Morgan Stanley Rates Meta: Cloud Focus on Compute Rental, Target Price $775

According to TechFlow Research, Morgan Stanley released a research report on July 1 stating that, regarding Bloomberg's report on Meta planning a cloud computing business, it judges that Meta is more likely to choose the lighter path of renting out idle computing power rather than building a full cloud service benchmarking AWS. The report calculates that renting out 250 MW of computing power at $40/watt could be accretive to 2028 earnings per share by approximately 8%, and when the scale reaches 1000 MW, the accretion could reach 33%, but this earnings accretion is viewed as a transitional buffer, not the core logic supporting the rating. Morgan Stanley also mentioned that Meta's self-held computing power will expand to 1.9 GW and 3.4 GW in 2026 and 2027 respectively, providing room for the rental calculations. Morgan Stanley maintains its Overweight rating on Meta with a target price of $775, representing approximately 37.6% upside compared to the closing price of $563.29, while setting the 2027 capital expenditure expectation at $175 billion; if the cloud computing business scales up, there is a possibility of an upward revision in capital expenditure.