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CoinGecko Releases Q1 2026 Crypto Industry Report: Market Cap Drops 20.4%, Crypto Winter Persists
According to a CoinGecko report, the cryptocurrency market continued its bearish trend in Q1 2026, with total market capitalization declining by 20.4% (approximately $622 billion) to $2.4 trillion—down roughly 45% from its October 2025 peak. Key drivers of the downturn included tightened monetary policy expectations following Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Federal Reserve Chair and geopolitical shocks stemming from the U.S.-Iran war. The stablecoin market remained broadly stable, with total market capitalization rising slightly to $309.9 billion. USDT’s supply declined for the first time since Q2 2022, falling to $184.1 billion; USDC grew 2.4% to $77.1 billion; and USD1—issued by WLFI—rose 32.5%, boosted by Binance’s airdrop campaign. In terms of asset performance, crude oil prices surged 76.9% due to supply disruptions caused by the U.S.-Iran war, making it the strongest-performing asset this quarter; gold rose 8.1%; while Bitcoin fell 22.0%, underperforming both the Nasdaq (-7.1%) and the S&P 500 (-4.8%). Regarding trading volume, spot trading volume across top centralized exchanges dropped 39.1% to $2.7 trillion; March volume totaled just $0.8 trillion—the lowest since November 2023. Binance maintained a 37.0% market share. Among decentralized exchanges, Solana retained leadership with a 30.6% share—but was overtaken by Ethereum in March.
Tom Lee: Crypto "Mini Winter" May Have Ended, ETH Could Surge to $60,000
Odaily News Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated at the Paris Blockchain Week 2026 conference that the current downturn in the crypto market resembles a "mini crypto winter" and may be nearing its end. He believes that risk assets have already bottomed out amidst "bad news" such as geopolitical conflicts.He pointed out that Ethereum is expected to break out of its long-term consolidation and will benefit from the tokenization trend and the development of on-chain AI (agentic AI) applications in the future. If his market assumptions hold true, the price of ETH could move towards the $60,000 level, with a long-term fair value potentially reaching around $62,000 (based on his estimate of Ethereum reaching approximately one-fourth of Bitcoin's market capitalization).Lee emphasized that the U.S. stock market has already bottomed out first, leading to a recovery in risk assets, while this round of crypto correction is a rare "non-synchronized bear market cycle with the stock market." He also mentioned that markets often form bottoms after major negative events such as wars. As of now, ETH has fallen by about 43% from its October 2025 high, and the market remains in a clear volatile range. (Cointelegraph)