News linked to both this project and an event.
Odaily report: Analysts from three Wall Street firms—Cantor Fitzgerald, TD Cowen, and Compass Point—all believe that despite Binance suffering an approximately $6.3 billion hack, there is currently insufficient evidence to suggest the incident will threaten the broader crypto market, and the market's prior recovery trend is unlikely to be interrupted as a result.Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal noted that Tether has frozen over $1.5 billion in stolen assets, Circle has frozen approximately $800 million, and Ripple has frozen about $200 million, with Binance stating that the total frozen stolen funds currently amount to roughly $3 billion. He believes the crypto industry is gradually improving its ability to respond to such security incidents and expects crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase, Robinhood, and Strategy to rebound once market panic subsides, recommending that investors buy on the dip.TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza believes the attack exposed security weaknesses in Binance's own transaction signing infrastructure rather than flaws in the underlying technology of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, and that the market sell-off may present an opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin and shares of listed companies holding Bitcoin.Compass Point analysts believe Binance has sufficient liquidity to cover the funding gap, and expect its excess USDT reserves, BTC reserves, and USDC funds to be adequate to absorb the losses. However, the firm also warned that Binance compensating customers could put pressure on stablecoin supply and may drive users to migrate from centralized exchanges to competing platforms such as Coinbase, Bullish, and Hyperliquid. (CoinDesk)
Analysts at Yorkville Ives wrote that Microsoft's (MSFT.O) earnings report indicates the company is capable of fully capitalizing on the massive demand in the cloud computing market. Analysts noted that Microsoft Azure revenue surpassed Wall Street expectations, with the cloud computing business being a key driver of Microsoft's stock performance. Prior to the earnings release, the market had already clearly recognized AI-driven demand, but it remains uncertain whether Microsoft can ramp up capacity quickly enough.
A Galaxy Research report shows that Meme coins' share of Solana trading volume has fallen from over 50% at the end of 2024 to 15%–20% in Q2 2026. In addition, SOL has declined nearly 20% year-to-date, and U.S.-listed spot and staked SOL ETFs recorded outflows for two consecutive weeks this month, totaling approximately $50 million. Meanwhile, Solana's share of on-chain perpetual contract trading volume has dropped from 17% to 6%. The Solana Foundation has reportedly issued a statement saying that Solana's transformation is underway, attempting to shift from a growth model reliant on Meme coins and speculative trading toward more mainstream financial applications such as stablecoins and tokenized assets, in a bid to win adoption from Wall Street institutions.However, with the crypto market downturn and the rise of competitors such as Hyperliquid, Solana faces challenges in transforming its growth model. Market analysts point out that the key to Solana's future lies in whether it can attract stable assets, developers, and users, rather than relying solely on speculative trading to drive growth. (Bloomberg)
Odaily reports: Prediction market platform Kalshi plans to launch exchange-traded futures contracts tracking the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and core CPI in December. It is pitching the products to major banks and hedge funds and has hired former Barclays trader Michael Ashton, known as "Mr. Inflation," to design the contracts and expand institutional clients. If launched, this would become a unique futures product directly tracking CPI, helping institutional investors hedge against inflation and Federal Reserve interest rate change risks, and further positioning Kalshi to enter the traditional derivatives market dominated by CME Group (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Kalshi has confirmed it is developing CPI futures but did not disclose specific launch details. (Bloomberg)
Odaily News: Nasdaq-listed company Lion Group Holding (NASDAQ: LGHL) announced an adjustment to its digital asset reserves, selling its entire SOL position and part of its BTC holdings on September 29, and using the proceeds to purchase an additional approximately 38,102 HYPE.Following this adjustment, Lion Group holds approximately 232,900 HYPE, valued at approximately $20.1 million. The company stated that this transaction did not involve selling its existing HYPE holdings, and its digital asset reserves are further concentrating toward HYPE. (The Wall Street Journal)
After the SEC approved a pilot program for tokenized stock trading, Wall Street investment bank analysts pointed out that due to high compliance costs and liquidity constraints, actual market demand for tokenized stocks remains very limited.
Odaily News: Positron, an AI chip startup focused on designing hardware that helps AI models run faster, said it has raised $875 million at a $5 billion valuation, with the company's value surging significantly over the past six months. The round was co-led by venture capital firms NEA, Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, Andra Capital, analyst Dylan Patel's SemiAnalysis Capital, and Netscape co-founder Jim Clark.Positron raised $230 million in its most recent funding round in February of this year at a $1 billion valuation. Positron said it has delivered approximately 50 Atlas server racks of its previous generation to Oracle, with other customers including financial firm Jump Trading and AI company Parasail. Positron is trying to gain an edge in the crowded chip industry by bringing its chips to market as quickly as possible. (The Wall Street Journal)
Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart tweeted a list of institutions holding shares in the HYPE spot ETF, including UBS Group, Bank of Montreal, and Jane Street. Wealth High Governance ranks first with 632,614 shares worth $23,948,236, followed by OLP Capital Management with a $10.5 million position in second place. UBS Group takes third with $7.5 million in holdings, while Bank of Montreal ranks fourth with $6.7 million, and Jane Street comes in fifth with $4.4 million.
Odaily News – Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart posted on X a list of institutions holding shares of the HYPE spot ETF. Among them, Wealth High Governance holds 632,614 shares, valued at $23,948,236, ranking first, while OLP Capital Management holds $10.5 million in shares, ranking second. UBS Group ranks third with $7.5 million in assets. Bank of Montreal ranks fourth with $6.7 million, and Jane Street ranks fifth with $4.4 million.
According to Cryptopolitan, Figure Technology Solutions officially completed its $717 million acquisition of U.S. residential real estate lending institution Kiavi on September 1. The transaction consists of two parts: Figure's acquisition of Kiavi's technology and operations platform, and the establishment of a joint venture with Sixth Street to take over the loan assets. The actual cash consideration paid by Figure was approximately $590 million, primarily financed through the issuance of $600 million in 8.5 percent senior notes maturing in 2031. Following the acquisition, Kiavi is expected to add over $7 billion in annual primary mortgage volume to Figure Connect, with more than $100 million flowing into Figure's on-chain lending platform, Democratized Prime, each month. Kiavi will also bring technological assets such as an AI-driven property valuation engine and automated document review capabilities, becoming the first deployment scenario for Adaptor, Figure's intelligent agent product. Kiavi CEO Arvind Mohan will step into the role of Chief Business Officer at Figure, overseeing platform integration efforts.
The U.S. SEC is investigating the near-collapse of AI hedge fund Situational Awareness and has issued subpoenas to related Wall Street banks. The fund previously managed over $30 billion in assets and was recently forced to liquidate its positions at a discount to Citadel due to market volatility.
Odaily News – After surging to a record high of nearly $5,600 earlier this year, gold prices faced a sharp sell-off. In the three months through June, gold posted its worst quarterly performance since 2013, but the current sustained rebound is quickly repairing this technical breakdown. Driven by a combination of factors, gold is poised to emerge from the shadows of its worst quarterly showing in a decade. Amid the two-way tug-of-war between long-term structural deficits and short-term pullbacks, Wall Street is anchoring its 12-month gold price target at $5,400.Despite the optimistic long-term structural outlook, several analysts warn that gold still faces significant macroeconomic headwinds and potential correction pressure in the near term. (CNBC)
Odaily News: Despite the S&P 500's strong gains this year and continued capital inflows, historic seasonal selling periods, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and emerging consumer weakness are prompting Wall Street strategists to issue密集 risk warnings.The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) fell sharply to 14.2 last Friday, marking its lowest level since 2026. The index, which measures expected market volatility over the next 30 days by tracking S&P 500 option prices, typically signals that market sentiment has settled into absolute calm when it declines. Jonathan Krinsky, Managing Director and Chief Market Technical Analyst at BTIG, noted that the performance of U.S. stocks in 2026 could be described as "unusual." Since last October, the market has not experienced an extreme single-day selloff where declining stocks accounted for as much as 80% of total volume.Quantitative trading giant Susquehanna described the current volatility reset as a "substantial" decline. The firm pointed out that cross-asset and geopolitical risks remain active, with two-month implied volatility slightly rebounding to 13.5%, approaching levels seen before the outbreak of the Iran conflict.Wall Street institutions generally view mid-August to mid-October as a historically turbulent period for the market. According to BTIG's statistical model, in every midterm election year since 1990, the equal-weighted S&P 500 has experienced at least a 7% drawdown from its average high on August 18 through mid-October.
Odaily News: Wall Street quantitative trading giant Jane Street suffered losses of approximately $15 billion in the July market selloff due to its investments in AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness and other tech stocks.Sources familiar with the matter revealed that despite the significant drawdown in July, Jane Street's trading revenue this year has already exceeded $40 billion, far surpassing global major banks and other market makers, and exceeding its full-year 2025 trading revenue of $39.6 billion.In an internal memo to employees, Jane Street confirmed that July was a "rough month" for the firm. The company stated that its investment in AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness, which had expanded positions due to strong performance in the first half of the year, experienced a sharp drawdown during the AI stock selloff, bringing returns on the related investment back to roughly breakeven for the year, though it remains profitable relative to the initial investment.Situational Awareness, founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, had drawn market attention for its heavy positions in AI-related stocks. After the sharp correction in the AI sector in July, the fund sold most of its stock positions to Citadel, owned by billionaire Ken Griffin, after triggering margin requirements.Jane Street noted that the losses also stemmed from its long positions in Asian non-AI stocks, which had performed strongly earlier this year. The company said many large memory and semiconductor stocks fell approximately 50% in July, causing drawdowns in its previously well-performing trading portfolio. (Reuters)
Crypto startups completed USD 11.2 billion in funding in the first half of 2026, with all disclosed capital flowing to regulated, licensed enterprises. Payments and stablecoins, prediction markets, exchanges, and trading platforms received the most funding. Major backers include Wall Street and large global financial institutions, whose investment focus is on licensed and compliant companies. Investors and founders increasingly view regulatory licenses as scarce and defensive assets, while retail investors still primarily trade on unlicensed or alternative platforms. (CoinDesk)
Odaily News: Goldman Sachs has disclosed the acquisition of ETF management firm NEOS Investments in a deal valued at up to $2.25 billion, which is expected to close in the first quarter of 2027 pending regulatory approval. The market views this move as a way for Goldman Sachs to quickly enter the Bitcoin yield ETF space, potentially putting it ahead of BlackRock in the Wall Street crypto asset competition.NEOS currently manages approximately $30 billion in assets, with its most notable product being the Bitcoin yield ETF BTCI (NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF), which holds about $1.1 billion in assets. The fund generates monthly income for investors by holding Bitcoin-related ETFs and selling call options, currently offering a distribution yield of approximately 27%.Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that by acquiring NEOS, Goldman Sachs gains BTCI, effectively bypassing the need to build a similar product from scratch and "beating" BlackRock's previously launched Bitcoin yield ETF product, BITA.Goldman Sachs' deal is seen by the market as a new phase in Wall Street's crypto asset positioning. Industry insiders believe that Bitcoin spot ETFs represent the "first phase," while active management products based on Bitcoin, such as yield enhancement and options strategies, will become the focus of competition in the next phase.However, BTCI's high yield comes with risks. The product does not directly hold Bitcoin but instead generates returns by selling call options on Bitcoin-related ETFs, potentially sacrificing some upside when the market rallies. Analysts note that BTCI's net asset value has fallen approximately 43% over the past year, and part of its high distribution yield may come from return of capital.BlackRock has already launched a competing product, BITA, but its current scale is approximately $59 million, significantly lower than BTCI's roughly $1.1 billion in assets. The market is watching whether Goldman Sachs will maintain BTCI's existing structure after the acquisition is completed and further expand its competitive advantage in the Bitcoin yield product market. (Forbes)
: Retail bearish sentiment has hit a new multi-year record, while institutional positioning lags even further behind. As U.S. equities face an unprecedented disconnect between fundamentals and capital flows, analysts predict a rare "Wall Street expectation gap" is now underway. Last week, the S&P 500 index posted a cumulative gain of 22% since late March and broke through the 7,700-point mark for the first time in history. As investors digested the latest batch of earnings reports, the benchmark index closed roughly flat on Monday.Strategists at 22V Research have observed a notable divergence between the AAII Bull-Bear Spread and the firm's proprietary economic data index, which tracks a range of U.S. macro data releases. According to the firm's model, the current valuation deviation implies that the S&P 500 will rise by 1.6%, 5.1%, and 7.8% over the next one, three, and six months, respectively.Dennis DeBusschere, President and Chief Market Strategist at 22V Research, wrote in a note to clients: "The current reading of investor sentiment relative to economic data suggests market returns will be above normal levels."Alastair Pinder, Global Equity Strategist at HSBC, also noted that the many macro concerns that have emerged over the past few weeks have indeed given investors ample reason to question the current stock market rally.
Odaily News: Part of hardware wallet manufacturer Coldcard's firmware had a random number generation vulnerability in 2021, causing some mnemonic phrases generated by the devices to carry predictable risks. The vulnerability was only discovered years later, and by then approximately 5,200 addresses and around 2,000 BTC had been stolen, with losses totaling about $130 million. Following the incident, some investors turned to Wall Street custody products. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $626 million within days of the event. ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that security incidents like this could further drive capital flows into ETFs. The Bitcoin core community continues to uphold the principle of self-custody. Casa co-founder Jameson Lopp said recent events should not weaken user confidence in self-custody, as third-party custody carries risks as well. Early Bitcoin Core developer Peter Todd stated that self-custody has a better long-term security track record than centralized institutions. Michael Tanguma, co-founder of Bitcoin custody platform Onramp, said both approaches have flaws: concentrating large amounts of assets in a single institution creates a "honey pot," while hardware wallets face risks related to supply chains, firmware, and random number generation. Michael Tanguma proposed a "multi-institution custody" approach, in which multiple regulated institutions each hold keys through a multi-signature mechanism, and any transaction requires joint signing by multiple institutions to reduce the risk of single points of failure. Critics argue that while multi-institution custody improves security, it also introduces permissioned management, which conflicts with the decentralized ideals Bitcoin originally pursued. As Bitcoin enters pension funds, trusts, and institutional asset allocation, the industry is seeking custody solutions suitable for long-term wealth management. How to strike a balance among security, decentralization, and usability remains a challenge facing the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Odaily News: U.S. July nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, significantly missing market expectations. Although seasonal factors and the fading of the World Cup dividend disrupted the data, this still notably weakens the Federal Reserve's momentum for a September rate hike, shifting market focus to next week's CPI.Despite the "dismal" surface data, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. This seemingly contradictory phenomenon is actually attributed to a cumulative 0.7 percentage point decline in the labor force participation rate since the beginning of the year.Analysts are divided in their interpretation of this "terrible" report. Thomas Ryan, Senior Economist at Capital Economics, stated bluntly that although the current weakness has not yet shown up in broader indicators, it is sufficient to prompt Fed officials to reassess the health of the labor market and reduce their willingness to further tighten monetary policy in the near term.In the face of this report, which Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, called "extremely terrible," the capital markets demonstrated typical contrarian logic. As traders bet that the rate hike process would stop here, U.S. stock futures rose accordingly, and Treasury yields collectively declined. According to data from CME Group's tools, the market-implied probability of a September rate hike has rapidly fallen from 55% on Thursday to 44%.
Odaily News: Cybersecurity company Cloudflare released its earnings report and raised its full-year profit outlook, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $1.25 to $1.26 for 2026, up from the previously estimated $1.19 to $1.20 and exceeding Wall Street analysts' expectations of $1.20.The company's second-quarter results also surpassed market expectations. Cloudflare stated that as AI applications expand rapidly, demand for network infrastructure and security services from enterprises continues to grow. CEO Matthew Prince noted that the internet is shifting toward AI answer engines and agent-driven business models, with machine-to-machine traffic reshaping the network ecosystem.In May this year, Cloudflare announced layoffs of approximately one-fifth of its workforce and advanced its AI agent-first strategy. The company's stock price has risen 44% year-to-date. (Bloomberg)