News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily News, according to reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent recently urged Japan to raise interest rates to curb the continued depreciation of the yen. Analysts believe this highlights that traditional monetary policy is susceptible to government and external influences. In contrast, Bitcoin's monetary policy is preset by code, with new coin issuance following a fixed schedule and halving approximately every four years, offering greater predictability. In the short term, Bitcoin still finds it difficult to shake off shocks from traditional financial markets. If Japan's rate hike drives a rapid appreciation of the yen, low-interest yen financing trades accumulated over the long term could be unwound, potentially triggering sell-offs in stocks, bonds, and crypto assets. In August 2024, the Bank of Japan's rate hike strengthened the yen and put pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin. On the technical front, BTC's 50-day moving average has been rising steadily and is close to crossing above the 200-day moving average, potentially forming a "golden cross." Analysts note that moving averages are lagging indicators, and the historical predictive performance of the golden cross as a standalone indicator has been unstable.
Odaily News - Bitfinex Securities, the tokenized investment platform under crypto exchange Bitfinex, has listed 5 tokenized notes, providing eligible investors with economic exposure to bitcoin treasury companies such as Strategy, Metaplanet, H100 Group, and Capital B. The platform has also listed Strategy's floating-rate perpetual preferred stock, STRC.The aforementioned notes are issued through the Luxembourg-based ORO (II) fund and managed by SICOS Securities. The underlying securities are held in custody by regulated financial institutions but do not grant investors direct ownership of shares in the corresponding companies. The products allow fractional investments starting from approximately $1 and support trading in USD, USDT, and Bitcoin, and are only available to eligible non-US investors.Bitfinex Securities stated that this marks the first time such products are available for secondary trading on a regulated tokenized securities exchange. Following the completion of a $50 million tokenized fundraising round for metals company Alkemya in August this year, the platform's total listed assets have surpassed $500 million. (Cointelegraph)
According to ChaXiang Research, a Nomura Securities note dated August 28, 2026, indicated that Fed Chair Warsh emphasized the importance of the inflation target during his hawkish debut at Jackson Hole, hinting that policy may need to respond if inflation does not fall at a sufficient pace. However, he did not explicitly signal an imminent rate hike. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield spiked 7 basis points following the remarks, as markets raised the probability of a September rate hike from 30% to over 50%. Nomura expects August core PCE to rise approximately 0.2% month-over-month, which would be sufficient to justify the Fed keeping rates unchanged, though its sensitivity to incoming data has increased significantly. Warsh downplayed the significance of recent benign inflation readings, stating he does not foresee any improvement in the trend. He unexpectedly minimized the cooling of wage growth, noting that wages have long failed to serve as an effective indicator of underlying inflation trends. On the economic front, Warsh struck an optimistic tone, describing consumption as "healthy," capital expenditure as "growing rapidly," and the labor market as "consistent with full employment." Nomura forecasts a 60,000 increase in August non-farm payrolls, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.0%, and has revised up its third-quarter GDP nowcast to 3.6%. Nomura maintains its baseline assumption that the Fed will hold rates steady, but Warsh's hawkish tone implies that if the disinflationary process stalls, a rate hike could be placed back on the agenda.
Odaily News - The UK government has released its first official statistics on taxable crypto asset gains, with 240 individuals each declaring over £1 million in capital gains for the 2024-25 tax year, totaling £717 million—accounting for more than half of the £1.38 billion declared by 17,600 individuals.HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) stated that 17,600 individuals declared £13.8 billion in proceeds from crypto asset disposals and £1.38 billion in taxable gains, averaging approximately £78,000 per person. Of these, around 87% were male and 13% female. Selling, exchanging, spending tokens, or gifting assets to others may all trigger tax obligations.HMRC has issued 81,000 crypto tax letters over the past 12 months, a 25% increase from approximately 65,000, and nearly three times the 27,714 letters issued in the 2023-24 tax year. James Murray, Financial Secretary to the Treasury and Paymaster General, stated that gains from crypto assets are subject to tax just like other gains.The UK plans to adjust tax treatment for certain DeFi transactions starting April 6, 2027, with related lending and liquidity pool transactions typically deferring capital gains tax until an economic disposal occurs. This is expected to affect around 700,000 people. HMRC estimates that its crypto tax compliance and education campaigns have generated an additional £168 million in capital gains tax revenue in 2024-25. (Bitcoin.com News)
Odaily News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is set to deliver one of the most closely watched public speeches since taking office at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium. With the U.S. PCE inflation rate still at 3.7%, notably above the Fed's 2% longer-term target, and Treasury yields remaining elevated, the market still lacks a clear picture of when and under what conditions the Fed will further adjust monetary policy. Warsh has long sought to reduce forward guidance and let the market interpret the data on its own, but what Wall Street most wants to know now is precisely his "reaction function." If this speech continues to focus only on long-term issues such as productivity and demographics, the bond market may interpret the silence itself as a policy signal.Currently, the market estimates about a one-third probability of a Fed rate hike in September. As Warsh has deliberately downplayed traditional forward guidance since taking office, the focus of this speech will center on how he assesses inflation, and what changes in inflation, employment, and economic growth would prompt rate hikes, rate cuts, or maintaining rates unchanged. Market participants believe that if Warsh signals a clearer hawkish stance, it could further push up short-term rates and Treasury yields; if he avoids the current policy path and focuses more on long-term topics like productivity and AI, it may be interpreted by the market as a dovish signal.In addition, AI's impact on inflation could also be a focal point of this speech. Warsh has long been bullish on AI boosting productivity and helping lower long-term inflation, but the market believes the current AI investment boom is also driving up costs for construction labor and computer chips. This Jackson Hole speech could become a key moment for reshaping September policy expectations and global bond market pricing. (The Street)
Odaily News reports that HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) stated that in the 2024 to 2025 tax year, 240 individuals each reported over £1 million in capital gains from crypto assets, totaling £717 million, accounting for more than half of the total. All 17,600 filers reported capital gains of £1.38 billion, with disposal proceeds reaching £13.8 billion.Taxpayers reporting capital gains below £25,000 accounted for 65% of filers, contributing only 7% of capital gains and 8% of disposal proceeds. Among crypto asset taxpayers, 54% were aged between 25 and 44, and 81% were aged 54 or under; men accounted for 87% and contributed 93% of capital gains.The UK is advancing regulation under the OECD's Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, requiring trading service providers to furnish client information to tax authorities. HMRC will begin receiving relevant data in 2027; service providers that fail to fulfill their obligations will face fines of up to £300 per user. James Murray, Financial Secretary to the UK Treasury, stated that capital gains from crypto assets are taxable just like other capital gains.The UK Treasury plans to defer capital gains tax arising from DeFi lending and depositing assets into liquidity pools until the assets are actually disposed of. For the 2025 to 2026 tax year, capital gains exceeding the allowance threshold must be reported by January 31, 2027. (Decrypt)
According to The Block, Evernorth Holdings, an XRP treasury company, announced that its S-4 Registration Statement filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially become effective. The registration covers Evernorth's business combination with SPAC Armada Acquisition Corp. II, after which it is expected to commence trading on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol "XRPN". The S-4 document registers up to 34,499,992 shares of Class A common stock and 11,499,992 warrants. Positioned as a regulated digital asset treasury company, Evernorth focuses on XRP investment exposure and plans to actively deploy capital into XRP infrastructure projects. Its investors include institutional backers such as Ripple, Arrington Capital, SBI Group, Pantera Capital, Kraken, and GSR. The merger is anticipated to close in late Q3 or early Q4 of 2026, pending shareholder approval.
Odaily News Bitcoin has rebounded strongly recently. Analysts believe that record-breaking short squeeze activity, along with policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, may be pushing the market into a new phase of bull market cycle adjustment.Data shows that Bitcoin has risen approximately 23% over the past week, marking its largest weekly gain since the post-U.S. election rally in November 2024. Crypto market trading activity has also recovered in tandem, with spot and perpetual contract trading volume surging 188%. CME Bitcoin futures volume rose 152%, and the annualized futures basis climbed to 11.1%—the highest level since January 2025. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF products recorded net inflows of approximately 31,740 BTC over the week, the strongest capital inflow since the market peak in October 2025.Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at crypto research firm K33 Research, stated that the early phase of this rally was primarily driven by short covering. On August 19, Bitcoin short positions saw a single-day liquidation scale of $1.37 billion, a record high, followed by another $739 million in short liquidations on August 21. The massive short squeeze pushed open interest in perpetual contracts down to 284,000 BTC, the lowest level since May, while market funding rates also returned to neutral.On the macro front, policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding increased long-term Treasury buybacks are also viewed by analysts as a market catalyst. K33 believes that the Treasury buyback program could lower long-term interest rates and boost demand for scarce assets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's correlation with gold has risen, with the 90-day correlation coefficient reaching 0.52—the highest since October 2020—while its correlation with the Nasdaq index has declined to 0.38, a one-year low.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at crypto investment firm Bitwise Asset Management, believes that Bessent's recent remarks on sanctions against Iran's financial network have further strengthened Bitcoin's investment thesis: as the global financial system becomes increasingly influenced by geopolitics, the value of assets that are decentralized and do not rely on any single nation's financial system may appreciate further. (The Block)
According to The Block, the Blockchain Association has submitted comments on the stablecoin issuer rules under the GENIUS Act, proposed jointly by U.S. Treasury agencies including the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the Federal Reserve. The association supports limiting Customer Identification Program (CIP) obligations to direct customer transactions in the primary market, emphasizing that they should not extend to peer-to-peer transfers in the secondary market. It also calls on regulators to further clarify the definitions of "account," "customer," and "digital asset service provider," exempt one-time redemptions and other non-recurring activities, and avoid duplicative compliance burdens alongside anti-money laundering regulations. The association stated that the implementation of the rules must strike a balance between ensuring stablecoin security, maintaining operational feasibility, and preserving room for industry innovation.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent announced efforts to apply economic pressure on Iran but did not specify the concrete implementation pathway, framing it merely as a warning and urging countries to cut off ties with Iran. Multiple analysts and research institutions pointed out that the policy lacks substantive action, appearing more like political theater.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that U.S. Treasury buybacks have not yet commenced, with the first operation scheduled for September 9 and the minimum amount per transaction raised to $4 billion. His remarks were more restrained than previously stated, and he reiterated that long-term bond issuance will proceed according to the regular schedule.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the relevant measures have laid the groundwork for President Trump's goal of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, underscoring the US's hardline policy stance on the issue.
Odaily News - Investment manager Lawrence Lepard, author of The Big Print, stated that even if the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) passes the Senate with 60 votes, stablecoin demand will not be sufficient to improve the current state of the U.S. Treasury market.He noted that the current stablecoin market cap stands at approximately $255 billion, primarily backed by U.S. Treasuries purchased by Circle and Tether, down from $263 billion in January. The U.S. Treasury needs to roll over more than $8 trillion in debt annually, with stablecoins covering only about 3% of that amount.In 2025, the share of U.S. debt held by foreign entities has dropped to 32%, down from 57% after the financial crisis. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that dollar-backed stablecoins could convert overseas demand for digital dollars into demand for U.S. Treasuries. (Bitcoin.com News)
In its published analysis, BIT notes that Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest rally since the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March 2023. During that period, US authorities implemented emergency measures to stabilize the banking system, and the current market sentiment mirrors that era—the recent interventions by the US Treasury in the Japanese yen FX market and bond markets have heightened investor expectations for further macroeconomic policy support. Meanwhile, the SEC's proposed regulatory framework for crypto assets has sent increasingly favorable signals, further bolstering market sentiment. BIT's official Chinese-language analysis indicates that Bitcoin has regained its upward momentum, aligning closely with the scenarios discussed in research over the past several weeks.
Odaily News: Robert Kiyosaki, author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," posted on social platform X that the new round of quantitative easing (QE) policy in the United States could lead to a decline in the purchasing power of the US dollar and further push up inflation risks. After the US Treasury Department announced a new round of QE, the US dollar index (DXY) may weaken, which means inflation pressure will rise, and those holding cash dollar savings could become the biggest losers. He warned investors not to rely on depreciating fiat currencies but instead focus on assets that can appreciate over time.Robert Kiyosaki stated that financially literate investors tend to allocate assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and certain real estate, while investors who lack financial education and hold "fake assets" for the long term may face a decline in their wealth. He once again emphasized the importance of financial education, citing his "Rich Dad" perspective: "The biggest cost is not the time and money spent on financial education, but the money that could have been earned but was missed."Analysis suggests that Robert Kiyosaki has long been bullish on inflation-resistant assets such as Bitcoin and gold, and has repeatedly criticized the US dollar credit system. However, his views on QE and dollar policy are personal market judgments, and the actual monetary policy path still depends on US economic data and Federal Reserve decisions.
Odaily News: The Bank Policy Institute (BPI), an organization representing major banks including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citi, has proposed that the U.S. Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) expand Customer Identification Program (CIP) requirements to stablecoin secondary markets, covering exchanges and other platforms that establish direct account relationships with retail customers.BPI stated that relevant exchanges and platforms handle a substantial volume of purchasing and selling activity within the payment stablecoin ecosystem, and that the majority of stablecoin-related illicit activity occurs in this space. Should the proposal be incorporated into the rules, affected platforms would be required to collect customer information under the Bank Secrecy Act, and decentralized exchanges could also fall within the regulatory scope.FinCEN's proposed rule notes that secondary market transactions of stablecoins on the blockchain typically involve anonymous or pseudonymous identities, with no centralized node collecting identity information, and that issuers have limited ability to gather customer data from secondary markets. BPI has also joined other banking organizations in opposing the current version of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. (Bitcoin.com News)
as the cryptocurrency market continues its rebound, shares of Bitcoin mining firms and digital asset treasury companies rose over the weekend. Market participants believe that the U.S. Treasury's announcement to expand the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks has boosted liquidity expectations, fueling improved sentiment toward risk assets and further lifting crypto-related stocks. Bitcoin mining firm Canaan saw its share price surge over 25%; MARA Holdings continued to climb after rising nearly 16% on Thursday. Strive, a digital asset treasury company holding more than 20,000 BTC, gained over 16% on Friday.Additionally, Trump stated that the U.S. government may purchase Bitcoin on a "large scale" in the future. The market rally was also driven by improved expectations for U.S. regulatory clarity. On Thursday, President Trump again urged Congress to advance the CLARITY Act, a bill aimed at further defining the U.S. digital asset regulatory framework and delineating the respective oversight roles of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the crypto market. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News比特币 rose to its highest level since May before the US market opened on Friday, briefly touching $79,400 during trading before hovering around $78,000, just one step away from the key resistance level of $80,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $606 million on Thursday, the highest level since May 1, boosting market risk appetite.James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, stated that this rally is primarily driven by macroeconomic factors rather than factors within the crypto market itself, noting that Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to changes in liquidity expectations and real yields. Previously, US inflation data came in below expectations, employment data weakened, and the US Treasury announced measures to push down long-term Treasury yields, all of which drove risk assets higher.Butterfill pointed out that $80,000 is an important demarcation line for Bitcoin at present. To form an effective breakout, the market needs further confirmation that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting toward easing, with related signals potentially released at next week's Jackson Hole symposium.However, he also cautioned that if inflation remains persistently high or the dollar weakens, the Fed may be forced to adopt a more cautious policy. Additionally, the scale of accumulation by large holders remains relatively limited, and the market still lacks strong confidence to support a sustained breakout. Going forward, US spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows and macroeconomic data performance will serve as key indicators for judging the sustainability of the trend. (CoinDesk)
According to TechFlow research, Morgan Stanley's August 20 report noted that the U.S. Treasury will increase the size of its liquidity-supporting repo operations for the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year tenors from $2 billion per transaction to at least $4 billion, effective September 9. This marks the first adjustment to the repurchase volume outside of the quarterly refinancing window since the repo program launched in May 2024. The two tenors combined add $1.6 billion in notional amount, corresponding to approximately $19.3 million in DV01 (price change per one-basis-point move in rates), with a risk impact roughly double that of the November 2023 "supply surprise." Morgan Stanley stated that the Treasury's decision to expand repurchases ahead of schedule outside the quarterly refinancing window aims to signal close monitoring of long-end interest rate dynamics to the market, thereby buying time for the November refinancing window. The recent rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and curve steepening primarily reflect the market's repricing of energy prices and central bank policy trajectories, rather than concerns over deficits or supply. Morgan Stanley maintains its recommendation for a 7-year versus 30-year Treasury curve steepening trade, targeting a spread of 100 basis points (currently around 71 basis points). On the FX front, coordinated volatility in gold and the Swiss franc hit an annual peak on August 19; should the U.S. dollar policy narrative reassert itself, EUR/USD is likely to approach 1.2150.
Odaily News, Garrett Jin, proxy for the "BTC OG Insider Whale," analyzed that Bitcoin's latest breakout above $70,000 was driven by multiple bullish factors, including the U.S. Treasury's expanded bond buybacks, the SEC's proposed crypto asset regulatory framework, and the White House crypto summit. The current price has entered a dense overhead supply zone ranging from the mid-$60,000s to the low $80,000s, with the first resistance layer already showing signs of weakening.Garrett Jin pointed out that the significant accumulation of new cost basis in the mid-$60,000 area over the past two months has provided underlying support for this breakout. While the short-squeeze triggered by short liquidations could temporarily push Bitcoin above $80,000 in the near term, the $80,000 to $82,500 range is a critical resistance zone to watch, and the short-squeeze momentum is unlikely to persist. If the market can effectively absorb supply below $80,000 before a breakout, it would be more conducive to a healthier subsequent trend.On the same day, SK Hynix announced South Korea's largest-ever stock buyback and cancellation plan, committing to return at least 50% of its projected free cash flow through 2027 to shareholders. Its shares surged over 10% at one point, triggering a buy-side circuit breaker on South Korea's KOSPI index. Analysts believe this move could alleviate market concerns over declining risk appetite for Korean semiconductor stocks, but it cannot alter the cyclical trajectory of the memory chip industry itself.