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Coinbase misses Q2 expectations, Wall Street split on its growth strategy

Odaily News - After Coinbase's Q2 results fell short of market expectations, the stock briefly dropped to a roughly two-and-a-half-year low on Friday morning before paring losses to around $150. Over the past year, the stock is still down approximately 57%.Wall Street generally believes Coinbase underperformed this quarter, but opinions differ on the cause: some analysts attribute it mainly to a weak crypto market environment, while others have begun to question whether the company's growth strategy beyond its trading business can deliver.JPMorgan stated that Coinbase's results reflect a "challenging crypto environment," with new products contributing limited value to the income statement. The bank lowered its December 2026 price target for Coinbase from $196 to $148, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating. JPMorgan believes the company faces pressure across multiple business lines, with weak trading volumes dragging down transaction revenue and subscription and services revenue also under strain.Bernstein, on the other hand, believes Coinbase's long-term strategy remains attractive, but investors want to see more compelling execution, particularly in new business areas such as prediction markets and tokenized stocks.Mizuho warned that Robinhood is emerging as the mainstream alternative for retail crypto trading. Overall, Coinbase is still viewed as an important representative of U.S. crypto compliance infrastructure, but its valuation recovery increasingly depends on proving it is more than just a crypto exchange reliant on trading cycles.

US spot Ethereum ETFs total net inflows exceed $11.23 billion; Ethereum Foundation undergoes organizational restructuring

During the 11th year of Ethereum, the Ethereum Foundation underwent organizational restructuring, including leadership departures, layoffs, the introduction of a new CROPS mandate, and the spin-off of EthLabs, Ethereum Systems, and Ethereum Institutional as independent entities. The Ethereum Foundation seeks to further decentralize its role within the ecosystem. Concurrently, Ethereum continued to advance its technology and institutional adoption, launching the Fusaka upgrade and attracting participation from Wall Street institutions such as BlackRock and JPMorgan; cumulative inflows into US spot Ethereum ETFs have exceeded $11.23 billion.

Intel Corporation reported second-quarter revenue of $16.13 billion, a 25% increase year-over-year

Intel Corporation's second-quarter revenue was $16.13 billion, up 25% year-over-year, compared to estimates of $14.43 billion. Second-quarter Data Center and AI revenue was $6.26 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $5.54 billion. Second-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.42, exceeding analyst estimates of $0.21. The company expects third-quarter revenue between $15.8 billion and $16.8 billion, compared to analyst estimates of $15.06 billion. The company anticipates third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.38, exceeding analyst estimates of $0.27. (Wall Street CN)According to MSX.COM data, Intel shares surged in after-hours trading, rising as much as 13% before gains narrowed to 3%.

Analysis: Kimi Sparks Wall Street Concerns Over "Second DeepSeek Shock", Funds Flowing Out of High-Valuation Tech Stocks

According to The Wall Street Journal, following Moonshot AI's release of the low-cost, high-performance large model Kimi K3, Wall Street has once again seen concerns about a "DeepSeek-style shock," with the AI chip sector facing selling pressure. Morgan Stanley stated that the market may experience AI industry turbulence similar to that triggered by DeepSeek in early 2025, where the rise of low-cost, high-performance AI models could challenge top U.S. model developers such as OpenAI and Anthropic, while simultaneously weakening demand for the large-scale compute infrastructure underpinning the U.S. AI investment boom.

Trump Media Group Launches Paid Data Service "Truth API", Selling Fastest Access to Trump Posts to Trading Firms

In response to this, Senator Ron Wyden, the senior Democratic member of the Senate Finance Committee, criticized the move, stating that it would benefit the Trump family and "make Wall Street traders rich." Legal experts, however, stated that tiered distribution of information by tech platforms does not violate federal securities laws.

DTCC Digital Assets Head Says Process $4000 Trillion in Settlements Annually, Collaborating with Canton, Stellar and Others

Odaily News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X platform, stating that DTCC Digital Assets head Nadine Chakar said on the Trillions podcast that DTCC processes $4000 trillion in settlements annually. No blockchain can currently handle this scale, so they are collaborating with Canton, Stellar, and several other parties to advance Wall Street tokenization projects.

DeFi asset management and risk analysis company Gauntlet secures $125 million financing from Japanese financial giant SBI Holdings

According to Fortune, DeFi asset management and risk analysis company Gauntlet completed a $125 million financing round, exclusively invested by Japanese financial group SBI Holdings. The financing was completed in June this year, and the specific valuation was not disclosed. This is Gauntlet's largest financing round since its establishment in 2018, far exceeding its $24 million Series B round in 2022 led by Ribbit Capital at a $1 billion valuation. Gauntlet was founded by former Wall Street quantitative trader Tarun Chitra. It initially focused on providing stress testing and vulnerability analysis services for DeFi protocols. Later, as the DAO governance model waned, it gradually transitioned to a "treasury curation" business—assessing yield strategy risks through quantitative analysis to help institutional investors manage digital asset allocation. Currently, its clients include asset management giant Apollo, Coinbase, and stablecoin issuer Circle.

Legendary Investor Grantham Criticizes SpaceX: The Market is Chasing "The Most Outrageous Investment Story in History"

Jeremy Grantham, renowned investor, co-founder, and chief investment strategist at GMO, stated that the market might look back on the SpaceX listing in 50 years with a sense of "mockery," calling it "the most outrageous IPO in human history."Grantham believes that SpaceX’s grand vision of "making humanity a multi-planetary species," coupled with the market’s current strong enthusiasm for the company, could be viewed by investors in the future as excessive optimism. "Everyone is lining up to tell you to buy the most outrageous IPO in human history. 50 years from now, people will quote paragraphs from the prospectus and laugh about it," he said.Since SpaceX joined the Nasdaq-100, it has garnered significant institutional attention, but its stock price has faced pressure recently. Currently, SpaceX’s stock is down about 7% from its one-month high, hovering around $150, only slightly above its IPO target price of $135.Wall Street institutions are divided on SpaceX’s future valuation. Morgan Stanley reportedly has given it a $300 price target, while Goldman Sachs analysts estimate a target of around $205. JPMorgan Chase believes that Elon Musk’s goal of achieving $1 trillion in revenue by 2031 is "theoretically achievable" but would require extremely strong execution capabilities.Grantham also pointed out that one of SpaceX’s biggest risks is its heavy reliance on Musk’s personal leadership. He noted that Musk holds approximately 82% of the voting control, which serves as both a key driver of SpaceX’s culture and innovation capability, and a source of risk related to governance structure and leadership changes.However, Grantham acknowledged that SpaceX’s inclusion in the Nasdaq index could generate additional buying pressure. He said that as a large amount of funds tracking the Nasdaq index are forced to allocate to SpaceX stock, market demand may exceed supply, thereby pushing the stock price up.Nevertheless, he believes that in the long run, SpaceX still faces significant challenges. If the valuation logic for the company ultimately holds, the future world could undergo drastic changes driven by the development of artificial intelligence and automation technologies. Conversely, if expectations fail to materialize, this IPO would also become a landmark event in financial history. (Fortune)

SpaceX IPO Quiet Period Ends, Wall Street Firms Upgrades Ratings in Rapid Succession

as the 25-day quiet period following SpaceX's (SPCX) June IPO comes to an end, Wall Street analysts have begun releasing formal research reports. Multiple major brokerages have issued favorable ratings, indicating institutional investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term growth potential.As IPO underwriters, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have assigned buy-equivalent ratings to SpaceX. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan set a price target of $205, while Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas gave a target of $300. Additionally, institutions such as Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, and UBS have also initiated coverage with buy or equivalent ratings. Among them, Raymond James Financial provided the most optimistic forecast; analyst Brian Gesuale initiated coverage of SpaceX with a "Strong Buy" rating and a price target as high as $800, believing SpaceX will become "one of the most representative industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century."Analysis suggests that market optimism towards SpaceX is primarily based on its布局 (layout/foundation) in areas such as rocket launches, Starlink satellite internet, and government contracts. At the same time, the company's communications business can provide a sustainable source of revenue and support future expansion of launch scale.As of March 31, 2026, SpaceX holds 18,712 Bitcoins. Wall Street believes that the concentrated coverage following the end of the IPO quiet period provides a window for institutional investors to conduct their first systematic assessment of SpaceX's valuation. The fact that nearly all major institutions simultaneously issued positive ratings is relatively rare for large-scale IPOs. (CoinDesk)

Cantor Fitzgerald: Bitcoin Bear Market May Be Nearing the End, Expected to Bottom Out Around October

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street bank Cantor Fitzgerald issued a research report indicating that the crypto market is entering the final phase of the current bear cycle. As of June 10, Bitcoin has declined approximately 51% from its 2025 peak, with 252 days having passed since the peak. Synthesizing the past three market cycles, BTC bottoms on average 384 days after the peak; based on this, the low point of this cycle is projected to appear around the end of October. Analysts also noted that the model is not a precise timing tool, and macro, regulatory, and geopolitical risks remain. Regarding network value assessment, Cantor believes Hyperliquid is the prime example of fee-driven token economics, Bitcoin remains the benchmark monetary asset, and Ethereum serves as the primary collateral layer for on-chain finance; Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each possess differentiated advantages, but still need to prove that their ecosystem growth can translate into sustained token demand.

TD Cowen Lowers Strategy Price Target to $260, Maintains Buy Rating

Odaily Wall Street investment bank TD Cowen has lowered its price target for Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (STRC) from $400 to $260, a reduction of approximately 35%, while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The firm noted that the company's newly launched digital credit capital framework is constructive, with continuous improvements in credit transparency and capital flexibility.Analysts explained that this valuation adjustment is unrelated to the new capital framework, but is primarily driven by lowered Bitcoin price expectations: the BTC price forecast for end-2026 has been reduced from $140,000 to $100,000, and the end-2027 forecast from $190,000 to $135,000. Even after the adjustment, the $260 price target still implies over 200% upside from the closing price of $92.68. The investment bank also acknowledged that this valuation differential appears relatively high.On the capital front, Strategy has rebuilt $2.55 billion in USD reserves. Last week's issuance of 12 million common shares was not used to increase Bitcoin holdings. Existing cash can cover more than 17 months of interest and preferred stock dividends, and combined with BTC monetization capacity, can cover 26 months of expenses. The company has received approval for $1 billion in common stock buybacks and $1 billion in preferred stock buybacks, marking a shift from one-way equity issuance to proactive capital structure optimization. The $1.25 billion in Bitcoin monetization proceeds will replenish cash reserves, while the preferred stock dividend rate has been raised from 11.5% to 12%, alleviating the previously significant 26% discount issue. (TheBlock)

Analysts: Bitcoin at Key Technical Indicator Level, Could Drop Further 30%

Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley and 22V Research technical strategist John Roque believe Bitcoin is at a key technical indicator level.Matt Maley stated that if Bitcoin declines further from its current level of around $60,000, it could amplify negative investor sentiment. Although Wall Street firms continue to invest in digital assets, retail investors, who have historically been the main force driving cryptocurrency rallies, have shifted their focus to high-growth AI and tech stocks. Recent significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate waning investor enthusiasm. Cryptocurrencies are also showing signs of decoupling from the stock market.John Roque noted that Bitcoin is retesting its first downside target of $60,000. If it breaks below this level, it implies a potential drop to $400,000. Matt Maley added that Congress might pass a crypto structure bill with clearer rules, which would reduce uncertainty and encourage institutional participation in the long run. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced their largest monthly outflow since 2024 recently. (CNBC)

CoinEx Emerges as Key Hub for Iran Sanctions Evasion, Involving Over $3.8 Billion in Funds

According to The Wall Street Journal, blockchain public-chain data analysis shows that Iranian entities have conducted over $3.84 billion in transactions via the cryptocurrency exchange CoinEx to circumvent U.S. economic sanctions. Investigators traced funds linked to two digital wallets controlled by the Central Bank of Iran and found connections to the $1.5 billion stolen by North Korean hackers from the Bybit exchange. After flowing through complex, multi-layered transaction paths, these funds ultimately entered CoinEx—making it one of the central channels through which Iran uses cryptocurrencies to bypass sanctions.

Peter Schiff: Short sellers could force Strategy to sell BTC to repurchase shares—or trigger a “death spiral”

Economist and crypto skeptic Peter Schiff posted that market optimism toward Bitcoin is “excessively complacent.” While Strategy’s other end is connected to Wall Street, it is currently under clear pressure: its stock price has fallen roughly 80% from its peak, and dropped another ~20% within just five days; its flagship preferred stock STRC also declined approximately 13%. If short-selling pressure continues to depress Strategy’s stock price, it could trigger an extreme scenario—Strategy may be forced to betray its commitment and sell Bitcoin to repurchase shares. Yet this move may fail to lift the stock price and instead trigger further Bitcoin price declines, creating a negative-feedback death spiral—the very situation that Strategy’s own strategic structure has “trapped Michael Saylor in.”

Bernstein: The sharp slowdown in Bitcoin fund inflows stems from retail investors shifting to AI—not quantum computing risks

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street brokerage Bernstein released a research report stating that the primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price weakness in 2026 will be slowing capital flows—not the quantum computing threat feared by the market. The report notes that Bitcoin treasury companies and ETFs combined attracted approximately $12 billion in inflows this year, a sharp decline from $60 billion in 2025; meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs—holding $75 billion in assets—recorded roughly $2.6 billion in net outflows, with new demand coming mainly from corporate buyers such as MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bernstein analysts attribute the slowdown in capital flows to retail investors’ massive shift into AI-related assets. This year, the strongest-performing segments of the crypto market have been tokenized equities and commodities. Nevertheless, analysts view the ETF outflows as relatively moderate. Bitcoin’s investor base has evolved from one dominated by retail participants to a more diversified group—including ETFs, corporate treasuries, wealth management platforms, pension funds, and sovereign investors—resulting in a healthier market structure. The long-term value-storage thesis for Bitcoin remains intact.

Susquehanna sharply raises Micron price target to $1,750

Susquehanna, a Wall Street quantitative trading giant, analyst Mehdi Hosseini has significantly raised the price target for Micron (MU) from $600 to $1,750, maintaining a "positive" rating. It is reported that Micron's second-quarter DRAM average selling price is expected to increase by 50%-60% quarter-over-quarter, higher than the previously market-expected 50%; NAND average selling prices are expected to remain flat to up within the 75%-100% range quarter-over-quarter. Based on increased confidence in the continued strength of storage product prices and margin sustainability, Susquehanna has raised earnings forecasts for the storage manufacturers it covers. (Seekingalpha)

Standard Chartered Reiterates Long-Term Ethereum Price Target of $40,000

According to Decrypt, Standard Chartered analysts stated in a report released on Thursday that Ethereum’s current price does not yet reflect its growing network transaction activity or the rising total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi). The bank reiterated its price targets of $4,000 by year-end and $40,000 by the end of this decade. The institution noted that Ethereum has already established dominance in the stablecoin and tokenized asset sectors and stands to benefit from Wall Street’s ongoing migration toward digital asset infrastructure. The report also indicated that if real-world assets (RWA) grow 50-fold over the coming years, on-chain transaction volume and TVL on Ethereum could continue to reach new highs.

Analyst: $1.3 Billion IBIT Block Trade Could Trigger Bitcoin Flash Crash

Odaily An unknown trader sold approximately $1.3 billion worth of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) on a dark pool on Tuesday, sparking market attention.Data shows the trader sold 29.2 million shares of IBIT at $43.16 per share around 14:30 UTC. Consequently, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $77,875 to $76,720 within 10 minutes, a decline of about 1.5%, before further dipping to around $75,600.Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, stated this is the largest IBIT dark pool trade he has ever seen. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the trade size was 22 times larger than the second-largest IBIT sell order of the day.Additionally, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for eight consecutive trading days. On Tuesday alone, net outflows totaled approximately $333.6 million, with IBIT seeing outflows of about $192.4 million. Since May 14, cumulative net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs have exceeded $2 billion. Reports indicate that Jane Street reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by about 70% in the first quarter, while Goldman Sachs also trimmed its positions by approximately 10%. (Cointelegraph)

Court documents allege Jane Street used insider information from Terraform to short UST, profiting $134 million

According to recently unsealed court documents, Jane Street is alleged to have obtained insider information from Terraform Labs via a private Telegram group named "Bryce's Secret."The documents claim that Jane Street subsequently sold approximately $192 million worth of UST when it was near its peg price, and profited around $134 million by shorting UST during the collapse of TerraUSD and the evaporation of roughly $40 billion in market value from the Terra ecosystem. (CoinDesk)

AI fintech company Moment completes $78 million funding, led by Index Ventures

Moment, an AI fintech company founded by former Citadel Securities quantitative traders and researchers, has announced the completion of a $78 million funding round, led by Index Ventures with participation from existing investors including a16z and Avra. Moment has established partnerships with institutions such as Edward Jones, LPL Financial Holdings, and Hightower Advisors, primarily providing AI automation infrastructure for fixed income and equity trading. The new capital will be used to accelerate the deployment and product expansion of AI in Wall Street trading systems. (Bloomberg)