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Nomura: ChangXin Surges 471% on First-Day Opening, Target Price of 116 Yuan Implies 12x Upside

According to Chaoxiang Research, CXMT listed on the STAR Market on July 27, surging 471% at opening, with market capitalization briefly exceeding 3.3 trillion yuan. Nomura Securities released its initiation report on the same day, granting a Buy rating with a target price of 116 yuan, corresponding to a 20x P/E ratio based on 2028 EPS of 5.8 yuan, implying over 12x upside based on an issue price of 8.66 yuan. Nomura noted that AI is driving a structural surge in DRAM demand, with AI memory demand CAGR exceeding 60% from 2026 to 2030, while global supply growth rate is only 30% to 40%, and the supply-demand gap will continue to widen. As the world's fourth-largest DRAM manufacturer, CXMT currently holds a global share of about 10%, expected to rise to 18% by the end of 2028, approaching Micron's scale. Q1 2026 revenue was 50.8 billion yuan (YoY +719%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 24.76 billion yuan (YoY +1688%), with quarterly profit already exceeding the full year 2025. Nomura believes CXMT should enjoy a "China premium," with the 20x PE valuation based on the midpoint between Micron's 10x historical average and the 1 to 3x valuation gap between Chinese and US semiconductor equipment stocks. Northeast Securities gave a valuation range of 3.2 to 5.7 trillion yuan on the same day, while Nomura's 7.76 trillion yuan is relatively optimistic; the core divergence lies in CXMT's long-term market share ceiling.

Analysis: Options Demand Heats Up, Bitcoin Upside Expectations Strengthen

According to the market analysis released by BIT's official Chinese channel, as demand for call options continues to heat up, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum is rebounding simultaneously, indicating that the period of light summer trading may be nearing an end, and market expectations for Bitcoin's upside have strengthened.

Bernstein: AI Computing Power Continues to Expand, Semiconductor Equipment Valuation Has Upside Potential

According to TechFlow Research, Bernstein released a semiconductor equipment industry research report on July 20, 2026, estimating that AI data center expansion will significantly drive equipment demand.

TD Cowen Reiterates Sharplink "Buy" Rating: Maintains $16 Price Target, Sees 106% Upside

Odaily Investment bank TD Cowen reiterated its "Buy" rating on Sharplink following its Q1 earnings report, maintaining a $16 price target, implying approximately 106% upside from the current share price of $7.76.Sharplink's Q1 revenue exceeded $12 million. The company also announced the establishment of an approximately $125 million income fund in partnership with Galaxy Digital, with Sharplink contributing roughly $100 million. The fund will focus on DeFi and liquidity yield opportunities, targeting returns higher than base staking yields.The analyst team believes the current share price is in a "favorable entry window," driven primarily by a persistent NAV discount and expanding Ethereum demand. Sharplink currently holds approximately 873,000 ETH (about $2 billion), translating to a net asset value (NAV) of roughly $9.68 per share, while the stock still trades at about a 20% discount to NAV. TD Cowen noted that the Galaxy partnership strengthens Sharplink's yield strategy, allowing it to maintain ETH exposure while improving capital efficiency through institutional-grade DeFi opportunities. (The Block)