A mysterious wallet wagered $40,000 on “US-Iran ceasefire will break down”—currently down 85%
According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), a newly created wallet (“bullseye123”) wagered $40,000 on the prediction market Polymarket that Trump would announce the termination of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement by April 15 or 18. This position is currently underwater by approximately $34,000—representing an 85% loss.