Odaily News According to Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, who posted on platform X, Bitcoin has fallen below the dense Gamma Exposure (GEX) zone of options, with subsequent resistance from upper-level positions gradually weakening. Ethereum (ETH) has also broken below its GEX concentration zone near $2,000, weakening its short-term structural support.Although the BTC price has entered a relatively sensitive area, the Implied Volatility (IV) has not risen significantly. The IV across all tenors remains below 40%, with longer-dated tenors continuing to decline. The three consecutive days of decline have also failed to effectively push up short-term IV, indicating that the market has not yet priced in significant panic.Currently, the implied probability for options expiring in May is approximately 20%. Tomorrow's monthly settlement is expected to significantly reshape the current option position structure. Overall, the market is still monitoring the effectiveness of key support levels, and the demand from large position holders to hedge against the risk of further breakdowns has not materially increased.
U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he had received requests from the Emir of Qatar, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, and the President of the UAE to postpone the planned military strike against Iran originally scheduled for tomorrow, as serious negotiations are currently underway. They believe that an agreement can be reached, one that would be highly acceptable to the United States, countries in the Middle East, and the broader region. Key content of the agreement would include: Iran must not possess nuclear weapons! Out of respect for these leaders, I have instructed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Daniel Caine, and the U.S. military to call off the strike against Iran planned for tomorrow. However, I have also further instructed them to be prepared to immediately execute a large-scale, comprehensive military strike against Iran if an acceptable agreement is not reached. (Jin Shi)
The sixth-anniversary celebration is entering its final countdown! The official JUST 6th Anniversary × GasFree Super Celebration Month kicks off tomorrow (May 18) at 5:00 PM SGT. At that time, a massive prize pool of up to $10,000 USDT will be fully unlocked, and five exciting activities will roll out one after another—inviting users worldwide to join this pinnacle event. While experiencing the ultimate freedom and seamless flow of “zero”-gas transfers, don’t miss this anniversary celebration blending zero transaction fees with generous rewards. Be sure to set your alarms and tune in at 5:00 PM SGT tomorrow to ignite the grandest moment of JUST’s sixth anniversary alongside JUST and its global partners—and claim your share of the $10,000 USDT super prize on time!
Odaily Strategy has announced it will hold a Q&A session for retail investors at 17:00 Eastern Time tomorrow. The event will be hosted by Nat Brunell, with Strategy founder Michael Saylor and CEO Phong Le in attendance to discuss the company's strategy, Bitcoin holdings, and related business developments with investors. This Q&A may be seen as a key communication window for the market to gauge Strategy's digital asset strategy and capital market movements.
Monitoring from the Odaily Seer Channel shows that the probability of "MegaETH TGE Tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million.Additionally, last night MegaETH announced the launch of its Odyssey event, running from April 28 to June 23. After the event concludes, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity level, subject to meeting qualification requirements, sanctions screening, and successful completion of KYC verification.This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No".The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; a mere announcement does not constitute fulfilling the condition.This market primarily relies on official information from MegaETH as the basis for settlement, while also referencing consensus formed by credible media reports.The Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "NBA Playoffs First Round: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets," the Nuggets' win probability is currently reported at 73%, while the Timberwolves are at 27%. The current trading volume is approximately $283,800.Previously, the Nuggets achieved a 12-game winning streak to close the regular season and defeated the Timberwolves 116-105 in the Western Conference First Round Game 1 on April 18, extending their winning streak to 13 games. In that game, Jokic recorded a triple-double, and Murray scored 30 points. The series Game 2 will continue at the Nuggets' home court.Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.