News linked to both this project and an event.
Bernstein suggests Robinhood is poised for a "strong tailwind" as prediction market trading volumes hit record highs during the World Cup.Data shows that daily trading volume in prediction markets during the early stages of the FIFA World Cup surged from $2.2 billion on June 11 to $4.8 billion on June 12, setting a new all-time high, surpassing the $1.4 billion traded during the previous Super Bowl.Analysts note that prediction markets have become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing revenue lines since their launch. The firm projects Robinhood's prediction market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, representing an increase of approximately 286% year-over-year, and is expected to account for 17% of trading-related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026.Bernstein believes Robinhood's partnership with exchange and clearing house Rothera, which is regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is a competitive advantage. Since its launch on May 28, Rothera has processed approximately 200 million contracts in 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB-related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts state that Robinhood's core strength lies in its distribution capability, with its massive user base, a commission of $0.01 per contract, and strategies like up to 50% fee discounts for Gold members helping to drive user engagement.Furthermore, Bernstein indicates that competition in the prediction market space is expanding, including Polymarket launching event contracts for private companies and Kalshi introducing cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The firm estimates that the World Cup will bring over $3 billion in new betting volume to prediction markets and boost overall consumer trading volume in the industry by $5 billion to $10 billion. (The Block)
investment firm Bernstein has released a report indicating that the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to take place in North America, is expected to drive up to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume for sports betting and prediction markets, along with over $3 billion in incremental capital.Bernstein analysts pointed out that this World Cup could be a turning point for prediction markets and online sports betting platforms, accelerating the development of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Robinhood is leveraging this opportunity to commercially launch its CFTC-licensed prediction market exchange, Rothera. Institutions such as Binance and Coinbase are also offering World Cup contracts through partnerships. Currently, on the Myriad platform, Spain and France have the highest odds of winning. (Decrypt)
According to Hyperinsight monitoring, a whale address on Hyperliquid—previously drawing attention for aggressively going long on HYPE ahead of Robinhood’s listing of the token—has seen its unrealized profit on HYPE long positions increase from $11.8179 million to $13.8535 million, with its return rising from 90.64% to 103.03%. The address currently holds a position size of approximately $67.2274 million, with an average entry price of $38.68; HYPE’s current price stands at $48.71, and its liquidation price is $38.93.
Goldman Sachs’ Q1 2026 13F filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) shows a significant reduction in its holdings of crypto asset ETFs: it has fully exited all XRP-related ETFs and all Solana ETFs offered by Grayscale, Bitwise, and Fidelity. Its Bitcoin ETF holdings still include approximately $690 million in BlackRock’s IBIT and roughly $25 million in Fidelity’s FBTC—both down about 10% quarter-over-quarter. Ethereum ETF holdings declined more sharply: its position in the iShares Ethereum ETF (ETHA) was cut by approximately 70%, leaving about $114 million. Additionally, Goldman Sachs increased its stakes in Circle, Galaxy Digital, Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal during the same period, while reducing positions in Strategy and Riot Platforms.
Goldman Sachs significantly reduced its crypto ETF exposure in the first quarter of 2026 and has completely exited its holdings in XRP and Solana-related ETFs.Filings show that in the fourth quarter of 2025, Goldman Sachs held approximately $154 million in XRP-related ETFs, including products from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and 21Shares, making it one of the largest institutional holders of XRP ETFs at the time. Additionally, the firm previously held Solana-related ETFs such as the Grayscale Solana Trust ETF, Bitwise Solana Staking ETF, and Fidelity Solana Fund, all of which have now been fully sold off.However, Goldman Sachs still retains substantial holdings in BTC and ETH ETFs. Specifically, it holds approximately $690 million in BlackRock's IBIT and about $25 million in Fidelity's FBTC, though both positions were reduced by roughly 10% compared to the previous quarter. Meanwhile, its holding in BlackRock's ETHA shrank by about 70%, leaving approximately 7.2 million shares valued at around $114 million.Furthermore, Goldman Sachs increased its holdings in crypto-related stocks such as Circle, Galaxy Digital, Coinbase, Robinhood, and PayPal, while reducing positions in mining and infrastructure companies like Strategy, Bit Digital, Riot Platforms, and IREN. (Cointelegraph)
Odaily News According to analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, investors are shifting their focus to new businesses such as prediction markets, which are also key drivers for the next phase of growth for Coinbase and Robinhood. The analysts currently maintain an "Overweight" rating for both exchanges and have raised their price targets to $250 and $110, respectively. They believe that as product expansion (including prediction markets, tokenization, and access to private markets) progresses, the medium-to-long-term growth prospects for both companies will improve. (CoinDesk)
Castle Labs (@castle_labs) published a post stating that the current crypto market is undergoing a profound paradigm shift—speculative models prioritizing extraction are gradually giving way to investment logic oriented toward revenue generation. The article notes that since 2026, the broader crypto market has performed poorly: most assets have seen sustained price declines, ETF funds have continued flowing out, project shutdowns have intensified, and institutional VC investments have grown increasingly conservative. The key catalysts for this shift were last October’s large-scale liquidation event and the ongoing market reflection triggered by gold consistently outperforming Bitcoin. On the revenue data front, among the roughly 5,700 protocols tracked by DeFiLlama, only 3.5% generated over $100,000 in revenue over the past 30 days—and fewer than 1% actually distributed earnings to token holders. The article focuses on top revenue-generating protocols—including Hyperliquid (HYPE), Pumpdotfun (PUMP), Tron (TRON), Sky (SKY), Jupiter (JUP), Aave (AAVE), and Aerodrome (AERO)—analyzing their price-to-sales ratios (P/S) and token holder return metrics. It argues that protocol revenue—and its capacity to feed value back to token holders—is becoming the core metric investors use to evaluate and select projects. Regarding institutionalization trends, traditional financial giants—including NYSE, Robinhood, BlackRock, and Franklin Templeton—