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Goldman Sachs: IPO Surge Hits Record, Danger Signal Hasn't Flashed Yet

According to TechFlow Research, Goldman Sachs' July 20 Top of Mind report pointed out that U.S. IPO proceeds in 2026 have already exceeded $125 billion, breaking the full-year record of 2021, and are expected to exceed $200 billion for the full year. But the number of IPOs is only about 60, far lower than the 400 in 1999 and 250 in 2021 during bubble periods, mainly driven by a few mega-tech companies. Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Snider believes late-cycle warning signals have not yet appeared, the household sector has become net buyers, annualized IPO proceeds account for only about 1% of the S&P 500 market cap, and market absorption capacity is underestimated. University of Florida Professor Ritter pointed out that high issuance volume predicts low returns, but the signal accuracy is only slightly higher than random (about 52%). Acadian Fund Manager Lamont warned that the issuance wave is one of the "Four Horsemen" of bubbles, but may mark the beginning rather than the end of a bubble; currently, first-day gains do not show extreme speculation signals. All three experts believe that IPO volume is moderate, valuations have not reached bubble levels, first-day gains are not out of control, and true danger signals have not yet appeared. Snider expects company buybacks in 2026 to be about $1.3 trillion, enough to offset new supply. If the AI narrative or corporate earnings undergo a significant shift, market and IPO prospects will change accordingly.

Goldman Sachs: Expects SpaceX’s AI Revenue to Surge 100-Fold by 2030

Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX’s AI revenue to surge 100-fold by 2030. (Jin10)

Etherealize: Ethereum Could Surge to $250,000, "Productive Money" Narrative Gains Attention

Odaily News According to Etherealize's latest research report, which proposes the "Productive Money" theory, if Ethereum captures the combined monetary premium of approximately $31 trillion currently held by gold and Bitcoin, its implied price could exceed $250,000, far above the current level of around $2,300.The report points out that ETH not only possesses traditional monetary attributes such as scarcity, verifiability, and censorship resistance but can also generate an annualized yield of about 2%–4% through staking, achieving an "interest-bearing" monetary characteristic, thereby distinguishing it from non-productive assets like gold and Bitcoin.Furthermore, within the DeFi system, ETH serves a triple demand source as a "collateral asset + fee-burning mechanism + staking lock-up," forming a mechanism for supply contraction and value accumulation. The report believes that with the development of on-chain finance and asset tokenization, ETH is expected to simultaneously possess the dual attributes of a "store of value + productive asset."However, the report also notes that ETH's path to achieving this valuation still faces multiple uncertainties including regulation, technology, and competition. Its long-term value revaluation depends on the market's recognition of its monetary properties.