JPMorgan: AI token spend up 7% month-over-month, B200 leasing down 1.5% for the first time, DRAM spot prices rise for five consecutive months

According to Chaowang Research, JPMorgan’s August 28 research report states that OpenRouter platform token volume increased 47% month-over-month and 28 times year-over-year in August, while expenditure rose 7% month-over-month and 12 times year-over-year; the volume-weighted average price decreased 28% month-over-month, with low-priced models such as GPT-5.6 Luna accounting for approximately 99% of the incremental volume. In the GPU rental market, A100 prices remained flat at $1.65/hour, H100 rebounded to $2.73 (+1.2%), and B200 fell 1.5% month-over-month to $5.63, marking the first monthly decline since the index was published in September 2025. DRAM spot prices have risen for five consecutive months, with DDR5 16Gb reaching $50.20 (+6% month-over-month, +880% year-over-year); NAND ended a four-month downward trend, with 1Tb quoted at $30.50 (+14% month-over-month, +470% year-over-year). JPMorgan observes that AI computing demand continues to expand, yet structural shifts on the supply side are reshaping pricing dynamics. Closed-source and open-source models are growing in tandem, with lower-priced models gaining market share while higher-priced models drive the majority of revenue. The price reduction for B200 reflects increased capacity for next-generation GPUs, while the rebound in H100 pricing demonstrates sustained demand resilience for the preceding generation. With both DRAM and NAND showing strength, the ongoing crowding-out effect of HBM on DRAM capacity continues to provide positive support to semiconductor equipment suppliers.