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Analysts Support Strategy Increasing Cash Holdings, Saylor Says No Longer "100% Allocating to Bitcoin" in the Future

Odaily News, Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor said at the company's Q2 earnings call that while the company has previously allocated nearly "100% of its funds to Bitcoin," it may adopt a combined strategy of holding both cash and BTC going forward. He stated, "Perhaps the best way to buy the most Bitcoin is not to buy the most Bitcoin immediately."TD Cowen and Benchmark both maintained their Buy ratings on Strategy following the Q2 earnings call. The two firms believe that the core goal of the company's current management has shifted toward bringing its STRC preferred stock price back to near par value, thereby restoring its ability to function as a financing tool.TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza said the most important takeaway from the call was management's strong focus on STRC. Company executives repeatedly emphasized that restoring STRC to par value is the core objective, and noted that despite recent price deviations in the security, institutional adoption continues to rise.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer holds a similar view. He pointed out that Saylor and his team spent most of the 90-minute call focused on the same goal: restoring STRC to the $99–$100 range, making it once again the primary engine for the company to raise capital and purchase Bitcoin.

Strategy states that MSTR's annualized return has reached 42% since adopting Bitcoin reserves, but its holdings remain at an unrealized loss of approximately $18 billion.

According to Bitcoin.com, Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated that since the company established Bitcoin as its primary reserve asset in August 2020, MSTR stock has achieved an annualized return of 42%, surpassing Bitcoin itself, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks, and the S&P 500 Index. As of July 29, Strategy holds 843,775 BTC, with a cumulative purchase cost of approximately $63.69 billion, and an average price of approximately $75,476 per coin, currently showing an unrealized loss of approximately 17.9% compared to the cost price (approximately $11.4 billion). To address the increasingly complex capital structure, Strategy launched three new metrics on July 24: Net BTC Per Share, BTC Hurdle ARR (minimum annualized return required to cover financing costs), and BTC Floor ARR (minimum annualized return required to maintain leverage ratio sustainability), to help investors more clearly assess the actual value of their Bitcoin holdings. Additionally, the company plans to provide funding for preferred stock repurchases through the future sale of a portion of its Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Treasury Companies Shift Strategy: Selling BTC, Repaying Debt, and Betting on AI as Stock Plunges Force Strategic Pivot

Odaily News As Bitcoin prices have experienced a significant correction, publicly listed companies that had accumulated large BTC holdings are facing multiple challenges, including falling stock prices, debt pressures, and a deteriorating financing environment. Some of these companies are now starting to sell Bitcoin, repay debts, and even pivot towards artificial intelligence (AI) data center operations.Strategy pioneered the "Digital Asset Treasury (DAT)" model, continuously purchasing Bitcoin through financing and borrowing, inspiring a wave of other listed companies to follow suit. However, as the BTC price has fallen approximately 50% from its peak of around $126,000 in October 2025, the stock prices of related companies have also shrunk significantly, forcing them to reassess their BTC accumulation strategies.This week, shareholders of London-listed company Satsuma Technology approved the liquidation of all 668 BTC, returning capital to shareholders, while proceeding with delisting. Another London-listed company, The Smarter Web Company, sold 178 BTC to repay its convertible debt.Additionally, Sequans Communications has sold 1,025 BTC and further sold nearly 80% of its remaining holdings to repay convertible bonds. The company stated it will not continue purchasing Bitcoin in the future and plans to sell the remaining approximately 658 BTC.Nakamoto's stock price has fallen approximately 99% since its SPAC listing in May 2025. The company recently sold about 284 BTC, raising approximately $20 million for working capital. Of its remaining approximately 5,342 BTC, nearly 70% has been pledged as collateral for loans from Kraken, which market observers believe poses a potential risk event.Meanwhile, Bitcoin mining companies are also adjusting their strategies. Companies like Bitdeer Technologies and MARA Holdings are selling portions of their BTC to repurchase shares, repay debts, and redirect energy resources and computing infrastructure towards AI data center operations.Other companies selling BTC include Empery Digital. Data shows that Strategy has recently sold approximately 3,620 BTC and has authorized further asset sales to maintain its U.S. dollar reserves.However, Strategy remains the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with holdings exceeding 840,000 BTC. The company's CEO, Michael Saylor, stated that while it may sell some Bitcoin in the future to pay dividends, this does not mean the company is exiting its Bitcoin investment.Beyond asset adjustments, management and capital operations at some Bitcoin treasury companies are also changing. Jack Mallers has stepped down as CEO; and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), affiliated with Adam Back, failed to complete a proposed merger due to the deteriorating market environment.Analysts believe that with rising financing costs and increased BTC price volatility, the "borrowing to buy Bitcoin" treasury model is undergoing a reshuffle. Some companies are shifting from simply hoard

Flow Traders Pilots Lombard Bitcoin Credit Lending Solution to Support Stablecoin Financing with BTC

: Bitcoin financial product platform Lombard Finance has announced the launch of the Bitcoin Onchain Credit Strategy, with global trading firm Flow Traders as the first pilot partner. Under this solution, Flow Traders can borrow stablecoins for market making without providing on-chain collateral. Its collateral security is provided by Bitcoin deposited in the Lombard Bitcoin Earn yield product, and underwriting is completed through the Cap private credit platform. (The Block)

QCP:表象与基本面背离,市场等待重新定价

QCP Capital 发布报告指出,本周市场最明显的特征是“分歧”:在原油、利率、中国经济和加密货币资金面等领域,表面叙事与底层基本面出现明显背离。加密货币方面,Strategy 调整了融资路径,通过股权融资提升美元储备,而未动用其比特币持仓。

South Korea to Push for Blockchain-Based Treasury Tokenization Pilot and Launch Three National Projects in Semiconductors, AI, etc.

the South Korean government has announced the "2026 H2 Economic Growth Strategy," declaring it will accelerate three major "super projects" in semiconductors, AI data centers, and embodied AI. It also plans to enhance industrial competitiveness through blockchain and digital asset ecosystem development. According to the plan, South Korea aims to double its memory chip production capacity over the next five years and launch an AI chatbot for all citizens and a unified AI education platform in the second half of this year.Notably, the South Korean government proposed advancing large-scale demonstration projects for the blockchain and digital asset ecosystem in the second half of this year. It also intends to launch a blockchain-based pilot for tokenizing government bonds, exploring linkages with the Bank of Korea's institutional CBDC to drive financial infrastructure upgrades. Additionally, South Korea plans to establish strategic investment accounts and a national growth fund to expand long-term capital support for strategic industries such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, security, and blockchain. (Etoday)

Strategy Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index: Fidelity Leads at 71%, BNY and Goldman Sachs Rank Second and Third

Strategy's newly launched Bitcoin Banking Adoption Index shows Fidelity leading at 71%, followed by BNY at 46% in second place, and Goldman Sachs at 45% in third. JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup each stand at 43%. The index evaluates the adoption of Bitcoin-related services across trading, custody, digital asset products, financing, and corporate participation among 25 major global institutions, with an overall adoption rate of 32%.The remaining institutions scored between 13% and 38%, with Wells Fargo at 38%, Banco Santander and Société Générale both at 35%, Charles Schwab and TD Bank both at 32%, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Crédit Agricole, and UBS each at 30%, Bank of America, Barclays, and Standard Chartered each at 28%, State Street at 27%, Mizuho and Deutsche Bank both at 22%, MUFG at 18%, Lloyd’s at 17%, and SMBC and Royal Bank of Canada both at 13% (Bitcoin.com News).

Opinion: Strategy Goes One Week Without Buying BTC; Analysts Say It Shows Stronger Balance Sheet Discipline

Odaily Strategy sold nearly $467 million worth of MSTR common stock last week but did not increase its Bitcoin holdings. Analysts believe this indicates that the company is implementing its recently proposed Digital Credit Capital Framework and beginning to prioritize strengthening its balance sheet, rather than solely pursuing short-term BTC accumulation.According to the latest filings, Strategy has increased its U.S. dollar cash reserves to $3 billion, while its Bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at 843,775 BTC. Both Benchmark and TD Cowen believe this move strengthens the company's balance sheet and helps boost market confidence in its preferred equity financing model.TD Cowen reiterated its "Buy" rating and $260 price target for Strategy stock, stating that this operation is an early signal of management executing the new capital allocation framework. The firm noted that Strategy's choice to expand dollar reserves and pause Bitcoin purchases demonstrates a greater emphasis on balance sheet discipline rather than maximizing short-term BTC accumulation.Benchmark also maintained its "Buy" rating with a $570 price target. On Monday, Strategy's stock price traded at approximately $91.50, near its long-term low. Overall, analysts believe that amid pressure on preferred equity financing tools like STRC and market focus on dividend coverage capacity, Strategy's increase in cash reserves may help alleviate investor concerns regarding a forced sale of BTC.

Bitcoin bear market's three main causes revealed, but the industry expects a potential rebound to $100,000 by year-end

Odaily Bitcoin has been declining since October last year, with its current price hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, indicating the market remains in a deep bear phase. Multiple industry analysts believe the current pressure on Bitcoin stems primarily from three factors: the four-year cycle, macroeconomic inflationary pressures, and market leverage liquidations.Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin's long-standing "four-year cycle" continues to influence investor psychology. Historically, Bitcoin typically undergoes approximately three years of an upward cycle followed by a one-year correction period. Investors have developed cyclical expectations and began reducing some long-term holdings towards the end of 2025.Additionally, the macroeconomic environment is a significant drag on Bitcoin. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, pointed out that rising inflationary pressures in the US have weakened market expectations for interest rate cuts. Investors are shifting towards higher-yielding traditional assets, leading to capital outflows from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The short-term bottom is estimated to be around $58,000, with future trends still influenced by interest rate policies, corporate Bitcoin buying behavior, and progress in US crypto regulatory legislation.Excessive market leverage has also exacerbated this correction. As a large number of investors expanded their Bitcoin exposure through borrowing and financing during the bull market, derivatives open interest has declined as the market weakened. Digital asset treasury companies have also come under pressure. Strategy's stock price has fallen approximately 75% since October last year, and its previously promoted model of corporate Bitcoin accumulation is facing renewed market scrutiny.However, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects. Adrian Fritz, Chief Investment Strategist at 21Shares, predicts that Bitcoin may bottom out this summer, rebound after interest rates shift towards easing and geopolitical conflicts ease, with a year-end price target of $100,000. (Fortune)

Strategy Raises $466 Million via ATM Plan, BTC Holdings Unchanged Last Week

During the week ended July 12, Strategy sold approximately 4.82 million shares of MSTR stock through an ATM (at-the-market) program, raising net proceeds of approximately $466.7 million. During the same period, Strategy did not make any Bitcoin purchases, with holdings remaining unchanged at 843,775 BTC.

Standard Chartered Maintains Bitcoin $100,000 Target: Strategy's BTC Sales Not a Sign of Risk Deterioration

Standard Chartered stated that it maintains its Bitcoin price prediction of reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026, believing that the recent market decline triggered by Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy) related activities is not due to a deterioration in the company's balance sheet, but rather a strategic adjustment that the market has not fully understood.Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, noted in a report that Strategy's recent behavior is disrupting short-term market expectations for Bitcoin. The market had previously accepted the company's narrative of "never selling Bitcoin," but now Strategy appears to be shifting towards a more complex capital operation model. How clearly the company can communicate this change will determine when market pressure eases.Currently, Strategy holds 843,775 Bitcoins, representing approximately over 4% of the total 21 million Bitcoin supply. From 2020 to mid-2025, Strategy's mNAV (Market Value of Enterprise / Bitcoin Asset Value) was consistently above 1, allowing the company to raise funds through stock issuances to purchase Bitcoin and achieve shareholder value growth. The commitment to "never selling Bitcoin" was central to this model gaining market acceptance. However, with the current mNAV approaching 1, the leverage effect of this financing model is weakening.Kendrick believes Strategy is transitioning from a "Bitcoin accumulation tool" to a "Bitcoin credit support tool." This involves using its Bitcoin holdings as the credit basis for its perpetual preferred stock, STRC. Currently sized at approximately $10 billion, STRC is the largest financial instrument launched by Strategy, offering an annualized dividend rate of 12%, paid semi-monthly in cash, and is designed to maintain a price near its $100 par value through interest rate adjustment mechanisms.Standard Chartered indicated that STRC is currently trading around $90, while Strategy's dollar reserve for paying dividends stands at approximately $2.55 billion, covering an estimated 17.4 months of dividend expenses.Kendrick stated that Strategy's policy adjustment allowing for Bitcoin sales does not necessarily mean the company will continuously sell. He believes that as long as the market believes the new capital structure arrangement can stabilize the STRC price, Strategy may not actually need to sell Bitcoin. He compared this mechanism to a central bank's commitment to "do whatever it takes": mere restoration of market confidence may mean actual intervention never occurs. (The Block)

JPMorgan: Bitcoin's Biggest Risk Is Not MicroStrategy Selling Pressure, But Blockchain Adoption Bypassing Public Chains

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out in their latest report that although Strategy's Bitcoin selling plan has triggered market attention, it is not the core risk facing Bitcoin. The real structural threat lies in the fact that blockchain applications such as tokenization, payments, and settlements are increasingly occurring on permissioned chains (Permissioned Blockchain), rather than on public chains such as Ethereum. If this trend continues, the public chain ecosystem will face issues such as declining liquidity and weakened capital inflows, ultimately dragging down Bitcoin valuations. The analysts also warned that the proliferation of bank-built blockchain infrastructure and tokenized deposits could undermine the position of stablecoins in institutional payments; regulated alternatives such as SWIFT's blockchain plan, the digital euro, and the digital yuan also constitute competitive pressure. However, the analysts also pointed out that if hybrid public-private chain models emerge, stablecoin regulation becomes clearer, or Bitcoin continues to be held as "digital gold", the aforementioned risks may be mitigated.

Grayscale: Strategy Selling Part of Bitcoin May Help Reduce Financing Risk and Enhance Price Stability

Grayscale Research stated that Strategy sold a portion of Bitcoin last week, which may help reduce financing risk and support Bitcoin price stability. This sale of approximately $216 million increased its USD reserves, expected to cover dividend payment needs for approximately 17 months. Meanwhile, the STRC price rebounded, indicating investors reacted relatively positively to this decision.

Cantor Fitzgerald: Bullish on MSTR and BTC Correlation Recovery, STRC Key to Restarting Capital Engine

Wall Street investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald stated that the key to Strategy restarting its capital expansion cycle lies in restoring its preferred stock STRC back to the $100 par value level. The bank pointed out that repairing the STRC price is a core prerequisite for restarting the company's Bitcoin accumulation "capital engine" and will help stabilize the overall capital structure.After a meeting with Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, Cantor Fitzgerald expressed increased confidence in management's plans to stabilize the balance sheet and restore financing capabilities. In the current market, STRC is trading at approximately $87.79, Strategy's stock price fell 3.4% to $97.34, while Bitcoin is trading around $61,800.Cantor believes that STRC is the foundational tool of Strategy's financing system, and its repair will drive benefits for both preferred and common shares, further enhancing the company's ability to continue accumulating Bitcoin. Currently, Strategy has raised approximately $216 million through Bitcoin sales to fund preferred stock dividends and is expected to continue increasing its cash reserves to support dividend stability. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Strategy Capital Restructuring Alleviates Short-Term Liquidity Pressure, But Structural Risks Remain

Odaily Odaily News, Galaxy Research Head Alex Thorn stated that the capital management reforms recently launched by Michael Saylor's Strategy (MSTR) have effectively eased market concerns over its liquidity and preferred stock system pressure in the short term. However, he noted these measures are more about "buying time" rather than fundamentally resolving structural issues.Over the past few weeks, Strategy has faced pressure on its "Digital Credit" preferred stock system. Its STRC ("Stretch" preferred shares) fell below par value, hitting a low of approximately $71.25, raising market concerns about Bitcoin price declines, shrinking dollar reserves, and the company's ability to pay preferred stock dividends. Subsequently, market discussions focused on three stress scenarios: selling Bitcoin, issuing additional MSTR shares (diluting existing shareholders), or cutting/suspending preferred stock dividends.In response, Strategy announced a comprehensive capital management restructuring on Monday, introducing a "Digital Credit Capital Framework." This includes five key tools: a board-approved dollar reserve policy, an adjustment to the STRC dividend mechanism, a $1 billion preferred stock buyback authorization, a $1 billion MSTR common stock buyback authorization, and a Bitcoin monetization mechanism. Concurrently, the company increased the annualized dividend rate on STRC from 11.5% to 12%.The market reacted positively, with both MSTR and STRC seeing significant gains that day, and Bitcoin also rebounded alongside.Alex Thorn pointed out that this adjustment has improved market sentiment in the short term, extending Strategy's cash coverage cycle to approximately 17 months and enhancing its capital buffer through new financing. However, the company still faces approximately $6.7 billion in convertible bond maturities during 2027-2028, meaning long-term structural risks persist. The core issue is not whether Strategy holds enough Bitcoin (approximately 847,000 BTC), but rather that its dollar liquidity is insufficient to cover preferred stock and capital structure obligations without harming the interests of any party, leading to a squeeze between different classes of shareholders.Nonetheless, the key significance of this adjustment lies in enhancing the "optionality" of the company's capital tools. It shifts Strategy from a single-direction Bitcoin accumulation strategy towards a more proactive asset-liability management model, thereby preventing short-term liquidity issues from evolving into a systemic crisis. Although the current Bitcoin market environment is relatively weak and may not have bottomed out yet, Strategy's new framework has, to some extent, bought the company a window of time to wait for more favorable market conditions.

JPMorgan Warns Strategy Financing Reform Introduces Two-Way Flow Risk into Bitcoin Market

According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan released a research report stating that the financing model reform of Michael Saylor's Strategy Inc. has changed Bitcoin market dynamics—the company selectively sells Bitcoin to pay preferred stock dividends and manage its balance sheet, transforming it from one of the largest buyers in the Bitcoin market to a potential seller, introducing "avoidable" two-way flow risk to the market. JPMorgan believes that Strategy needs to hold liquidity reserves sufficient to cover dividend payments for the next two to three years to eliminate market concerns about the forced liquidation of its Bitcoin holdings.

Hamilton Lane's Equity Strategy Fund Completes $3.8 Billion Fundraise

global private market investment management giant Hamilton Lane has announced that its direct equity strategy fund, Hamilton Lane Equity Opportunities Fund VI (EO VI), has completed a $3.8 billion fundraise. This amount exceeds the $2.1 billion raised for the previous fund. Participating investors include a diverse range of institutions such as public pensions, sovereign wealth funds, union pensions, endowments, foundations, and family offices. The fund will provide investors with diversified investment exposure.Hamilton Lane already has a presence in the crypto space. In March of this year, it made a strategic investment in the on-chain investment platform Republic. Additionally, its senior credit opportunity securitization fund, HLSCOPE, has approximately $9 million in total asset value on the Polygon network, primarily investing in senior secured private credit and senior secured loans in North America and Europe. (Bloomberg)

Strategy plans to raise STRC dividends to 12% and authorize Bitcoin sales

: UK investment advisor Farside Investors stated that Strategy's STRC preferred product carries structural risks related to adjustable coupon rates and price stabilization mechanisms. STRC is primarily issued at around $100, with a mechanism designed to increase dividends when the price falls below $100 and decrease dividends when the price rises above $100, in order to guide the market price back to that level. Farside Investors noted that if investor concerns over Strategy's credit risk intensify, the STRC price could decline. Raising dividends to support the price would increase cash pressure and further undermine investor confidence in the security's valuation. STRC recently traded at around $75 before rebounding to $86. Strategy has launched the Digital Credit Capital Framework, which plans to establish a U.S. dollar reserve, raise STRC dividends to 12%, repurchase preferred securities at a discount, and authorize the sale of Bitcoin to help cover dividend payments and reserve funding.

TD Cowen Lowers Strategy Price Target to $260, Maintains Buy Rating

Odaily Wall Street investment bank TD Cowen has lowered its price target for Bitcoin treasury company Strategy (STRC) from $400 to $260, a reduction of approximately 35%, while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The firm noted that the company's newly launched digital credit capital framework is constructive, with continuous improvements in credit transparency and capital flexibility.Analysts explained that this valuation adjustment is unrelated to the new capital framework, but is primarily driven by lowered Bitcoin price expectations: the BTC price forecast for end-2026 has been reduced from $140,000 to $100,000, and the end-2027 forecast from $190,000 to $135,000. Even after the adjustment, the $260 price target still implies over 200% upside from the closing price of $92.68. The investment bank also acknowledged that this valuation differential appears relatively high.On the capital front, Strategy has rebuilt $2.55 billion in USD reserves. Last week's issuance of 12 million common shares was not used to increase Bitcoin holdings. Existing cash can cover more than 17 months of interest and preferred stock dividends, and combined with BTC monetization capacity, can cover 26 months of expenses. The company has received approval for $1 billion in common stock buybacks and $1 billion in preferred stock buybacks, marking a shift from one-way equity issuance to proactive capital structure optimization. The $1.25 billion in Bitcoin monetization proceeds will replenish cash reserves, while the preferred stock dividend rate has been raised from 11.5% to 12%, alleviating the previously significant 26% discount issue. (TheBlock)

Azerbaijan Plans to Introduce Crypto Market Regulatory Law This Year, Requiring Companies to Operate with a License

According to Bits.media, Fidan Tofidi, Director of the Financial Technology and Innovation Department of the Central Bank of Azerbaijan, stated that the country's Virtual Asset Market Regulation Bill has been drafted and submitted for deliberation, and is expected to be formally enacted within the year. The bill requires all companies engaged in crypto asset business to obtain a license issued by the central bank, prohibits unauthorized operations within the territory, and subjects licensed institutions to ongoing supervision. The regulatory framework will cover compliance requirements such as anti-money laundering, counter-terrorist financing, and customer identification (KYC), and will be incorporated into Azerbaijan's 2027—2030 Financial Market Development Strategy.