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Sentiment is a DeFi protocol designed to unlock capital efficiency through innovative liquidity markets. It offers a unique approach for lenders and borrowers to maximize the utility of their capital. Sentiment enables borrowing of up to 500% LTV through delegated ownership accounts, mitigating solvency risk for lenders and maximizing capital efficiency for borrowers in a non-custodial and trustless manner.
Defensive Sentiment Intensifies in the Options Market: Nearly 40% of Trades Are Put Options, Major Spread Position Amounts to Approximately $200 Million
Odaily News, Greeks.live analyzed on X platform that today, Bitcoin Put block trades accounted for nearly 40% of the total volume. The concentrated trades were bear put spreads for end-of-May, involving $75,000/$71,000 strikes, with a total notional value of nearly $200 million. Investors are leveraging the rebound to build defensive positions for the last ten days of the month.Overall, the market leans towards hedging against a pullback but does not anticipate a crash. May and June have traditionally been considered unfavorable months for the market. This month, major investors have been consistently increasing their defensive positions: buying effective protection, selling tail risk financing, and controlling costs.
Forbes Criticizes Eric Trump’s Bitcoin Company as an Arbitrage Tool Exploiting MAGA Investor Sentiment
According to Forbes, Eric Trump, the second son of Donald Trump, promoted his Bitcoin company American Bitcoin as a “money-printing machine,” but it is in fact an arbitrage tool exploiting MAGA investors’ sentiment. The company attracted investors through exaggerated marketing, leveraged the premium associated with the Trump brand to issue shares at inflated valuations, raised cash, and then used the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin—while ordinary investors suffered heavy losses. Since its listing in September, the company has sold approximately 158 million shares, raising roughly $351 million, and used those funds to buy approximately $390 million worth of Bitcoin. The company claims its mining cost is around $58,000 per Bitcoin, but when equipment depreciation and other expenses are included, its total cost per Bitcoin reaches approximately $90,000—higher than Bitcoin’s current market price. The company faces risks from its mining-rig financing agreements: if Bitcoin’s price does not rebound, all the Bitcoin it mines may be used to repay equipment vendors. The company employs only two full-time staff members; its stock price has plunged 92% from its peak, and investor losses are estimated at around $500 million. Eric Trump’s personal wealth increased from approximately $190 million to $280 million. In response, Eric Trump posted on X, calling Forbes “a political weapon and a disgrace to journalism.” He stated that American Bitcoin was founded just over a year ago and has been publicly listed for 7 months and 25 days. It currently holds over 7,000 Bitcoins, ranks as the world’s 16th-largest publicly traded Bitcoin company, and operates nearly 90,000 mining rigs.
The proportion of bearish US stock investors has risen to 47.7%, approaching the year's high of 52%
According to the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey data, the proportion of bearish investors has surged to 47.7% over the past week, approaching the year's high of 52% (March 18), well above the historical average of 31%.The AAII Sentiment Survey gauges the opinions of individual investors by asking them their views on market direction over the next six months and has been conducted continuously since 1987.
Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week | U.S.-Iran Tensions Reach a Critical Juncture; Nonfarm Payrolls Data Unlikely to Break Gold’s Stalemate
According to JIN10, U.S. President Trump criticized Tehran’s leadership for lacking unity, which he said is hindering agreement on ending the nine-week conflict that has triggered a global energy crisis. He stated that “Iran’s requests are ones I cannot accept,” though some traders interpreted this as a negotiating tactic rather than an abandonment of peace efforts. Investors will be watching for a new batch of U.S. corporate earnings reports and U.S. employment data. Below are the key market focus points for the coming week: Tuesday, 00:50: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Tuesday, 22:00: U.S. April ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and U.S. March JOLTS Job Openings; Wednesday, 20:15: U.S. April ADP Employment Change; Wednesday, 21:30: Alberto Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and an FOMC voter in 2028, speaks on the economic outlook and monetary policy; Thursday, 01:00: Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and an FOMC voter in 2027, participates in a panel discussion at a conference; Thursday, 19:30: U.S. April Challenger Job Cuts; Friday, 02:05: Loretta Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and an FOMC voter in 2026, delivers a speech; Friday, 03:30: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Friday, 22:00: U.S. May one-year inflation expectation (preliminary), U.S. May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary), and U.S. March wholesale sales (month-on-month). Forecasters expect the April nonfarm payrolls report—due next Friday—to show solid job growth.
CryptoQuant Analyst: Temporary Shift Toward Neutral Global Risk Appetite, Coupled with SpaceX IPO, Eases Market Sentiment
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X that the current Global Risk On/Off indicator is neutral. Recent signs of de-escalation in the conflict—potentially linked to statements by relevant leaders—and growing market expectations around SpaceX’s IPO are influencing investor sentiment. It is reported that approximately 372 oil tankers remain stranded in the Persian Gulf, carrying roughly 26 million tons of hydrocarbons. This situation may continue to affect global energy supply expectations and serve as a key variable for market risk sentiment. Currently, risk assets remain in a phase shaped by multiple overlapping factors—including geopolitical developments, shifts in liquidity, and capital market events involving major tech companies—while investors await clearer directional signals.
Analysis: Bitcoin Drops Near $72,000 as Institutional Funds Flow Out Consecutively, Weighing on Market Sentiment
According to The Block, Bitcoin fell nearly to $72,000 on Monday. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $2.97 billion. For the week ending May 25–29, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw weekly outflows of $1.42 billion, while global cryptocurrency ETPs recorded $1.67 billion in outflows during the same period.
Wintermute: Institutional Buying Dries Up, Crypto Market Diverges from Stock Market
Wintermute stated that, as of May 25, BTC was trading at approximately $76,600 (down 1.5% weekly), while ETH traded at around $2,140 (down 1.7% weekly). Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market’s S&P 500 Index hit a new all-time high during the same period—highlighting a pronounced divergence between crypto and equities. BTC spot ETFs saw outflows of roughly $1.26 billion for the week, bringing cumulative outflows over two weeks to over $2 billion. Institutional buying—previously instrumental in driving BTC from $70,000 to $80,000—has clearly receded. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a fresh 10-month low, down 35% cumulatively from its August peak. On the macro front, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic low of 44.8, while the one-year inflation expectation rose to 4.8%. NVIDIA reported Q1 revenue growth of 85% year-on-year and issued a Q2 revenue guidance of $91 billion—but saw virtually no after-hours reaction, suggesting AI-related trades are already fully priced in. Wintermute noted that BTC’s key support currently lies between $75,000 and $76,000; holding this range could enable a retest of $80,000, whereas a break below would rapidly open the $70,000–$72,000 zone. The near-term direction hinges on whether institutional capital returns to the market.
10x Research: Bitcoin ETF Net Outflows Exceed $1 Billion Post-CPI, "Inflation Trade" Sentiment Reheats
crypto research firm 10x Research stated that since the release of US CPI data on May 13th, Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net outflows exceeding $1 billion, reigniting "inflation trade" sentiment in the market. Market sentiment indicators have dropped from 87% to 45%. Meanwhile, long-term US Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 30-year yield rising to 5.12%. As inflation returns to the forefront of market focus, the crypto market is facing significant headwinds.Furthermore, 10x Research noted that its models have triggered bearish signals for Ethereum, and Bitcoin is currently testing the key support level of its 30-day moving average. A confirmed breakdown below this level could signal further momentum deterioration. The firm is closely watching the short-term bull/bear line at $79,125 and the major support level at $76,922, suggesting that the bottom for this cycle may have already formed.
Analysis: Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000 After Hitting High, ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Risks Weigh on Market Sentiment
Bitcoin has fallen below the $80,000 mark, ending a five-day streak of net inflows into spot ETFs, with the market's rebound momentum from the February low showing signs of cooling.The US added 115,000 non-farm payroll jobs in April, surpassing the expected 62,000, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%. Although the data was relatively strong, it did not significantly alleviate market concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty. Instead, it reinforced the expectation that "energy-driven inflation limits the scope for rate cuts."In terms of capital flows, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $277 million on Thursday, ending a cumulative inflow streak of $1.69 billion. Ethereum ETFs also recorded net outflows of $104 million on the same day, indicating a short-term cooling in institutional risk appetite.On the geopolitical front, tensions between Iran and the US have reignited, prompting the market to reprice the risk associated with the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil prices have rebounded, partially offsetting the previous support that risk assets had gained from falling oil prices.The derivatives market, meanwhile, reflects a more prolonged hawkish outlook. Interest rate futures pricing suggests over a 50% probability of rate hikes persisting beyond 2027, pushing the potential easing cycle back to 2028.On-chain data shows that the recent Bitcoin rally was primarily driven by institutional spot buying and short covering, with retail participation remaining low. Funding rates have stayed moderate, indicating a relatively weak market momentum structure. Analysts suggest that if retail capital does not return, BTC may still face the risk of retesting the $75,000–$78,000 support range. (The Block)
Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week | U.S.-Iran Tensions Reach a Critical Juncture; Nonfarm Payrolls Data Unlikely to Break Gold’s Stalemate
According to JIN10, U.S. President Trump criticized Tehran’s leadership for lacking unity, which he said is hindering agreement on ending the nine-week conflict that has triggered a global energy crisis. He stated that “Iran’s requests are ones I cannot accept,” though some traders interpreted this as a negotiating tactic rather than an abandonment of peace efforts. Investors will be watching for a new batch of U.S. corporate earnings reports and U.S. employment data. Below are the key market focus points for the coming week: Tuesday, 00:50: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Tuesday, 22:00: U.S. April ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and U.S. March JOLTS Job Openings; Wednesday, 20:15: U.S. April ADP Employment Change; Wednesday, 21:30: Alberto Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and an FOMC voter in 2028, speaks on the economic outlook and monetary policy; Thursday, 01:00: Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and an FOMC voter in 2027, participates in a panel discussion at a conference; Thursday, 19:30: U.S. April Challenger Job Cuts; Friday, 02:05: Loretta Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and an FOMC voter in 2026, delivers a speech; Friday, 03:30: John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the FOMC, delivers a speech; Friday, 22:00: U.S. May one-year inflation expectation (preliminary), U.S. May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary), and U.S. March wholesale sales (month-on-month). Forecasters expect the April nonfarm payrolls report—due next Friday—to show solid job growth.
Santiment: BTC Social Sentiment Bullish Ratio Hits Four-Month High
According to on-chain data platform Santiment (@SantimentData), as Bitcoin’s price reclaimed the $80,000 level, the ratio of bullish-to-bearish comments on social media rose to 1.37:1.00—the highest in nearly four months—signaling a notable surge in market optimism. However, Santiment cautions that historically, sharp increases in bullish sentiment often serve as warning signs rather than buy signals. When retail FOMO dominates social media discussions, traders tend to enter positions late in the trend, raising the likelihood of local tops, profit-taking, and sudden price volatility. Santiment notes that peak market euphoria frequently coincides with the onset of waning momentum. By comparison, following the Kelp DAO vulnerability incident in mid-April, social sentiment plunged into deeply bearish territory; the exit of “weak-handed investors” instead laid a healthier foundation for the current rally. With sentiment now having reversed dramatically, Santiment advises traders to remain vigilant against potential risks stemming from excessive leverage and overly concentrated positions.
QCP: BTC Monthly Gain Exceeds 14%; Geopolitical and Security Incidents Disrupt Market Sentiment
QCP Group’s analysis states that U.S.-Iran negotiations have once again collapsed, while the Middle East ceasefire continues, leaving the overall geopolitical landscape relatively static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, with Trump suspected as the target. Following Asia’s market open, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH above $2,400—but gains quickly reversed amid concerns triggered by news of Iran’s Foreign Minister traveling to Russia for talks with Putin. Since early April, BTC has rallied over 14% cumulatively, marking four consecutive weeks of positive closes. Spot ETFs recorded nine straight days of net inflows totaling approximately $2.11 billion. Strategy funds added over $3.8 billion worth of BTC in the past month. The current key resistance level for BTC lies near the CME gap around $82,000. BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain persistently negative; a breakout above this level could trigger short-covering. Implied volatility continues declining, and risk-reversal skew has narrowed somewhat, signaling gradually rising market interest in upside exposure. Key events this week: - April 29: Earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, plus the FOMC interest-rate decision. - April 30: Apple earnings report, U.S. Q1 GDP data, and March PCE inflation data.
Bybit Releases Latest Options Weekly Report (May 26–June 2): BTC Forms a Head-and-Shoulders Pattern; Extreme Sentiment in U.S. Equities Hides Herd-Risk
Bybit’s latest options weekly report states that last week’s core resistance level of $78,000 was fully tested; BTC surged but then faced strong resistance and underwent a sharp correction. Technically, BTC has formed a bearish head-and-shoulders reversal pattern, with the neckline located between $73,500 and $74,000. A confirmed breakdown below this neckline would set an intermediate target of $65,000–$67,000, while $74,000 has become the new key resistance level.
OKX Agent Trade Kit Launches "Smart Money Signal Suite," Opening Trader Data Capabilities
according to official sources, OKX Agent Trade Kit has launched the "Smart Money Signal Suite," which integrates the real-time positions, win rates, and profit/loss data of over 1,000 popular traders from OKX Star and packages them as signal tools callable by AI Agents. This suite supports long/short market analysis and allows for multi-dimensional analysis including capital weighting, trader screening, and signal quality evaluation. Additionally, the system can track trend changes and sentiment shifts, providing auxiliary support for trading decisions. These features have been integrated into the Agent Trade Kit, and users can access them after upgrading to the latest version.It is reported that OKX Agent Trade Kit is an open-source exchange MCP toolset designed for AI Agents and professional traders. It previously launched suites such as "Skill Square," "Market Screening and Open Interest Analysis," and "Sentiment Radar."
Related news
CryptoQuant Analyst: Temporary Shift Toward Neutral Global Risk Appetite, Coupled with SpaceX IPO, Eases Market Sentiment
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated on X that the current Global Risk On/Off indicator is neutral. Recent signs of de-escalation in the conflict—potentially linked to statements by relevant leaders—and growing market expectations around SpaceX’s IPO are influencing investor sentiment. It is reported that approximately 372 oil tankers remain stranded in the Persian Gulf, carrying roughly 26 million tons of hydrocarbons. This situation may continue to affect global energy supply expectations and serve as a key variable for market risk sentiment. Currently, risk assets remain in a phase shaped by multiple overlapping factors—including geopolitical developments, shifts in liquidity, and capital market events involving major tech companies—while investors await clearer directional signals.
The proportion of bearish US stock investors has risen to 47.7%, approaching the year's high of 52%
According to the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey data, the proportion of bearish investors has surged to 47.7% over the past week, approaching the year's high of 52% (March 18), well above the historical average of 31%.The AAII Sentiment Survey gauges the opinions of individual investors by asking them their views on market direction over the next six months and has been conducted continuously since 1987.
Bybit Releases Latest Options Weekly Report (May 26–June 2): BTC Forms a Head-and-Shoulders Pattern; Extreme Sentiment in U.S. Equities Hides Herd-Risk
Bybit’s latest options weekly report states that last week’s core resistance level of $78,000 was fully tested; BTC surged but then faced strong resistance and underwent a sharp correction. Technically, BTC has formed a bearish head-and-shoulders reversal pattern, with the neckline located between $73,500 and $74,000. A confirmed breakdown below this neckline would set an intermediate target of $65,000–$67,000, while $74,000 has become the new key resistance level.
Analysis: Bitcoin Drops Near $72,000 as Institutional Funds Flow Out Consecutively, Weighing on Market Sentiment
According to The Block, Bitcoin fell nearly to $72,000 on Monday. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, totaling approximately $2.97 billion. For the week ending May 25–29, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw weekly outflows of $1.42 billion, while global cryptocurrency ETPs recorded $1.67 billion in outflows during the same period.
Wintermute: Institutional Buying Dries Up, Crypto Market Diverges from Stock Market
Wintermute stated that, as of May 25, BTC was trading at approximately $76,600 (down 1.5% weekly), while ETH traded at around $2,140 (down 1.7% weekly). Meanwhile, the U.S. equity market’s S&P 500 Index hit a new all-time high during the same period—highlighting a pronounced divergence between crypto and equities. BTC spot ETFs saw outflows of roughly $1.26 billion for the week, bringing cumulative outflows over two weeks to over $2 billion. Institutional buying—previously instrumental in driving BTC from $70,000 to $80,000—has clearly receded. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a fresh 10-month low, down 35% cumulatively from its August peak. On the macro front, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index plunged to a historic low of 44.8, while the one-year inflation expectation rose to 4.8%. NVIDIA reported Q1 revenue growth of 85% year-on-year and issued a Q2 revenue guidance of $91 billion—but saw virtually no after-hours reaction, suggesting AI-related trades are already fully priced in. Wintermute noted that BTC’s key support currently lies between $75,000 and $76,000; holding this range could enable a retest of $80,000, whereas a break below would rapidly open the $70,000–$72,000 zone. The near-term direction hinges on whether institutional capital returns to the market.
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Trends Similar to 2022 Bear Market, Market Sentiment Turns Extremely Pessimistic
CryptoQuant indicates Bitcoin's recent price movement resembles the bear market rally phase from March 2022. Market demand remains weak, and sentiment indicators have once again fallen into the "extremely pessimistic" zone.The report notes that Bitcoin's recent rebound was rejected near the 200-day moving average around $82,400, before subsequently falling back to around $76,000. CryptoQuant believes this pattern is similar to March 2022, when Bitcoin rallied 43% from its lows, was also rejected at the 200-day moving average, and then re-entered a downtrend.Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, stated that during a bear market, the 200-day moving average typically serves as a key demarcation line between a "relief rally" and "trend continuation." If Bitcoin fails to break through this moving average effectively, it may indicate that the bear market structure has not yet been broken.