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Coinbase misses Q2 expectations, Wall Street split on its growth strategy

Odaily News - After Coinbase's Q2 results fell short of market expectations, the stock briefly dropped to a roughly two-and-a-half-year low on Friday morning before paring losses to around $150. Over the past year, the stock is still down approximately 57%.Wall Street generally believes Coinbase underperformed this quarter, but opinions differ on the cause: some analysts attribute it mainly to a weak crypto market environment, while others have begun to question whether the company's growth strategy beyond its trading business can deliver.JPMorgan stated that Coinbase's results reflect a "challenging crypto environment," with new products contributing limited value to the income statement. The bank lowered its December 2026 price target for Coinbase from $196 to $148, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating. JPMorgan believes the company faces pressure across multiple business lines, with weak trading volumes dragging down transaction revenue and subscription and services revenue also under strain.Bernstein, on the other hand, believes Coinbase's long-term strategy remains attractive, but investors want to see more compelling execution, particularly in new business areas such as prediction markets and tokenized stocks.Mizuho warned that Robinhood is emerging as the mainstream alternative for retail crypto trading. Overall, Coinbase is still viewed as an important representative of U.S. crypto compliance infrastructure, but its valuation recovery increasingly depends on proving it is more than just a crypto exchange reliant on trading cycles.

900 trillion USD annual trading volume of perpetual futures enters Wall Street, major banks remain cautious

Odaily reports: After perpetual futures entered the regulated US market, Wall Street institutions are still taking a wait-and-see approach. Bank of America estimates that the global annual trading volume of perpetual futures is approximately 90 trillion USD; within a week of Kalshi launching perpetual futures in June, trading volume exceeded 1 billion USD. Perpetual futures are similar to standard futures but have no expiration date, meaning traders do not need to close or roll over positions monthly or quarterly. Instead, periodic funding rates keep the contract price close to the underlying asset. On May 29, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved Kalshi to offer such contracts, and Coinbase also received approval to list regulated perpetual futures in the US. Insiders say that large financial institutions are still studying these products, with proprietary trading firms, market makers, and emerging clearing firms likely to be the first to participate. Large banks face stricter capital rules, client obligations, and reputational risks, and typically wait for years of data, clear regulatory treatment, and stable infrastructure. Perpetual futures may also be used to manage weekend risk, but market depth remains a concern. Industry insiders note that regulatory disagreements are emerging over whether certain contracts should be classified as futures or swaps, and CME has already challenged the CFTC's handling of Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual contract.

SEC and Coinbase Reach Settlement in Lawsuit from Gensler Era

the U.S. SEC and Coinbase reached a settlement on Wednesday, ending a multi-year legal dispute over the handling of record requests during the Gensler era.According to court filings, the SEC agreed to pay $150,000 in legal fees to History Associates and release two documents that had been previously withheld. Additionally, the SEC will review its record management procedures, as well as the retention methods for communications such as text messages.The case originated from Coinbase suing the SEC and FDIC separately in 2024 through the consulting firm History Associates, accusing both regulatory agencies of failing to comply with Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests. Coinbase stated that these record requests were related to whether regulators were attempting to cut off the crypto industry's connection with the banking system.In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal stated that former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler had launched a “litigation campaign” against the crypto industry. During Gensler's tenure, the SEC sued Coinbase and several other crypto companies, alleging they failed to comply with federal securities registration requirements.Grewal noted that the settlement has long-term implications, as the FDIC and SEC are rewriting disclosure and record-keeping practices, which could enhance regulatory transparency and limit the ability of regulators to overreach behind closed doors in the future.

a16z Crypto: Tokenized Stocks Market Cap Surpasses $1.7 Billion, Up Over 5x in One Year

According to a post by a16z crypto researcher Robert Hackett and data advisor Ryan Holloway, the tokenized stock market is experiencing explosive growth. As of June 2026, the total market capitalization of tokenized stocks reached approximately $1.7 billion, representing a more than fivefold increase from $329 million a year earlier, making it one of the fastest-growing categories among tokenized assets. On-chain data shows that monthly transfer volume surged from $53 million last June to $9.22 billion this June, a year-over-year increase of more than 170 times. The market structure has also changed significantly: the proportion of crypto-related products dropped from 79% to 21%; the AI and chip category jumped from nearly zero to a market share of 15.5%; tech giants rose from 0.6% to 10.6%; and ETFs and indices increased from 4.5% to 17.3%. At the institutional level, DTCC has completed the first live trades of tokenized Treasury bonds and stocks on Digital Asset's Canton network, with full services planned to launch in October, which will open access for Wall Street to approximately $114 trillion in DTC custodied assets. Meanwhile, Robinhood has launched its own chain, NYSE's parent company announced a joint venture with OKX (pending regulatory approval), and Coinbase and Binance have also sequentially launched offerings for non-U.S. users.

Truth Social will offer authorized data services to Wall Street

Trump Media & Technology Group interim CEO Kevin McGurn stated that the company will launch a set of backend interfaces allowing financial services firms to pay for access to Truth Social’s real-time data. McGurn indicated that this marks the company's first expansion of its media business into the data licensing field. The newly launched Truth API will provide clients with real-time access to content published by the platform's top ten most popular accounts.McGurn added that clients willing to pay a higher fee in the future can obtain data access rights to more accounts. These accounts include key decision-makers who influence policy-making and geopolitical trends, such as U.S. President Donald Trump, the White House, FBI Director Kash Patel, White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino, and Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Axios)

DeepSeek to Debut on Shanghai STAR Market as Early as Q2 2027

DeepSeek is preparing for an initial public offering on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's STAR Market, with plans to submit its application by the end of this year and potentially complete the listing as early as the second quarter of 2027.DeepSeek has initiated discussions with investors and banks regarding its IPO plans. The funds raised from the offering are intended for model research and development, talent acquisition, and computing infrastructure construction. The relevant timeline may still be subject to adjustments, and the listing plan will require regulatory approval. (The Wall Street Journal)

Borrowing money to trade stocks becomes a pipe dream? Korean media reports: South Korea's top five commercial banks have used up 85% of their annual household loan quota

According to data disclosed by the Korean financial industry on July 12, as of the end of June, the combined household loan balance (excluding policy loans) of the five major commercial banks—KB Kookmin Bank, Shinhan Bank, Hana Bank, Woori Bank, and NH Nonghyup Bank—stood at 647.58 trillion won, an increase of 3.70 trillion won compared to the end of last year. Earlier this year, South Korea's financial regulatory authorities set a total household loan growth cap for financial institutions at 1.5% for the year, lower than the actual growth rate of 1.7% last year, aiming to curb the overly rapid expansion of household debt.Calculated based on this target, the total annual new household loan ceiling for the five major banks is approximately 4.34 trillion won. Broken down by bank: KB Kookmin Bank 909.2 billion won, Shinhan Bank 850 billion won, Hana Bank 880.5 billion won, Woori Bank 826.6 billion won, and NH Nonghyup Bank 870 billion won. However, the actual increase of 3.70 trillion won in the first half alone already accounts for 85.3% of the annual ceiling. The remaining quota for the year is only about 639.5 billion won, spread over the six months of the second half, making the available room extremely limited. (Wall Street CN)

The Securities Transfer Association Lobbies SEC: Third-Party Stock Tokens Could Threaten Market Integrity

As the tokenization of capital markets intensifies, the Securities Transfer Association (STA) recently submitted a comment letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), warning that stock tokens issued by third-party entities could undermine market integrity. The association is calling on regulators to prioritize tokenized securities authorized by listed companies in future rulemaking.The STA represents numerous Wall Street transfer agents, whose members argue that genuine tokenized stocks should be formally authorized by the issuing company and recorded on the official shareholder register, rather than consisting of "wrapped" token products created by independent platforms.The association points out that third-party stock tokens could confuse investors regarding their actual holdings and expose them to platform credit, custody, and operational risks, without establishing a direct legal relationship with the listed company. Therefore, any innovation exemptions, pilot programs, or permanent regulatory frameworks for tokenized securities should be prioritized for the issuer-supported model. The STA also urges the SEC to reform the existing Direct Registration System (DRS), arguing that the current U.S. securities depository system struggles to meet the real-time transfer and settlement demands of on-chain securities. It recommends that regulators collaborate with the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) to optimize the digital securities infrastructure.Currently, the global tokenized stock market, valued at approximately $2 billion, is predominantly led by the third-party model, including products launched by Ondo Finance and Kraken, while institutions like Securitize and Figure adopt the issuer-authorized model. (CoinDesk)

The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation has announced it will demonstrate an on-chain stock trading process this week

Odaily Planet Daily reports that financial market infrastructure giant, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), plans to demonstrate a real-time stock trading process based on blockchain technology this Wednesday. The technology is said to simplify the clearing, settlement, and record-keeping processes behind Wall Street stock trades, thereby improving the operational efficiency of capital markets. This test is seen as an important step for the traditional financial system in exploring on-chain securities infrastructure.However, the initial scale of the project remains relatively limited. After years of research and development, this demonstration by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, one of the largest securities clearing institutions in the United States, is more of a validation exercise rather than a full-scale push to move the stock market onto the blockchain.Market participants believe that although tokenized securities and on-chain settlement are considered to have the potential to reduce costs and improve trading efficiency, the migration of traditional financial infrastructure to blockchain still faces challenges such as regulation, compliance, system compatibility, and coordination among market participants.This test marks Wall Street's gradual transition from the proof-of-concept stage to practical application and will serve as an important case study for observing whether institutional-grade blockchain infrastructure can achieve large-scale adoption. (The Information)

Binance: MiCA’s Success Should Be Measured by How Many Crypto Companies Are Brought into the Regulatory Framework

Binance has withdrawn its MiCA license application in Greece due to approval delays and regulatory uncertainty, and was forced to suspend some services and new registrations for EU users just days before the July 1 deadline. Gillian Lynch, Binance’s Head of Europe, stated that MiCA’s success should be measured by how many crypto companies are brought into the regulatory framework. She also defended Binance’s financial crime control measures, refuting allegations made in a recent Wall Street Journal report.Lynch said that excluding Binance from MiCA would harm the European crypto market by removing key liquidity and infrastructure, and reiterated that Binance remains committed to obtaining new licenses and staying in Europe. (CoinDesk)

Cantor Fitzgerald: Bitcoin Bear Market May Be Nearing the End, Expected to Bottom Out Around October

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street bank Cantor Fitzgerald issued a research report indicating that the crypto market is entering the final phase of the current bear cycle. As of June 10, Bitcoin has declined approximately 51% from its 2025 peak, with 252 days having passed since the peak. Synthesizing the past three market cycles, BTC bottoms on average 384 days after the peak; based on this, the low point of this cycle is projected to appear around the end of October. Analysts also noted that the model is not a precise timing tool, and macro, regulatory, and geopolitical risks remain. Regarding network value assessment, Cantor believes Hyperliquid is the prime example of fee-driven token economics, Bitcoin remains the benchmark monetary asset, and Ethereum serves as the primary collateral layer for on-chain finance; Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each possess differentiated advantages, but still need to prove that their ecosystem growth can translate into sustained token demand.

Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock and other financial institutions are reportedly planning to jointly launch a stablecoin called OUSD

according to market sources, several financial and crypto institutions, including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, and Coinbase, are planning to jointly launch a new stablecoin named "OUSD".The report states that the stablecoin project is expected to adopt a multi-party collaboration model and share related revenue mechanisms among the participating institutions. However, the specific structure, launch timeline, and regulatory arrangements have not yet been publicly disclosed.If the news is confirmed, it would mark a further deep integration between traditional payment giants and Wall Street asset management institutions in the stablecoin sector. The parties involved have not yet officially confirmed the reports.

Analysts: Bitcoin at Key Technical Indicator Level, Could Drop Further 30%

Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley and 22V Research technical strategist John Roque believe Bitcoin is at a key technical indicator level.Matt Maley stated that if Bitcoin declines further from its current level of around $60,000, it could amplify negative investor sentiment. Although Wall Street firms continue to invest in digital assets, retail investors, who have historically been the main force driving cryptocurrency rallies, have shifted their focus to high-growth AI and tech stocks. Recent significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate waning investor enthusiasm. Cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of decoupling from the stock market.John Roque noted that Bitcoin is retesting its first downside target of $60,000. If it breaks below this level, it implies a potential drop to $400,000. Matt Maley added that Congress might pass a crypto structure bill with clearer rules, which would reduce uncertainty and encourage institutional participation in the long run. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest monthly outflow since 2024 recently. (CNBC)

Asset management giant Invesco plans to launch a tokenized stablecoin reserve fund

asset management giant Invesco is planning to launch a new money market fund designed for stablecoin reserves. According to a revised filing submitted to the U.S. SEC, Invesco intends to add the "Invesco Stablecoin Reserves Onchain Fund" to its Short-Term Investments Trust product portfolio.The fund has not yet announced its ticker symbol. It will primarily invest in high-quality short-term assets, including U.S. Treasuries, repurchase agreements, and cash equivalents, aiming to maintain a stable net asset value of $1 per share and provide daily liquidity.This product is designed for stablecoin issuers, enabling them to hold compliant reserves within the framework of the GENIUS Act reserve requirements while also generating yield. As of May 31, Invesco managed approximately $2.45 trillion in assets.The fund will also introduce blockchain infrastructure company Superstate as a secondary transfer agent for tokenized shares, recording fund shares on a designated public blockchain that has yet to be disclosed. Recently, several Wall Street institutions, including State Street, have also launched similar products, indicating that traditional asset management giants are accelerating their competition for the stablecoin reserve and tokenized money market fund market.

CoinEx Responds to Wall Street Journal Report: Denies Collaboration with Iranian Government and Sanctioned Entities, Strengthens Compliance Controls

CoinEx issued a statement regarding the related report by The Wall Street Journal, stating that the platform has never established commercial relationships with entities linked to the Iranian government, domestic Iranian exchanges, or other sanctioned parties, nor has it provided financial channels or assistance to such parties. CoinEx noted that it was placed on Iran’s blacklist as early as 2021, and its official domain is also blocked within Iran.

CoinEx Emerges as Key Hub for Iran Sanctions Evasion, Involving Over $3.8 Billion in Funds

According to The Wall Street Journal, blockchain public-chain data analysis shows that Iranian entities have conducted over $3.84 billion in transactions via the cryptocurrency exchange CoinEx to circumvent U.S. economic sanctions. Investigators traced funds linked to two digital wallets controlled by the Central Bank of Iran and found connections to the $1.5 billion stolen by North Korean hackers from the Bybit exchange. After flowing through complex, multi-layered transaction paths, these funds ultimately entered CoinEx—making it one of the central channels through which Iran uses cryptocurrencies to bypass sanctions.

Trump cancels signing of housing bill containing CBDC ban, calling it “irrelevant”

According to Decrypt, U.S. President Trump temporarily canceled the signing ceremony for the “21st Century Housing Pathway Act” on June 24. The bill not only covers easing restrictions on new home construction and banning large-scale residential purchases by Wall Street firms but also includes a provision extending the ban on CBDC issuance until the end of 2030. The bill had previously passed both the Senate and the House of Representatives by overwhelming margins—85–5 and 358–32, respectively. Trump stated he would refuse to sign the housing bill unless Congress first passes the controversial “SAVE America Act” (a voting rights restriction bill), calling the housing bill “irrelevant.” Republican leadership has previously indicated that the “SAVE America Act” has virtually no chance of passage. If Trump ultimately vetoes the bill, Congress would need to override the veto with a two-thirds supermajority in both chambers for it to become law.

Polymarket introduces new “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026” event

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a prediction event for the “Number of Fed Rate Hikes in 2026.”From the perspective of the interest rate path, the market is currently pricing in two distinctly different macro narratives. One view holds that the U.S. economy will enter a growth slowdown cycle in 2026, with the Fed maintaining a wait-and-see stance or even resuming rate cuts. The other view argues that if inflation reemerges or long-term inflation expectations become unanchored, the Fed could be forced to restart its rate hiking cycle. Therefore, the high probability attached to “3 to 4 rate hikes” essentially reflects the market’s reassessment of inflation stickiness and economic resilience over the next year, rather than a consensus on a single path.Bank of America has already shifted to a more hawkish interest rate path forecast. BofA Global Research now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, October, and December of 2026, totaling 75 basis points for the year, pushing the federal funds rate target range to 4.25%–4.50%. This represents a significant upward revision from its previous outlook of “rates unchanged for the year,” primarily based on the still-resilient U.S. labor market, the bumpy progress of disinflation, and the possibility that the Fed’s policy reaction function under new Chair Kevin Warsh could be more hawkish. In comparison, Deutsche Bank also expects the Fed to start hiking in September, but with a cumulative annual increase of 50 basis points, indicating that major Wall Street institutions are reassessing the upside risks to U.S. interest rates in 2026.Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.

Senate Democrats Demand Hearing on Trump Family Crypto Project's Ties to Abu Dhabi Royal Family

Odaily, U.S. Senate Democrats have sent a letter to Republican leadership demanding an immediate hearing regarding the potential relationship between the Trump family's crypto project, World Liberty Financial, and the Abu Dhabi royal family.This follows a report by the Wall Street Journal that an investment entity backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a member of the Abu Dhabi royal family, secretly acquired a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial. The project is a DeFi and stablecoin venture, with Donald Trump and his three sons listed as advisors.According to the report, the deal was signed by Eric Trump four days before Trump's presidential inauguration in January 2025. The transaction was valued at $500 million, half of which was paid upfront. Approximately $187 million flowed to entities controlled by the Trump family, while at least $31 million went to entities linked to the family of World Liberty co-founder Steve Witkoff. Witkoff was later appointed as the U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, and his son, Zach Witkoff, currently serves as CEO of World Liberty.The Trump side has stated that Trump was unaware of the $500 million investment and was not directly involved in the daily operations of World Liberty Financial. Democrats argue that the matter involves potential conflicts of interest between the president's family business interests, foreign capital, and government diplomatic roles, and have therefore called on the Republican-led Senate to launch an investigation as soon as possible.

21Shares Co-founder: Tokenization Hype Outpaces Wall Street's Actual Readiness

Ophelia Snyder, co-founder of 21Shares, stated that although tokenization can address practical issues such as settlement efficiency and asset liquidity, there remains a significant cognitive gap between the crypto industry and traditional financial institutions regarding this topic.She pointed out that the greater challenge currently lies in integrating blockchain assets with the existing systems of banks, brokerages, and asset management companies. Market discussions often overlook the operational环节 between trade execution and final settlement. While the blockchain industry has made progress in transaction throughput, it still falls short of meeting the demands of traditional financial institutions in areas such as bookkeeping, compliance processes, regulatory reporting, and risk management for 24/7 trading.Ophelia Snyder also noted that most financial institutions rely on third-party software vendors that have yet to fully adapt their systems for blockchain-native transactions. She believes the biggest bottleneck the industry currently faces is achieving large-scale adoption, rather than the functionality itself. (CoinDesk)