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CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost pointed out that market attention has significantly intensified this week, primarily driven by the upcoming procedural vote on the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate and the Federal Reserve's imminent interest rate decision. Data shows a notable increase in altcoin inflow transactions on Binance, with the 7-day average inflow rising from 8,300 in July to 31,800 currently, up nearly fourfold. Coinbase’s altcoin inflows also increased from 2,200 to 4,700, while Bybit rose to 2,700.
Odaily News Bitcoin has rebounded strongly recently. Analysts believe that record-breaking short squeeze activity, along with policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, may be pushing the market into a new phase of bull market cycle adjustment.Data shows that Bitcoin has risen approximately 23% over the past week, marking its largest weekly gain since the post-U.S. election rally in November 2024. Crypto market trading activity has also recovered in tandem, with spot and perpetual contract trading volume surging 188%. CME Bitcoin futures volume rose 152%, and the annualized futures basis climbed to 11.1%—the highest level since January 2025. Additionally, Bitcoin ETF products recorded net inflows of approximately 31,740 BTC over the week, the strongest capital inflow since the market peak in October 2025.Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at crypto research firm K33 Research, stated that the early phase of this rally was primarily driven by short covering. On August 19, Bitcoin short positions saw a single-day liquidation scale of $1.37 billion, a record high, followed by another $739 million in short liquidations on August 21. The massive short squeeze pushed open interest in perpetual contracts down to 284,000 BTC, the lowest level since May, while market funding rates also returned to neutral.On the macro front, policy signals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding increased long-term Treasury buybacks are also viewed by analysts as a market catalyst. K33 believes that the Treasury buyback program could lower long-term interest rates and boost demand for scarce assets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's correlation with gold has risen, with the 90-day correlation coefficient reaching 0.52—the highest since October 2020—while its correlation with the Nasdaq index has declined to 0.38, a one-year low.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at crypto investment firm Bitwise Asset Management, believes that Bessent's recent remarks on sanctions against Iran's financial network have further strengthened Bitcoin's investment thesis: as the global financial system becomes increasingly influenced by geopolitics, the value of assets that are decentralized and do not rely on any single nation's financial system may appreciate further. (The Block)
Odaily News, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that as BTC rose from approximately $63,000 to $77,000 over the past 8 days, the proportion of BTC short-term holders (STH) in profit has climbed from 26.1% on August 17 to 74.9%, indicating that the majority of short-term holders have returned to a profitable state.Meanwhile, the net profit/loss indicator for short-term holders flowing to exchanges has turned positive, reaching +28,600 BTC as of August 24, surpassing the +25,000 BTC level. Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that if this indicator continues to stay above +25,000 BTC while BTC's upward momentum begins to slow, the risk of concentrated selling by short-term holders will further increase. Conversely, if the indicator falls back to near zero while BTC's price remains stable, it would suggest that potential selling pressure is easing.
According to Odaily, CryptoQuant reports that the volume of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins flowing into exchanges has recently increased significantly. Historically, this pattern often signals that the crypto market is about to enter a phase of higher volatility.Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, pointed out that on June 30, the number of Bitcoin flowing into exchanges approached 49,000 BTC, an extremely rare level. This year, there have only been four other instances of single-day inflow peaks nearing 50,000 BTC, and these peaks have typically been followed by a notable amplification in price volatility and clear directional moves.The report suggests that, given the current scale of inflows, the market is absorbing a large amount of Bitcoin being transferred to exchanges. Since transferring to exchanges usually implies potential selling pressure, position adjustments, or increased demand for derivatives margin, this could trigger more drastic price fluctuations.CryptoQuant also notes that the volume of Ethereum and altcoins flowing into exchanges is rising, indicating that the pressure is not limited to Bitcoin but is spreading across the broader crypto asset market. Overall, a surge in exchange inflows may signal that a more significant change in short-term market direction is imminent.
According to TheEnergyMag, AI cloud service provider Nebius (NASDAQ: NBIS) released its first-quarter financial results, reporting revenue of $399 million—more than seven times higher year-on-year and exceeding analysts’ expectations of $371 million. Its adjusted net loss stood at $100.3 million, better than market expectations. Following the earnings release, Nebius’s stock rose approximately 17% in pre-market trading, with its year-to-date gains exceeding 100%. This quarter, the company’s capital expenditures surged to approximately $2.5 billion. It also announced securing 1.2 gigawatts of power capacity and land in Pennsylvania for constructing a new AI factory. CEO Arkady Volozh stated that enterprises are transitioning from the AI experimentation phase to large-scale production deployment, and the company continues to face “unprecedented demand.” Additionally, Nebius recently acquired AI startup Eigen AI for approximately $643 million and signed a five-year, up-to-$27 billion long-term AI compute supply agreement with Meta Platforms.
Odaily News CryptoQuant indicates that Bitcoin's recent rally is facing increasing risks of selling pressure, with on-chain data showing a significant rise in funds flowing into exchanges.Bitcoin previously broke through $76,000 but faced downward pressure and retreated when approaching the key resistance zone around $76,800. This level corresponds to the "on-chain realized price" range, which has historically often acted as a top for rallies, as many investors whose holdings are nearing breakeven tend to sell.Data shows that the hourly inflow of Bitcoin into exchanges has risen to approximately 11,000 BTC, the highest level since late 2025, which is typically viewed as a potential signal of selling pressure. Simultaneously, the scale of transfers into exchanges by large holders (whales) is also expanding.Analysis suggests that if this resistance level remains effective, Bitcoin may face short-term correction pressure, with a key support level around $67,600.