News Heat Trend
Project Overview
Sentiment is a DeFi protocol designed to unlock capital efficiency through innovative liquidity markets. It offers a unique approach for lenders and borrowers to maximize the utility of their capital. Sentiment enables borrowing of up to 500% LTV through delegated ownership accounts, mitigating solvency risk for lenders and maximizing capital efficiency for borrowers in a non-custodial and trustless manner.
Analysis: OpenAI IPO Delay Rumors Impact Market Sentiment, US Stock Futures Fall, Tech and Chip Sectors Lead Declines
US stock futures fell across the board on Friday, with the tech sector leading the decline, as market concerns over rising AI infrastructure costs and a slowdown in fundraising pace intensified. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.2%, S&P 500 futures dropped 0.5%, and Dow Jones futures lost 67 points (-0.1%). Chip stocks broadly weakened following reports that OpenAI is considering postponing its IPO until next year, citing increased volatility in AI-related stocks, unstable market sentiment, and even the impact of SpaceX’s weak post-IPO performance.JPMorgan's trading desk noted that this news has reinforced market concerns about the sustainability of AI infrastructure investments and could affect the pace of future capital market fundraising. Vital Knowledge analyst Adam Crisafulli also stated that the IPO delay could slow down the overall expansion rate of AI infrastructure spending.In the chip sector, Philadelphia Semiconductor-related stocks came under pressure, with ON Semiconductor falling over 13% after acquiring Synaptics. Micron Technology and SanDisk both declined by more than 5%. The XLK ETF tracking the tech sector fell 1.6%, extending the previous session's losses. (CNBC)
Jiang Zhuoer Analyzes MSTR Capital Structure: BTC Reserves Can Cover Years of Dividend Payments, But Market Sentiment Remains Cautious
Jiang Zhuoer stated in a post that MicroStrategy (MSTR) currently holds approximately $55 billion in Bitcoin assets, corresponding to an annual dividend payment of about $1.7 billion for its STRC preferred stock. Theoretically, selling BTC could cover dividend requirements for roughly 32 years.STRC is classified as preferred stock rather than a debt instrument, so there is no traditional mandatory principal repayment pressure. From a financial structure perspective, MSTR does not face "liquidation-style leverage risk" or short-term solvency crises. However, the discussion itself reflects growing market concerns about the company's long-term cash flow and cryptocurrency asset volatility. STRC has already experienced significant discount fluctuations, limiting its refinancing capabilities.Furthermore, MSTR has recently relied more on issuing common stock (which may dilute BTC per share when mNAV is below 1) to fund its BTC accumulation. This strategy is difficult to sustain over the long term.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that even if the scale of MSTR's actual BTC sales to pay dividends is relatively small compared to the broader market, the symbolic significance may be more important. It could pressure market confidence and prompt investors to reassess the possibility of "long-term passive BTC selling." Market understanding of this structure is not uniform, and this divergence in perception itself could become an important factor influencing expectations and sentiment.
Defensive Sentiment Intensifies in the Options Market: Nearly 40% of Trades Are Put Options, Major Spread Position Amounts to Approximately $200 Million
Odaily News, Greeks.live analyzed on X platform that today, Bitcoin Put block trades accounted for nearly 40% of the total volume. The concentrated trades were bear put spreads for end-of-May, involving $75,000/$71,000 strikes, with a total notional value of nearly $200 million. Investors are leveraging the rebound to build defensive positions for the last ten days of the month.Overall, the market leans towards hedging against a pullback but does not anticipate a crash. May and June have traditionally been considered unfavorable months for the market. This month, major investors have been consistently increasing their defensive positions: buying effective protection, selling tail risk financing, and controlling costs.
Forbes Criticizes Eric Trump’s Bitcoin Company as an Arbitrage Tool Exploiting MAGA Investor Sentiment
According to Forbes, Eric Trump, the second son of Donald Trump, promoted his Bitcoin company American Bitcoin as a “money-printing machine,” but it is in fact an arbitrage tool exploiting MAGA investors’ sentiment. The company attracted investors through exaggerated marketing, leveraged the premium associated with the Trump brand to issue shares at inflated valuations, raised cash, and then used the proceeds to purchase Bitcoin—while ordinary investors suffered heavy losses. Since its listing in September, the company has sold approximately 158 million shares, raising roughly $351 million, and used those funds to buy approximately $390 million worth of Bitcoin. The company claims its mining cost is around $58,000 per Bitcoin, but when equipment depreciation and other expenses are included, its total cost per Bitcoin reaches approximately $90,000—higher than Bitcoin’s current market price. The company faces risks from its mining-rig financing agreements: if Bitcoin’s price does not rebound, all the Bitcoin it mines may be used to repay equipment vendors. The company employs only two full-time staff members; its stock price has plunged 92% from its peak, and investor losses are estimated at around $500 million. Eric Trump’s personal wealth increased from approximately $190 million to $280 million. In response, Eric Trump posted on X, calling Forbes “a political weapon and a disgrace to journalism.” He stated that American Bitcoin was founded just over a year ago and has been publicly listed for 7 months and 25 days. It currently holds over 7,000 Bitcoins, ranks as the world’s 16th-largest publicly traded Bitcoin company, and operates nearly 90,000 mining rigs.
Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
Ansem: Altcoin Market Sentiment and Positioning at Multi-Year Lows, Select Quality Tokens May See Rapid Rebound
Odaily News: Crypto trader Ansem posted on X platform stating that over the past few years, crypto assets have performed at historically low levels relative to other asset classes, primarily due to factors including talent flowing into the AI industry, insufficient innovation following the DeFi boom, and gold undergoing a massive value reassessment. Combined with the large-scale liquidation event in the altcoin market on October 10 last year, both institutional and retail sentiment and positioning allocation toward altcoins are currently at multi-year lows, potentially even hitting historic lows.On the other hand, some altcoins currently possess characteristics such as reduced VC selling pressure, genuine product-market fit (PMF) built on crypto infrastructure, and benefits from an improving regulatory environment. Additionally, the massive paper gains generated by the AI supercycle could serve as a potential source of capital. He predicts that future market capital will become more concentrated in a select few tokens with fundamental support, and once these tokens attract buying interest, their prices could rise rapidly.
BIT: Senate Vote on CLARITY Act Imminent, Legislative Progress May Boost Short-Term Market Sentiment
According to BIT's daily analysis report, Trump has largely agreed to new bipartisan ethics provisions requiring relevant officials to divest their held crypto assets or place them in blind trusts. The latest approximately 630-page version of the CLARITY Act will face a Senate procedural vote at 2:15 PM ET on September 15, which requires 60 votes in favor. With Republicans currently holding only 53 seats, the majority must secure support from at least seven Democrats or independents. The revised draft incorporates over 100 amendments proposed by Democrats, including adjustments to DeFi registration rules. However, ethics restrictions targeting government officials remain contentious and include a sunset clause set for January 2029. Even if the procedural vote passes, the legislation still must navigate formal debate, amendment review, and House approval. While the bill's tangible impact on the market remains uncertain, legislative progress this week could provide a boost to short-term market sentiment.
BofA Survey: Investor Bullish Sentiment on US Stocks Rises to Nearly Five-Year High, Few "Bears" Left in Market
According to Bloomberg, the latest Bank of America (BofA) fund manager survey shows that investors are continuing to increase their exposure to US equity assets, with bullish sentiment rising to a near five-year high and the number of bearish investors in the market significantly decreasing. Data disclosed by the team led by Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett indicates that a net 56% of fund managers are overweight on stocks, the highest level since November 2021, while the investor cash allocation ratio has dropped to a "very low" 3.5%.
QCP: Bitcoin Holds at Lower End of Recent Range, Macro Focus Shifts to Fed Meeting Minutes
According to QCP, the preliminary U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August dropped to 51.0, July retail sales fell 0.6% month-on-month, and combined with previously weak employment data, market expectations for the Fed's short-term policy tightening have declined, with federal funds futures showing a probability of about 30% for a 25 basis point rate hike in September.
Probability drops to historic low, expectations for formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 turn bearish
Sentiment regarding bets on the formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 has turned bearish, with the probability of the bill being passed within the year falling to a historic low. The market's peak expectation for the bill at the beginning of the year once reached 82%, but as negotiations have hit multiple deadlocks, the probability has continued to decline. The core disagreements hindering the bill's progress include a standoff over ethics clauses, opposition from banking lobbying groups regarding provisions related to stablecoin interest payments, as well as a tight congressional schedule and the approaching midterm elections, which have compressed the window for deliberation and voting. Although major industry players generally support this comprehensive digital asset regulatory bill, traders believe that the multiple disagreements cannot be resolved in the short term, and the bill will likely be unable to complete the full legislative process and take effect within 2026.
Market Awaits Fed Decision as BTC Short-Term Options Bearish Sentiment Cools Notably
Odaily reports: Bitcoin rose about 0.8% since midnight (UTC) on Monday to $81,400, after briefly falling below $80,000. Ethereum gained 0.9%, Asian chip stocks led a tech rebound, South Korea's KOSPI rose 6.6%, SK Hynix climbed about 11% on roughly 7x year-over-year profit growth, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.5%.The Federal Reserve is about to announce its rate decision, and the CME FedWatch tool shows the market sees about a 92% probability of rates being held steady. Traders will focus on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to gauge whether there is any possibility of a rate hike ahead. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $176 million on Tuesday, marking a second consecutive trading day of inflows.On the derivatives side, crypto futures trading volume rose 7.5% over the past 24 hours to $163.2 billion, open interest increased only 1.3%, and liquidations rose 38% to $183.6 million. Bitcoin rose 2.3% while open interest actually fell 0.1%; Ethereum rose 2.7% with open interest up 1.7%, indicating the price rebound has not yet been accompanied by large-scale new leverage. ZEC open interest grew 14%, higher than its 6.3% price gain over the same period, making it one of the large crypto assets with the most obvious new position building.In the options market, Deribit data shows that Bitcoin's one-week put/call skew has dropped from nearly 10% a week ago to less than 1%, indicating that demand for short-term downside protection has weakened somewhat, though the one-month, three-month and six-month tenors remain clearly skewed toward puts. Meanwhile, gold futures open interest fell 10%, while open interest for Tether's gold token XAUT rose 11.6%, showing divergent capital flows. (CoinDesk)
Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
Macro Risks Suppress Bitcoin Bullish Sentiment, Probability of Reaching $100K by Christmas Falls Below 10%
the crypto market is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears: on one hand, digital asset analysts remain bullish; on the other hand, the speculative market as a whole is turning defensive, with risk appetite under continued pressure. Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 for the first time in nearly a month. Dragged down by the sell-off in the U.S. stock market's AI sector, risk assets broadly retreated, and the bullish sentiment the crypto market had previously attempted to rebuild was once again undermined.Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital's U.S. division, said inflation data will "deal a severe blow to risk appetite," while the market is entering a quiet period ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, with rate expectations still shrouded in uncertainty. Nick Forster, founder of Derive.xyz, said that over the past 24 hours, the market-implied probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by Christmas dropped 2.8 percentage points to 9.7%. He noted that the rapid retreat of long-term bullish bets and the surge in short-term hedging demand indicate that institutional participants are rapidly reassessing macro risk exposure as the interest rate outlook once again becomes murky. (Bloomberg)
Ansem: Altcoin Market Sentiment and Positioning at Multi-Year Lows, Select Quality Tokens May See Rapid Rebound
Odaily News: Crypto trader Ansem posted on X platform stating that over the past few years, crypto assets have performed at historically low levels relative to other asset classes, primarily due to factors including talent flowing into the AI industry, insufficient innovation following the DeFi boom, and gold undergoing a massive value reassessment. Combined with the large-scale liquidation event in the altcoin market on October 10 last year, both institutional and retail sentiment and positioning allocation toward altcoins are currently at multi-year lows, potentially even hitting historic lows.On the other hand, some altcoins currently possess characteristics such as reduced VC selling pressure, genuine product-market fit (PMF) built on crypto infrastructure, and benefits from an improving regulatory environment. Additionally, the massive paper gains generated by the AI supercycle could serve as a potential source of capital. He predicts that future market capital will become more concentrated in a select few tokens with fundamental support, and once these tokens attract buying interest, their prices could rise rapidly.
Analyst: Crypto Sentiment Rapidly Shifts to Greed, Declining Bitcoin Dominance May Signal Capital Diffusion Across the Market
CryptoQuant analyst nocoffeenobrain stated that crypto market sentiment has undergone a significant shift, with the Fear and Greed Index rapidly climbing from around 30 in August to the current 74. Meanwhile, BTC dominance has dropped to 53.8% and continues its downward trend. Historical data shows that when the sentiment index rises while Bitcoin's dominance remains flat or declines, market capital and momentum tend to flow into sectors outside of Bitcoin;
Analyst: FOMO Sentiment Is Driving Bullish Option Buying in the S&P 500
Odaily News - Traders are showing strong demand for options betting on further gains in the S&P 500. On Tuesday, call option volume on the benchmark index surpassed 4 million contracts, setting a new all-time high, while put option volume remained in line with the average.Jason Coogan, a trader at Simplex Trading, noted that over the two days through Tuesday, the market experienced a "one-way order flow" situation. Analyst Tanvir Sandhu said: "The options market is reflecting investors' FOMO (fear of missing out on the rally) sentiment. Investors currently appear more concerned about missing the next leg up than about guarding against a market pullback, as evidenced by significant shifts in options skew. Even as the stock market continues to climb, strong demand for call options is still underpinning implied volatility."
Analysis: Bearish Sentiment Heats Up in BTC and ETH Options Markets as Risk-Off Mood Intensifies
following a suspected North Korean hacker attack on Binance involving $6.3 billion, Bitcoin briefly fell to $76,400, its lowest level since September 18, before rebounding somewhat. Ethereum touched a low of $2,170 before recovering to around $2,220.Risk-off sentiment has intensified in the market, with bearish sentiment heating up in both BTC and ETH options markets. Among the options with the highest trading volumes, put options account for the majority, and 25 Delta skews across multiple expiries have risen simultaneously, reflecting increased demand for hedging against downside risk. Meanwhile, weakness in U.S. tech stocks has also added pressure to the market, with Nasdaq 100 index futures falling 2.3%. (CoinDesk)
Behind the Market Sentiment Index: Kraken, Hyperliquid, and OKX Become Market Focus After Binance Hack Incident
Odaily Report: Joe Vezz, CEO of social monitoring platform LunarCrush, posted on X platform stating, "According to monitoring, after the Binance hacking incident, Kraken's related market sentiment index rose by 10 points; subsequently, Hyperliquid's related index rose by 4 points; OKX's related index rose by 3 points.
Santiment: BTC Social Sentiment Bullish Ratio Hits Four-Month High
According to on-chain data platform Santiment (@SantimentData), as Bitcoin’s price reclaimed the $80,000 level, the ratio of bullish-to-bearish comments on social media rose to 1.37:1.00—the highest in nearly four months—signaling a notable surge in market optimism. However, Santiment cautions that historically, sharp increases in bullish sentiment often serve as warning signs rather than buy signals. When retail FOMO dominates social media discussions, traders tend to enter positions late in the trend, raising the likelihood of local tops, profit-taking, and sudden price volatility. Santiment notes that peak market euphoria frequently coincides with the onset of waning momentum. By comparison, following the Kelp DAO vulnerability incident in mid-April, social sentiment plunged into deeply bearish territory; the exit of “weak-handed investors” instead laid a healthier foundation for the current rally. With sentiment now having reversed dramatically, Santiment advises traders to remain vigilant against potential risks stemming from excessive leverage and overly concentrated positions.
QCP: BTC Monthly Gain Exceeds 14%; Geopolitical and Security Incidents Disrupt Market Sentiment
QCP Group’s analysis states that U.S.-Iran negotiations have once again collapsed, while the Middle East ceasefire continues, leaving the overall geopolitical landscape relatively static. A shooting incident occurred at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, with Trump suspected as the target. Following Asia’s market open, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH above $2,400—but gains quickly reversed amid concerns triggered by news of Iran’s Foreign Minister traveling to Russia for talks with Putin. Since early April, BTC has rallied over 14% cumulatively, marking four consecutive weeks of positive closes. Spot ETFs recorded nine straight days of net inflows totaling approximately $2.11 billion. Strategy funds added over $3.8 billion worth of BTC in the past month. The current key resistance level for BTC lies near the CME gap around $82,000. BTC perpetual contract funding rates remain persistently negative; a breakout above this level could trigger short-covering. Implied volatility continues declining, and risk-reversal skew has narrowed somewhat, signaling gradually rising market interest in upside exposure. Key events this week: - April 29: Earnings reports from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google, plus the FOMC interest-rate decision. - April 30: Apple earnings report, U.S. Q1 GDP data, and March PCE inflation data.
Market Awaits Fed Decision as BTC Short-Term Options Bearish Sentiment Cools Notably
Odaily reports: Bitcoin rose about 0.8% since midnight (UTC) on Monday to $81,400, after briefly falling below $80,000. Ethereum gained 0.9%, Asian chip stocks led a tech rebound, South Korea's KOSPI rose 6.6%, SK Hynix climbed about 11% on roughly 7x year-over-year profit growth, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.5%.The Federal Reserve is about to announce its rate decision, and the CME FedWatch tool shows the market sees about a 92% probability of rates being held steady. Traders will focus on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to gauge whether there is any possibility of a rate hike ahead. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $176 million on Tuesday, marking a second consecutive trading day of inflows.On the derivatives side, crypto futures trading volume rose 7.5% over the past 24 hours to $163.2 billion, open interest increased only 1.3%, and liquidations rose 38% to $183.6 million. Bitcoin rose 2.3% while open interest actually fell 0.1%; Ethereum rose 2.7% with open interest up 1.7%, indicating the price rebound has not yet been accompanied by large-scale new leverage. ZEC open interest grew 14%, higher than its 6.3% price gain over the same period, making it one of the large crypto assets with the most obvious new position building.In the options market, Deribit data shows that Bitcoin's one-week put/call skew has dropped from nearly 10% a week ago to less than 1%, indicating that demand for short-term downside protection has weakened somewhat, though the one-month, three-month and six-month tenors remain clearly skewed toward puts. Meanwhile, gold futures open interest fell 10%, while open interest for Tether's gold token XAUT rose 11.6%, showing divergent capital flows. (CoinDesk)
Jin10: October 23 Key Economic Data and Events
Jin10 Data released the economic calendar for October 23, covering Japan's core CPI, initial manufacturing PMI readings in Europe and the US, the final US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and other data.
October 9, 2026 Key Focus: Federal Reserve Speeches and Economic Data from Multiple Countries
This article outlines the macroeconomic data release schedule for October 9, 2026, and early the following morning. Key highlights include remarks by Federal Reserve officials Musalem and Collins, as well as key indicators such as Canadian employment, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and inflation expectations.
BIT: Senate Vote on CLARITY Act Imminent, Legislative Progress May Boost Short-Term Market Sentiment
According to BIT's daily analysis report, Trump has largely agreed to new bipartisan ethics provisions requiring relevant officials to divest their held crypto assets or place them in blind trusts. The latest approximately 630-page version of the CLARITY Act will face a Senate procedural vote at 2:15 PM ET on September 15, which requires 60 votes in favor. With Republicans currently holding only 53 seats, the majority must secure support from at least seven Democrats or independents. The revised draft incorporates over 100 amendments proposed by Democrats, including adjustments to DeFi registration rules. However, ethics restrictions targeting government officials remain contentious and include a sunset clause set for January 2029. Even if the procedural vote passes, the legislation still must navigate formal debate, amendment review, and House approval. While the bill's tangible impact on the market remains uncertain, legislative progress this week could provide a boost to short-term market sentiment.
Probability drops to historic low, expectations for formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 turn bearish
Sentiment regarding bets on the formal enactment of the CLARITY Act in 2026 has turned bearish, with the probability of the bill being passed within the year falling to a historic low. The market's peak expectation for the bill at the beginning of the year once reached 82%, but as negotiations have hit multiple deadlocks, the probability has continued to decline. The core disagreements hindering the bill's progress include a standoff over ethics clauses, opposition from banking lobbying groups regarding provisions related to stablecoin interest payments, as well as a tight congressional schedule and the approaching midterm elections, which have compressed the window for deliberation and voting. Although major industry players generally support this comprehensive digital asset regulatory bill, traders believe that the multiple disagreements cannot be resolved in the short term, and the bill will likely be unable to complete the full legislative process and take effect within 2026.
Glassnode: Bitcoin Stabilizes Around $60,000, Market Sentiment Heavily Defensive
on-chain data analytics firm Glassnode has released its latest weekly market summary, noting that Bitcoin has briefly stabilized around the $60,000 level. However, the market is characterized by strong defensive traits and a lack of bullish confidence.The spot market is range-bound, with trading activity slightly increasing. Yet, capital continues to flow out on a net basis, and market liquidity is primarily driven by distribution, with no large-scale accumulation observed. The derivatives market is persistently deleveraging, with traders prioritizing downside hedging protection and showing low willingness for directional long positions. Funding rates remain low, indicating a generally weak risk appetite. Institutional pressure is significant, as US spot Bitcoin ETFs are collectively in a state of unrealized losses, with continued net capital outflows and low willingness among institutions to increase positions.Glassnode states that the current market is undergoing a period of structural adjustment and capital contraction. The $60,000 level provides only temporary support, and there are no signs of recovery in spot orders, derivatives positions, or institutional capital. For a sustained upward trend to emerge, a significant restoration of confidence among buyers is required.
Related news
Analysis: Bearish Sentiment Heats Up in BTC and ETH Options Markets as Risk-Off Mood Intensifies
following a suspected North Korean hacker attack on Binance involving $6.3 billion, Bitcoin briefly fell to $76,400, its lowest level since September 18, before rebounding somewhat. Ethereum touched a low of $2,170 before recovering to around $2,220.Risk-off sentiment has intensified in the market, with bearish sentiment heating up in both BTC and ETH options markets. Among the options with the highest trading volumes, put options account for the majority, and 25 Delta skews across multiple expiries have risen simultaneously, reflecting increased demand for hedging against downside risk. Meanwhile, weakness in U.S. tech stocks has also added pressure to the market, with Nasdaq 100 index futures falling 2.3%. (CoinDesk)
Behind the Market Sentiment Index: Kraken, Hyperliquid, and OKX Become Market Focus After Binance Hack Incident
Odaily Report: Joe Vezz, CEO of social monitoring platform LunarCrush, posted on X platform stating, "According to monitoring, after the Binance hacking incident, Kraken's related market sentiment index rose by 10 points; subsequently, Hyperliquid's related index rose by 4 points; OKX's related index rose by 3 points.
Market Awaits Fed Decision as BTC Short-Term Options Bearish Sentiment Cools Notably
Odaily reports: Bitcoin rose about 0.8% since midnight (UTC) on Monday to $81,400, after briefly falling below $80,000. Ethereum gained 0.9%, Asian chip stocks led a tech rebound, South Korea's KOSPI rose 6.6%, SK Hynix climbed about 11% on roughly 7x year-over-year profit growth, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.5%.The Federal Reserve is about to announce its rate decision, and the CME FedWatch tool shows the market sees about a 92% probability of rates being held steady. Traders will focus on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to gauge whether there is any possibility of a rate hike ahead. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $176 million on Tuesday, marking a second consecutive trading day of inflows.On the derivatives side, crypto futures trading volume rose 7.5% over the past 24 hours to $163.2 billion, open interest increased only 1.3%, and liquidations rose 38% to $183.6 million. Bitcoin rose 2.3% while open interest actually fell 0.1%; Ethereum rose 2.7% with open interest up 1.7%, indicating the price rebound has not yet been accompanied by large-scale new leverage. ZEC open interest grew 14%, higher than its 6.3% price gain over the same period, making it one of the large crypto assets with the most obvious new position building.In the options market, Deribit data shows that Bitcoin's one-week put/call skew has dropped from nearly 10% a week ago to less than 1%, indicating that demand for short-term downside protection has weakened somewhat, though the one-month, three-month and six-month tenors remain clearly skewed toward puts. Meanwhile, gold futures open interest fell 10%, while open interest for Tether's gold token XAUT rose 11.6%, showing divergent capital flows. (CoinDesk)
Analyst: Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index Falls to -11, Market Sentiment Turns Bearish
Odaily reports: Crypto analyst Darkfost posted that the Bitcoin Unified Sentiment Index has fallen back into negative territory, currently at -11 and continuing to decline, indicating that the previous extreme greed phase has passed and bearish market sentiment is beginning to accumulate.Darkfost noted that the current index reading remains within a relatively neutral range but clearly reflects deteriorating sentiment in the Bitcoin market. The index fluctuates between -100 and +100, combining the Fear and Greed Index and CoinGecko sentiment survey data, and is standardized based on a rolling one-year window.
Jin10: October 23 Key Economic Data and Events
Jin10 Data released the economic calendar for October 23, covering Japan's core CPI, initial manufacturing PMI readings in Europe and the US, the final US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and other data.
Macro Risks Suppress Bitcoin Bullish Sentiment, Probability of Reaching $100K by Christmas Falls Below 10%
the crypto market is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears: on one hand, digital asset analysts remain bullish; on the other hand, the speculative market as a whole is turning defensive, with risk appetite under continued pressure. Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 for the first time in nearly a month. Dragged down by the sell-off in the U.S. stock market's AI sector, risk assets broadly retreated, and the bullish sentiment the crypto market had previously attempted to rebuild was once again undermined.Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital's U.S. division, said inflation data will "deal a severe blow to risk appetite," while the market is entering a quiet period ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, with rate expectations still shrouded in uncertainty. Nick Forster, founder of Derive.xyz, said that over the past 24 hours, the market-implied probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by Christmas dropped 2.8 percentage points to 9.7%. He noted that the rapid retreat of long-term bullish bets and the surge in short-term hedging demand indicate that institutional participants are rapidly reassessing macro risk exposure as the interest rate outlook once again becomes murky. (Bloomberg)