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Analysis: Pre-IPO Hype Spills Over into Prediction Markets, Pre-IPO Trading Becomes a New Trend

as anticipation builds for several potential major IPOs, "prediction market trading" centered around high-profile pre-IPO companies is rapidly heating up, with users betting on pre-IPO performance through prediction contracts.Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have become primary channels, allowing users to engage in "yes/no" contract trading on key metrics such as valuation ranges and listing timelines. Prices are quoted in cents, settling at $1 if the outcome is correct.Given that ordinary investors cannot directly participate in equity investments in popular private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI before their IPOs, prediction markets are converting related expectations into tradeable, event-driven assets.Analysts believe that as the window for potential "mega IPOs" approaches, prediction markets are leveraging public sentiment and capital attention to turn IPO narratives into short-term volatility opportunities on both on-chain and compliant trading platforms, further expanding their influence in financial speculation and information pricing. (The Information)

AI Programming Startup Cognition Raises Over $1 Billion, Valued at $26 Billion

According to Bloomberg, AI programming startup Cognition AI has announced a new funding round exceeding $1 billion, valuing the company at $26 billion post-funding—more than double its valuation from the previous round in September 2025. Lux Capital, General Catalyst, and 8VC co-led the round, with participation from Ribbit Capital, Atreides Management LP, and Founders Fund—Peter Thiel’s venture capital firm.

AI coding company Cognition raises $1 billion in funding at a $26 billion valuation

AI coding startup Cognition has announced the completion of a $1 billion funding round, achieving a valuation of $26 billion. (Bloomberg)

Alpha Compute Acquires Majority Stake in GAMEE for Approximately $11 Million

Nasdaq-listed Alpha Compute has announced the completion of its acquisition of a majority stake in GAMEE, a gaming and digital rewards platform, securing a 60% controlling interest. The transaction has now met all regulatory and closing conditions.According to the agreement, Alpha Compute acquired GAMEE from Animoca Brands for a consideration of approximately $11 million, implying an enterprise valuation of roughly $18 million. The transaction structure includes cash, stock, and future performance-based earnouts, along with an EBITDA milestone incentive clause over two years. Additionally, approximately 878 million GMEE tokens associated with Animoca are also included in the transaction arrangement.Following the transaction, Alpha Compute will establish a new AI gaming division named Alpha Games, with GAMEE founder Bozena Rezab serving as Executive Vice President. GAMEE will be integrated into Alpha Compute's AI infrastructure system, working in synergy with its GPU computing platform.

Hyperliquid launches SpaceX perpetual contract, sparking regulatory gap controversy

decentralized derivatives platform Hyperliquid has launched a pre-listing perpetual contract for SpaceX (SPCX-USDC) via Trade.xyz, sparking controversy over a global regulatory gap. The contract provides leveraged trading without requiring users to hold any SpaceX stock or authorization from the company. Initially priced at $150, corresponding to an implied valuation of approximately $1.78 trillion, the contract surged to $216 shortly after launch.According to reports, the contract is settled in USDC, with prices derived from market oracles and not linked to SpaceX's actual financials or equity structure. SpaceX itself has neither authorized nor participated in this market, yet its valuation is being priced and traded in real-time on-chain, raising concerns that "decentralized derivatives are taking over price discovery for private companies." This market originates from Hyperliquid's HIP-3 mechanism, suggesting that private company valuations may increasingly be re-priced by on-chain derivatives, while regulatory frameworks have yet to establish corresponding standards. (Forbes)

GXD Labs and EquitiesFirst Reach Settlement on Celsius Claims, Involving $500 Million Payment

GXD Labs, a digital asset investment and advisory firm, has reached a settlement with global equity financing company EquitiesFirst regarding claims arising from a loan extended to the bankrupt crypto lending platform Celsius Network. Under the settlement agreement, the two parties will complete a total payment of $500 million and dismiss the adversarial litigation and related arbitration proceedings initiated since September 2023.It is reported that GXD Labs established the Blockchain Asset Recovery Investment Consortium (BRIC) in 2023. Subsequently, the organization was appointed by the debtor and the unsecured creditors' committee in the Celsius bankruptcy case as the administrator for complex asset recovery and litigation management. (Businesswire)

Rumors intensify about Musk integrating Tesla and SpaceX; insiders say it has long been anticipated.

As SpaceX approaches its IPO, market speculation about Elon Musk’s potential integration of Tesla and SpaceX has intensified once again. According to insiders, Musk has previously discussed the possibility of merging the two companies with internal stakeholders, and Tesla’s leadership has long believed an eventual integration is likely. Reports indicate that the two firms have deepened collaboration in AI infrastructure in recent years—sharing executives, technologies, and supply chains—and have already coordinated efforts in energy storage systems, vehicle procurement, and GPU order allocation. Legal experts note that while antitrust hurdles would likely be limited if a merger proceeds, challenges related to valuation, share swap ratios, and alignment of shareholder interests would be highly complex.

BIT: Crypto Market Begins Pricing in SpaceX IPO Ahead of Time

BIT Official released a chart analysis stating that the crypto market has already begun pricing in the SpaceX IPO ahead of time.The chart shows that SpaceX plans to IPO on June 12 with a valuation of approximately $1.74 trillion, nearly 40% higher than its latest internal valuation of $1.25 trillion. Currently, Hyperliquid and Binance have successively launched SpaceX-related perpetual contracts, with the implied valuation corresponding to the relevant market price standing at approximately $2.41 trillion.Markus Thielen believes this indicates the market is betting that SpaceX will complete its IPO at a higher valuation or deliver a strong performance after listing. Meanwhile, he pointed out that the launch of such contract products also reflects the deepening integration of the crypto market with traditional finance, as crypto trading platforms gradually expand their trading exposure to stocks and popular primary market themes.

OpenRouter Secures $113 Million Series B Funding Round Led by CapitalG

OpenRouter, an AI model aggregation platform founded by Alex Atallah, co-founder of OpenSea, has announced a $113 million Series B funding round led by CapitalG. OpenRouter stated that its weekly transaction volume has grown from 5 trillion tokens to 25 trillion tokens over the past six months. The company noted that as AI rapidly transitions from experimental stages to production environments, its platform’s business scale continues to expand.

OpenRouter Completes $113 Million Series B Funding Round Led by CapitalG

OpenRouter, an AI model aggregation platform founded by OpenSea co-founder Alex Atallah, has announced the completion of a $113 million Series B funding round, led by CapitalG, the growth fund under Alphabet, Google's parent company.Other participants in this funding round include a16z, Menlo Ventures, NVentures (affiliated with NVIDIA), as well as ServiceNow, MongoDB, Snowflake, and Databricks. The company's valuation has now exceeded $1 billion.

ClawCivi.ai completes multi-million dollar seed round financing

: ClawCivi.ai has completed a multi-million dollar seed round financing, with participation from Trump-affiliated funds and the Draper family fund.The product enables multiple AI Agents to collaborate on tasks by sharing the Skills capabilities of Agents (OpenClaw, Hermes, Manus).Its token, $CLAW, will officially launch on PancakeSwap at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) on May 27.

Data: Ethereum Treasury Companies' Staking Income Accounts for 60% of Their Disclosed Revenue

according to an Everstake report, among six Ethereum treasury companies that separately disclosed staking-related revenue, staking income accounts for an average of 60% of their reported revenue. The report reviewed 15 public companies with an Ethereum treasury strategy, of which those reporting losses in 2025 had a combined net loss of approximately $1.41 billion. Additionally, BitMine Immersion Technologies reported a net loss of $9.02 billion for the six months ending February 28, driven primarily by unrealized losses on digital assets.The report noted that spot crypto ETFs have diminished the appeal of publicly traded companies that simply hold Ethereum, forcing treasury companies to justify their valuations through yield-generating strategies such as staking. (cointelegraph)

BNB Plus to Raise $4.1 Million via Issuance of Convertible Preferred Shares

According to Businesswire, Nasdaq-listed digital asset treasury company BNB Plus announced it will raise $4.1 million through the issuance of Series B-1 and Series B-2 convertible preferred shares. Crypto-native institutional investors participating in the round include Comstock Multichain Fund, managed by Silvermine Capital Advisors, and Off the Chain LP. Proceeds will be used to increase its digital asset reserves, provide working capital support, and explore opportunities in AI infrastructure development. The company also disclosed that it currently holds over $16.4 million in cash and digital assets.

Strategy: Partial debt repurchase completed, no bitcoin added last week

Strategy has completed a partial debt repurchase and adjusted its capital structure. In the week ending May 25, Strategy did not make any new bitcoin purchases, leaving its holdings unchanged. According to the filing, Strategy is optimizing its financing structure through debt management and capital market operations to support its long-term bitcoin reserve strategy.

Quantum computing company Quantinuum seeks $1.05 billion IPO funding

According to Bloomberg, Quantinuum Inc., a quantum computing company under Honeywell International Inc., has filed an IPO application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), planning to issue approximately 21 million shares at $45–$50 per share and raise $1.05 billion through this offering. At the upper end of the offering price range, the company’s valuation would reach $12.7 billion.

Bitget launches Reality, a licensed financial protocol for tokenizing Real World Assets (RWA). Its tokenized stocks offer liquidity comparable to traditional brokerages.

Odaily reports: Bitget has announced the launch of Reality, a licensed financial protocol focused on the tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA). The issued tokenized stocks (rTokens) are strictly pegged 1:1 to the underlying US stocks, with assets custodied at a US securities broker-dealer that is FINRA-registered and SIPC-protected. Real-time proof of reserves is provided through third-party independent audits. By directly accessing liquidity pools from Nasdaq, NYSE, and other US stock exchanges, Reality's stock tokens can achieve liquidity on par with traditional brokerages. Meanwhile, stock dividends will be distributed 1:1 to user accounts in token form, cash dividends will be automatically converted into USDT for distribution, and stock splits and reverse splits will be mapped to on-chain tokens in real-time, offering an experience highly consistent with holding US stocks.Furthermore, the US stock tokens launched by Reality are deeply integrated with the Bitget ecosystem. They can be used, for example, as margin for unified accounts and are compatible with core product lines such as grid trading, copy trading systems, and staking/lending.Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, previously proposed the "10% Vision": Currently, tokenized stocks represent only 0.1% of the $125 trillion global stock market. She predicts this proportion will rise to nearly 10% by 2030. Reality is built on this trend. In its initial phase, it will focus on US stocks, and will later expand asset classes, driving the extension of Bitget's UEX strategy into a broader access layer for global financial assets.

YC-backed prediction market derivative layer Totalis has officially launched, supporting parlay trading

yesterday, YC official posted on X platform that the prediction market derivative layer Totalis has officially launched. The market allows users to conduct parlay trades on any subject, combining multiple event markets (such as politics, cryptocurrency, stocks, sports, weather, and macro) into a single trade. Starting with parlay bets, it will expand to structured products.Previously, Totalis completed a $500,000 seed round in April, with Y Combinator participating. It is also the first enterprise to receive Y Combinator investment entirely in USDC, with the funds settled via the Solana network and custodied by Ramp.

10x Research: The NAV premiums of most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly contracted and may soon enter a negative-premium era.

10x Research posted an analysis on X, pointing out that as Bitcoin’s volatility continues to decline, the NAV premiums of most Bitcoin treasury companies have significantly contracted—some even turning into substantial discounts—resulting in visible losses for related investors. Historically, Grayscale’s GBTC briefly traded at a 47% discount in December 2022; at that time, investors could effectively buy Bitcoin through the product at an implied price below $10,000. The market had mistakenly viewed traditional finance–packaged crypto asset products as “Bitcoin leveraged tools.” In reality, these structures resemble options more closely: their implied value expands when volatility rises and contracts when volatility falls.

Elon Musk’s close friend may amass over $100 billion in wealth from SpaceX’s IPO, sparking corporate governance concerns over related-party transactions

According to Fortune magazine, Antonio Gracias, founder of Valor Equity Partners and a close confidant of Elon Musk, stands to amass over $100 billion in wealth from SpaceX’s anticipated IPO. Valor reportedly holds more than 500 million shares of SpaceX’s Class A stock. If SpaceX goes public at the rumored valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion, the value of Valor’s stake could reach $90 billion to $140 billion. Meanwhile, related-party transactions totaling approximately $20 billion between SpaceX and Valor have sparked corporate governance concerns. Documents reveal that xAI-related subsidiaries under SpaceX signed three GPU infrastructure leasing agreements with Valor, all backed by payment guarantees from SpaceX. PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), the auditing firm, contends that these transactions are substantively closer to loans than standard sale-and-leaseback arrangements and has therefore required that roughly $9 billion in associated debt be recorded on SpaceX’s balance sheet.

SoftBank plans to issue approximately $1.6 billion in subordinated bonds, primarily targeting retail investors.

According to Bloomberg, SoftBank Group Corp. plans to raise approximately $1.6 billion through a new subordinated bond issuance primarily targeting retail investors. Regulatory filings indicate the bonds have a 35-year maturity, with the issuer holding a call option exercisable after five years. The pricing is scheduled for June 5, with the initial coupon guidance set between 4.8% and 5.6% for the first five years. This marks SoftBank’s second similar retail bond offering within roughly two months.