News linked to both this project and an event.
According to Yonhap News Agency, Section Chief Kim Yun-kyung and Investigator Wang Jae-kun of the Bank of Korea’s Investigation Bureau noted in their October 27 report, "Major Characteristics and Risk Assessment of Funding in the AI Industry," that intensifying fundraising competition in the AI sector recently has heightened dependence on external funding and expanded circular finance, fueling growing warnings about financial risks triggered by AI. The report notes that this year, hyperscale data center operators have substantially broadened external financing primarily through long-term corporate bonds, while AI-focused cloud companies have increasingly turned to GPU-backed credit and convertible bonds. AI firms are also actively leveraging off-balance-sheet financing instruments such as special purpose vehicles, joint ventures, and leasing. Meanwhile, the volume of circular transactions between hyperscale firms and AI chipmakers for future sales, facilitated by supply chain investments, continues to grow. The report assesses that while the financial health of major leading enterprises remains solid and the likelihood of AI-related financial risks materializing is currently low, vulnerabilities are steadily building amid rising long-term interest rates. Primary risk factors include delays in AI monetization and the propagation of shocks stemming from circular finance. Particular attention should be directed toward the potential risks posed by AI cloud companies that exhibit inadequate financial buffers and low information transparency. The report emphasizes that as South Korea stands to benefit the most from the AI boom, its deep integration into global supply chains could amplify the transmission intensity of real-economy and financial shocks triggered by AI compared to previous cycles. It is essential to continuously monitor the accumulation of potential vulnerabilities and the likelihood of risks materializing.
Odaily reports: The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has updated the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) register, adding 9 new crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), including BingX's Austrian entity MEGE zweite, bringing the number of independently registered CASPs to 375.The register also includes the Italian subsidiary of crypto lending platform YouHodler, which has been authorized to provide custody, crypto-asset trading, order execution, and transfer services. Openbank Deutschland, the German subsidiary of Banco Santander's Openbank, is also on the newly added list.Spain's Prakma Markets and Germany's VR-Bank Alb-Blau-Donau and VR Bank im südlichen Franken have likewise been added to the register. Denmark's Penning Financial Services no longer appears on the latest list.The electronic money token (EMT) register still contains 50 records involving 25 independent entities; the asset-referenced token (ART) register remains empty. The non-compliant crypto-asset service provider (NCASP) register increased by 5 entries to 178. (Cointelegraph)
This issue's futures highlights cover a slight rise in shipping indices, the implementation of coke price cuts, and rising iron ore inventories. It also covers downward revisions to China's soybean production, detailed regulations on sugar import quotas, and Malaysia's edible oil subsidy policy.
Odaily News — Web3 security firm CertiK today officially released its Intel3D report, "The Rise of AI Employees: How Agentic AI Is Reshaping Cybersecurity, Anti-Money Laundering, and Compliance." The report notes that AI is transitioning from an assistive tool that helps analysts identify issues to a member of the working team capable of conducting investigations, making judgments, and executing remediation tasks within defined permissions. This shift is reshaping security and compliance processes across traditional finance and Web3, and is also raising new requirements for how enterprises supervise AI, define permission boundaries, and allocate responsibility.The report also cautions that model misjudgments, prompt injection, and adversaries' exploitation of AI may introduce new risks. As AI begins to hold and trade digital assets, its own behavior must also be subject to audit. CertiK recommends that enterprises establish governance mechanisms covering permission boundaries, human approval, decision records, and division of responsibilities, and conduct regular red-team testing; these mechanisms must be improved in tandem with AI's execution capabilities to support "AI employees" in continuously creating value for security and compliance work under supervision and accountability.
Odaily News: Some analysts expect that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield could rise to 6%, driven by concerns over the federal fiscal deficit, debt growth, and capital competition. Since the end of 2023, the yield has risen to 5.23%, while Bitcoin's price has roughly doubled to $86,000.If yields rise due to fiscal concerns, investors may seek alternatives to government debt, and Bitcoin could benefit; if the rise in yields is driven by the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy again, Bitcoin could come under pressure. (CoinDesk)
According to Chaoxiang research, Bernstein's September 14, 2026 report indicates that the Kalshi prediction market has rebounded to a greater than 30% probability for the passage of the CLARITY Act. The CLARITY Act, officially the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, centers on establishing a federal regulatory framework for the U.S. cryptocurrency market, delineating regulatory boundaries between the SEC and CFTC, and clarifying exchange compliance requirements and stablecoin yield rules. The latest Senate Republican draft has made substantive concessions on Trump-related ethics provisions and incorporates a "new circuit breaker" clause to address concerns over deposit outflows from community banks. A procedural vote is scheduled for Tuesday, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday.
In its published analysis, BIT notes that Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest rally since the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March 2023. During that period, US authorities implemented emergency measures to stabilize the banking system, and the current market sentiment mirrors that era—the recent interventions by the US Treasury in the Japanese yen FX market and bond markets have heightened investor expectations for further macroeconomic policy support. Meanwhile, the SEC's proposed regulatory framework for crypto assets has sent increasingly favorable signals, further bolstering market sentiment. BIT's official Chinese-language analysis indicates that Bitcoin has regained its upward momentum, aligning closely with the scenarios discussed in research over the past several weeks.
Odaily News: Standard Chartered Bank's Head of Global Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, stated that as the tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) accelerates, the price of Chainlink (LINK) tokens could rise to $200 by the end of 2030, representing an increase of over 25 times from its current level of approximately $8.In his latest report, Kendrick predicts that the scale of tokenized RWA will reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028. As more traditional assets are brought on-chain, the demand for secure and reliable off-chain data is expected to increase significantly, which could further boost Chainlink's fee revenue and drive up LINK's valuation.The report also projects that by the end of 2030, the scale of tokenized assets and crypto-native assets deployed in decentralized finance (DeFi) will grow approximately 37-fold to reach $2.7 trillion. Kendrick believes these assets require trusted data, cross-network interoperability, privacy-preserving compliance mechanisms, and integration with the existing financial system—infrastructure that Chainlink currently has the capability to provide.Demand for RWA tokenization has continued to grow recently. Data shows that trading volume of tokenized RWAs on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) hit an all-time high of $14.1 billion in July, up 19.5% month-over-month, driven primarily by public market assets such as tokenized stocks.Currently, Chainlink remains one of the largest decentralized oracle service providers in the crypto industry, with a Total Value Secured (TVS) of approximately $34.4 billion—significantly higher than second-ranked Chronicle's $7.36 billion.However, Kendrick also noted that the prediction of LINK reaching $200 still faces risks, including institutional tokenization projects progressing slower than expected, intensified competition from specialized oracle service providers, and potential technical issues. (Cointelegraph)
: Arthur Hayes stated at the Consensus 2026 conference that the crypto industry is not reliant on regulation for development. The core factors affecting Bitcoin's price are only technological reliability and fiat liquidity, with the latter being the true driving force.He pointed out that from the quantitative easing of the Obama era, the fiscal stimulus during Trump's first term, to the Biden administration releasing reverse repo liquidity by replacing long-term bonds with short-term debt, each round of monetary expansion has been highly correlated with Bitcoin's rise. Arthur Hayes believes that although the Trump administration has pushed forward multiple crypto regulatory bills, Bitcoin has still fallen by about 25% over the past approximately 18 months, indicating that positive regulatory developments do not directly drive price increases.He also stated that the Trump family's previous experiences with debanking, asset freezes, and lawsuits may make them more appreciative of Bitcoin's value as an asset free from state control. Arthur Hayes said that if Bitcoin eventually evolves into a common financial product on bank balance sheets, it will lose its original significance.
: US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Paul Atkins recently reiterated the push for "Project Crypto" and announced plans to jointly develop a digital asset classification framework with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This framework will clarify when a token is deemed a security, while also introducing an "innovation exemption" to support the on-chain trading of tokenized securities.The market believes that the series of initiatives pushed by Paul Atkins represent one of the most aggressive shifts in crypto regulation in SEC history, marking a formal abandonment of the old “regulation by enforcement” model in favor of clear rule-making. This move could release a stronger entry signal for institutional capital that has been on the sidelines, potentially driving Bitcoin's price back above $80,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $77,586. The market is now focused on Atkins's further statements at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in late April. (Forbes)
According to an article published by Caixin titled “Financial Innovation or Insider Trading? The Rise and Controversy of Polymarket,” when insider information can be openly monetized, the boundary of prediction markets has already become blurred—raising questions about whether such markets are merely “gambling” disguised as finance, or even涉嫌 insider trading. Yet regardless of the legal debate over whether such activities constitute gambling, the fact that Polymarket uses the USDC stablecoin for settlement and delivery itself poses a significant legal risk for participants within China. Previously, U.S. Senators Jeff Merkley and Amy Klobuchar introduced the “End Prediction Market Corruption Act,” which prohibits the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from trading on prediction markets and requires that the prediction market trading activities of their spouses and dependents be included in annual financial disclosures.