Goldman Sachs: FOMC Hikes Rates by 25 Basis Points to 3.75%-4.00%, Could Raise Rates Once More This Year

According to Chaowang Research, Goldman Sachs' research report dated September 16, 2026, indicates that the Federal Reserve will raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking its first rate hike since July 2023 and passing unanimously. The dot plot median indicates another rate hike in 2026, unchanged policy in 2027, and an increase in the long-run federal funds rate expectation from 3.06% to 3.25%. The SEP raises the 2026 core PCE inflation forecast to 3.4% and the overall PCE to 3.7%.