SK Hynix's prospects, with the core divergence centering on whether AI storage demand can drive long-term growth. KB Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for SK Hynix. Based on the case of TSMC's ADR issuance in the US in 1997, it judges that SK Hynix's ADR listing will boost global investor participation and is expected to drive a synchronized revaluation of ADRs and Korean domestic shares. KB Securities also expects that in 2027, global DRAM and NAND wafer capacity growth rates will be only 7% and 4% respectively, lower than demand growth rates of 17% and 19%, and the tight memory supply situation may intensify further compared to 2026. BNK Investment & Securities, however, believes that the logic of hyperscale cloud service providers continuously increasing AI infrastructure investment is weakening, and the ADR listing will not significantly alter SK Hynix's domestic share valuation.

Changxin Technology Launches STAR Market IPO, Estimated Market Cap Nearly 295 Billion RMB, 78% of Shares Restricted on First Day

chip company Changxin Technology has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for registration and has officially initiated its IPO issuance procedures on the STAR Market. The company plans to raise 29.5 billion RMB through this issuance. Based on the fundraising amount and the number of shares issued, the estimated issuance price is approximately 4.41 RMB per share, and the estimated total market capitalization after listing will be close to 295 billion RMB.The company expects to achieve revenue of 110 billion to 120 billion RMB in the first half of 2026, with net profit ranging from 66 billion to 75 billion RMB, marking a turnaround from losses to profitability growth.According to the issuance arrangements, the initial strategic placement ratio is 50%, and the offline placement follows the "3+7" rule, with 70% of the shares distributed to offline investors locked up for 6 months. Calculations show that approximately 78% of the issued shares will be under restricted trading on the first day of listing, corresponding to an estimated tradable market capitalization of about 6.5 billion RMB for new shares on that day.Additionally, online investors are required to have STAR Market trading permissions and meet the Shanghai market value requirements. Some major shareholders have committed to a lock-up period of 36 months. The lead underwriter, CICC, has a 15% over-allotment option, allowing it to conduct price stabilization operations within 30 calendar days after listing.

Data center operator Csquare plans to list on NYSE, aiming to raise up to $1.35 billion

According to documents disclosed by the U.S. SEC, data center operator Csquare plans to list on the NYSE under the ticker symbol "CSQR". It intends to issue 50 million shares with a price range of $23 to $27 per share, aiming for a maximum fundraising size of $1.35 billion. Based on the upper end of the pricing range, the company’s valuation is approximately $4.18 billion. This IPO comes amid a global expansion cycle for AI computing power and data centers, with market demand for infrastructure assets continuing to heat up. (Bloomberg)

Bitplanet Partners with Antalpha to Advance Bitcoin Mining, Testing the Feasibility of the "Mining-Based Reserves" Model

According to CryptoSlate, South Korean Bitcoin treasury company Bitplanet has signed a strategic memorandum of understanding with Nasdaq-listed company Antalpha and related partners, planning to introduce 15 billion KRW worth of Bitcoin mining equipment and launch full operations within the month. This move signifies that Bitplanet is shifting from a reserve model of simply purchasing Bitcoin through financing to continuously generating Bitcoin revenue through mining.

U.S. Senator Gillibrand’s Son Raises $30 Million to Launch U.S.-Based Perpetual Futures Exchange APEC

According to Fortune, Theodore Gillibrand, son of U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York State, has raised $30 million in funding, valuing his company at approximately $300 million. The company plans to launch a derivatives trading platform named American Perpetuals Exchange Corp. (APEC). The platform intends to apply for a license from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and will list perpetual futures on equities and equity indices—not cryptocurrency perpetual contracts.

Options market pricing suggests less than a 50% probability that SpaceX will rise to become the world’s most valuable company, and it may take years to achieve such a leap.

According to CNBC, after listing on the Nasdaq at an approximate valuation of $2.6 trillion, SpaceX quickly became the world’s fifth-largest publicly traded company and entered a market-cap ranking race with Amazon. However, pricing in the options market suggests it may take considerable time for SpaceX to climb into the global top three—or even claim the No. 1 spot. Currently, SpaceX’s market capitalization remains significantly below that of third-place Alphabet and second-place Apple—both valued above $4.4 trillion. To overtake them and become the world’s second-largest company by market cap (just behind NVIDIA), SpaceX’s stock price would need to rise roughly 70% to $340 per share. Based on implied probability models derived from options-market pricing, the likelihood that SpaceX reaches this target price before July 2028 stands at approximately 50%. If the goal is to become the world’s largest company by market cap—surpassing NVIDIA—the options market assigns a roughly 38% probability of achieving this by June 2028, rising to about 41% by year-end 2028. Analysts note that options prices reflect the collective market expectation regarding future trajectories. Higher-strike options carry an elevated uncertainty premium, indicating that—even though SpaceX possesses a compelling long-term growth narrative—reaching the pinnacle of market capitalization is still viewed as a high-difficulty, long-duration endeavor.

SK Hynix ADR Expected to be Listed After Mid-July, Corresponding Equity Value Reaching Up to $27 Billion

: Citrini analyst jukan posted on platform X, stating that according to Korean media reports, the listing process for SK Hynix ADR has entered its final stage, pending only SEC approval. Citing informed sources, Korean media reported that the ADR listing is currently expected to take place after mid-July, rather than early August. The final issuance size is anticipated to account for approximately 2.5% of SK Hynix's outstanding shares. Based on current valuations, the underlying equity value corresponding to the ADR issuance could reach up to $27 billion. As the transaction may be entirely structured as a new share issuance, it is expected to generate substantial cash inflows for the company.

South Korea’s KB Kookmin Bank Issues $100 Million Blockchain-Based Digital Bond in Hong Kong

According to the Seoul Economic Daily, KB Kookmin Bank announced the issuance of a USD 100 million blockchain-based digital bond in the Hong Kong market, marking the first time a Korean bank has applied blockchain technology to an actual foreign-currency financing transaction. This issuance reduces the settlement cycle from the traditional five business days to three business days, helping streamline processes and lower counterparty settlement risk. The two-year USD digital bond was issued privately, with HSBC serving as the sole bookrunner; the issuance process was completed via HSBC’s digital asset platform, Orion.

Revolut seeks $115 billion valuation and plans multiple secondary transactions before IPO

: According to sources, London-based digital bank and financial super app Revolut is quietly seeking a round of secondary equity transactions, targeting a valuation of $115 billion. If successful, this valuation would surpass Barclays and Deutsche Bank, and approach the scale of BNP Paribas.Founded in 2015 and led by CEO Nik Storonsky, Revolut plans to conduct multiple rounds of secondary transactions before its IPO to provide liquidity for internal shareholders while gauging the market's tolerance for its valuation. Storonsky has stated that an IPO is still at least two years away.Based on current revenue of $600 million and profits of $2.3 billion, the $115 billion valuation would give it a price-to-earnings ratio similar to high-growth technology companies. If the transaction goes through, Storonsky's stake would be worth at least $36 billion, placing him among the world's wealthiest fintech founders.Previously, Revolut was already Europe's most valuable private technology company at a valuation of $75 billion. A $115 billion valuation would now propel it into the ranks of top global financial institutions, setting a high bar for its future IPO and signaling investors' optimistic outlook on the company's valuation. (Bloomberg)

Hyperliquid SpaceX market long-to-short ratio reaches 85:15, with implied valuation of approximately $2.15 trillion

according to Hyperliquid market data disclosed by MLM, as the SpaceX IPO approaches, the SpaceX prediction market on Hyperliquid is currently quoted at approximately $166/share, corresponding to an implied valuation of about $2.15 trillion.Data shows that there are currently 4,528 traders holding open positions, of which 3,865 are long and 663 are short, with a long-to-short ratio of approximately 85:15. The open interest in this market is around $66.6 million, with cumulative trading volume exceeding $450 million, total units traded reaching 2.333 million, and the cumulative number of transactions over three weeks exceeding 917,000.In terms of profitability, among the 4,528 position holders, 1,001 are in profit, accounting for 22%; while 3,527 are in loss, accounting for 78%. Based on notional position size, the current largest short position holds approximately 27,100 SPCX units, with a position value of about $4.5 million; market maker Cumberland is the second largest short, holding approximately 18,700 SPCX short positions, valued at around $3.1 million.

“New Stock God” Serenity Clarifies: Currently Does Not Hold Harmonic Drive Shares

“New Stock God” Serenity posted on X platform to clarify that he does not currently hold any shares of Harmonic Drive, and the related views are solely public research sharing. He further added that Harmonic Drive holds a key position in the humanoid robot industry chain, with its products expected to cover a significant portion of the manufacturing processes for humanoid robots. Currently, companies like AGIBot and Unitree have just entered the scale-up stage, with AGIBot’s cumulative shipments reaching only about 10,000 units. Therefore, the P/E valuations of related companies are generally high at this stage.However, Serenity pointed out that capital markets typically price in future growth expectations in advance. If manufacturers like Tesla Optimus and Unitree achieve mass production of tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of robots in the coming years, and with trillions of dollars flowing into the humanoid robot industry, even if Harmonic Drive only captures about a 5% market share of core robot components, its valuation could be significantly higher than its current market capitalization.Based on comprehensive research of the industry chain, Serenity stated that Harmonic Drive is currently one of the highest-exposure targets he has identified related to the development of the humanoid robot industry.

TownSquare Announces $10 Million Monad-Based Yield Vault in Collaboration with Native

TownSquare, an infrastructure provider for institutional yields and cross-chain lending brokerage services, has partnered with Native, a non-custodial automated trading infrastructure, to launch a $10 million yield-generating vault on the Monad L1. This vault will support assets including USD1, USDC, cbBTC, and MON, offering higher yields than conventional lending through trading-based yield generation. This marks TownSquare’s first collaboration with a trading-based yield manager. The partnership aims to bring real-world asset (RWA) and stablecoin institutional yields to a broader user base. Native is a close partner of Binance Wallet and Buidlpad, having previously launched vaults for BNB and wETH on BNB Chain and Ethereum—demonstrating its stability, scalability, and ability to generate yields for liquidity providers (LPs) managing tens of millions of dollars. This initiative also represents the first trading-yield vault on the Monad chain. Native already operates credit pools across multiple EVM chains with over $35 million in liquidity, achieving daily trading volumes of $50–100 million and cumulative trading volume exceeding $25 billion. Its Proactive Market Making (PMM) structure enables retail users to access institutional-grade trading yields. TownSquare previously launched a $100 million USD1 liquidity program and has raised over $16 million to date—including funding from this collaboration.

Bit Digital Provides $100 Million Loan to WhiteFiber; Ethereum-Based Credit Supports AI Infrastructure Expansion

According to The Block, Bit Digital announced a $100 million delayed-draw term loan to a subsidiary of WhiteFiber, its majority-owned AI infrastructure company. The facility may be expanded to $150 million upon mutual agreement between the parties, to support WhiteFiber’s recent high-performance computing and AI expansion initiatives. Bit Digital stated that the loan proceeds will be disbursed—either partially or in full—through an Ethereum-denominated secured credit facility, enabling the company to retain ETH exposure while earning a financing spread.

Samsung Securities plans to acquire 2% stake in Upbit operator Dunamu for $204 million

Samsung Securities has passed a board resolution to acquire 2% of Dunamu's shares for 306.3 billion won (approximately $204 million), totaling around 697,000 shares at an acquisition price of about 439,000 won per share.The sellers in this transaction include Kakao Investment, Kakao Ventures, Kakao Youth Startup Fund, and the KIF-Kakao Woori Bank Technology Finance Investment Fund. Based on the transaction price, Dunamu's overall valuation is estimated at approximately 15.3 trillion won (about $10.2 billion).Samsung Securities stated that this investment aims to enhance its competitiveness in the digital asset business and expand related synergies. Previously, Hanwha Investment & Securities also acquired Dunamu shares held by Kakao Investment at the same valuation. (Yonhap News Agency)

SpaceX IPO may be quickly included in major indices like QQQ and VTI, with Nasdaq 100 weight potentially reaching 0.47-0.7%

SpaceX is set to launch its IPO, with an estimated fundraising scale of $50 billion to $75 billion, corresponding to a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, potentially making it the largest IPO in history. Analysts point out that SpaceX's ultra-high valuation means it could quickly enter major indices and ETFs after listing, with passive capital allocation speed potentially far exceeding that of previous large-scale IPOs.According to current rules and potential reforms:1. Vanguard's VTI, which tracks the total market, and the growth stock ETF VUG, corresponding to the CRSP index, could potentially include SpaceX within 5 trading days after its listing;2. The Nasdaq 100 index tracked by QQQ could potentially include SpaceX within 15 trading days after its listing;3. The Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 Growth indices are expected to include SpaceX as early as September and December this year;4. The S&P 500 index tracked by SPY could potentially include SpaceX in 2027 after rule modifications.SpaceX's weight in the Nasdaq 100 is expected to reach 0.47%-0.70%, higher than its proportion in most float-adjusted market cap weighted indices. Analysts say that as the lock-up period ends and more insider shareholders sell their shares, SpaceX's float could increase in the future, thereby further boosting its weight in major indices. However, SpaceX's biggest current issue lies in its relatively low "Float." Based on the current financing structure, its public float ratio is only about 2.86%-3.75%, far below the average level of over 80% for most large US technology companies. This will affect its weighting in indices that employ a "float-adjusted market cap weighted" mechanism. (BusinessInsider)

Analysis: Model Predicts BTC Could Reach $255,000 This Year; Long-Term Valuation Range Upgraded to $308,000

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has declined approximately 40% from its all-time high in October 2025, yet long-term valuation models indicate substantial upside potential remains. Based on the “Bitcoin Decay Channel” measurement of long-term trends, Bitcoin’s conservative year-end price range has been revised upward to $90,000–$255,000, with the high-end scenario reaching as high as $255,000. This model fits a logarithmic decay trend to historical cycle highs and lows, showing that BTC prices at the peaks of the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles all approached the upper channel boundary, while bear market bottoms fell near the lower boundary. Analyst Sminston stated that Bitcoin remains within a historic, long-term upward channel and noted that the price range for 2027 could further expand to $128,000–$308,000.

Web3Labs Global plans to raise $28 million through IPO

Odaily News Hong Kong Web3 service provider Web3Labs Global has filed an IPO application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), planning to issue approximately 6.3 million shares at a price of $4 to $5 per share, aiming to raise about $28 million. Based on the midpoint of the offering range, the company's valuation for this fundraising is approximately $141 million. It is reported that Web3Labs Global plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol "MDAT," with Eddid Securities and Futures serving as the underwriter for this IPO. (Renaissancecapital)

DTCC Introduces Chainlink to Build Blockchain-Based Collateral Management Platform, Aiming for Near-Real-Time, 24/7 Settlement

According to CoinDesk, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) announced it will leverage Chainlink’s infrastructure to power its blockchain-based collateral management platform, Collateral AppChain. Built on the Besu blockchain, the platform utilizes Chainlink’s Compute Runtime Environment (CRE) and data standards to support asset pricing, valuation, margin calculation, collateral optimization, and settlement. Through smart contracts, it enables 24/7 automated collateral management—aiming to address the current delays in cross-institutional and cross-time-zone movement of assets within existing collateral systems.